AGOS Horses to Watch – August 7, 2017

Saratoga

7/22/17

Race #7 – AOC $62,500 – 5 1/2f on the turf – #10 – Vici

Vici = Irad Ortiz for Ben Colebrook as they brought a son of War Front to post. He made a flying move going 6f on the sod getting beat at the wire. They dropped him back to 5 1/2f on the weeds and he was 3/3 ITM going this distance. He came into the race with a bullet work at Keeneland and tipped off going four wide to get rolling. The four wide trip became 7 wide and was beaten by a head in a photo by his ultra talented brother Jose. This wasn’t the first Ortiz brother exacta, and it surely won’t be the last. But this guy will come guns blazing next out at the Spa.

Race #9 – The G3 Sanford – 6f on the main – #4 – Free Drop Billy

Free Drop Billy = Robby Albarado in the saddle for Dale Romans. This son of Union Rags was (15-1) on the morning line and was sent off (3-1). – He was an impressive winner at first asking at CD and had a blistering work over the deep Louisville track two works back in 1:00.03 1/32 for the day and distance. The public hammered him at the windows and so did Admiral Jimmy leaving the starting gate. Once he got rolling he went 4 wide chasing down the leader only to settle for the place spot. – Kentucky runners are doing well at Saratoga and you can’t keep Romans off your ticket if you want to cash it right after the race.

7/23/17

Race #7 – Claiming – 6f on the main – #6 – Nisha

Nisha = Irad Ortiz in the irons and was shooting for three-in-a-row. He stumbled badly at the start and recovered his action only to slam into Courtmewithcarats. After that little smash-up, he was pinched back and made a stout five wide move to be third. He’ll come back nicely and probably it will be on the Saratoga lawn.

Race #11 – Mdn Claiming – 1 mile on the turf – #11 – Prognostication

Prognostication = Jose Ortiz for Chad Brown and is a good stalker. Ortiz sensed average fractions and made a quick move and jumped into 2nd keeping an eye on the leader. He was a beaten chalk last out and was sent off the odds-on choice today as well. – He couldn’t have looked any better with the talented Ortiz aboard but got leg weary down the lane getting the show dough. Next out he’ll be a major player.

 

Belterra Park

7/23/17

Race #8 – Claiming – 6f on the main – #4 – Super Franchise

Super Franchise = Gabriel Lagunes for Webster Rosello (28%). He was dropping down from condition $10,000 to condition $7,500. – He hopped at the start and was off poorly. Lagunes had him in high gear and put together a late rally that really caught my eye as he finished a solid third.

7/29/17

Race #3 – Mdn Sp Wt – 1 1/16 on the turf – #6 – Grey Queen

#6 – Grey Queen = Shipping in from Indiana Grand for the Calumet Farm connections. Edgar Paucar was the rider and trainer Jose Fernandez is winning (20%) on the year. – This daughter of More Than Ready was blocked, shuffled back and still came flying very quickly to be a bridesmaid this day. – She gets her picture taken next out with a cleaner trip.

Race #4 – Starter Alw – 1 3/16 on the main – #4 – National Defense

#4 – National Defense = Solid gelding shooting for three-in-a-row. He was 6/8 ITM over the track and made a perfect stalking move under Euclyn Prentice Jr. – He made a ground saving move against the rail and tried to tip off for clear sailing. He was impeded and blocked and was forced to settle for 3rd until a DQ placed him 2nd. I spoke with the riders after he had a meeting with the stewards over this incident and the rider felt he had the best horse by far and lost much of his momentum after being forced to check up off heels. – He’ll be a tough guy next time to the races.

 

AGOS Horses to Watch – August 2, 2017

Put these runners in your Stable Mail or Stable Alert service.

Belmont Park

7/8/17

Race #3 – Maiden Sp Wt – 5 1/2f on the main track

Roaming Union = Mike Smith was aboard for Kelly Breen. He was forced to check up strongly at the break and fanned out 6 wide at the top of the lane. This race should be a great learning tool for races ahead.

Race #8 – G1 Belmont Oaks – 1 1/4 on the turf

Uni (GB) = Irad Ortiz in the saddle for Chad Brown making her first start in 58 days after shipping over from France. Brown has been winning at (27%) at the meet and she broke slow at the start and was in tight along the hedge. She was closing stoutly and will be fun to follow right back for good things to come.

Race #10 – G1 Belmont Derby – 1 1/4 on the turf

Good Samaritan = Joel Rosario for Bill Mott. 3rd off the layoff for this son of Harlan’s Holiday and hit the gate at the break. He was three-wide turning for home and dove to the rail trying to save ground. He opened at (12-1) and was bet down to ($5.60-1) as the public saw the value in this runner. He’ll bring plenty of good runs in days to come.

7/9/17

Belmont Park

Race #3 – Allowance – 7f on the turf

Rubilinda = Jose Ortiz in the irons for Chad Brown. This daughter of Frankel is bred to relish the turf and was taking the next step up the ladder. She broke inward at the break and steadied twice hard during the race. I would use this effort as a learning tool for the future. She’ll reward her backers next time out.

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Belterra Park

7/9/17

Race #2 – Maiden Special Weight – 5f on the turf

As You Do = 1st time starter by Colonel John for the red-hot barn of Dane Kobiskie (43%) at the meet. He was working well and weaved through traffic like a professional. He’ll be effective sprinting or getting more ground adding to this win.

7/8/17

Race  #5 – Claiming – 1 mile and 70 yards – (Originally scheduled for 1 mile on the turf )

Gem Digger = Odhair Mayta aboard for Stephanie Preston an (80%) winning trainer with only 5 starts this meet / 4 wins and 1 third place finish. This daughter of Tale of Ekati  was fresh off a maiden win and three off the shelf. She reared at the start and made a strong effort to get back in the game. With a little racing luck she’ll be a major player.

 

 

AGOS Horses to Watch – July 20, 2017

Horses to Watch for AGOS visitors.  Mark these Belmont runners down for the upcoming Saratoga meeting.

Belmont Park

7/15/17

Race #1 – Claiming – 6f – King of Anything

#4 – King of Anything = Rajiv Maragh in the saddle for Dom Giglio. He’s been off 59 days and the trainer wins (21%) with layoff runners. He had a sharp work coming in and was pinched back at the start winding up last in the field. He spun out two wide, then five, and eventually 7 wide at the top of the lane finishing a game 4th.

Race #6 – Claiming – 7f on the turf – Stormin Maclean

#4 – Stormin Maclean = Luis Saez in the irons for Brad Cox (32%). This was his 2nd start off the layoff coming in from Keeneland. The barn wins (32%) with turf runners and was getting added ground going from 6f – 7f. He was caught in very tight against the rail losing all momentum. He is more than capable getting his picture taken next out.

Race  #7 – Mdn Claiming – 1 1/16 turf – Kierland

#4 – Kierland = Luis Saez for Mike Maker getting first time Lasix for a (20%) win clip. His last race came off the turf and the barn scores (21%) going dirt to turf. He uncorked a strong rally splitting runners twice down the lane closing in on the leader. He was beaten in the shadow of the wire.

Belterra Park

7/14/17

Race #3 – Allowance Optional Claiming – 6f on the main track – Woodland Mask

#2 – Woodland Mask = Hector Rosario Jr. in the irons and led from start to finish impressively. They set a new track record while in hand throttled down the last 1/16th of a mile in 1:08.10 – This guy has plenty more in the tank.

Race #4 – Mdn Sp Wt – 5f on the dirt – Love and Mischief

#5 Love and Mischief = John McKee in the saddle for “Buff” Bradley. This filly looked great coming onto the track. This two-year-old broke sharp and was forced to take back and jog home after two horses bumped and were caught in a spill right in front of her. – Toss this race out and she’ll come back and show a better side next out.

Race #8 – Mdn Claiming – 6f on the main track – #C. M. Victoria Rose

#1 – C.M. Victoria Rose = Dean Sarvis (23%) aboard for Matt Hebert (50%) this day. This daughter of Thunder Gulch was shipping in from Tampa Bay and dropping in class. She was far back in the field and came flying very strongly in the lane getting beat a head right at the wire. Play her right back and double-down if Sarvis stays in the saddle.

AGOS Horses to Watch – July 6, 2017

7/1/17

Belterra Park

Race #4 – Mdn Sp Wt – 5f dirt

Tempestuous Amy was a 1st time starter by I Want Revenge. She was sent off the odds-on choice and ran an even third place finish. Trainer Bill Connelly wins (20%) with his 2-yr-olds and does very well for the second trip to the races. She’ll be a major player next out.

7/3/17

Belterra Park, Race #7 – Allowance Optional Claiming – 1 mile  turf

Princess Drossie was making her 3rd off the layoff move for Phil Sims. She was 1/1 at BtP and had Cory Orm back in the saddle. There was a greast deal of traffic problems resulting in a DQ.  She circled the field in a 7 wide bid getting beat 1/2 length at the wire for everything.

7/1/17

Belmont Park

Race #7 – $100,000 Perfect Sting – 1 mile turf

#8 – Ancient Secret was making her 2nd start of the 2017 season. The Chad Brown trainee was 4/5 ITM coming into the race was in the 3 path most of the race. When they turned for home she was carried out into the 7 path running 3rd this day. – With a little racing luck she’ll be tough next out.

Race #8 – Allowance – 6f on the main track

#3 – Wicked Macho is a son of Macho Uno. He had Jose Ortiz in the saddle and was exiting the $150,000 Easy Goer. He was odds-on favorite this day and shied at the start, checked off of heels, and weakened down the lane. I am tossing this race as a “bad hair day” and look forward to his next. He looked good coming onto the track and should give a better account next out.

7/2/17

Ellis Park

Race #4 – O.C. 20,000 – 6f on the main track

Bourbon Cowboy shipped in from Arlington and was making the poly-dirt switch. The 3rd off the layoff looked solid as the barn wins (28%) on this move. He broke slow and once he got back on track he finished up with good late kick.

Race #7 – Mdn Sp Wt – 5f on the main track

Party Club was a first time starter by Sky Mesa. She came in for D. Wayne Lukas off a bullet work and looked good on the track. She came running late and was forced 7 wide at the top of the lane gaining ground rapidly. She’ll get better with each start and should come rolling late in the lane next out.

 

AGOS Horses to Watch – June 30, 2017

Belmont Park

6/23/17

Race #8 – Runaway Posse – Alw $77,000 – 6f turf

This was his second start off a three month layoff shipping in from Fair Grounds. He was 6/10 ITM (in the money/top 3) over the Belmont  Park oval. Dylan Davis was cut off sharply at the 1/16th pole by #9 /Lord of Love. He tried to get back in action but lost all momentum in the traffic, costing him all chance.

Belterra Park

6/25/17

Race #1 – Golden Justice – Allowance – 6f dirt

Cheyanna Patrick in the saddle for Gary Patrick. She is 5/6 ITM at Belterra and the odds-on favorite this race. She was off slow and made a steady advance. Once clear she tipped off and made a strong late rally to be third this day. A little better start has her heading to the winner’s circle.

Race  #3 – Pray for Kitten – Mdn Claiming – 1 mile on the turf

Katie Clawson in the saddle for Wesley Ward. Ward had great success at Royal Ascot during the week, and now he brought a first time starter to a maiden claiming race at Belterra. He came onto the track as the odds-on choice and was green at every turn. He almost unseated the rider coming onto the track, took off from the pony, and was overall anxious.  During the race he was darting in and out and finally grabbed the lead. Down the lane he started drifting and weaving and faded a bit in the stretch. I think they’ll have the bugs worked out for next race and this colt will make a good showing.

Indiana Grand

6/21/17

Race #6 -Midnight Blvd – Hoosier Breeder Sophmores – 1 1/16 dirt

This daughter of Bellamy Road was making her second start of the year. She was 4/4 ITM and all of her races came at Indiana Grand. She had a perfect stalking trip and was forced to check off heels at the top of the lane. This was just enough to take away her momentum and she still managed to mount a strong bid for 2nd money.

AGOS Horses to Watch – 2017 Belmont Stakes Day

Horses to Watch for AGOS (AGameofSkill.com) visitors.  Four horses to enter in your Stable Mail from Belmont Stakes 2017!

Belmont Park

6/10/17

Race #2 – You’re to Blame –  The Easy Goer – 1 1/16 dirt

Javier Castellano in the irons for Chad Brown, and they have been winning (46%) of the time. 1/1 at Belmont and shipped in off a closing effort in the Pat Day Mile at Churchill Downs. Bumped at the start and spun 6 wide turning for home managing to be second this day.

Race #4 – Sweet Loretta – G-1 Acorn – 1 mile dirt

Javier Castellano for Todd Pletcher brought a daughter of Tapit who was away from the races for two months. She stumbled badly at the start, and this was a pretty tough bunch. She managed a 4th place effort and should rebound greatly off this awkward beginning.

Race #7 – Petrov – G-2 Woody Stephens – 7f dirt

Ricardo Santana in the saddle and was making his first start in 56 days since the Arkansas Derby. Santana was caught 4 wide in the turn and 7 wide at the 1/8th pole. He will improve for a summer campaign and Santana is going to ride in New York this year.

Race  #10 – Time Test – G-1 Manhattan – 1 1/4 turf

Castellano in the saddle for Chad Brown and was a beaten favorite shipping in from Arlington. He made a strong effort going 6 wide and is just getting started on a summer campaign.

 

Belterra Park

6/10/17

Race #7 – Lethal – 1 mile and 70 yards

John McKee was rolling late in the lane shipping in from Arlington Park. He finished second this day and was 3/4 off the winner. Improvement is soon to arrive the next time he loads in the starting gate.

Race #5 -Steph and Me – 6 1/2f dirt

John McKee rode the Fairmount invader for trainer Dan O’ Halloran. He drew off easily and is eligible for the same conditions next out. A duplication of this race is not out of the question.

 

AGOS Horses to Watch – Belmont Park, more – June 5, 2017

Horses to Watch for AGOS Visitors

Belmont Park

5/29/17

Race  #4 – Ancient Secret – 1 mile turf

She was making her first start of the 2017 season for Chad Brown. Irad Ortiz in the saddle and was tracking perfectly in the two path and weakened down the lane to finish 4th this day. – Toss this race as needing one and you’ll be pleasantly surprised next time she hits the track.

5/27/17

Belmont

Race #1 – The Crocheron Kid – 6f turf

Jose Ortiz in the irons for David Donk. This guy had an overland trip spinning wide into the lane costing precious ground. He scored this day, and is a perfect candidate for a repeat preformance at the windows.

Race #7 – Vigor – 6f turf

Jose Lezcano in the saddle for Bill Mott and they do very solid work together. He was wide grabbing the lead and later inhaled by a solid winner Rublinda. Give him a hard look next out, and catch him if you can !

Fear No Evil – (Same race)

Luis Saez at the controls for trainer Thom Albertrani. He was tracking perfectly and shut off trying to tip off the rail. He dove right back to the inside and found no room. Saez wrapped up on his mount and saved plenty of gas in the tank for next out.

Race #8 – Kitten’s Cat – 7f  turf

John Velasquez for trainer Joe Sharp. It was a quick pace and he came flying late in the lane, but couldn’t pass the impressive winner Big Handsome. Shipping in from Churchill Downs;  his second time out in the “Big Apple” will make this son of Kitten’s Joy ultra tough.

Santa Anita

5/27/17

Race #5 – Avenge – 1 1/8 turf

Flavien Pratt in the irons for Dick Mandella. She grabbed the lead from the rail and was heavily backed at the windows. She faced a monster this day with Lady Eli and if she catches anyone else she’ll give them all they want next time she hits the track.

 

AGOS Horses to Watch – June 2, 2017

Horses to Watch for AGOS Visitors

Belmont

5/17/17

Race #2 – Initiate – 1 1/16 turf

Irad Ortriz in the saddle Shug McGaughey. This daughter of Pioneer of the Nile shipped up from Tampa Bay and has been off for 49 days. Ortiz grabbed the lead and did everything to perfection. He was beaten in the shadow of the wire and should improve greatly off this effort.

5/20/17

Race #7 –  Lull – 7f turf

Kendrick Carmouche in the saddle with a nice filly by War Front. She was getting 2nd time lasix and exited the G-3 Appalachian at Keeneland. The rider was in striking distance from the leader and lost the whip at the 1/16th pole.  She should do better next out and may reward her backers.

Race #8 – Tiz a Chance – 6f turf

Paco Lopez in the irons for Graham Motion. Forced to steady off heels at the 1/16th pole losing  momentum down the lane. The drop in class was a target race for Motion and this New York-bred is in good order to fire right back.

Belterra Park

5/20/17

Race #2 – Gloton – 1 1/16 dirt

Gabriel Lagunes in the saddle. Once the gate broke he was thrown in the air and his mount broke inward hitting the gate and went down. Unseating the rider and going down was tough, and he was the second betting choice this day. The horse and rider jumped right back up and this race is a toss out. Handicapper’s enjoy an angle like this as many ‘cappers will dismiss him as a bad actor. Cross this race off and move forward. He’ll reward his backers.

Race #5 – Momma’s Gift – 4 1/2 f for two-year-old fillies

Apprentice Caroline Quast in the saddle and this filly was erratic to say the least. She was shipping in from Keeneland and went wide, ducked in, and finally dove to the rail  making a strong late bid. She needs a good playback and if the unseasoned apprentice is aboard she’ll get a square price.

Race #7 – Hurricane Bay – 1 mile and 70 yards on the main (off the turf)

John McKee in the irons for owner / trainer Dan O’Hallaron. The Fairmount invader made a solid late bid hooking a runner who benefitted from a speed bias. “Hurricane” looks to be rounding into form and will pay dividends for players who back him. Fairmount runners do well over the track, and last year his barn did very well at Belterra making the trip.

AGOS Horses to Watch – May 27, 2017

Horses to Watch for AGOS Visitors

Belmont

5/13/17

Race #3 – Switzerland – 6f dirt

Javier Castellano in the irons for Chad Brown. The colt shipped in from Keeneland stumbling badly at the start and lost his footing during the race. Castellano tried to recover and made a solid move for 4th as the beaten favorite. He’ll be on my betting radar with both hands.

Race #5 – Major Force – 1 1/16 on the main

Javier Castellano aboard for Arnaud Delacour. They broke from post #13 on a sloppy sealed track. He spun out five wide and was forced to check losing momentum. – A clean trip would have  a winner’s circle visit in the plans.

Belterra Park

5/13/17

Race #3 – Dollar Billy – 1 mile turf

Gabriel Lagunes tracked just off the pace and made a strong move at the 3/8th’s pole. He grabbed the lead and was beaten by a neck on the wire. He’ll be looking for payback next time out.

Race #6 – Mad Heiress – 1 mile

Dean Sarvis in the saddle for Matt Hebert. She shipped in from Fair Grounds and made a strong late kick when the real running began. She drew off to win by 3 1/4 and I’m looking for a repeat next time out for a red-hot trainer.

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5/14/17

Race #4 – War Ready – 5 1/2f dirt

John McKee in the saddle for Eric Foster and was at the back of the pack for most of the race. Once he commenced a rally his action had McKee splitting horses and running on with good effort getting beat one length for the win picture.

Race #5 – Under the Table – 1 1/16 turf

Dean Sarvis for the hot barn of Brett Santangelo. Sarvis stalked just off the pace and tipped off the rail making a solid run down the lane. He looked the like a runner with the best chances and was pushed out down the lane. He was second and put up in a DQ.  The barn and the rider must be respected as team and a repeat effort is not out of the question.

Race #7 – Nikki My Darling – Tomboy Stakes – 1 1/16 turf

Luis Colon was in town to ride for Jeffrey Radosevich. Carrying the colors of Loooch Racing, the grey filly stalked the leaders and made a winners move down the lane. She was beaten a tough length by Someday Soon who exited the (G-1) Ashland Stakes at Keeneland. She’ll be back to lock horns, and they better bring their “A” game.

AGOS Horses to Watch – April 7, 2017

Horses to Watch for AGOS (AGameofSkill.com) visitors

Gulfstream Park

4/1/17

Race #2 – #11 – Monterey Marianne – 7 1/2f turf

Paco Lopez had the call for Jane Cibelli. The filly was coming off a 7 month layoff from Monmouth and working a regular clip at Palm Meadows. She was a handful this day tugging at the rider begging to takeoff and had to check and be restrained. Maybe she’s feeling just fine but needed one to work out the bugs. – I’m watching for her next effort at a price.

Race #4 – #2 – Delta Prince – 1 mile turf 

Jose Ortiz had the call for James Jerkins and this son of Street Cry was a perfect 2/2 over the sod. His 2nd effort of 2017 was exiting off a win and looked strong around the far turn as Ortiz guided him into a clear lane. He was out-kicked by eventual winner All Included who looked super as the odds-on favorite. Delta Prince may have needed a race just like this to get the competitive juices rolling, and I think we’ll see big things from this guy.

Race #8 -#9 Taperge – 1 mile turf

Javier Castellano in the saddle for Chad Brown always has to be respected. This daughter of Tapit flashed a good sign of things to come. Brown is winning at a white-hot (24%) and this was her third start in 2017. She got motoring and looked to have a dangerous turn of foot. This was a step up in class and I think she’ll grow into herself nicely.

Race #14 – The Florida Derby – #11 -Gunnevera – 1 1/8 

Javier Castellano in the driver’s seat for Antonio Sano and they broke from the outside post. This son of Dialed In was ready to give maximum effort and had to be restrained, and then urged to move about the 3/8th’s pole. He never found that comfortable stride, and I’m not tossing out the “Gun” for one average effort. No matter where he lands he’ll be a nice runner down the road.

Fair Grounds

4/1/17

Race #9 – The Mervin Muniz -#10 -Oscar Nominated – 1 1/8 turf

Florent Geroux in the saddle for Mike Maker.  This son of Kitten’s Joy came in 3/3 ITM and loves the “Big Easy.” He was a beaten chalk last time out and comes back to win (27%) next up. He was 3-4 wide on both turns and still managed a strong effort.

Race #11 – The Louisiana Derby – #1 – Patch – 1 1/8 dirt

Take nothing away from the impressive victory of Girvin. He did everything great and did not disappoint the faithful. Patch was handled by Tyler Gafflione for Todd Pletcher and this was his third start in 2017 with no starts in his two-year-old season. He bumped his rival and had to gather his composure quickly. After getting it all together he spun three-wide and made a game chasing effort. Not sure where he’ll end up when the smoke clears, but he’ll get better like a fine wine.