Expert Selections for Gulfstream Mandatory Payout Day – 6/17

Source: Gulfstream Park

Gulfstream Park’s 20-cent Rainbow 6 could climb as high as $5 million Saturday, or more, due to a mandatory payout.

Saturday’s carryover is $998,088 going into today.

Gulfstream handicappers Ron Nicoletti, Jason Blewitt and Acacia Courtney look at Saturday’s Rainbow 6 sequence.

Ron Nicoletti

We have another exciting and life-altering Rainbow 6 mandatory payout on Saturday with over a $4 million pool expected. My strategy is to always try to find a race where I can ‘single’ a horse so I can add more choices in races that are tougher to handicap.

It starts in Race 6, and I’m going 3 deep in the opening leg with Sunshine Smile, Crazy for Sophia and Go Astray. Race 7 is another wide-open affair, so I’m going 4 deep with Schettino, It’s a Given, my longshot Valoordo and Golden Point. Race 8 is another competitive field, so I’m going 3 deep again with Dardo, Annie’s Big Boy and Haybub. Only 2 deep in Race 9 with Yo No Se and Great Skellig. In Race 10 I’m using 3 selections with Crazy Frank C, Magnanimous Mine and Capital City. Finally in Race 11 my single is multiple graded stakes-placed Enterprising, who should be the odds-on choice in the finale.

Ron’s Rainbow 6 Ticket

Race 6:  1-2-6

Race 7:  1-3-7-9

Race 8:  1-3-7

Race 9:  8-12

Race 10:  3-7-9

Race 11:  3

Total:  $43.20

Acacia Courtney

Saturday’s Rainbow 6 sequence will cover Races 6 through 11, and I will use a single in the final race to anchor my ticket. My best bet, Enterprising, shipping in from Churchill Downs where he faced Grade 1 company last time out after notching his multiple graded stakes victories at the Fair Grounds in the two races prior, will face eleven other foes in the nightcap, the Soldier’s Dancer Stakes. He is the class of the field and in excellent form for trainer Mike Maker, plus has leading jockey Tyler Gaffalione aboard, who is also very familiar with this horse.

The Rainbow 6 starts with a maiden special weight event for two-year-old fillies, and I’ll use a first time starter in Crazy for Sofia as well as the horse with experience, Go Astray. Having my single in the finale allows me to use some coverage in the middle of the sequence, as Races 7, 8, and 9 in particular are great betting affairs with lots of potential for value. I will spread the most in Race 7 using five horses, and hope for some better priced winners in the races leading up to my single.

Acacia’s Rainbow 6 Ticket

R6: 2-6

R7: 1-8-9-10-11

R8: 1-4-7

R9: 1-8-11-12

R10: 1-3-9

R11: 3

Cost – $72.00

Jason Blewitt

Two-year-old filly maidens ring in the opening leg of Saturday’s monstrous Rainbow 6 mandatory payout! Only two of the nine fillies entered have raced and a good firster will beat both the experienced Go Astray and Holy Diver.  It doesn’t take a genius to see that trainer Antonio Sano has a very “live” runner in Crazy for Sofia, a Mizzen Mast firster who attracted leading jockey Tyler Gaffalione.  Sunshine Smiles may get some play as well, given her decent worktab and the presence of an excellent two-year-old sire in Katharos.

A big field of 11 awaits players in race 7, a $10,000 claimer on the turf.  Little in the ability department separates the majority of this group.  Lay It Down had little luck at the draw with his 11 post, but his last couple of races have been good and shortening just a touch to 1 1/16 miles should help him.  Vedelago and Golden Point should both run well for excellent barns.

In the eighth, Dardo ran a weird but gigantic race first time out. He chased early, suddenly dropped back mid-turn, and then re-rallied late while very green. Considering he caught an extremely wet track and ran so well in his debut, it’s a little surprising Dardo drops in for $10,000. Still, he’s an obvious must-use and will likely find himself a single in more budget-minded plays. Those looking to use another horse may want to look at Mongolian Dancer. If this gelding is going to show anything, it will be in this race as he goes turf to dirt for a trainer (David Kassen) who excels with that move.

A dozen turf runners are entered in the ninth on the turf and this leg is a must spread! It’s likely worthwhile to use every bit of Malibu’smostwanted, Yo No Se, Czarmo and Great Skellig.

Tough lower-level claimers meet in race 10 at seven furlongs. Let’s Go Ben goes turf to dirt for trainer Keith Bourgeois, who is very dangerous in this spot. Capital City is clearly the gelding to beat, given his current two-race win streak. If he fails to score the hat trick, the aforementioned Let’s Go Ben, Phish Fan and maybe Fenerbahce are dangerous and must-uses.

An unforgettable day of racing and Rainbow 6 sequence closes with race 11, the co-featured Soldier’s Dance on the turf.  Enterprising is likely to start as a big favorite and single for many players given the top connections in his corner and his classy resume. A B-minus level from Enterprising won’t be good enough to get it done here, but anything above that and close to Enterprising’s best makes him too much racehorse to handle for his foes. Single.

Jason’s Rainbow 6: 

R6:   1,2

R7:   8,9,10,11

R8:   1,4

R9:   2,8,11,12

R10: 1,3,5,6,9

R11: 3

Total Cost is $64

Nilsen’s 2017 Preakness Full-card Analysis w/Wagering Strategies

Rich Nilsen handicapperFull-card Selections & Two Spots (Best Bets w/wagers) for Saturday’s Preakness card (May 20, 2017)

Selections for every race, all 14 included.

Several longshots selected including a bomber in race 8, the James Murphy Stakes

Recommended Win wager and exotic wagering plays for the Preakness.

Expert Pace Analysis for all 14 races.

BONUS: Two Spot Play Selections

Get Rich Nilsen’s analysis of the 2017 FULL-CARD Preakness Stakes including two spot plays on the Preakness Day undercard.    This has always been one of his favorite days of the year to play.

Nilsen, a 6-time major tournament winner and 13-time NHC Qualifier, used to work in Maryland under the tutelage of Hall of Fame trainer King Leatherbury.  He knows this circuit well.

Preakness Day coverage includes:

Top selection, Contenders, Pace Analysis and recommended wagers.

Two Spot Play (Best Bet) selections for the undercard.

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Expert Selections for 2017 Blue Grass Stakes Card

Expert FULL-CARD Selections with Spot Plays

Rich Nilsen handicapperRich Nilsen, founder of AGameofSkill.com and one of the top tournament players in the history of the NHC, offers up his Spot Play and full-card analysis for Saturday, April 8th at Keeneland.  The analysis covers the full card, all 11 races at Keeneland on Saturday 4/8.  Nilsen provides selections for the 11 races including the 5 graded stakes on the card.  Wagering strategies are included for the 3 spot plays on the Keeneland card.

Each race offered includes Nilsen’s detailed pace scenario which explains how the race will set up.

Put an expert on your side as you attack Keeneland on Blue Grass Stakes day!

Only $9.97 for the full-card Keeneland analysis, incl. 3 spot plays with Wagering Strategies.

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Nilsen had a huge year in 2016 with his few, major race day selection sheets.  One of those days was the 2017 Travers Stakes card won by eventual super horse Arrogate.  Arrogate was fairly unknown at the time, which is why he went off at 11-1 for trainer Bob Baffert.

2016 Travers’s Day Recap:  Nilsen picks top selection Haveyougoneaway who upsets the G1 Ballerina at odds of 10-1!   Nilsen follows that score up by giving out top selection ARROGATE, track-record winner of the G1 Travers Stakes! Arrogate returned $25.40 to win for followers of the sheet.  Another top pick runs 2nd at odds of 17-1 in race 3 on August 27, 2016.

Testimonials:

“Great job, Rich!” ~ Jeff S.

“Rich: Nice job Travers Day! Thanks to Arrogate, you gave me a good day. How in the world did you land on him? I suspect you’re doing some kind of voodoo pace analysis. If you ever decide to give lessons or a seminar, let me know.” ~ Kelley S.

Saturday’s Stakes Analysis Now Online

Saturday is one of the biggest racing days of the year with major Breeders’ Cup races from coast to coast.  Tap into Rich Nilsen’s Spot Plays & Stakes Analysis for Saturday, October 1st and let an expert guide you through the day.  Nilsen has been on absolute fire with the few sheets he has put out this year for AGameofSkill.com visitors.  Top winners includes CREATOR in the Belmont Stakes and ARROGATE in the Travers!

The stakes sheet includes the following 7 races for Oct. 1, 2016:

Churchill Downs  – Jefferson Cup (spot play), Ack Ack

Belmont Park – all of the graded stakes, excluding the 4-horse Turf Classic that features a 1-9 favorite.

Santa Anita – Rodeo Drive S., (spot play) the best betting race on the card.

7 Graded stakes covered, along with 2 spot plays.
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Nilsen, a 12 time qualifier to the NHC and a 5 time major tournament winner,  has been on absolute fire this year.  Top winners includes CREATOR in the Belmont Stakes and ARROGATE in the Travers!


 

Fresh off a huge day on the Travers Stakes day, Rich Nilsen is back this Saturday with full-card selections for Woodward Day.

The report covers selections for all 12 races on Saturday, September 3 at Saratoga.  Included are 3 Spot Plays (best bets).  Wagering strategies on the Woodward Stakes are provided.

Download to any PC or mobile device. $9.97 for all 12 races.

Saratoga Saturday 7/23 Analysis Now Online

Saratoga starting gateRich Nilsen’s expert analysis is now online for the first Saturday of the Saratoga meet.  This is Nilsen’s home track and he’s got you covered.  Nilsen, a 12-time NHC qualifier, gave out Creator and the monster exacta in this year’s Belmont Stakes, and every day he offers up solid picks and potential price horses at The Spa.

Friday’s Results (7/22):  4 TOP winners including the cold $100.00 late pick3 and $10.80 winner Sweet Loretta.

Saturday’s expert analysis includes selections for all 11 races, pace scenarios for every race, and 3 Best Bet Spot Plays.
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Full-card Picks with 3 Spot Plays
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Friday’s Breeders’ Cup Analysis with Spot Plays by Rich Nilsen

Friday’s Breeders’ Cup Analysis with Spot Plays by handicapper and A Game of Skill founder Rich Nilsen now online. This sheet includes selections for all of the Cup races on November 1, 2013, including two spot play wagering recommendations!  Rich has two longshots that he thinks have a big, big chance on day one of the Breeders’ Cup World Thoroughbred Championships

Buy Now Only $4.97 for Friday’s full card.  Instant download through PayPal.

Saturday’s sheet coming later today.

Last year on BC Saturday, Rich gave out TOP selections Trinniberg ($29.40, along with a COLD $203.40 Exacta) and Mizdirection ($15.80), plus two underneath value plays, Tapizar and Fort Larned, at $32.60 and $20.80!  

Kelzenberg’s Late Pick-4 Analysis for Prairie Meadows Iowa Festival of Racing

by Anthony Kelzenberg, The Flat Bet Prophet

Friday, June 28, 2013

It’s time for the Iowa Festival of Racing! And that means a few good horses running in shorts fields for great money.

Race 6) Saylorville Stakes (Race restricted to Fillies and Mares) – Purse $100k, 6 furlongs

This is a contentious field, with every horse having a chance. Most of the mares know only one way to go – to the lead! As such, I will go with classy midpack-running animal #5 BEAT THE BLUES as my top pick, as she can close off fast fractions. She likes to win too – 10 wins in 24 starts while racing in top company. #4 LIVI MAKENZIE and #3 LULU WONG would both appreciate it if the other horse wasn’t in the race – they are both one-dimensional speed balls. But both are capable of winning. #1 SECOND STREET CITY intrigues me because she’ll be a relatively high price and she’s in great form. I will throw her in my pick 4.

Race 7) Iowa Distaff Stakes (Race restricted to Fillies and Mares) – Purse $100k, 1 1/16 miles

I am lukewarm on #2 FLASHY AMERICAN. Her last race was dynamite, but it took her 18 starts to get through her “two other than” allowance condition. I am going to use her but I would not be surprised to see her defeated. #4 CRUZETTE is the speed of the race and will have to be caught. Her speed figures are good enough to contend and the trainer and jock hit at a 30% rate together. #7 QUEEN LILY KAY’s speed and pace figures also put her in the mix if Flashy American falters.

Race 8) [Feature] Iowa Sprint Handicap – Purse $125k, 6 furlongs

In possibly one the the most significant owner/trainer switches since Seabiscuit (okay, may not that many years), #3 DELAUNAY has turned into a win machine, winning seven stakes in his last eight starts, running huge figures. #2 GENTLEMAN’S BET is nearly as good, showing four wins and a third in five starts. Should be a great race for all the fans who come watch Friday night.

Race 9) Claiming $12,500, 6 furlongs

#1(1a is OK but I much prefer the #1) 8-5 morning line

PICK 4 Ticket: 1,3,4,5 with 2,4,7 with 2,3 with 1,5,8  ($36 cost for a 50 cent base wager)

Always remember to wager within your comfort level.

— Kelzenberg has a B.S. Degree in Engineering from U of Minnesota, M.S. Degree in Engineering from Northwestern University. He has run a Math/Science tutoring business since Sept. 2003

OMH Worksheets On Sale for Thanksgiving Day

Attack the huge Pick-6 carryover at Hollywood Park and the popular opening day card at Fairgrounds with the help of the One Minute Handicapper worksheets. All the work is already done for you!

Download the time-tested, proven angles from The One Minute Handicapper for Thursday, Nov. 22. Each report covers the full card at the respective track.

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* Favorable Trainer statistics

* Horses working sharply for this race

* Horses moving from a bad post position to a more favorable post position

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There are 23 total angles or “betting scenarios” that are automatically handicapped for the player. Try the One Minute Handicapper worksheets today!

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“Author Frank DiTondo’s One Minute Handicapper teaches new handicappers the proper thought processes to identify prime betting situations and reinforces those key handicapping tools to the long-time horse player in such a way it becomes second nature to cover all the basesbefore heading to the windows.”

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See how the OMH worksheets performed on Breeders’ Cup weekend!

Recap of the 2012 Breeders’ Cup Selections from AGameofSkill.com

TRINNIBERG, Breeders' Cup Sprint winner.

TRINNIBERG, Breeders' Cup Sprint winner. copyright Dennis Donohue.

Horse racing handicapping is a game of skill. Period.  Experienced horseplayers have an edge over less experienced players, but the beautiful thing about this sport is that one is always learning. Even the novice player can “out-handicap” or I should say outperform the more experienced horseplayer on any given day.  There is always something to learn in this game and there are always ways to improve one’s handicapping.

Last weekend (Nov. 2-3) I offered my Breeders’ Cup analysis in a paid format for the first time ever. I didn’t like the Friday card and the results showed that. I warned readers to tread lightly on Friday for that very reason.

However, I loved Saturday’s card and fortunately things came together as hoped. As part of the full-card analysis, I also recommended 5 spot plays/wagering suggestions.

Here is a recap of the Saturday Breeders’ Cup Spot Plays analysis.

Race 4                   Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf

Top pick 4-1 Noble Tune finished 2nd. No spot play given.

Race 5                   Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare

Top choice Groupie Doll won, paying $3.40. Spot play – recommended keying her in multi-race wagers. $12.00 Exacta wager given out.

Race 6                   Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile

3rd choice Tapizar scored big upset to the tune of $32.60. No spot play given.

Race 7                   Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint

Spot play and Top choice Mizdirection won to the tune of $15.80, $7.40, $5.00. Recommended using in multi-race wagers and betting her across the board. Ending Pick-4 wager paid $1,757.65 for a buck.

Race 8                   Breeders’ Cup Juvenile

3rd choice Shanghai Bobby won. No spot play given.

Race 9                   Breeders’ Cup Turf

Spot play and top choice Point Of Entry ran 2nd.  Recommend using over Little Mike (among others) in an exacta.

Race 10                  Breeders’ Cup Sprint

Spot play and Top choice Trinniberg scored to the tune of $29.40, $13.20, $11.00.     Also, huge $203.40 exacta given out cold with 2nd choice The Lumber Guy! I have a new favorite horse and his name is Trinniberg.

Race 11                  Breeders’ Cup Mile

3rd choice Wise Dan wins.  No spot play given.

Race 12                  Breeders’ Cup Classic

3rd choice Fort Larned win, paying $20.80. Trifecta paid $713.80.  Spot play using Flat Out lost.

Spot Plays, Selections & Key Wagering Strategies for Breeders’ Cup Saturday

Now online!  Rich Nilsen’s Spot Plays, Selections & Key Wagering Strategies for Breeders’ Cup XXIX. Saturday’s analysis includes 5 Spot Plays/Best Wagering Plays on Saturday. Two of the Spot Plays on Saturday are huge, double digit longshots!

Only $7.97, covers:

* Pace Scenarios for every Breeders’ Cup race

* Top Selections for every Breeders’ Cup race

* Spot Plays/Best Bets with Wagering Strategies.

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Get instant download of this report – any major form of credit card through Pay Pal.  If encounter any difficulty, contact agameofskill @ gmail.com

About the Handicapper – Put a Pro on Your Side

The $2 Million National Handicapping Championship (NHC) is the premier horse racing tournament in the nation. It is basically horse racing’s version of the World Series of Poker, with the main difference being that players cannot buy their way into the NHC. Players can only win their way in via tournaments held throughout the country. Nilsen is one of the top participants in the history of the event, having qualified 10 times. He was the first player, and one of only two, to finish in the top 10 at the NHC twice. Nilsen has worked the past 19 years in the horse racing industry, after having graduated from the University of Louisville Equine Industry Program in 1992.