AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – Aug. 9, 2018

Horses to watch for AGOS visitors.  Put these runners in your Stable Alert service.

ELLIS PARK

BORDINI (Race 7 @ELP, 8/5/18) – live runner from the Amoss barn raced inside of traffic and then got shuffled back to last behind not one but two walls of horses.  Swept to the far outside, which is not where you want to be at Ellis, and unleash a good late run for a sneaky good effort.

SARATOGA

OUR GIRL ABBY (Race 5 @SAR, 7/21/18) – made a wide move turning for home to engage the gate-to-wire winner in deep stretch. Exchanged bumps with that filly and lost the bob in a solid performance.  This was her first start since March and her first for her new barn, who raised her confidently in class.

PUTTHEGLASSDOWN (Race 5 @SAR, 7/21/18) – broke from the rail in her debut at the Spa for Englehart.   Settled in 8th before making a nice run to get up for the place spot behind the winning Asmussen favorite.  The PA-bred daughter of Violence is out of a stakes winning mare.

PICTURE DAY (Race 3 @SAR, 7/26/18) – Linda Rice runner loves to win and she was one of the few that closed against the bias in the slop on this Thursday afternoon.  A stakes winner, this Include mare is tough in the optional claiming sprints.

TRINNI NINJA (Race 10 @SAR, 7/27/18) – Daughter of Trinniberg was one of the few to close against the bias on this day.  She is in good form and might be able to break through for low percentage connections next time out at the state-bred maiden $25,000 (or lower) level.  Demand some value.

CATORIA (Race 5 @SAR 8/1/18) – Wildcat Heir filly outran other speed in this race and took this field gate to wire, beating the heavy favorite at 23-1 for Mike Dini.  She is out of a Meadowlake mare and will be dangerous at 6 1/2 or under.

BROCKMONINOFF (Race 3 @SAR 8/1/18) – George Weaver runner was bet down on the drop in class despite his first race since last October.  Suffered some trouble in this race and came up a little short.  Barn is only 12% off  layoffs and this NY bred should move forward next time out.  Can dirt or turf.

LIGHT THE POSSE (Race 2 @SAR 8/2/18) – Betting favorite was making his second career start off a good 2nd in debut and adding Lasix.  The son of Posse ended up hurt badly by a modest pace set by the eventual gate to wire winner.  Can score at this level next time out.

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – July 26, 2018

DEL MAR

OPUS WON (Race 4 at DMR, 7/18/18) – first time starter from barn that only wins 7% with debut runners also broke from a tough outside post.  Rated off the pace and when moved into the top of the stretch and the rider Flavin Prat asked her, she exploded in the final furlong, finishing willingly on her own and just missing 2nd.  Cal-bred daughter of Eddington has talent.  She’s a half to two winners including a nice stakes winner.

FINGER LAKES

SHAKESPERIAN DREAM (Race 8 at FL, 7/18/18) – this veteran mare was set to run a big race but lost all chance behind as slow a pace as you’ll ever see.  No match for the odds-on favorite who won but rallied gamely to be in a photo for 2nd after having to alter course around that rival.

LOUISIANA DOWNS

CULP’S HILL (Race 4 @LAD, 7/16/18) – gelded son of Eddington was the controlling speed on the drop to the $5,000 level and he ran a winning race, finishing 2nd to another dropper from the red hot Broberg barn.  This LA-bred four year old loves the grass, and I wouldn’t mind seeing the blinkers removed on this speedy runner.

THISTLEDOWN

I’M IN A HURRY (Race 7 at TDN, 7/18/18) – odds on favorite returning off a layoff suffered a terrible trip.  He was stuck inside of horses on the backstretch and had no where to go behind a trio of runners turning for home.  Jock decided he wouldn’t take chances going between runners and he wrapped up on him in the final 1/8th.  Should bounce back in a big way with that race under his belt and get his 18th career win.

“Off the Charts” Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – June 29, 2018

Put these free horses to watch in your Stable Alert or Virtual Stable Mail

Belmont Park

TAKE CHARGE AUDREY (Race 6 @BEL, 6/15/18) – this New York bred filly was making her third lifetime start for trainer Bruce Levine and her first start going long. Into the far turn she navigated her way through traffic to sit a close fourth behind a trio of runners, while she waited for room.  Once a hole opened up on the inside, she exploded under David Cohen and drew off to a devastating 9-length score.  Could have a bright future for Levine and Glencrest Farm.

Churchill Downs

DIVISIDERO (race 6 @Cd, 6/16/18) – Churchill Downs horse for the turf course suffered a brutal trip en route to a sneaky good 4th place finish in the $200k Wise Dan Stakes.  Javier Toledo gave an amateurish ride as he had him in all sorts of trouble before finally getting clear about 100 yards from the winner.  Came flying late to just miss 2nd and 3rd.   Wins back at Churchill, where almost all his wins are, with a new rider.

“Off the Charts” Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – June 8, 2018

Belmont Park horse racingBELMONT PARK

MANGO M (Race 1 @BEL, 6/7/18) – returned off a layoff and was well meant in his turf debut for trainer Shug McGaughey.  He was making a winning move on the far turn when he got boxed in and shuffled around by Whiskey Run.  Ducked to the inside and tried to win the race up the rail, but meanwhile the winner got a clear run on the outside to easily grab the victory.  Son of Tale Of The Cat wins back at this level next time out.

GULFSTREAM PARK

MASCARPONE (Race 4 @GP, 6/7/18) – jockey Jilver Chamafi was asleep at the wheel aboard this turf horse who had a lot of ‘run.’  Made his move way too late, and in the process, got the runner into some trouble turning for home that cost him all chance for the victory.  Finished a sneaky good 2nd behind the 6/5 favorite in a race he could have won.

PIMLICO

FLASH ATTACK (Race 1 @PIM, 5/19/18) – this gelded son of Harlan’s Holiday has been very consistent since moving into the barn of trainer Michael Stidham.  In the opener on Preakness Day he closed well for third against an impossible early speed bias.  Can win back on a fair track, going short or long.

STILL HAVING FUN (Race 8 @PIM, 5/19/18) – this was another one that was up against trying to rally from off the pace but he did so en route to a solid 2nd place finish behind the heavy favorite. Son of Old Fashioned is really good at 1 mile or less.

TENFOLD (Race 13 @PIM, 5/19/18) – in only his fourth career start this guy ran a very good race in the G1 Preakness Stakes.  He rebounded off a poor showing last time out at Oaklawn Park to be beaten less than one length to Justify.  Son of Curlin has a bright future for barn that is masterful at managing careers.  He could play a major factor in the Belmont Stakes.

 

“Off the Charts” Horses to Watch and Trip Notes – April 29, 2018

track announcer with binocularsGULFSTREAM PARK

OPTIMISTIC SHOT (Race 5 at GP, 4/20/18) – Trappe Shot made a nice run at the winner who got away with a slow pace in this 7 furlong sprint. Never gave up en route to a solid 2nd place finish for a high percentage barn.  This was a winning effort.

KEENELAND

SPIKES SHIRL  (Race 8 at KEE, 4/12/18) – Dallas Stewart runner appreciated the return to sprinting and getting the blinkers back on. The daughter of Speightstown unleashed a powerful late run to score the 11-1 upset in this entry level allowance race.  She’s best sprinting.

OAKLAWN PARK

CITY OF LIGHT (Race 10 at OP, 4/14/18) – this four year old son of Quality Road is probably the best miler in the country but he had little trouble stretching out to 9 furlongs in taking the G2 Oaklawn Handicap.  Post 11 and first start outside of California was no problem for the Mike McCarthy runner.

MAGNUM MOON (Race 11 at OP, 4/14/18) – The G1 Arkansas Derby winner was most impressive.  He faced pressure throughout, put away a solid horse in Quip (who did re-rally) and drew off in the stretch.   The drifting out is little concern to me.  Undefeated Malibu Moon runner will attempt to break the ‘Apollo curse’ in Kentucky Derby 144.

“Off the Charts” Horses to Watch and Trip Notes – April 21, 2018

Tampa Paddock

Up close and personal at Tampa Bay Downs paddock. Copyright AGOS

GULFSTREAM PARK

VIOLENT WAVE (Race 5 at GP, 4/6/18) – 3yo daughter of Violence closed willingly and sneaky good to just miss 2nd in a race won by the favorite.  Trainer Kathy Ritvo never has her firsters cranked up to win in their debut (5% win rate) so this was a very noteworthy effort by the well-bred filly.  Displayed some talent in the mornings, as well.

KEENELAND

ELECTRIC  FOREST (Race 3 at KEE, 4/7/18) – well bred firster was bet down to 5/2.  She broke slowly from the outside post and raced wide on the backstretch.  That didn’t stop this daughter of Curlin from continuing on in the lane and running down a frontrunner who had a great trip.  Big future ahead.

ANALYZE IT (Race 9 at KEE, 4/6/18) – what a surprise.  Trainer Chad Brown has another superstar turf horse in the making.  This 3yo son of Point Of Entry made easy work of a very good Grade 3 stakes field in his comeback race.  He has now won all three career starts by open lengths.  Total beast.

WHEATFIELD (Race 8 at KEE, 4/6/18) – this six year old mare was well meant on the drop in class and shipping in from Fair Grounds.  Jockey Luis Saez didn’t anticipate the trouble this one would encounter down the lane.  She was badly shut off and lost all chance at the 1/8th pole.  Needs pace to close into but she can rebound in the right spot.  She’s best at 6 furlongs and against non-graded stakes or allowance company.

ALMITHMAAR (Race 7 at KEE, 4/6/18)  – gelded son of Tapit for trainer Kiaran McLaughlin ran a bang-up race second time out and appears to have a bright future for Shadwell Stables.  Wouldn’t be surprised to see this guy in stakes company in the future.

DANCELAND (Race 8 at KEE, 4/11/18) – sneaky terrible trip on this layoff returnee for trainer Shug McGaughey.  This daughter of Tapit had “run” but was never given a chance to get into the clear and unleash her finish.  A winner last summer at Saratoga, she ended up well beaten in an effort that can be easily excused.  Moves forward second start back.

LADY APPLE (Race 2 at KEE, 4/12/18) – 2yo daughter of star Curlin, out of a Clever Trick stakes placed mare, ran a winning race but was second best behind the well-meant Wesley Ward firster Dragic.  Great pedigree and solid barn.  Should be very tough in second career start, pretty much anywhere.

 

“Off the Charts” Horses to Watch and Trip Notes – April 4, 2018

track announcer with binocularsGULFSTREAM PARK

MISS DEPLORABLE (Race 1 at GP, 3/21/18)  second off the layoff and first time of the turf runner was badly blocked from inside trip while turning for home in this 5 furlong turf sprint. When she finally got clear, she absolutely flew home to just miss.  Galloped out past the fortunate winner.

HOFBURG (Race 14 at GP, 3/31/18) – the Bill Mott trainee got the pace he needed and made a menacingly late move to finish a clear second to Audible in the G1 Florida Derby.  The winner came out on him slightly in mid-stretch, causing him to alter course.  Either way, he wasn’t going to get to Audible. This was only his third career start and the three year old Kentucky Derby hopeful is bred to run all day.  He’ll relish the long stretch in Louisville, Kentucky.

PARX

MR. BRIX (Race 9 at Parx, 3/19/18) – figured to get a perfect set up closing from off the pace in a race loaded with early speed. That is exactly what was happening until one of the horses in a three-way duel fell and caused all sorts of trouble for the runners behind him.  One of those was Mr. Brix who was taken way wide turning for home.  Remarkably, he finished very strong for the place spot.  Can win back in the right spot and with better luck.

Update: Sadly this was the race that was marred by the tragic spill involving veteran jockey Jose Luis Flores.  Please pray for his family and friends.

SUNLAND PARK

LAVISHLEIGH WILD (Race 7 at SUN, 3/27/18) – tough trip for this 2-1 shot in New Mexico in a state-bred for non winners of two races lifetime.  Was stuck racing inside, shuffled way back on the far turn.  He then came flying home up the inside like a real pro and just missed on the wire.

AGOS Horses to Watch – Aug. 27, 2017

Horses to Watch for AGOS (AGameofSkill.com) visitors

Belterra Park

8/18/17

Race #1 – Claiming – 5f on the main – #8 – Scotch is My Candy

#8 – Scotch is My Candy = Carson Sullivan in the irons for John Alexander Ortiz (22%). This daughter of Sidney’s candy was shipping in from Indiana Grand. She was taking a huge plunge in class and the barn is 9/9 ITM at the meet. She was off slow at the start and was forced to rush up quickly making a strong bid this day. The barn is solid and she’ll get it together next out.

Race #6 – O.C. $25,000 – 1 mile on the turf – #9 – In the Shoes

#9 – In the Shoes = Very solid gal coming off a win at BtP, and trainer Donna Taylor is winning (30%) at the meet. This daughter of Congrats ran into a little trouble during the race and was forced to check twice into the far turn and fanned six wide. After all the activity, rider Dick Cardenas got her rolling late and made a powerful late bid to be a bridesmaid this day. A little bit of racing luck and she’ll be getting a trip to the winner’s circle.

 

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Saratoga

8/19/17

Race #5 – Mdn Sp Wt – 6f – #6 – Variant Perception

#6 – Variant Perception = This was a 1st-time starter by Curlin for the Chad Brown barn. His dam Mystery Trip has 5 winners from 5 starters and came in off some good works. – He broke in the air prior to the start and brushed leaving the starting gate.  Brown will have him ready for the races next up and wins at a solid clip 2nd trip out.

Race #6 – Alw $85,000 – 1 1/8 on the main – #5 – Hookup

#5 – Hookup = Manny Franco in the saddle and this son of Union Rags has been away from the races for 8 months. – He was knocked around the start and was taken out of stride. After being forced into another, Franco picked up the action and made a solid bid finishing up to be third this day.

Race #9 – G1 Alabama Stakes – 1 1/4 on the main – #1 – New Money Honey

#1 – New Money Honey = This was her first time on the dirt and has been a turf monster. She was looking three-in-a-row and her 3rd off the shelf. – Javier Castellano in the irons and Chad Brown the conditioner (33%). She was in tracking mode and forced to steady and tap on the breaks at the 1/4 pole weakening down the lane.

Saratoga

8/20/17

Race #5 – Mdn Sp Wt – 1 1/16 on the turf – #5 – Lemoona

#5 – Lemoona = Two-yr-old filly by Lemon Drop Kid, and she has the breeding that suggests she’ll relish the turf. – She was sandwiched and slammed leaving the starting gate. Junior Alvarado did a great job-saving ground and was forced to sweep 5 wide at the 1/4 pole making a late bid for 2nd money.

Race  #9 – $100,000 Summer Colony – 1 1/8 on the main – #4 – Romantic Vision

#4 – Romantic Vision = Javier Castellano in the saddle for Rusty Arnold. She’s been away from the races for 60 days since Churchill Downs and had a couple of works over the deep Oklahoma training track. This was not her day at all as she stumbled badly at the start, took up and bumped. After all this action she never regained her momentum and called it a day. Look for her to return at this level of the upper stratosphere of the allowance ranks.

 

AGOS Horses to Watch – Feb. 21, 2017

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes and Horses to Watch for AGameofSkill.com visitors.  Put some or all of these runners in your Stable Alert account.

Tampa Bay Downs

2/11/17

Sam F. Davis Stakes – Tapwrit – 1 1/16 miles dirt

Up and coming three year old colt raced inside and then, just when about to make a move, he got blocked by favorite McCracken’s winning move. Altered course in the stretch and finished well, actually galloping out past the winner in track record time.

 

Gulfstream Park

1/28/17

Race #3 – Genre – 7f dirt

John Velasquez in the saddle for Todd Pletcher as they brought a daughter of Bernardini to post. 2nd start off the shelf and was cutting back from the one mile distance. She stumbled at the start and was carried out wide down the backstretch. She got her action back and made a strong late rally to settle as the bridesmaid this day.

Race #5 – Madefromlucky – 1 1/8 dirt

Javier Castellano in the irons for Todd Pletcher and they were making his second start off an 8 month layoff. He was travelling wide down the backstretch and at the 5/16th’s he clipped heels losing all action. Jockey Castellano helped him rebound and displayed a quick turn of foot down the lane finishing 3rd.

Race #8 – Blind Ambition – 7f dirt

This son of Tapit was a first time starter from the Pletcher barn. John Velasquez had the call and owned a solid clip of morning works at Palm Beach Downs. He was sent off the odds-on favorite and stumbled badly leaving the starting gate. No worries here as Team Pletcher owns a solid record with second effort runners.

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Race #9 – #3 – Long on Value – 5f on the turf

Joel Rosario in the driver’s seat for Bill Mott. He was making his first start in two months and was far back in the field. He unleashed a furious rally late in the lane getting bested a 1/2 length. There are good things to come from the Bill Mott barn.

Race #11 – Sadler’s Joy – 1 1/2 on the turf

Julien Leparoux for Thom Albertrani. This son of top turf stallion Kitten’s Joy had been off for two months and was forced three wide gaining rapidly. He was under a full head of steam and was beaten a head for the whole prize. This turfer needs a play right back for the winning score!

Pegasus World Cup – Shaman’s Ghost – 1 1/8 dirt

The $12 million dollar Pegasus World Cup focused on the battle between Arrogate and California Chrome. The race did not disappoint with a strong effort by the winner and offered up some runners for future races. Jose Ortiz was aboard for James Jerkins and Ortiz ran a winner’s race but caught a real monster with Arrogate. Give him a little class relief taking on anyone but Arrogate, and we’ll have another runner who’ll have a strong 2017 campaign.

Aqueduct

1/21/17

Race #4 – Carthon – 1 mile on the inner track

Antonio Gallardo was the rider, and this was the first time his mount had blinkers. Trainer Gary Sciacca may have been looking for some changes as he switched riders and made an equipment change. He was stretching out in distance and broke awkward fighting his rider down the backstretch. This colt is on target to reward his backers and get his diploma at a price.

Turfway Park

1/21/17

Race #6 – #12 – Hollywood Talent – 6 1/2f on the AW

Presque Isle invader shipped in on a cutback in distance. This was his first start in 7 months and top jock Albin Jimenez was in the irons. This was the Forego Stakes, and a good payday was on the table. Down the lane he was closing in high gear and was bumped soundly twice by eventual winner Crewman. There were three objections and still no change to the order of finish. Rule this race to bad luck, and he’ll reward his backers at a handsome price as he was 19-1 this day and just missed.

Race #7 – #5 – Miss O’Meara – 6f on the AW

Perry Ouzts in the drivers seat and just missed last time out. Ouzts was in perfect position against the rail down the backstretch and was forced to steady sharply. He shifted out four wide and came up a little shy. Come right back with this gal and she’ll make amends.

AGOS Horses to Watch – Jan. 12, 2017

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes for AGameofSkill.com visitors.  A free horses to watch list

Aqueduct

12/17/16

Race #4 – Proud Lily – 6f dirt

First time starter and she brushed the starting gate at the break and was forced to rush up. Once the rider got her settled, she put in a game effort finishing a solid 4th. She’ll benefit from this race for future trips to the paddock.

Race #7 – Sir Alfred – 6f dirt

Jose Ortiz had his bumped around at the start and he rushed him up to grab a short lead. Ortiz settled him nicely, and he finished an honest 4th this day. – Good things are coming for this runner from the Todd Pletcher barn.

Tampa Bay Downs

12/16/16

Race #2 – High Pitch – 1 1/16 dirt

This filly shipped in from Presque Isle and stumbled badly at the start and was forced to take up off heels. She was heavily backed at the windows and sometimes it takes two efforts off of the synthetic to get acclimated to the dirt.

Race #7 – Dreamup – 1 mile and 40 yards

This daughter of Bernardini shipped in from Keeneland for the Eoin Harty barn. – Paco Lopez was on cruise control winning by 5 lengths and looked to have plenty in the tank. – Right back off the impressive win she deserves a playback at the windows.

 

Gulfstream Park

12/16/16

Race #1 – Eklipsado – 1 mile dirt

This runner jumped right to the lead and duked it out down the backstreet. He bumped his rival and  was DQ’ed from the win and placed second. Edgard Zayas was aboard and I love to play back a winner who was disqualified. They know how to win and I see the next effort firing right back.

Race #5 – Golden Point – 1 1/16 turf

Shipper from Churchill who was a beaten favorite this day. The hot hand of Antonio Gallardo was forced to go five wide and still managed a quick finish for the show spot this day. – Be on the look out for this runner as he’ll be sure to give you plenty to cheer about.

Race #7 – Break Away – 7 1/2f turf

Paco Lopez had his filly stalking down the backstretch when she clipped heels with another runner and lost the rider. She was backed heavily at the windows and she’ll be looking for payback next time out.

Turfway Park

1/1/17

Race #1 –Rocco Solid – 1 mile on the AW

Susan Anderson trainee was restless in the gate and broke poorly. He made up a heap of ground around the far turn and was bested by a nose in the shadow of the wire. – Just a clean trip for this guy and you’ll see something special down the lane.

Race #2 – Devil Alert – 6 1/2f on the AW

John McKee in the irons for Dan O’Hallaron. They shipped in from Fairmount Park and this mare was flat out rolling in the final stages of the race. The pace was pretty hot for this level and the next time you see her in the entries bet with both hands.

Race #4 – Que Hansen – 1 mile on the AW

Albin Jimenez aboard for Mike Maker and she did everything perfect except get beat by a nose at the wire. She was sent off the odds-on chalk for Dr. Kendall Hansen, and it looks like he is getting ready to have a great year with some talented runners in his barn.

Race #5 –  Fancy is My Name – 5f on the AW

Ten pound apprentice Shelbi Kurtz broke well and settled in nicely along the rail. Once she saw her mount didn’t have the speed to set the pace, she dropped over to the rail and tried to respond for minor awards. – Both horse and rider need a playback off this race, and keep your eyes peeled for this young and up and coming rider. She’s gonna’ do just fine and when she gets a leg up from her grandpa trainer Rick Jordan they

Turfway Park

12/31/16

Race #1 – Perfect Passion – 5f on the AW

Churchill shipper for Mike Maker was sent off the odds-on favorite, and she was circling 6 wide on the final turn showing good interest down the lane. She’ll mature nicely and Maker will have her ready to roll next up. – She is a three-year-old now, and I’m looking for good things to come from the red-hot Maker barn.

Race #8 – Belvin – 1 mile on the AW

Thom Drury runner had the services of Albin Jimenez back from Tampa Bay Downs for the winter. They broke from the outside post and this may not have worked to their favor. The Drury barn is known for getting a runner ready off an average effort and this one fits the bill perfectly. Finishing 4th going five wide into the final turn, and coming up short looks like a race to build on.

are looking for her first win picture. From two mounts she has a solid third place finish to her credit.