AGOS Horses to Watch – Sept. 12, 2016

track announcer with binoculars

Ed Meyer is the track announcer at Belterra

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes and Horses to Watch

Belmont Park

9/10/16

Race #5 – #6 – Afleet Martini – 6 1/2 f dirt

Stumbled badly at the start and Manny Franco recovered nicely and was roused to make a solid bid for 2nd money.

Race #9 – #2 – Data Driven – 7f turf

Joel Rosario saved ground for most of the race and tipped off the rail at the top of the lane. Six wide into the lane producing a late lick down the lane  for the Chad Brown barn.

9/11/16

Race #2 – #6 – Adulation – 1 mile dirt

Tracked under the guidance of Manny Franco and loomed boldly around the far turn. He turned in a top effort for the Ian Wilkes barn his rally was enough to show promise for his next outing.

Race #4 – #2 – Jamyson N Ginger – 6f dirt

Stumbled badly at the start, and recovered to uncork a rally showing promise for the next effort.

Kentucky Downs

9/10/16

Race #3 – #6 – Dahlia’s Foxy Lady – 1 mile turf

Florent Geroux’s mount was a first time starter who was off slowly and put in a bid to come up short down the lane. She’ll only get better off of this race and good things are just around the corner.

Race #6 – #2 – High Noon Rider – 1 mile turf

Joe Rocco’s mount came away from the gate in an awkward fashion and made a striking move at the 5/16th’s pole to finish a solid 4th place effort.

Race #8 – #1 – Fleet Bernie – 1 mile and 70 yards  turf

Brian Hernandez in the irons and he settled his mount to track nicely. Upon giving his cue for more run he was blocked badly and had to settle for 3rd money.

AGOS Horses to Watch – August 18, 2016

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes for AGameofSkill.com visitors

Here are some runners who deserve a good look when they take to the track next out. Keep your eyes peeled and your bankroll handy.

Saratoga Racecourse

8/8/16

Race 2 – #5 – Minsky Moment – 6f

Two-year-old son of Flatter from the barn of Chad Brown. Bumped soundly at the start and was fanned four wide into the stretch finishing a strong 3rd place effort. Not bad for a first timer and Chad Brown will help his benefit from this outing.

Race 4 – #1 – Trade Zone – 6f dirt

First time starter for the red-hot Kiaran McLaughlin barn (33%). Steadied early and settled out nicely to win impressively. The good news is he’ll climb the ladder next out and should be a major danger at the windows.

Race 8 – #4 – Western Reserve – 7f dirt

Jose Lezcano for Bill Mott, and he lost his whip as soon as the gates opened. It was his 2nd effort off a brief layoff, and owned a sharp work coming into the race. After fanning four wide into the lane he finished up a solid 3rd place on this day. He should be more prepared next out.

Saratoga Racecourse

8/11/16

Race 3 – #3 – Ventry Bay – 5 1/2f turf

David Flores for Wesley Ward as he came away from the gate in an awkward fashion. He swung wide at the 3/16th’s pole and finished a game 2nd place. He is bred to relish the grass and with a little racing luck may score at a solid price next out.

Race 5 – #4 – Munchkin Monkey – 1 1/16 turf

Javier Castellano in the irons and was bottled up along the rail. This son of Scat Daddy has the breeding to relish the greensward next time out.

Belterra Park

8/13/16

Race 4 – #6 – Olympic Smoke – 5f turf

Bobbled at the start under Antioco Murgia and was fanned wide showing a very string late kick running out of ground. Maybe 5 1/2f is a better fit, or maybe just a little cleaner beginning should do the trick.

Race 5 – #3 – Altissimo – 6f dirt

He brought his perfect record of 4/4 at BtP to the table, but was a three-year-old facing older. He loves 6f, and when he drops back in with his age group it will be lights out next time to the races.

Race 6 – #10 – Barbad Bernie – 1 mile turf

Unprepared at the start coming from the #10 post can be a tough row to hoe. He chased the pace and dove over to the rail at the 3/16th’s pole and put on a game showing to be bested by a nose at the wire. Hopefully they will draw a better post and break more alertly. If this all goes accordingly, you can bet early and often.

AGOS Horses to Watch – Aug. 10, 2016

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes

Horses to Watch

You’ll want to keep your eyes peeled for some runners who didn’t get the kindest trips. Just follow them right back, and a big payday could be just around the corner.

track announcer with binoculars

Ed Meyer is the track announcer at Belterra

Belterra Park

Pepite (BTP Race #4, 8/7/16 – #1 – – 1 1/16 on the turf) – Fresh off the claim for “Chip” Brownfield, and for a turf course that plays kind to speed. This son of Pulpit was fanned eight wide at the top of the short stretch and got up in the shadow of the wire. They haven’t gotten to the bottom of this guy yet, and he looks like a turf runner that has the ability to move up in class. – For what its worth. The same winning connections claimed Aesop from the race who had a bad day and turned in a lackluster performance. His barn is on a mission and after talking with him last night there might be some more claims to come.

Saratoga

Brooklyn Bobby (SAR 8/6/16 Race #1 – #1 ,  1 1/16 turf) – This son of super horse Frankel shied inward at the start and was checked up sharply. Good works and great connections with Joel Rosario and Brian Lynch have us looking forward. The well-bred two-year-old has the makings of something very good as his sire wins 64% with his first time turfers. We’ll toss this one and file it under being a youngster.  This guy has something special and needs to be followed right back.

Sport (SAR Race #5 – #5,  1 1/16 on the turf) – jockey Irad Ortiz in the irons with a freshened son of Hard Spun. He had been away from the races for 55 days and has solid works to signal his readiness. He bumped around leaving the gate and stuck behind a wall of horses under a hammer-lock waiting for room. He was full of run and had no place to go. He has the look of a runner who may wheel right back and score.

Comfort (SAR Race #10 – #2 – Comfort – (G-1) Whitney – 1 1/8) – Johnny V and Pletcher brought this son of Indian Charlie to the paddock. He was facing a monster in Frosted but what he showed gives me great hope moving forward. He checked leaving the starting gate and while in the two path he showed great late acceleration. Maybe facing anyone but Frosted would be a blessing or could he be that upset runner in the wings ?  Time will tell and he’ll give em’ fits next with a clean trip.

Anchor Down (SAR 7/30/16 – Race #9 – #1 – 6f on the dirt) – Jose Ortiz had the call for Todd Pletcher and was coming off a 49 day layoff and turning back from a string of mile of races to go six panels. Now he has two starts with two ITM finishes at this distance, but this race looked like they have something in mind later in the season. – He was bumped soundly at the start and just mailed it in from there. – I can’t wait to him return to the races as his works were strong coming in and a little bad luck dampened his day.

King of Spades (SAR 7/28/16 – Race #6 – #9 – 1 mile turf) – Florent Geroux was far  back with slow fractions. He came rolling late in the lane to catch the eyes of handicappers far and wide. Fresh off a maiden win and maybe a little more ground could be in his future. Either way, if he finds a way to stay in contact with the field he may be one to get some good payback.

El Talento (SAR 7/30/16 – Race #1 – #3 – 5 1/2f turf) = Johnny V aboard this first timer for the Pletcher barn and was bumped at the gate break and stalked just off close to the leaders. Once the rider settled his mount he had to check off heels at the 3/16 th’s pole and  still managed a solid effort for third money.

Mountaineer

Moonshine Promise (MNR 8/6/16, Race  #1 – #8 – 6f on the main track)  – DeShawn Parker had the Cleveland invader in the catbird seat and rated well. He fanned out six wide making a late bid and his late turn of foot is what caught my eye.  He may pop up at Thistledown, or right back Mountaineer. I’m looking for a mid-range stake that will have him in the right place ready to roll.

 

 

Monmouth

Birdatthewire (MTH 7/31/16 – Race #10 – #6 – 1 1/16 dirt) –  Victor Lebron had the call and hesitated strongly going into the starting gate. This was her second start off a brief layoff and all systems looked go. Maybe she didn’t favor the track as it was her first effort over the slop. She exited a beaten favorite in the (G-1) Princess Rooney, and the drop in class had heavily backed at the windows. Give her a fast strip and the outcome may be a whole new game.

Sunny Ridge (MTH 7/31/16 – Race #12 – #2 – 1 1/8 on the dirt) –  Nik Juarez had the call in the Haskell Stakes and his mount was 2/2 with wins over the course. He also owned two nice second place finishes on a soft track. Go back and really watch the race closely. He may not have beaten the fast closing Exaggerator on his favorite type of track,  but he was behind a wall of horses at the top of the lane with no place to go. Once they squared away for the stretch the drive the tempo quickened and he had angle out and found late energy to finish a game third.  Maybe this level was a notch above his liking,  but play this one back with full confidence if he finds himself in a (G-2) or (G-3) effort. Go back to the Delta Jackpot and you see him rolling late in the lane getting beat by Exaggerator.

AGOS Saratoga Horses to Watch – July 27, 2016

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes for AGameofSkill.com visitors

Saratoga

Our Stormin Norman (SAR 7/23/16 – Race #2 – #7 – 1 1/16 on the turf) = Julien Leparoux in the irons, and his mount was bumped soundly and squeezed back at the start. This son of Blame will have much more to offer with a cleaner trip and hopefully the odds board will be very kind for some payback.

Bronson (SAR 7/23/16 – Race #3 – #4 – 6f on the dirt) = John Velasquez in the saddle for Todd Pletcher. This was the (G-3) Sanford Stakes, and this son of Medaglia d’ Oro broke his maiden at Monmouth Park in fine fashion as he stepped up the ladder. – It was a compact field of five and he was pinched back at the start and never got back into stride. – Team Pletcher will work out the kinks, and you can bet he’ll receive some strong gate work to have him ready to roll.

Recepta (SAR 7/23/16 – Race #10 – #7 – 1 1/8 on the turf) = Johnny Velasquez was the pilot and his filly came in 1/1 (ITM) over the Saratoga strip. She was three wide on the first turn, three wide on the far turn, and four wide into the stretch to be beaten by a nose. – She had a great sightseeing trip of The Spa, and dollars to donuts next out she’ll be more focused on getting her picture taken.

Grassarla (SAR 7/24/16 – Race #4 – #8 – 6 1/2 f on the dirt) = Luis Saez in the saddle for Chris Englehart. This daughter of Bluegrass Cat was 2nd in her first attempt getting off slowly brushing against the gate upon leaving. – She was the odds-on favorite this day and had the same troubles when they sprung the latch. Saez did his best to help her overcome the tardy beginning, but it was just too much to overcome. – If she comes out clean, you may cash at a very handsome price.

Llanita (SAR 7/24/16 – Race #6 – #3 – 1 1/16 on the turf) = Irad Ortiz had the call for Chad Brown, and this daughter of Rock of Gibraltar is bred to love the greensward. – Since she shipped in from France last September, she has been a fast closing machine. Her connections are red-hot and it is only a matter of time before she sees the winner’s circle.

Romans Paradise (SAR 7/24/16 – Race #11 – #4 – 1 mile on the turf) = Javier Castellano was aboard, and this was his second start of the year. He is 2/2 (ITM) at Saratoga and was taken up sharply to avoid running up on the heels of rank horses. Once he found clear sailing, he was a day late and a dollar short getting his momentum rolling. – Maybe a little better trip may be just what the doctor ordered.

AGOS Horses to Watch – July 18, 2016

The opening of “The Spa” should be a national holiday, or at least a day off for horseplayers.  They’ve been opening the doors since 1863, exactly one month after the Battle of Gettysburg. If you listen closely you may hear the sounds of past champions thundering down the stretch. But you’ll have to find out for yourself and add this track to your racing bucket list.  Want to learn how to “Beat Saratoga?”  Download this report today.

Del Mar

Langham (7/15/16 – DMR Race #10 – #9 – 1 mile turf) – Hall of Fame rider Mike Smith up for John Sadler and this first timer made an explosive run on the far turn into average fractional times. Keep an eye for this guy next out as I think he’s going to get better with every outing.

Belmont Park

Bobby on Fleck (7/9/16 – BEL Race #1 – #5 – 6f on the main –  Irad Ortiz was the pilot for Chad Brown and these guys do very good work as a team winning (27%). This first timer was pretty impressive and deserves a good play right back. He came into the race with a resume of bullet works and drew off strongly at the 3/16 th’s pole  to win by six lengths. He may be a nice play right back moving up the ladder.

Eloweasel (BEL 7/9/16 – Race #2 – #6 – 1 mile turf)  Manny Franco’s mount broke open the gate prior to the start and just stood there.  Either the asst. starter gets a raise, or she just wasn’t ready this day. Once the gates broke she was two wide early and ventured out in the six path rounding the far turn. We’ll give her a pass on this one and look for a blockbuster price next out. Think of this as a teaching moment that will pay boxcars !

Economic Model (BEL 7/9/16 – Race #7 – #6 – 1 mile dirt) –  Irad Ortiz and Chad Brown once again and this son of Flatter came in 4/5 ITM travelling over four different tracks. Ever since the dismal display in the (G-2) Tampa Derby, he has come back to reel off to straight wins. The barn looks to have her figured out and will be pointing to the Spa where he broke his maiden last year. Good things are coming from this guy.

Indygita (BEL 7/16/16 – Race #2 – #4 – 1 mile turf) –  Irad Ortiz in the irons and his filly stumbled leaving the starting gate and was forced out wide at the 1/16th pole. Look for this gal to improve and get a better trip next out.

She Doesn’t Mind (BEL 7/17/16 – Race #8 – #9 – 1 mile turf) –  Javier Castellano in the saddle for Chad Brown and this race appeared to have her making up good ground.  Go back and take a harder look and you’ll see she was forced wide into the stretch and while trying to find her best stride was held up and blocked down the lane. She should give the fits next time out.

AGOS Horses to Watch – 6/30/16

Horses to Watch for AGameofSkill.com visitors

Here are some runners you’ll want to keep your eyes peeled. These runners had a compromised trip and they deserve a good hard look before making your next wager.  Put them in your Stable Alert or Stable Mail notification service.

Arlington Park

Montana Kid (AP 6/24/16 – Race #7 – #7 – 1 1/16 turf) –  Jose Valdivia had the call for Larry Rivelli and his mount bobbled at the start and was taken back to the end of the field.   He was so far back he looked in another zip code and I started thinking he had no chance. As the field rounded the 1/4 pole he kicked into an incredible strong gear and started weaving through traffic like the Indy 500.  He was on track to thread the needle and go right past when a quitting runner nudged and bumped him a little and detained his late run by a stride which caused him to not get his picture taken this day. He needs a better break, and there is no doubt that this runner who was coming off two wins in  and dropping in class will show much better next out.

Belmont Park

Wild Chatter (BEL 6/22/16 – Race #4 – #7 – 1 1/16 turf) –  A three-year-old filly going for three-in-a-row on the greensward, and she deserves a good play next time out. Junior Alvarado in the irons and his mount was shut off at the 1/8th pole and was forced to shift off the rail. Once he found clear sailing he finished up with a great late kick in the final stages.

T R Crew (BEL 6/22/16 – Race #6 – #2 – 1 1/16 dirt) –  Angel Arroyo had the call and he did a perfect job of stalking along the rail saving precious ground. He was in the second flight and shifted off at the 3/16th’s pole and had to battle between runners to find a gap for a few strides. Once he broke free he was drawing down on the leader and was beaten by a dirty nose.   A cleaner trip gets this runner right in the winner’s circle next up.

Guyana Cat (BEL 6/25/16 – Race #5 – #8 – One mile dirt)   Jose Ortiz returned from his suspension and came back ready to pick up his business. – His mount was bumped soundly at the break and dropped back to the rear of the field. He was forced to swing three-wide at the top of the lane and finished with a sense of purpose. If Jose Ortiz stays aboard next out bet early and often.

Belterra Park

R Dirteater (BTP 6/25/16 – Race #2 – #3 – One mile dirt) –  Marco Ccamaque had the mount and his runner was off slowly from the break and saved ground all the way around. Once he angled out for clear sailing he finished with good interest and should bring the heat next time to the races.

Infiltrate (BTP 6/25/16 – Race #8 – #4 – 1 mile and 70 yards dirt) –  John McKee was the reinsman and had a perfect trip saving ground. Once produced, he kicked into another gear and finished with a solid late kick. He was beaten by a head in the affair right at the wire, and the winner lost his whip in the direction of Infiltrate in the last 40 yards. That tiny distraction was enough to keep him out of the winner’s circle.

Upright Stuff (BTP 6/26/16 – Race #8 – #8 – 6f  dirt) –  Euclyn Prentice Jr. was in the irons and he was going for his 4th win on the card. – He tracked the speed and made a move at the 3/8th’s pole weaving in and out of traffic. Once they past the 1/4 pole he was attempting to go through a hole that closed very quickly on him forcing him to take off heels and shift to the outside finishing fourth.   Watch this runner next up as he won’t disappoint.

AGOS Horses to Watch – 6/21/16

Churchill Downs

Dixie Jewel (6/11/16 – Race #1 – #1 – 1 1/16 dirt) – jockey Robby Albarado in the irons for Grant Forster, and his filly was in tight and forced to steady right about the 1/4 pole.   Sometimes it’s hard to regain your momentum and get back in gear, and she was a bridesmaid on this day. Next out may turn the table for a little payback, especially with a better rider aboard.

Our Stormin Norman (6/11/16 – Race #5 – #1 – 5f dirt) –  Joe Rocco Jr. in the saddle, and he was off slow in the 5f sprint. Going this short knocks away your chances, and you can bet dollars to donuts he’ll be a monster gaining experience from this race.

Sight Reading (6/11/16 – Race #9 – #6 – 1 1/16 turf) –  Robby A in the saddle, and his mount was roughed up a bit heading into the first turn and forced wide at different times of the race.    A maiden break is coming very soon as he regained his composure and made an honest attempt down the lane.

Santa Anita

Magical Touch (SA 6/11/16 – Race #3 – #3 – 6f dirt) –  This filly stumbled badly at the start and regained her composure nicely to finish a solid second place effort.   You may not get the greatest odds so you’ll be forced to find multi-race exotics to get you maximum payoff.

Sugaratmidnight (SA 6/11/16 – Race #6 – #3 – 6f dirt) – Santiago Gonzalez was in the drivers seat and made a very gutsy move splitting runners through a tight spot and rallied up strong for the show spot. They were moving fast and maybe 6 1/2 or 7f may be to his liking.

Stormin Trick (SA 6/11/16 – Race #10 – #10 – 5 1/2f dirt) –  Nothing like looking for a repeat winner, and Joe Talamo did an excellent job sitting as a passenger as his runner grabbed the lead and drew off to the winner’s circle. He looked to have plenty in the tank and repeat effort is not out of the question.

Recap of the Belmont Stakes Card (2016)

track announcer with binoculars

Ed Meyer is the track announcer at Belterra

 by Ed Meyer, special for AGameofSkill.com visitors

The Triple Crown trail officially ended with the running of the 148th Belmont Stakes. Many watched these runners since their two-year-old seasons and you may find yourself getting a little sentimental about this chapter of their racing career ending.  Before you start putting away your notes and stats, we may have just started the real handicapping. We have late summer racing and, of course, the road to the Breeders’ Cup.   So start up your notes and watch-lists again as the best is yet to come.  Some of these runners will have serious Breeders Cup implications.

The (G-1) Acorn Stakes – One mile on the dirt

There was a solid group of six who went to post and the big chalk was the incredible Cathryn Sophia. All of these gals glimmer in their own right, but here is one you’ll want to keep on your watch list for future racing.

Go Maggie Go  has done very little wrong and comes to the races from the Dale Romans bran. This daughter of Ghostzapper had her worst finish in her brief career (4th) and I’m looking forward to her races down the road. She has two 1 1/8 races (9 furlongs) under her belt and looks to be finding herself with every race. She responded well to the rider’s commands and looks like this race is just a stepping stone for bigger things to come.

The (G-1) Ogden Phipps Stakes – 1 1/16 on the dirt

Seven fillies and mares took to the track led by Curalina who was the public favorite this day.

Sheer Drama doesn’t have to take her track with her. She is consistent and shows tactical ability at all distances. She lunged at the start this day and was wide before trying to uncork a bid.   This race is a “toss out” and handicapper’s beware. This daughter of Burning Roma is going to blossom into a real monster with a little racing luck.

The (G-1) Just a Game Stakes – One mile on the turf

A field of thirteen fillies and mares assembled and with a field this size you may have to go back and watch the replay three or four more times to get the correct read. Here are a couple of gals who will should be on the radar screen for handicappers down the line.

Faufiler – California jock Drayden Van Dyke was aboard for Graham Motion, and both rider and trainer are well versed on the greensward. This daughter of Galileo is a stone cold closer. As long as there’s a solid pace she’ll come rolling from the clouds. In time I think we’ll see her a few strides closer to the pace setters, and that will make double dangerous to pick off runners late in the lane. She mainly has traveled a flat mile, but her breeding suggests she may enjoy added ground. After shipping across the pond from France, she appears to be getting better with every start.

Recepta has a late punch that could knock down the champ at any oval. John Velasquez was in the irons this day, and she did very little wrong except come up a bit short nearing the wire. She’s well traveled and merits respect anywhere she’ll run. Her best efforts may range from one mile to 1 1/8 on the turf.  Things look very bright for the future.

The (G-1) Metropolitan Handicap – One mile on the dirt

Just like a well-aged wine I think Frosted will only improve with time. The time figures from every publication are off the charts and he dismissed the “Dubai-Jinx” after getting beat at Meydan and putting on one of the best shows of his career. His late summer-fall campaign will be one to behold if all goes well, and right about when the Breeders’ Cup frenzy is at a fever pitch this will be one of the runners we’ll all be talking about.

The  (G-1) Manhattan Stakes – 1 1/4 on the inner turf

Nine runners went to post and the public made Flintshire from the Chad Brown barn the public choice at the windows.

Flintshire (GB) – This world traveler from the Chad Brown barn had the services of one of the best turf riders in the game with Javier Castellano.  His passport is stamped in Hong Kong, France, Dubai, and the United States. He missed by a 1/4 length in the 2014 edition of the Breeders’ Cup Turf, and this son of Dansili looked like he has yet to find his best gear.  One thing is for certain, every time he takes to the track he will be one of the tough guys to contend with, and if this race is any indication I can’t wait until we see him back on the weeds.

The (G-1) Belmont Stakes – 1 1/2 – The Test of Champions

As the media missed an opportunity to see Nyquist return for some payback from his Preakness loss, and the rumors swirled around Kent Desormeaux for personal problems. The fans we’re treated to a full field of thirteen runners and, in the end,  one incredible finish for the Triple Crown.

Destin – This son of Giant’s Causeway has the look of maturing colt at the right time. Add in some well deserved rest and a plan for the later part of the year and we’ll have one tough cookie going to post.  Take nothing away from the fast closing effort of the winner Creator who received a well timed ride from the ultra-talented Irad Ortiz Jr.  Looking ahead, I see a runner with tactical ability who will be feared as a front end presence or stalking just off the hot pace. He should probably find his best races in 1 1/16 – 1 1/8 events. His tactical style fits like a glove and this kind of ability plays well on any oval. By the time Breeders’ Cup is in full view, he’ll be one of the major players on everyone’s tickets.

AGOS Horses to Watch – June 7, 2016

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes

As we close in on the final leg of the Triple Crown, there seems to be more focus on finding value than the usual talk of making history. Triple Crown winners don’t grow on trees, and this year has the interest of players with a chock-full card sure to offer up value.  The best part of Thoroughbred racing is the hope that awaits. The promise of things to come, and the beauty of majestic runners taking our breath away. Best of luck this Saturday with the Belmont card, and in the meantime. Here are some runners who deserve a good piece of your wagering bankroll.

Belmont

Mascarello (BEL 6/4/16 – Race #5 – #7 – 1 1/16 turf) –  Aaron Gryder in the saddle for H.J. Bond, and his runner saw every inch of the course this day. He was forced wide into the first turn and then even wider as the race progressed. If the field covered 1 1/16, he may have covered 1 1/8.   His mount lost by 3/4 of a length on this day and that is saying a great deal for his extended trip around New York.

Inca Saint (BEL 6/5/16 – Race #2 – #4 – 1 1/16 dirt) – jockey Javier Castellano in the irons on this day, and was checked immediately after the gate break almost coming to a full stop. Once he got his runner back on stride, he was forced out wide during other points of the race.   Give this race a pass and you’ll find a better trip next out.

Belterra Park

Too Cool (BTP 6/4/16 – Race #4 – #11 – One mile turf) –  Geovany Garcia in the saddle, and his mount relished the grass course. The rains were starting and the weeds had a little glimmer of water. Breaking from the outside post is no bonus, but when you find impressive turn of foot down the lane to win in a hurry. Sometimes you keep a gal like this on your list for a return play at the windows.

Altissimo (BTP 6/4/16 – Race #5 – #10 – 6f dirt) – rider Antioco “Coco” Murgia in the irons and his runner is a perfect 2/2 over the course. The interesting part is he came closing strongly over a course that has been favoring speed. He is slated to return on Friday 6/10, and he is a part of an entry that may have short odds. If you’re looking for value you’re going to have to work on multi-race wagers.

Churchill Downs

Casses Story (CD 6/4/16 – Race #1 – #1 – 5f dirt) – Miguel Mena in the saddle and his mount was soundly bumped after the gate break, and was put in tight quarters at the 5/16th pole. Troubled trips often give us a great wagering opportunity next out, and this guy fits the bill.

Kylers Song (CD 6/4/16 – Race #4 – #1 – one mile dirt) –  Jack Gilligan at the controls, and his mount broke tardy from the gate and to rush into contention.   Once settled, his charge caught my eye as a runner making up good ground very easily.

 

AGOS Horses to Watch – 5/28/2016

Horses to Watch for AGameofSkill.com visitors

Here are some runners you can keep watch to start building your Belmont Stakes bankroll.

Belmont

Don Camillo (5/8/16 – Race #7 – #3 – 1 1/16 on the inner turf) – Javier Castellano was aboard and he came out bumping like a pinball when they sprung the gate latch. Once settled, Castellano started making a solid move only to run completely out of gas. – Maybe a cleaner trip with a class drop may be just what the doctor ordered.

Irish Actor (5/18/16 – Race #4 – #8 – 6f turf) – Cornelio Velasquez in the irons for Linda Rice, and this daughter of Patriot Act was making her first start in 7 months. She was dead last and came weaving through traffic for a solid fourth place effort over the quick turf. Give her a little more ground or a cleaner trip and it could be just what the doctor ordered.

Promotional (5/18/16 – Race #8 – #5 – 1 1/4 turf)-  rider Junior Alvarado had the call for the “mad genius” Thom Proctor. She had the best of trips and came flying like a down hill train. Once she arrived at the 1/8th pole, she was forced to take up sharply taking away all momentum.

 

Churchill

Sugar Kate (5/21/16 – Race #5 – #7 – 1 1/16 on the main)- Channing Hill aboard for trainer Tim Glyshaw, and his mare was in tight and pinballed around at the start. Once she settled out and regained her momentum, she was forced to angle out and forced to steady once again. – Keep her in the clear and Team Glyshaw gets their picture taken.

Blast (5/6/16 – Race #2 – #2 – 6 1/2f) – Corey Lanerie in the irons for Eddie Keannelly and this ultra-tough runner was scooting right up the inside rail and was shut off. The rider did an excellent job keeping him rolling, but shut-off still the same. There was an objection into the race and this horse-for-the-course filly was a bridesmaid after the decision was made. Next up she’ll probably take a new path right to the winner’s circle.

Lewis Bay (5/6/16 – Race #11 – #3 – 1 1/8) – Irad Ortiz in town to ride for Chad Brown, and this gal looked like a sure fire winner staying on the rail waiting a glimpse of daylight. I would have doubled down on her if possible by looks alone, but when she had her seem. She just faded down the lane. I don’t know if she couldn’t match Cathryn Sophia, or it was just a bad day. Either way, she’ll get my bankroll play next out.

Harmonize (5/6/16 – Race#10 – #1 – 1 1/16 on the turf) – On the Kentucky Oaks undercard, Junior Alvarado was up for Bill Mott, and she stumbled badly at the start on this day. She made a nice four wide move to get minor awards, but the gate break took quite a bit of momentum away. – Look for a huge turf effort next time to the races.

 

Indiana Grand

Dynamite Stick (5/18/16 – Race #5 – #7 – 5f turf) –  Marcelino Pedroza  for Mike Lauer, and his mount tracked in the 2nd flight and had to take off heels at the top of the lane. He picked it up smartly and came rolling late to lose by a dirty nose at the wire.

 

Santa Anita

Misdeed (5/8/16 – Race #8 – #7 -1 1/16) – Santiago Gonzalez was aboard, and his runner saw every inch of the track on this day. – He was three deep from the start, five wide on the second turn, and three wide down the lane. – Take away the extra 1/4 mile, and you will see a different runner.

 

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Enter with promo code AGOS to get a custom rebate schedule