Two Races In and We Have a Winning Pattern at Keeneland

SAILORS PASTTIIME scored a mild upset at odds of 6-1 in the 2nd race at Keeneland, opening day on Friday. Trained by J. Michael Rogers, this winner fit a similar pattern to his winner last fall in Lexington, based on “Keeneland Winning Trainer Patterns – 2012 fall meet edition”:

Rogers, Michael (2)

Back in 27 days, Shipper from PID, work 6 days prior to race day @KEE, same. TF=11. Odds: 4.50. Owner: Daniel Feiss. Jockey: Baird, E.T. (Day 6) F/11

SAILORS PASTTIIME was shipping in from Presque Isle, off a 21 day rest and taking a nice drop in class from allowance to starter allowance. She had 11 furlongs in works/races over the past 30 days, and she had a work 6 days prior to the race, just like last year. Whereas Rogers’ winner paid $11 for every $2 bet, this six-year-old mare returned a very nice $14.20. [I had the $49.80 exacta over the horse to beat who ran second in this race].

Learn more about Art Parker’s unique trainer guide here.

UPDATE! Trainer David Carroll scores with 38-1 shot, a debut winner easily uncovered with the insight of this one-of-a-kind book.

Carroll, David (4)

L-1, Shipper from AP, Turf-to-Main, last 3 works 7-14 days apart, short, long, long @CD, last 6 days prior to race day. TF=14. Odds: 23.80. Owner: Alexander & Groves. Jockey: Garcia, A. (Day 3) F/10

Debut, 2YO, 4 works, 2 gate,7-14 days apart, last 4 days prior @CD. TF=16. Odds: 4.40. Owner: David Randal. Jockey: Lanerie, C. (Day 6) F/11

Debut, 2YO, last 4 works all long except last@ CD, 7 days apart, 2 gate works, last slow 3 days prior to race day. TF=23. Odds: 15.10. Owner: Paul Morsches. Jockey: Farina, T. (Day 14) F/10

D-2, Shipper from HOO, Back in 32 days, works 6 days apart, last hot 8 days prior to race day @ Cdt, same. TF=8. Odds: 13.00. Owner: David Randall. Jockey: Lanerie, C. (Day 13) F/11

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About Editor

Rich Nilsen is a 19-time qualifier to the National Horseplayers Championship (NHC), an event he has cashed in four times. He was the first player to finish in the top 10 of the NHC twice. A former executive with and a member of the NHC Players’ Committee, Rich is a graduate of the University of Louisville Equine Business Program and is founder of, a site devoted to horse racing education and promotion.

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