AGOS Horses to Watch – Aug. 10, 2016

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes

Horses to Watch

You’ll want to keep your eyes peeled for some runners who didn’t get the kindest trips. Just follow them right back, and a big payday could be just around the corner.

track announcer with binoculars

Ed Meyer is the track announcer at Belterra

Belterra Park

Pepite (BTP Race #4, 8/7/16 – #1 – – 1 1/16 on the turf) – Fresh off the claim for “Chip” Brownfield, and for a turf course that plays kind to speed. This son of Pulpit was fanned eight wide at the top of the short stretch and got up in the shadow of the wire. They haven’t gotten to the bottom of this guy yet, and he looks like a turf runner that has the ability to move up in class. – For what its worth. The same winning connections claimed Aesop from the race who had a bad day and turned in a lackluster performance. His barn is on a mission and after talking with him last night there might be some more claims to come.

Saratoga

Brooklyn Bobby (SAR 8/6/16 Race #1 – #1 ,  1 1/16 turf) – This son of super horse Frankel shied inward at the start and was checked up sharply. Good works and great connections with Joel Rosario and Brian Lynch have us looking forward. The well-bred two-year-old has the makings of something very good as his sire wins 64% with his first time turfers. We’ll toss this one and file it under being a youngster.  This guy has something special and needs to be followed right back.

Sport (SAR Race #5 – #5,  1 1/16 on the turf) – jockey Irad Ortiz in the irons with a freshened son of Hard Spun. He had been away from the races for 55 days and has solid works to signal his readiness. He bumped around leaving the gate and stuck behind a wall of horses under a hammer-lock waiting for room. He was full of run and had no place to go. He has the look of a runner who may wheel right back and score.

Comfort (SAR Race #10 – #2 – Comfort – (G-1) Whitney – 1 1/8) – Johnny V and Pletcher brought this son of Indian Charlie to the paddock. He was facing a monster in Frosted but what he showed gives me great hope moving forward. He checked leaving the starting gate and while in the two path he showed great late acceleration. Maybe facing anyone but Frosted would be a blessing or could he be that upset runner in the wings ?  Time will tell and he’ll give em’ fits next with a clean trip.

Anchor Down (SAR 7/30/16 – Race #9 – #1 – 6f on the dirt) – Jose Ortiz had the call for Todd Pletcher and was coming off a 49 day layoff and turning back from a string of mile of races to go six panels. Now he has two starts with two ITM finishes at this distance, but this race looked like they have something in mind later in the season. – He was bumped soundly at the start and just mailed it in from there. – I can’t wait to him return to the races as his works were strong coming in and a little bad luck dampened his day.

King of Spades (SAR 7/28/16 – Race #6 – #9 – 1 mile turf) – Florent Geroux was far  back with slow fractions. He came rolling late in the lane to catch the eyes of handicappers far and wide. Fresh off a maiden win and maybe a little more ground could be in his future. Either way, if he finds a way to stay in contact with the field he may be one to get some good payback.

El Talento (SAR 7/30/16 – Race #1 – #3 – 5 1/2f turf) = Johnny V aboard this first timer for the Pletcher barn and was bumped at the gate break and stalked just off close to the leaders. Once the rider settled his mount he had to check off heels at the 3/16 th’s pole and  still managed a solid effort for third money.

Mountaineer

Moonshine Promise (MNR 8/6/16, Race  #1 – #8 – 6f on the main track)  – DeShawn Parker had the Cleveland invader in the catbird seat and rated well. He fanned out six wide making a late bid and his late turn of foot is what caught my eye.  He may pop up at Thistledown, or right back Mountaineer. I’m looking for a mid-range stake that will have him in the right place ready to roll.

 

 

Monmouth

Birdatthewire (MTH 7/31/16 – Race #10 – #6 – 1 1/16 dirt) –  Victor Lebron had the call and hesitated strongly going into the starting gate. This was her second start off a brief layoff and all systems looked go. Maybe she didn’t favor the track as it was her first effort over the slop. She exited a beaten favorite in the (G-1) Princess Rooney, and the drop in class had heavily backed at the windows. Give her a fast strip and the outcome may be a whole new game.

Sunny Ridge (MTH 7/31/16 – Race #12 – #2 – 1 1/8 on the dirt) –  Nik Juarez had the call in the Haskell Stakes and his mount was 2/2 with wins over the course. He also owned two nice second place finishes on a soft track. Go back and really watch the race closely. He may not have beaten the fast closing Exaggerator on his favorite type of track,  but he was behind a wall of horses at the top of the lane with no place to go. Once they squared away for the stretch the drive the tempo quickened and he had angle out and found late energy to finish a game third.  Maybe this level was a notch above his liking,  but play this one back with full confidence if he finds himself in a (G-2) or (G-3) effort. Go back to the Delta Jackpot and you see him rolling late in the lane getting beat by Exaggerator.

AGOS Horses to Watch – 5/18/16

Off the Charts Horses to Watch for AGameofSkill.com Visitors

As we approach the second jewel of the Triple Crown, we begin the process of reading about the horses. There is no better time to be a horse racing fan, and this time of year has me chomping at the bit.  Try not to get locked down in superstitious beliefs this week.  You know, the tight turns of Pimlico. The short stretch, and a bevy of others that cloud our vision and get in the way of our handicapping. While you’re trying to hold back your enthusiasm, here are a few runners you can keep your eyes peeled. They deserve a good look before heading to post, and that problem trip last out can be a bumper payday next trip.

Belmont

In Condition (5/12/16 – BEL Race #3 – #1 – 6f dirt) –  Manny Franco in the irons for Alan Goldberg, and his runner was stuck in the starting gate and declared a non-starter in this event as he just broke his mdn at Aqueduct last out. He shows plenty of early speed in his past performances, and you can toss this one to the wind. He’ll come out guns blazing next time to the races.

Spearhead (5/11/16 – Race #5 – #2 – 6f turf) –  Cornelio Velasquez aboard for Jeffrey Engelhardt, and they flat out ran a huge race. – 2nd time off the shelf and good works over the Finger Lakes oval prepared this runner nicely. He ran nip and tuck all the way down the stretch to get bested by a nose from the (1-2) shot from the Mike Maker barn.

Indulgent (5/11/16 – Race #6 – #2 – 6f dirt) – top jock Irad Ortiz in the saddle for Kiaran McLaughlin, and she was sent off the (3-5) chalk in this maiden affair. She hopped at the start erasing all chances, and once she settled in and made a big charge for minor awards she encountered a log jam of traffic. You can bet dollars to donuts the barn will correct these butterflies before the gate break, and she’ll be a handful next time to the races.

Indiana Grand

Envoyer (5/11/16 – Race #4 – #8 – 4 1/2f dirt) –  Ricardo Santana for Steve Asmussen is usually money in the bank over the Indy strip, but was bested to be second this trip. He had all of the public backing at (1-5) and horses can toss in a clunker. It doesn’t take much for short mdn sprinter to get off path going 4 1/2f, and you’ll probably need to use in multi-race exotics to find your best value next out.

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Gulfstream Park

Conquest Artura (5/12/16 – GP Race #4 – #1 – 1 1/16 turf) –  Tyler Gafflione for Mark Casse and he was “all dressed up and no place to go” along the rail and blocked badly. Once the rider shifted out late and was forced to circle wide just to get a slice of minor awards. – A little better trip has the connections getting their picture taken in the winner’s circle next out.