Nilsen’s Simple Pace Report for Pimlico Saturday – Preakness Day

All 28 races for Friday and Saturday at Pimlico covered in one report, the new Nilsen Simple Pace Report. Use this as a vital tool to supplement your handicapping for these two great days!

the Big A race horsePace Makes the Race

One of the most critical elements of horse racing for a handicapper to evaluate is pace. That’s where the Simple Pace Report comes in.  Based on decades of experience, the Simple Pace Report utilizes an algorithm that analyzes expert pace ratings, running styles and unique horse tendencies to arrive at a rating for each horse. These ratings determine the overall race shape, and each horse is forecasted into their early running position. The Simple Pace Report gives users a quick and easy guide to see how the race will set up, and determine which horses will be at an advantage or disadvantage based on the pace scenario.

After reviewing thousands of races and comparing to other products, the pace forecast presented here is the most accurate on the market.

Leaders marked with * hold a possible pace advantage.  There are several of these ‘pace advantage horses’ on both days at Pimlico.

Download today and get both cards in one report for only $7.  Instant download to any device.

 

 


Read the latest news – What was life like for NY horseplayers decades ago?

Get Rich Nilsen’s complimentary analysis of the Preakness Stakes

Nilsen’s Spot Plays with Black-Eyed Susan Analysis

After a successful KY Derby and Oaks weekend, Rich Nilsen  is online with Spot Plays and wagering strategies for four select best bets on Friday at Pimlico, including the featured Black-Eyed Susan.  Picking your spots is vital to beating the races, and in this new sheet Nilsen picks the best spot plays on the big card at Pimlico.

Nilsen also includes his Pace Chart for the entire 14-race card at Pimlico, so you can see how each race is forecasted to set up – another vital component of winning handicapping!

Download this affordable, expert analysis today – only $10.77.  PDF format to any device.

 

 

2022 Kentucky Derby/Oaks Package Recap

Here a recap of the results from Rich Nilsen’s 2022 Kentucky Oaks and Kentucky Derby Day Analysis.  With tipsters and shysters charging $50, 75 or more for Kentucky Derby picks, Rich produces only a handful of sheets per year and offers it up at an affordable price for race fans (under $15.)  It was a great day for players who downloaded Rich’s analysis.

Friday, May 6, 2022 (bonus Oaks pick)

Top selection SECRET OATH wins the Kentucky Oaks at odds of 4-1, paying $10.80 to win.  Keys $39.40 exacta over 2nd choice Nest, and hits $616.80 Trifecta for a $1 payout.  All given out on the sheet, the only play for Friday, Oaks Day.

Saturday, May 7th – Kentucky Derby 148 Card

1st race: $11.00 Winner (2nd choice) with $94.10 Trifecta recommended.

No play/selection race 2

3rd race: $8.00 Winner (Top choice)

No play/selection race 4

5th race: $4.20 Winner (Top choice)

6th race: Missed $75 winner

7th race: $3.40 Winner (Top choice)

8th race: $9.60 Winner (5th choice)

9th race: Missed $13 winner

10th race: $4.00 Winner (Top choice)

11th race: $170.80 Exacta recommended with $16.20 winner (4th choice) over top choice 9-1 shot Mira Mission who lost by a long neck.

12th race: Missed 80-1 KY Derby winner Rich Strike (why don’t I bet names!?!).  Top choice Mo Donegal ran 5th.

No plays/selections races 13 and 14.   Skeptical? Check out AGOS founder Rich Nilsen’s Analysis_KYDerby_2022

Actual winning tickets from horseplayers who used Nilsen’s sheet:

$10.80 winner Secret Oath

 

$170 exacta 5 times!

 

The Wizard – America’s Handicapper since 1986 – is now online for Preakness Day.  Wizard’s full package for Saturday at Pimlico available here

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – June 5

track announcer with binocularsFREE AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes from recent horse races, compliments of Agameofskill.com

PIMLICO

COMPLETED PASS (Race 12 @PIM, May 17, 2019).  The Robert Bone-owned runner has a bright, bright future.  The son of Pass Rush exited wickedly fast pace at Laurel and came back and won on the Black Eyed Susan’s card.  This 5yo could develop into one of the best turf sprinters in the land.

PLEASE FLATTER ME (Race 8 @PIM, May 17, 2019) – 3yo Munnings filly had no chance against the likes of Covfefe, who broke the track record in 1.07.70.  Look for this Mark Reid back in against softer company.  Can  sprint or route up to one mile.

CREATIVE ARTIST (Race 1 @PIM, May 18, 2019) – broke from tough outside post in turf debut, off the 6+ month layoff (trainer only 7%).  This was a first time gelding and he finished strong to be a close third in a competitive field. Can move forward back on turf.

HIP HOP (Race 4 @PIM, May 18, 2019) – 4yo Drosselmeyer filly loves the grass and ran big again on the Preakness undercard.   What won’t show in the Past Performance is that she spotted 16lbs to the winning 3yo.  I don’t care how far the race is; that’s significant.  Next start for this runner is her third of the year.

Have You Checked out our Handicapping 101 Articles?

No, Horse racing is not “yesterday’s sport” and Pimlico is worth saving

Bill Hamilton wrote an opinion piece in The Sun stating that any effort to revitalize Pimlico Racecourse (and the surrounding neighborhood) would be a “ridiculous” waste of time, money, effort and resources (“Pimlico: a dead horse,” Dec. 28). Mr. Hamilton suggests that us Baltimoreans are too fixated upon nostalgia and goes on to baselessly denigrate the Preakness as an event for people wearing silly hats, operated by “cheating trainers” who abuse horses for a living, glibly labeling the racing industry as “yesterday’s sport.”

As a horse owner, the suggestion by Mr. Hamilton that those of us in the sport are cheaters and abusers of the animals we care so much about is not only insulting, but absurd. Because it is clear that Mr. Hamilton is wholly ill-informed, and knows absolutely nothing about the industry or positive economic impact that the Preakness annually brings to our city, I thought it important to introduce some facts into the discussion.

A 2018 economic impact study generated by the American Horse Council determined that the Maryland horse industry added more than $1.3 billion to the state’s economy, with $572 million dollars being contributed by the racing industry. Moreover, the racing industry supports more than 5,200 jobs in our state. With regard to the Preakness, in a 2017 report, the Maryland Department of Commerce found that the Preakness weekend generated a nearly $40 million positive impact for our city. In addition to the undeniable economics, the publicity and prestige that goes along with hosting one of the top 10 sporting events in the nation every year is simply immeasurable.

“Off the Charts” Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – June 8, 2018

Belmont Park horse racingBELMONT PARK

MANGO M (Race 1 @BEL, 6/7/18) – returned off a layoff and was well meant in his turf debut for trainer Shug McGaughey.  He was making a winning move on the far turn when he got boxed in and shuffled around by Whiskey Run.  Ducked to the inside and tried to win the race up the rail, but meanwhile the winner got a clear run on the outside to easily grab the victory.  Son of Tale Of The Cat wins back at this level next time out.

GULFSTREAM PARK

MASCARPONE (Race 4 @GP, 6/7/18) – jockey Jilver Chamafi was asleep at the wheel aboard this turf horse who had a lot of ‘run.’  Made his move way too late, and in the process, got the runner into some trouble turning for home that cost him all chance for the victory.  Finished a sneaky good 2nd behind the 6/5 favorite in a race he could have won.

PIMLICO

FLASH ATTACK (Race 1 @PIM, 5/19/18) – this gelded son of Harlan’s Holiday has been very consistent since moving into the barn of trainer Michael Stidham.  In the opener on Preakness Day he closed well for third against an impossible early speed bias.  Can win back on a fair track, going short or long.

STILL HAVING FUN (Race 8 @PIM, 5/19/18) – this was another one that was up against trying to rally from off the pace but he did so en route to a solid 2nd place finish behind the heavy favorite. Son of Old Fashioned is really good at 1 mile or less.

TENFOLD (Race 13 @PIM, 5/19/18) – in only his fourth career start this guy ran a very good race in the G1 Preakness Stakes.  He rebounded off a poor showing last time out at Oaklawn Park to be beaten less than one length to Justify.  Son of Curlin has a bright future for barn that is masterful at managing careers.  He could play a major factor in the Belmont Stakes.

 

Championship Pimlico Meet Opens Today. Highlighted by Preakness Day

Join with promo code “AGOS” to get a custom rate schedule

Championship racing returns to Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore, Md., Thursday for the opening of its 12-day Preakness Meet at Pimlico, highlighted by the 143rd running of the $1.5 million, Grade 1 Preakness Stakes Saturday, May 19.

The Middle Jewel of the Triple Crown, the 1 3/16-mile Preakness anchors eight stakes on a 14-race card that includes the $250,000 Dixie (G2), $150,000 Gallorette Stakes (G3) and $150,000 Maryland Sprint (G3). Post time on Preakness Day is 10:30 a.m.

Justify, undefeated winner of the Kentucky Derby (G1) May 5, will attempt to give Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert his record-tying seventh victory in the Preakness. All four of Baffert’s previous Derby winners have gone on to win the Preakness, including 2015 Triple Crown champion American Pharoah.

The 94th running of the $250,000 Black-Eyed Susan (G2) for 3-year-old fillies is the focal point of a 14-race program on Friday, May 18, that offers seven stakes including the historic $300,000 Pimlico Special (G3), $150,000 Allaire DuPont Distaff (G3) and $150,000 Adena Springs Miss Preakness (G3). Post time is 11:30 a.m.

Racing will be conducted Thursday through Sunday with the exception of Sunday, May 20 (the day after the Preakness). The meet wraps up with a special Memorial Day program on Monday, May 28.

“We’re thrilled to get the Preakness Meet at Pimlico started Thursday,” said Sal Sinatra, president and general manager of the Maryland Jockey Club. “Pimlico is legendary, and the Preakness, Black-Eyed Susan and Pimlico Special are historic and significant events on the sporting calendar. The Stronach Group has done an incredible job improving the customer experience here with upgrades in food and beverage, a revamped infield layout that will connect Infield guests with the races, upgrades to the Preakness Village and Turfside Terrace and new Wi-Fi throughout the clubhouse and infield.

“Horsemen throughout North America are committed to providing world-class racing during the Preakness Meet at Pimlico, full fields, and great racing on the main track and turf course. We’re excited about what has become one of the best boutique race meets in the country.”

A field of seven 3-year-olds and up will go 1 1/16 miles over the turf course in a $23,000 claiming event to open Thursday’s nine-race program that begins at 1:10 p.m. Five races have been carded for the grass attracting 54 entries, an average of 10.8 per race.

Thursday’s feature comes in Race 5, a $47,000 third-level optional claiming allowance at 1 1/16 miles on the grass that drew multiple stakes winner O Dionysus and stakes-placed Grandiflora, Barney Rebel, Dattt Melody and Southside Warrior. Warrioroftheroses, third in the 2016 Pimlico Special, is entered for main track only.

Pimlico will also serve up a nine-race program Friday, May 11, that features five turf races that saw 68 horses entered, an average of 13.6 per race.

Hall of Fame jockey Edgar Prado enters the Pimlico meet on the verge of becoming only the eighth rider in Thoroughbred history to reach 7,000 career victories. A 24-time leading rider in Maryland from 1991-99, he stands at 6,997 and is named in two of nine races both Thursday and Friday.

Pimlico is once again offering bonus money totaling $100,000 to trainers who run a minimum of five horses in the 15 stakes races during Preakness weekend. The trainer with the most points will receive $50,000, second $25,000, third $12,000, fourth $7,000, fifth $4,000 and sixth $2,000.

Points are accumulated for finishing first (10 points), second (seven), third (five), fourth (three) and having a starter (one) in the Skipat, Miss Preakness, Allaire DuPont Distaff, Black-Eyed Susan, Pimlico Special, Hilltop, Jim McKay Turf Sprint, Maryland Sprint, LARC Sir Barton, Chick Lang, Preakness, Gallorette, James W. Murphy, Dixie and The Very One.

There will also be bonus money totaling $50,000 for trainers with the most points in non-stakes races during Preakness weekend. The points are accumulated in similar fashion with $25,000 going to the leader, $10,000 to second, $7,500 to third, $2,500 to fourth and $1,000 to fifth.

Pimlico will serve as the launching pad for the renewed Mid-Atlantic Thoroughbred Championship (MATCH) Series, an assortment of 25 races at tracks in Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey and Pennsylvania which originally debuted in 1997 and ran for five years.

The Maryland Sprint and Skipat, the latter for fillies and mares, open the dirt sprint division of the MATCH Series on May 18 and 19, respectively. The turf sprint division is kicked off with the Jim McKay Turf Sprint May 18 and The Very One for females May 19.

Seven guaranteed multi-race wagering pools will be offered over Preakness weekend.

On Friday, May 18 the Late Pick 5 (Races 7-11), offering an industry-low 12 percent takeout, and Pick 4 wagers covering Races 8-11 and 11-14 will each be guaranteed at $300,000.

On Preakness Day there will be guaranteed pools of $2 million in the Pick covering Races 10-13, $1 million in the Late Pick 5 (Races 9-13), $500,000 in the Pick 4 spanning Races 6-9 and $250,000 in the early Pick 5 (Races 2-6).

Preakness Week at Pimlico offers several events including Sunrise at Old Hilltop, where fans can have breakfast trackside while watching horses go through their morning exercise Tuesday, May 15 through Friday, May 18; the traditional Alibi Breakfast on Thursday, May 17; and Budweiser InfieldFest, one of the country’s most eclectic outdoor music festivals.

Headlining this year’s InfieldFest on Preakness Day are Post Malone, 21 Savage and Odesza on the event’s new 65-foot mega-stage designed to give attendees a view of the live racing. Also scheduled to perform are DJs Vice and Frank Walker. Additional information can be found at www.preakness.com.

Source: Press Release

Is Horse Racing Dead? Preakness Breaks Handle and Attendance Records

The Pimlico crowd of 140,327 on hand to see Cloud Computing win the 2017 Preakness Stakes broke last year’s record of 135,256. Total handle on the 14-race program was $97,168,658, an increase of 3% over the previous record of $94,127,434 and a 14% increase over 2015 wagering.

The Maryland Jockey Club also announced that in-state handle was up 7.1% from last year and 10.4% from 2015.

“From morning into evening, we witnessed an incredible day of world-class racing and eclectic entertainment,” said Sal Sinatra, President of the Maryland Jockey Club. “The sport of Thoroughbred racing is being rejuvenated and reimagined by the Stronach family. Their commitment to this sport is remarkable and unparalleled. Their vision is being embraced by horsemen and fans around the country.”

Exaggerator: Trips to Pimlico remind Jockey Kent Desormeaux …

jockey riding a horse race Of His Untouchable Prime

The memories are clear, unvarnished over more than three decades and thousands of victories. Each time Kent Desormeaux returns to Maryland, as he will this week for the 141st Preakness Stakes on Saturday at Pimlico Race Course, there’s a good chance someone will remind him about something he did in his early years as a teenage… [Read more…]

Nyquist takes first jog at Pimlico

Preakness 2016PREAKNESS 2016
 Kentucky Derby champion Nyquist took his first steps on the track at Pimlico Race Course just after 8:30 a.m. EDT Wednesday, exhibiting the composure that has carried him to the top of his 3-year-old class.
Assistant trainer Jack Sisterson said everything has gone according to plan in Nyquist’s preparations for the May 21 Preakness. The bay… [Read more…]