Here on AGameofSkill.com we partner with Wynn Las Vegas to provide the future book odds for premier horse racing events such as the Kentucky Derby, Triple Crown and the Breeders’ Cup World Thoroughbred Championships. I know of several sharp horseplayers who made a nice score by tabbing I’ll Have Another as the potential winner of Kentucky Derby 138 some months ago by placing future book wagers down at triple-digit odds.
Since we keep an archive of the Wynn Las Vegas Future Book odds, I figured it would be interesting to track the drop in price on this horse from earlier this year up until mid-April and then, of course, race day itself.
2012 Kentucky Derby future book odds courtesy of Wynn Las Vegas — October 24, 2011
I’ll Have Another listed at 200-1
Kentucky Derby 2012 Future book odds – as Nov. 28, 2011
I’ll Have Another still listed at 200-1
Kentucky Derby 2012 Future book odds – as Jan. 3, 2012
I’ll Have Another drops to 150-1
Kentucky Derby 2012 Future book odds – as Feb. 8, 2012
I’ll Have Another drops sharply to 65-1 after upsetting the G3 Robert B. Lewis Stakes.
Kentucky Derby 2012 Future book odds – as Feb. 28, 2012
I’ll Have Another drops sharply to 30-1
Kentucky Derby 2012 Future book odds – as March 27, 2012
I’ll Have Another remains steady at 28-1
Kentucky Derby 2012 Future book odds – as April 9, 2012
I’ll Have Another wins Santa Anita Derby on April 7th and drops to 14-1
Kentucky Derby 2012 Future book odds – as April 17, 2012
I’ll Have Another actually rises to 16-1 after a huge weekend of racing
Kentucky Derby 2012 Future book odds – as April 23, 2012
I’ll Have Another drops back down to 14-1
Actual Post Time odds on Kentucky Derby 138, May 5, 2012
I’ll Have Another wins at odds of 15.30-1, returning $32.60 for every $2 bet to win.
Clearly the “sweet spot” for this horse, and no doubt many future book winners others over the years, was in the months of December and January. That is when the big score could have been made, and it was for some shrewd horseplayers.
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