Do These Two Things Every Day at Saratoga

Saratoga backsideSaratoga, aka The Spa, is one of the best places in the world to visit. Nestled in a quaint town in the middle of the spectacular Adirondack Mountains, Saratoga Racetrack is like none other in the country. Known for the best horse racing during the year, Saratoga is the race meet many horseplayers look forward to each summer.

I have been going to “the Spa” since I was a young boy. When I visited as a tyke with my family in 1977, a couple of two years olds by the names of Affirmed and Alydar were running that day. My father liked Alydar. Neither my mom nor my brother knew how to handicap, but they both picked Affirmed to win. The rest is history.

There is nothing like Saratoga racing in the summer, and for a horse racing fan, it doesn’t get much better. Needless to say, it is a heck of a lot better when you win… and win consistently.

How can one possibly beat Saratoga, one of the toughest meets that handicappers will face all year long? The top barns converge on the beautiful upstate New York track every summer, and the money of horseplayers everywhere follows in droves. Pools are plentiful, but so are the contentious races. And it is those contentious races that can make Saratoga so difficult to beat. There are some races that are reminiscent of the Breeders’ Cup events where so many runners are contenders and throw-outs are hard to find.

There are several facets of Saratoga that every handicapper should know, and there are some solid strategies that I recommend for beating the 2023 meet which begins Thursday, July 13, and runs through Monday, September 4. Just by applying the following two steps you will put yourself ahead of the wagering public who have no game plan and approach each day at the Saratoga Racecourse haphazardly.

Have a Game Plan for The Spa

How often do we approach an important meet like this, and we have no idea what we are hoping to accomplish and how we are going to wager from one day to the next? I’ll take an educated guess and say that is the case for most players. We don’t want to shoot from the hip. Many players, including myself, make wagers based on the races we handicap and “who we like.” We will make all sorts of bets, from straight wagers to stabs at the Pick Six.

The better choice is to decide what your game plan is going to be prior to opening day of the Saratoga meeting. It is certainly fine to make various types of bets, but you may want to focus most of your wagering strategy on one or two bet types. Maybe you are good at structuring Trifecta or Pick-4 wagers. Maybe you’re an effective straight player (win, place, show) but you get “sucked into” playing exotics. Recognize your strengths and build a game plan around them.

Heeding this advice and showing discipline throughout the meet could be a real difference maker for your bottom line. Fortunately, most of the general public does not approach the races with this mindset, and that is great for us handicappers who are taking this seriously.

Pick Your Spots at Saratoga

“Without self-discipline, success is impossible, period.” ~ Lou Holtz

On a related note, picking your spots is the key to beating the meet. You are not going to finish ahead by the time Labor Day rolls around if you are playing every available race at the Spa. Unless you’re Houdini, wagering on hundreds of races at Saratoga and turning a profit isn’t going to happen.

Needless to say, this is good advice, year-round, for horseplayers but especially so for Saratoga due to all the contentious races. Handicappers looking to turn a profit over the 40 days have to pick their spots. Focus on the races you excel at and avoid the ones you typically don’t have a good handle on. If you have been playing the races long enough, then you know what your strengths and weaknesses are, so use that knowledge to your advantage. Or pay the consequences.

Have a game plan this Summer and focus on your best plays. Best of luck!

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Breeders’ Cup Analysis – Spot Plays w/ Wagers, Top Selections at Keeneland

Order Nilsen’s Breeders’ Cup Package & Save Lives in the Process!  Read on…

When you purchase Rich Nilsen’s Breeders’ Cup package, you will also be buying a water filter that will last 5-10 years in a developing community in Central America.

AGameofSkill.com has partnered with our friend Rudy Shaffer’s Water4Life Ministry (501c3) to provide you with this opportunity to bring hope and life-saving measures to an entire village in either Central America or Africa.  I’m doing this unique offer because I believe in my friends and all the good people in racing to support a great cause.  I have given out some great winners over the years on these big race days and I hope to do so again at one of my home tracks of Keeneland.  Will you join me in supporting this ministry?

18x NHC Qualifier Rich Nilsen offers up his Pace Scenarios, Spot Plays w/ Wagers, Top Selections and Analysis for BOTH days of the Breeders’ Cup in ONE report – pre-order today.

Nilsen, who has had some monster days in the past with his major race selection sheets, is back for both days of this year’s Breeders’ Cup at Keeneland, but this time we have a mission.

Included in his report are top selections for all 5 Breeders’ Cup stakes on Friday and all 9 stakes on Saturday (all 14 Breeders’ Cup races).  Includes commentary on all the contenders listed, plus spot play wagers.

BONUS: Free pace chart for every race on both days at Keeneland!

You will also receive Nilsen’s expert pace analysis, which is often the key to selecting the winner.   Nilsen will have Spot Plays with wagering strategies to attack these races hard.

Get every Breeders’ Cup race for BOTH days (Friday & Saturday) in one sheet!  Download instantly to any type of device. Only $30 for all 9 Breeders’ Cup races on Saturday + bonus pace chart for the full cards on Fri. and Sat.

Download today to any device 

 

 

Highlights from Previous Breeders’ Cup Spot Play Winners from Nilsen’s Analysis!

2020: Several winners at Keeneland with the monster longshot score of $37.60 winner Audarya the highlight!  See the write-up below on the monster $199.20 cold exacta in the 2020 Filly & Mar Turf!!!

$29.40 Sprint Spot Play Winner Trinniberg with Cold $203.40 Exacta!

$15.80 Turf Sprint Spot Play Winner Mizdirection, keying $1,757.65 Pick-4 wager!

$40.40 Spot Play Winner Work All Week with $1,064.70 Trifecta!

$13.00 F&M Turf Spot Play winner Dayathespa

$16.40 Turf Sprint Winner Bobby’s Kitten

$64.80 Exacta with Main Sequence over Flintshire in the Breeders’ Cup Turf

The list goes on and on!

 

1st- # 11 AUDARYA (12/1) was boxed in a little bit during the stretch run in the Arc and finished well on her wrong lead in straight.  She never really seemed comfortable racing along the inside behind the two speed horses, but, despite that, ran very well and nearly won the prestigious race.

In her prior start she was an upset winner in France, giving her trainer a third career win in the G1 Prix Jean Romanet Stakes.  There was a gap of about 4 lengths to the show horse.  The place horse was Ambition who came back to run a decent 5th in the Arc.

Her top trainer in France, James Fanshawe, is ending a 30-year wait for a runner at the Breeders’ Cup.  Fanshawe has trained the likes of Soviet Song and The Tin Man, among other Group 1 winners.

On her latest effort at Longchamp, Fanshawe said, “Audarya ran an excellent race, but there wasn’t much coverage of it afterwards. Most of the attention seemed to focus on the winner Tarnawa and Jessica Harrington’s filly Alpine Star who finished second.”

She’s a major player based on her recent form.

2nd- # 6 RUSHING FALL (5/2) – Has won 11 of 14 lifetime and banked over $2.5M.  She was last seen finishing in under 34 seconds when she gamely captured the G1 Diana at Saratoga.  Trainer Chad Brown has been working her every 7 days since that win in preparation for this start at a track where she is 5 for 6 lifetime.

She’s unproven at the distance but Brown has won many times with this type of stretch out turf runner.  Brown has also won this BC race 4 times…

About Nilsen’s Analysis

In this comprehensive yet concise report, I provide selections for all 14 Breeders’ Cup races for both days, as well as pace scenario analysis which is absolutely vital for predicting the outcomes of these events.

Spot Plays are my best bets and key wagering horses for the big weekend. Picking your spots is key to profiting on the races, especially when it comes to the Breeders’ Cup. The opportunities are plentiful but you improve your chances by selecting key spot plays and focusing most of your bets on those plays.

Set aside a budget for these two days and be sure to have plenty of ammunition for the bigger of the two days, Saturday. Best of luck!

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Rich Nilsen caught the horse racing bug at a young age when his father took him to the racetracks in New York. He eventually attended the University of Louisville Equine Business Program with the goal of making a career in the horse racing industry.

Nilsen has worked the past 29+ years in the equine industry, serving most of those years as the Marketing Director for Brisnet.com and TwinSpires.com, the Official Wagering Site of the Kentucky Derby.

Nilsen managed the successful Players’ Pool syndicate, which pooled funds from the account wagering members to go after large Pick-6 carryovers. During Nilsen’s leadership, the Players’ Pool produced a significant profit for the members over the course of seven years. One of the best hits was when the Players’ Pool took down half of the Pick-6 pool on Kentucky Derby Day 2007, with a gross return of over $500,000.  The Pool had several other hits over $250,000.

The $3 Million National Handicapping Championship (NHC) is the premier horse racing tournament in the nation. It is basically horse racing’s version of the World Series of Poker, with the main difference being that players cannot buy their way into the NHC. Players can only win their way in via tournaments held throughout the country. Nilsen is one of the top participants in the history of the event, having qualified 18 times. He is a dual qualifier for the 2022 NHC and a member of the NHC Players’ Committee. He was the first player, and one of only a handful, to finish in the top 10 at the NHC twice.

Breeders’ Cup at Del Mar – Spot Plays w/ Wagers, Top Selections and Analysis

Rich Nilsen 2016 BC Paddock18x NHC Qualifier Rich Nilsen Offers up Pace Scenarios, Spot Plays w/ Wagers, Top Selections and Analysis for BOTH days of the Breeders’ Cup in ONE report.

Nilsen, who has had some monster days in the past with his major race selection sheets, is back for both days of this year’s Breeders’ Cup at Del Mar.   Included in his report are top selections for all 5 Breeders’ Cup stakes on Friday and all 9 stakes on Saturday (all 14 Breeders’ Cup races).  Includes commentary on all the contenders listed, plus spot play wagers.

BONUS: Free pace chart for every race on both days at Del Mar!

You will also receive Nilsen’s expert pace analysis, which is often the key to selecting the winner.   Nilsen has 4 Spot Plays with wagering strategies to attack these races hard.

Get every Breeders’ Cup race for BOTH days (Friday & Saturday) in one sheet!  Download instantly to any type of device. Only $19.97 for all 14 Breeders’ Cup races + bonus pace chart for the full cards on Fri. and Sat.

Download today to any device 

 

 

Highlights from Previous Breeders’ Cup Spot Play Winners!

$29.40 Sprint Spot Play Winner Trinniberg with Cold $203.40 Exacta!

$15.80 Turf Sprint Spot Play Winner Mizdirection, keying $1,757.65 Pick-4 wager!

$40.40 Spot Play Winner Work All Week with $1,064.70 Trifecta!

$13.00 F&M Turf Spot Play winner Dayathespa

$16.40 Turf Sprint Winner Bobby’s Kitten

$64.80 Exacta with Main Sequence over Flintshire in the Breeders’ Cup Turf

The list goes on and on!

2020: Several winners with the monster longshot score of $37.60 winner Audarya the highlight!  Here was the write-up on the monster $199.20 cold exacta in the 2020 Filly & Mar Turf:

1st- # 11 AUDARYA (12/1) was boxed in a little bit during the stretch run in the Arc and finished well on her wrong lead in straight.  She never really seemed comfortable racing along the inside behind the two speed horses, but, despite that, ran very well and nearly won the prestigious race.

In her prior start she was an upset winner in France, giving her trainer a third career win in the G1 Prix Jean Romanet Stakes.  There was a gap of about 4 lengths to the show horse.  The place horse was Ambition who came back to run a decent 5th in the Arc.

Her top trainer in France, James Fanshawe, is ending a 30-year wait for a runner at the Breeders’ Cup.  Fanshawe has trained the likes of Soviet Song and The Tin Man, among other Group 1 winners.

On her latest effort at Longchamp, Fanshawe said, “Audarya ran an excellent race, but there wasn’t much coverage of it afterwards. Most of the attention seemed to focus on the winner Tarnawa and Jessica Harrington’s filly Alpine Star who finished second.”

She’s a major player based on her recent form.

2nd- # 6 RUSHING FALL (5/2) – Has won 11 of 14 lifetime and banked over $2.5M.  She was last seen finishing in under 34 seconds when she gamely captured the G1 Diana at Saratoga.  Trainer Chad Brown has been working her every 7 days since that win in preparation for this start at a track where she is 5 for 6 lifetime.

She’s unproven at the distance but Brown has won many times with this type of stretch out turf runner.  Brown has also won this BC race 4 times…

About Nilsen’s Analysis

In this comprehensive yet concise report, I provide selections for all 14 Breeders’ Cup races for both days, as well as pace scenario analysis which is absolutely vital for predicting the outcomes of these events.

Spot Plays are my best bets and key wagering horses for the big weekend. Picking your spots is key to profiting on the races, especially when it comes to the Breeders’ Cup. The opportunities are plentiful but you improve your chances by selecting key spot plays and focusing most of your bets on those plays.

Set aside a budget for these two days and be sure to have plenty of ammunition for the bigger of the two days, Saturday. Best of luck!

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Rich Nilsen caught the horse racing bug at a young age when his father took him to the racetracks in New York. He eventually attended the University of Louisville Equine Business Program with the goal of making a career in the horse racing industry.

Nilsen has worked the past 28+ years in the equine industry, serving most of those years as the Marketing Director for Brisnet.com and TwinSpires.com, the Official Wagering Site of the Kentucky Derby.

Nilsen managed the successful Players’ Pool syndicate, which pooled funds from the account wagering members to go after large Pick-6 carryovers. During Nilsen’s leadership, the Players’ Pool produced a significant profit for the members over the course of seven years. One of the best hits was when the Players’ Pool took down half of the Pick-6 pool on Kentucky Derby Day 2007, with a gross return of over $500,000.  The Pool had several other hits over $250,000.

The $3 Million National Handicapping Championship (NHC) is the premier horse racing tournament in the nation. It is basically horse racing’s version of the World Series of Poker, with the main difference being that players cannot buy their way into the NHC. Players can only win their way in via tournaments held throughout the country. Nilsen is one of the top participants in the history of the event, having qualified 18 times. He is a dual qualifier for the 2022 NHC and a member of the NHC Players’ Committee. He was the first player, and one of only a handful, to finish in the top 10 at the NHC twice.

 

Wizard’s Full-card Analysis + Betting Strategies for Saturday’s Breeders’ Cup

Can the Wizard top last year’s tremendous performance hitting 6 TOP winners including Glass Slippers ($22.40) & Best Bet Tarnawa ($11.40).  He closed the day out with a $45.10 exacta in the Classic with his top 2 picks.  The Wizard, America’s #1 public handicapper, has been helping players cash more tickets since 1987.

Wizard’s Package Includes:

9 BC events and 3 undercard races.

Expert wagers for each and every race – all 12

A careful study of many video replays

Extensive trip and track bias notes is what the Wizard utilizes to make his selections & carefully plotted out wagering strategies. This combo package is only $50.00

 

Nilsen’s Full-card KY Derby Coverage with Wagering Strategies

Get the complete analysis of Kentucky Derby 147 card with Nilsen’s professional selections and wagering strategies for the big race.

Nilsen covers all 14 races on Derby Day and includes his written analysis for the Run for the Roses!  Along with trifecta strategies for the KY Derby, Nilsen has xx best bets (spot plays) with wagers on the day.

As always, this is a tremendous betting card, one of the best of year!

17x NHC Qualifier & AGOS founder Rich Nilsen has his KY Derby Analysis with top picks, x spot plays & wagering strategies now available

  • xx Spot Plays w/wagers
  • Full card selections for all 14 races
  • Pace Analysis for every race
  • Expert Commentary on the Kentucky Derby
  • Top Derby picks with wagering strategies

Download it now.  xx pages, PDF, only $17.97

Nilsen’s KY Derby Analysis w/expert wagering strategies

 

 

Derby 147 Analysis with Wagering Strategies & Best Bet Spot Plays by Rich Nilsen

Rich Nilsen is the winner of 8 major handicapping tournaments and a 17-time qualifier to the $3 million National Horseplayers Championship (NHC).

There are a lot of pretenders out there.  Get affordable, expert advice for this year’s amazing KY Derby card.

 

"


Hey Rich.. Thanks for putting me on Tapwrit [Belmont Stakes 2018]!! 

I liked him and Gormley and Irish War Cry... I had Tapwrit straight & the exacta.  Tapwrit & Gormley both had "dream trips", But Gormley didn't want to go that far... Hey!! Let's give some love to Disco Partner for his new North  American record for 6 panels. I had him straight  and also knocked down the exacta of 2-4 for $42.00... Hope you had a good day & made some cash!  Thanks Again, " 


Wayne M. 

Horseplayer in FL

"


Rich, thanks for your terrific analysis of the Gulfstream Park [Rainbow Six 3/31/18]. I was able to hit the Pick 6 [paid $9,018 for twenty cents!].   Anyone out there who bets horses would be well advised to download your sheet on every major race day... thanks again for a job well done.


Evan C.
Horse owner and fan in KY

"


Rich: nice job Travers Day! Thanks to Arrogate, you gave me a good day. How in the world did you land on him? I suspect you’re doing some kind of voodoo pace analysis. If you ever decide to give lessons or a seminar, let me know.


Kelly S.


Breeders’ Cup Spot Plays with Wagers, Top Selections and Analysis

Rich Nilsen 2016 BC Paddock17x NHC Qualifier Rich Nilsen Offers up Pace Scenarios, Spot Plays w/ Wagers, Top Selections and Analysis for BOTH days of the Breeders’ Cup in ONE report.

Nilsen, who has had some monster days in the past with his major race selection sheets, is back for both days of this year’s Breeders’ Cup at Keeneland.   Included in his report are top selections for all 5 Breeders’ Cup stakes on Friday and all 9 stakes on Saturday (all 14 Breeders’ Cup races).  Includes commentary on all the contenders listed.

You will also receive Nilsen’s expert pace analysis, which is often the key to selecting the winner.   Nilsen has 4 Spot Plays with wagering strategies to attack these races hard.

Get every Breeders’ Cup race for BOTH days (Friday & Saturday) in one sheet!  Download instantly to any type of device. Only $17.97

Download today to any device 

Highlights from Previous Breeders’ Cup Spot Play Winners!

$29.40 Sprint Spot Play Winner Trinniberg with Cold $203.40 Exacta!

$15.80 Turf Sprint Spot Play Winner Mizdirection, keying $1,757.65 Pick-4 wager!

$40.40 Spot Play Winner Work All Week with $1,064.70 Trifecta!

$13.00 F&M Turf Spot Play winner Dayathespa

$16.40 Turf Sprint Winner Bobby’s Kitten

$64.80 Exacta with Main Sequence over Flintshire in the Breeders’ Cup Turf

The list goes on and on!

 

About Nilsen’s Analysis

In this comprehensive yet concise report, I provide selections for all 14 Breeders’ Cup races for both days, as well as pace scenario analysis which is absolutely vital for predicting the outcomes of these events.

Spot Plays are my best bets and key wagering horses for the big weekend. Picking your spots is key to profiting on the races, especially when it comes to the Breeders’ Cup. The opportunities are plentiful but you improve your chances by selecting key spot plays and focusing most of your bets on those plays.

Set aside a budget for these two days and be sure to have plenty of ammunition for the bigger of the two days, Saturday. Best of luck!

 

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Rich Nilsen caught the horse racing bug at a young age when his father took him to the racetracks in New York. He eventually attended the University of Louisville Equine Business Program with the goal of making a career in the horse racing industry.

Nilsen has worked the past 27 years in the equine industry, serving most of those years as the Marketing Director for Brisnet.com and TwinSpires.com, the Official Wagering Site of the Kentucky Derby.

During his long tenure at the Keeneland-owned properties, Nilsen managed the successful Players’ Pool syndicate, which pooled funds from the account wagering members to go after large Pick-6 carryovers. During Nilsen’s leadership, the Players’ Pool produced a significant profit for the members over the course of seven years. One of the best hits was when the Players’ Pool took down half of the Pick-6 pool on Kentucky Derby Day 2007, with a gross return of over $500,000.  The Pool had several other hits over $250,000.

The $3 Million National Handicapping Championship (NHC) is the premier horse racing tournament in the nation. It is basically horse racing’s version of the World Series of Poker, with the main difference being that players cannot buy their way into the NHC. Players can only win their way in via tournaments held throughout the country. Nilsen is one of the top participants in the history of the event, having qualified 17 times. He is a dual qualifier for the 2021 NHC and a member of the NHC Players’ Committee. He was the first player, and one of only a handful, to finish in the top 10 at the NHC twice.

Nilsen is the founder and editor of AGameofSkill.com, a site devoted to horse racing education and promotion.

 

100% to Charities from the 2020 Arkansas Derby Full-Card Analysis

100% of the proceeds from this sheet are going to two charities.  The first is the Belmont Child Care Association which supports Anna’s House and the families and children on the New York backside (www.belmontchildcare.org).  As you know New York has been hit the hardest by the Covid-19 pandemic. This an ideal charity to support, always, but especially during these times.  The 2nd is Acacia Courtney’s Racing For Home, which supports ex-racehorses.

Rich Nilsen, 16x NHC Qualifier, has handicapped the full 14-race card at Oaklawn Park on Saturday.  It may not be KY Derby Day but it is Arkansas Derby Day and it’s one of the best wagering cards of the year – if not the best.

Nilsen’s Sheet includes:

  • Pace Analysis for all 14 races
  • Selections for all 14 races
  • Expert commentary on all 14 top selections
  • 3 Spot Plays (Best Bets) with wagering strategies
  • Longshot selections for one division of the G1 Arkansas Derby as well as the Oaklawn Handicap – use these horses in your  multi-race wagers!

Not 1%, not 10%, not 25% but the full 100% of your purchase will support two great organizations.  Thank you for consideration, and please consider if you fare well on Saturday, to make an additional charitable contribution to them or the charity of your choice.  During this pandemic many charities are really taking several economic hits.  At times like this we all need to step and help others.

 

$15.00 for instant PDF download

Acacia CourtneyAbout Racing For Home

We are a non-profit, certified 501(c)(3) organization that is dedicated to the after care of Thoroughbreds once their racing career is over. We rehabilitate and re-train our four legged friends in order to prepare them for their second career. We are accredited by the Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance (TAA), one of only two such facilities in Connecticut and one of only 74 throughout the entire United States.

About the Belmont Child Care Association, Inc.

The Belmont Child Care Association, Inc. (BCCA) was established in December 1998 to create a child care center at Belmont Park which has the largest population of backstretch workers of the three New York Racing Association, Inc. tracks. The BCCA set about building a center, selecting a licensed child care provider, and spearheading fundraising to support the continued operation of the center.

Anna House, the centerpiece of BCCA’s efforts, was built in 2002 by Board Chairman Michael Dubb and named for the then two-year-old daughter of major donor Eugene Melnyk. Anna House opened its doors on January 1, 2003 thanks to the support of the Child Care Council of Nassau, Inc. The adjacent playground area is named for Lemon Drop Kid, the 1999 Belmont Stakes winner owned by donors Jeanne Vance and Laddie Dance.

In December 2006, Gretchen and Roy Jackson created the Lael Scholarship Fund to ensure that Anna House would always have sufficient funds to continue to provide early childhood education to the children. The Jacksons make a generous annual contribution to the fund.

Sample Race 1 from Saturday’s Card at Oaklawn

Race 1        Sallow40, 6 furlongs           1:00pm ET 

PACE SCENARIO: Several runners in this opener on Arkansas Derby Day will add to a hot pace – Hawt Mess, True Castle and Miss Imperial.  Look for a runner from off the pace.

Spot Play? None

Selections:

1st- # 1 TIMELY TRADITION (3/1) – this race sets up perfectly for this New York invader.  The 6yo mare has good tactical speed to be forwardly placed and pounce when called upon by top jockey Joel Rosario.  There are few riders as good as Rosario on closers, and this mare is 10-5-3-0 at the 6 furlong distance.  Lots to like.

2nd- # 2 Full Of Grace (4/1)

3rd- #12 She’s A Dime (15/1)

 

Analysis of Florida Derby, Selections for Full Card and Rainbow Six Races

Expert Selections with Analysis/Wagers for the Florida Derby, a great betting race!

The carryover stands at $1,664,935 for the Rainbow Pick 6 Jackpot. Saturday is Mandatory Payout Day.

Rich Nilsen handicapperRich Nilsen, founder of AGameofSkill.com and one of the top tournament players in the history of the NHC, offers up his Spot Play analysis for the Florida Derby, all the supporting stakes, and the entire Rainbow Six sequence.

The expert analysis provides selections for the full card and commentary on six of the stakes races.  Wagering strategies are included for the 2020 Florida Derby, which includes a price horse on top!

Each race offered includes Nilsen’s detailed pace scenario which explains how the race will set up.  This is one of the most important features of the report.  Learn the pace scenario for all 14 races on this amazing card.

Put an expert on your side as you attack Gulfstream Park on this huge day.

 

Only $11.97 for Full card selections including the Rainbow  Six races.  Analysis with comments on six stakes races, Florida Derby Analysis with Wagering Strategies, 

Portion of the Proceeds will be donated to Acacia Courtney’s Aftercare Alliance Foundation.

Instant download, PDF file – click here

Handicapping Tip of the Day #50 – Just Say No

Eliminate these types of races from your playbook

These races are written for losers and they make for easy losing at the windows.

Handicapping tips from agameofskill.com

By ART PARKER

Like everyone else it took me a while to understand that playing every race is not a good idea. You have to pick your battles. You need to develop expertise and stick to what works best for you.

For me, I strongly prefer dirt sprints. Those at least three years old. On the main track. No maidens. No stakes. That’s my preference.

But there is one of those races I immediately toss out even if it meets the initial qualifications. It is the race you are more likely to see at the cheaper tracks and at the lower claiming levels.

It is the non-winners of two lifetime. I would almost play two-year-olds in April instead of the NW2L. It’s not all races in that class, just those where the field is packed with losers.

I was taking a look at a card recently of one of the cheaper tracks. Eight races were carded that day, three were sprints as I described earlier. The first race I examined looked to be worth closer study. The next one was marginal. The last one was quickly one of those, “Don’t even think about it” races.

This particular NW2L met the perfect description of a race to avoid. There were nine entrants. Three had over 30 lifetime starts. All but one of the others had more than 20 lifetime starts. The horse with the best winning percentage was one for 19. I think the collective field was nine for 193.

These horses haven’t figured it out, or they are in horrible physical condition or have no desire to compete. It could be anything – they just will not run. Yes, one of them will win not because of a solid performance but because the performance of the winner is just not as sorry as the others.

These races are written for losers and they make for easy losing at the windows. When you see these races, just say “No.”

Breeders’ Cup Analysis by Rich Nilsen

Crush the 2018 Cup!  All 14 Races Analyzed

15x NHC Qualifier Offers up Pace Scenarios, 5 Spot Plays w/ Expert Wagers, Top Selections and Analysis

Rich Nilsen, who has absolutely crushed some past big days, is back for both days of this year’s Breeders’ Cup at Churchill Downs, a track he knows inside and out.   Included in Nilsen’s report are top selections for all 5 juvenile stakes on Friday and all 9 stakes on Saturday (all 14 Breeders’ Cup races).

You receive Nilsen’s expert pace analysis, which is often the key to selecting the winner.   Nilsen has 5 Spot Plays on the two days.  He offers these best bets with his wagering strategies to attack these races.

Get every Breeders’ Cup race for BOTH days (Friday & Saturday) in one sheet!  

Download instantly to any type of device. Only $19.97

 

Highlights from Previous Breeders’ Cup Spot Play Winners!

$40.40 Spot Play Winner Work All Week with $1,064.70 Trifecta!

$29.40 Sprint Spot Play Winner Trinniberg with Cold $203.40 Exacta!

$15.80 Turf Sprint Spot Play Winner Mizdirection, keying $1,757.65 Pick-4 wager!

$13.00 F&M Turf Spot Play winner Dayathespa

$16.40 Turf Sprint Winner Bobby’s Kitten

$64.80 Exacta with Main Sequence over Flintshire in the Breeders’ Cup Turf

The list goes on and on!

Download today to any device (click to download)

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Rich Nilsen caught the horse racing bug at a young age when his father took him to the racetracks in New York. He eventually attended the University of Louisville Equine Business Program with the goal of making a career in the horse racing industry.

Nilsen has worked the past 26 years in the equine industry, serving most of those years as the Marketing Director for Brisnet.com and TwinSpires.com, the Official Wagering Site of the Kentucky Derby.

During his long tenure at the Churchill Downs-owned properties, Nilsen managed the successful Players’ Pool syndicate, which pooled funds from the account wagering members to go after large Pick-6 carryovers. During Nilsen’s leadership, the Players’ Pool produced a significant profit for the members over the course of seven years. One of the best hits was when the Players’ Pool took down half of the Pick-6 pool on Kentucky Derby Day 2007, with a gross return of over $500,000.  The Pool had several other hits over $250,000.

The $2.8 Million National Handicapping Championship (NHC) is the premier horse racing tournament in the nation. It is basically horse racing’s version of the World Series of Poker, with the main difference being that players cannot buy their way into the NHC. Players can only win their way in via tournaments held throughout the country. Nilsen is one of the top participants in the history of the event, having qualified 15 times. He was the first player, and one of only a handful, to finish in the top 10 at the NHC twice.

Nilsen is the founder and editor of AGameofSkill.com, a site devoted to horse racing education and promotion.  He only provides selections like this on a few select days of the day.

 

About My Analysis

In this comprehensive yet concise report, I provide selections for all 14 Breeders’ Cup races for both days, as well as pace scenario analysis which is absolutely vital for predicting the outcomes of these events.

Spot Plays are my best bets and key wagering horses for the big weekend. Picking your spots is key to profiting on the races, especially when it comes to the Breeders’ Cup. The opportunities are plentiful but you improve your chances by selecting key spot plays and focusing most of your bets on those plays.

Set aside a budget for these two days and be sure to have plenty of ammunition for the bigger of the two days, Saturday. Best of luck!

Nilsen’s Breeders’ Cup Analysis

 

2018 Results:

3 Top winners from 5 BC races on Friday, a 60% Win Rate

Spot Play City Of Light scored big in the Dirt Mile, keying the winning daily double into the next race.

Nilsen’s KY Derby Analysis with Wagering Strategies

Two Options Available

Derby 144 Analysis with Wagering Strategies & Spot Plays by Rich Nilsen

Get the complete analysis of the 2018 Kentucky Derby card with Nilsen’s professional selections for the big race.  Nilsen covers all 14 races on Derby Day and includes his written analysis on all 20 starters in the Run for the Roses!  Along with exacta and trifecta strategies for the KY Derby, Nilsen has three spot plays with wagers on the day.

As always this is a tremendous betting card, one of the best of year!

Rich Nilsen is the winner of 6 major handicapping tournament and a 14-time qualifier to the $3 million National Horseplayers Championship (NHC).  There are a lot of pretenders out there.  Get affordable, expert advice for this year’s amazing KY Derby card.

This sheet contains:

  • Top selections for all 14 races
  • Sophisticated Pace Scenario for all 14 races
  • 3 Spot Plays (Best Bets) on the undercard w/ wagering strategies
  • In-depth Analysis of the Kentucky Derby with comments on all 20 starters.
  • Two Value plays keyed in Exacta and Trifecta strategies.

Get all 14 races on the Churchill Downs’ card.  Download now for only $15.97 to any device.
Buy Now

BONUS PACKAGE!

But that’s not all.  You can also get analysis for Kentucky Oaks Day which includes wagering strategies for the Oaks and 2 Spot Plays with wagers.  Nilsen covers all the stakes races on the card beginning with the G2 Eight Belles Stakes!  SIX Stakes races and 9 races in all!

Get the KY Oaks Sheet + the Kentucky Derby Day Sheet in one package

Download now for only $24.97 to any device.

Buy Now

Rich Nilsen handicapperTestimonials

“Hey Rich.. Thanks for putting me on Tapwrit !! I liked him and Gormley and Irish War Cry… I had Tapwrit straight & the exacta.  Tapwrit & Gormley both had “dream trips”, But Gormley didnt want to go that far… Hey !! let’s give some love to Disco Partner for his new North  American record for 6 panels. I had him straight  and also knocked down the exacta of 2-4 for $42.00… Hope you had a good day & made some cash!  Thanks Again, ” ~ Wayne M.

“Rich, thanks for your terrific analysis of the Gulfstream Park [Rainbow Six 3/31/18].  I was able to hit the Pick 6 [paid $9,018 for twenty cents!].   Anyone out there who bets horses would be well advised to download your sheet on every major race day… thanks again for a job well done.” ~ Evan C.

“Great job, Rich!” ~ Jeff S.

“Rich: nice job Travers Day! Thanks to Arrogate, you gave me a good day. How in the world did you land on him? I suspect you’re doing some kind of voodoo pace analysis. If you ever decide to give lessons or a seminar, let me know.” ~ Kelley S.