Is Fantasy Football A Game of Skill or A Game of Luck?

Skill or Chance fantasy sports

DALLAS – DEC 14: Taken in Texas Stadium on Sunday, December 14, 2008. Dallas Cowboys Quarterback Tony Romo waits for the snap from the center.

We could talk all day about probability theory, the law of large numbers, the gambler’s fallacy, Bertrand’s box paradox, the Monty Hall problem and other brain-teasing puzzles of probability and still fail to come to grips with Derrick Henry’s improbable fantasy football performance on Thursday (12/6/18) for the Tennessee Titans.

You could not have predicted the running back’s near 50-point performance. And nobody did because Henry wasn’t even the most productive fantasy back on his own team before re-entering the American sports consciousness for the first time since 2015 when he won the Heisman Trophy while playing at Alabama.

There was good news and bad news in all this, depending on your league and your perspective. Unless you play in a touchdown-only league or a very large standard league, chances are you weren’t victimized by Henry’s career day in Nashville, because your opponent had him on the bench. Nor did you benefit, because you also had him benched.

Big Game 50 Analysis from Ed Meyer

Big Game Analysis 2016 Successful handicapper and horse racing professional Ed Meyer has the tale of the tape for this Sunday’s classic Super Bowl match-up.  Ed has been following and wagering on the NFL all season long and he knows these two teams inside and out. Get his ATS and Over/Under predictions.

The 50th edition of the “Big Game” has the (14-4) Denver Broncos battling the (17-1) Carolina Panthers.  Levi Stadium is an open air venue that seats 75,000.     The latest weather forecast is for highs in the low  70’s during the day, and the low may reach 46 degrees by game time. There is no rain in the forecast.    The stadium is located in Santa Clara, California and is home to the San Francisco 49ers.  The Denver Broncos are (4-1) straight up in the last five games, and the total has gone UNDER five of the last seven games.    Carolina is (7-1) in their last eight games away from home, and they are (17-1) straight up this season.  The total has gone OVER in four of the last five games for the Panthers.    Currently the odds are hovering at Carolina  -5 ½ and the O/U is holding at 45.

 

The Broncos have been an electric team to watch this season, and they are plain nasty as underdogs going (5-1) SU and 5-0-1 ATS.    The favored team has lost four straight Super Bowls, and has only covered three from the last 14 ATS.    If you…  click here for Ed’s expert analysis and predictions.

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