AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – Oct. 25

October 25, 2020 by Leave a Comment

Know thy Keeneland TrainersComplimentary Horses to Watch & Trip Notes for Agameofskill.com visitors

KEENELAND

TRIBULATION (Race 5 at Keeneland, Oct. 16, 2020).  Toss this start as this second time starter stumbled badly at the start.  It was his first start going two turns and as a son of Medaglia D’oro he is clearly bred for a route of ground.  Ran very well in his debut prior for trainer Dallas Stewart.

LITTLE BELLA (Race 10 at Keeneland, Oct. 16, 2020).  Paddy O’Prado filly has really improved since the barn moved her to the dirt.  Despite the rise in class she surged late to catch a nice horse who looked home free down the lane.  Although she can turf, she looks better on the main track.

PIMLICO

COMPLETED PASS (Race 6 at Pimlico, Oct. 1, 2020) – The Robert Bone runner broke a step slow in this 5 furlong turf dash in honor of the late, great Jim McKay.  He raced between horses early before unleashing a powerful late run to nearly catch the front-running winner.

GIGGLING (Race 8 at Pimlico, Oct. 1, 2020) – This filly tried to steal the race in a 5 furlong turf dash that was loaded with early speed but she faltered late over the yielding ground.  Look for her back on her preferred dirt surface, especially in a situation where she can get loose on the front end.

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AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – May 31

May 31, 2020 by Leave a Comment

AGOS Free Horses to Watch & Trip Notes, compliments of Agameofskill.com.  Put these runners in your stable mail notification service.

GULFSTREAM  PARK

PLEASANT ORB (Race 10 stakes @Gulfstream, May 15, 2020) – Another bonehead ride from Jersey Joe Bravo.  He ran this 3yo daughter of Orb right up on the heels of horses on the far turn, causing her to steady and lose precious momentum.  She altered course, swinging out but her finish was too late.

Tampa Paddock

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TAMPA BAY DOWNS

PALACES DIAMOND (Race 4 @TAM, May 20, 2020) – 2nd time starter finished well against the grain of the track that was kind to early speed.  It was also her first start in a couple of months, so she can move forward and into the winner’s circle next out.

CELESTIAL ORB (Race 8 @TAM, May 27, 2020) – This was the lone dirt sprint on the card, which is kind of unusual at Tampa or any track.  This 3yo filly got off to a rough start and raced wide but rallied well into the prevailing bias to get up for 2nd.

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AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – April 23

April 23, 2020 by Leave a Comment

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes, compliments of Agameofskill.com

GULFSTREAM PARK

COWTOWN (Race 10 at Gulfstream Park, 4/17/2020) – First time turf runner overcame a brutal trip to storm home late as a better-than-it looks winner in the finale.  The son of Tonalist was in traffic throughout, was knocked off stride down the lane, but quickly recovered to burst home in the final furlong.

EAGLES PALACE (Race 10 at Gulfstream Park, 4/17/2020) – Another first time turf runner from the same race as winner Cowtown.  This colt was bumped hard around the first turn.  Around the final turn he was blocked and steadied.  Recovered to rally wide but flattened out late.  Can improve off that effort for trainer Bill Mott.

Did you read Handicapping Tip #53 – Love Them Before You Bet Them.

OAKLAWN PARK

FLAGSTAFF (Race 8 at Oaklawn Park, 4/18/2020) – This guy broke awkwardly, spotting the field 2-3 lengths.  Was trailing the field early on and was actually steadied briefly at the 5/8th pole, further compromising any chance of winning.  Despite that, Flagstaff absolutely blew by the field down the stretch and just missing catching up with 3x Count Fleet Sprint winner Whitmore at the wire.  Impressive performance in defeat.

HOROLOGIST (Race 10 at Oaklawn Park, 4/18/2020) – The 2019 Monmouth Oaks winner wasn’t going to win the G1 Apple Blossom but she lost all chance when rallied into a wall of horses at the top of the lane. From there she had no where to run and actually finished sneaky well to end up in the front half of the field.  Could be a sneaky play next out in the right spot.

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AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – March 2

March 2, 2020 by Leave a Comment

track announcer with binocularsHorses to Watch & Trip Notes for AGOS visitors. Agameofskill.com is an educational website for horse racing fans and handicappers.  Thank you for visiting.

GULFSTREAM PARK

TOOK A CAB (Race 2 @GP, Feb. 26, 2020) –  This cheap maiden claimer had run against the bias back on Feb. 7th and returned in a winnable spot here.  Unfortunately, after new rider Jaramillo sent him to the lead he dueled with another horse.  He finally put that one away but those efforts took it’s toll in the final 1/16th of a mile.  Eligible to win back in the right spot.

NEW HOPE ROAD (Race 4 @GP, Feb. 26, 2020) – Quality Road filly closed belatedly for third behind the top 2 logical horses in first start since June. Barn only 8% off long layoffs so she could improve next out.

Racing News: Churchill Downs’ stock upgraded

FREUDIAN FINISH (Race 9 @GP, Feb. 20) – Returned off a layoff for trainer Brendan Walsh and nearly pulled off a big upset.  Got run down late by a sharp closer.  There’s a reason Tyler G. took this mount.  Can move forward off this strong performance.

OAKLAWN PARK

WAR VETERAN (Race 5 @OP, Feb. 27, 2020) – This four year old is rounding into sharp form for the Ron Moquet barn.  4yo sat a great trip stalking the leading duo before taking over and drawing off as much the best.  Should handle the rise to “3 life” company next time out at Oaklawn Park.

SAM HOUSTON

ALWAYS INTHE MUNNY (Race 5 @HOU, Feb. 26, 2020) – 3yo Munnings filly was making only her third start and first for a new barn.  She ran a huge race, giving the odds-on favorite everything she could handle.  Also sports a nice turf pedigree, so watch for dirt or turf.

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AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – Aug. 13

August 13, 2019 by Leave a Comment

Saratoga canopy walk throughAGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes for AGameofskill.com visitors

August 13th Edition

SARATOGA

CLEON JONES (Race 1 @SAR, July 28, 2019) – Expensive two year old in training purchase looked beat turning for home but unleashed a powerful late run (12.1) to not only get up but be drawing off impressively at the wire.  Tale Of The Cat 2yo could be a stakes runner for Englehardt.

FREAKY STYLEY (Race 1 @SAR, July 24, 2019) – Trainer Jorge Abreu had this firster ready to go in debut but he broke slowly (spotted 1 1/2 lengths to field) out of the gate.  Despite the tough 7 furlong distance he rallied well to finish 2nd to the winning Chad Brown horse.

IRISH MIAS (Race 6 @SAR, July 24, 2019) – 2yo son of Sky Mesa finished very well in debut and was the only threat to the gate-to-wire winning favorite.  This was on dirt, but his dam loved the turf and he is a half to a turf winner of over $90k.

ROMANTIC PURSUIT (Race 10 @SAR, July 28, 2019) – Maiden winner tracked the pace and took over turning for home.  In the final 1/8th she was super game to hold off several challengers.  Well-bred filly for Godolphin has a future.

SHENNAN (IRE) (Race 4 @SAR,  July 25, 2019) – Foreign invader for Mark Casse was likely compromised by the slow pace and heavy downpour conditions.  Given strong Euro form in Ireland, this well bred colt deserves another chance against similar.

PUTTHEGLASSDOWN (Race 8 @SAR, July 27, 2019) – PA bred son of Violence broke open the gate prior to the start. He finished very well in this 6 furlong 1x behind the speedy Jason Servis runner who helped set the pace.  Has run very well in all three Saratoga starts.

KEOTA (Race 1 @SAR, July 31, 2019) – This Lonhro filly was overbet off the claim by Jason Servis for Michael Dubb.  She stayed in after the race was taken off the turf but she despises the main track.  Look for her back on the grass in her second start for Servis.

MASCHA (FR) (Race 7 @SAR, July 31, 2019) – Margin of victory was deceptive as this Chad Brown import was much the best in this 1x entry level allowance.  Ran a close second to Homerique overseas and that one is a Grade 2 winner and Grade 1 placed for Brown in the States.

KLICKITAT (Race 10 @SAR, Aug. 1, 2019)- ran second to a stakes-placed turf runner in career debut, running a big 2yo fig, and finally got back on the grass her 10 months later.  Making first start for Jerkens, the 3yo just missed late to a logical winner that dropping in from open company.  Major contender next time out at same level.

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AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – August 2

August 2, 2019 by Leave a Comment

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes for AGameofskill.com visitors

SARATOGA

SHE’S A JULIE (Race 13 @SAR, July 21, 2019) – This honest filly from the Asmussen barn spotted weight to the top two finishers but held on well for third in this Grade 1 stakes.  She can dangerous next time in a better spot.

BLUE GEM (Race 1 @SAR, July 21, 2019) – 3yo looked really good winning first time off the claim for trainer Steve Asmussen, who dropped him from 30k to 16k.  Should be able to take a logical step up in class next time out.

OFF THE RECORD (Race 7 @SAR, July 17, 2019) – Firster took a lot of money and ran to it.  Son of Distorted Humor was very professional coming up the rail to win going away in this off-the-turf maiden special weights event.  Brisset barn doesn’t usually have them cranked up first time out.

MY SASSY SARAH (Race 10 scr @SAR, July 17, 2019) – Michelle Nevin firster was scratched when this race was taken off the turf.  She is a half to two nice turf winners, and the dam won on the grass as well.  Granddaughter of War Front should love the sod.

SHANCEALOT (Race 11 @SAR, July 28, 2019) – Juice.

LUCKY MOVE (Race 3 @SAR,  July 25, 2019) – Marshall Gramm’s Ten Strike Racing runner was claimed two back and then shipped to New York to take advantage of the lucrative state-bred program.  The mare rewarded this smart move with a powerful, off-the-pace victory in this 1x, optional $25k race.  Loves 9 furlongs and can be a threat at the next level.

DEL MAR

NOLDE (Race 8 @DMR, 7/17/2019) – Son of Pioneerof The Nile is a strong closer on the grass for trainer John Shireffs.  Sophomore colt just missed to favorite in the Oceanside Stakes on opening day.

ORIGINAIRE (IRE) (Race 7 @DMR 7/18/19) – Zoffany colt was squeezed back at the start of this race, but recovered under Mike Smith to unleash a big late run and score with something still left in the tank.   Impressive.

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AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – January 8, 2019

January 8, 2019 by 1 Comment

FREE Horses to Watch & Trip Notes  for AGOS (Agameofskill.com) visitors

AQUEDUCT

DUBLINTHEPLEASURE (Race 6 @AQU 1/4/18) – New York bred rebounded off a poor race and finished well to just miss defeating former stakes winner Outplay, who was dropping sharply in class for new barn.  Spotted weight to that rival in a really good effort at this $16,000 claiming level.

TAMPA BAY DOWNS

MANCORA (Race 5 @TAM, 1/2/19) – this hopeless longshot finished strongly and hit the wire looking like a solid 2-1 favorite in this maiden $16,000 claimer.  However, in the process the Ice Box filly cut off another runner at the top of the lane and was subsequently DQ’d.  Given the level of this class, don’t know if this one can repeat this ‘winning’ maiden performance or not, but she was best in this field.

TURFWAY PARK

VALKYRIE (Race 7 @TP, 1/3/19) – first time starter took a commanding lead in the stretch over the two betting choices and was very green in the lane.  She waited on her competition as the odds-on choice battled and took the lead nearing the wire.  Awesome Again filly then came again late under Luan Machado to garner a better-than-it-looks victory.  Has talent.

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AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – Dec. 23, 2018

December 23, 2018 by Leave a Comment

FREE Horses to Watch & Trip Notes

AQUEDUCT

AMERICAN MANDATE (Race 5 @AQU, 12/15/18) – Steve Asmussen runner had the worst of it as he dueled throughout and then had to try to hold off the late runner of a fresh closer, who was coming  off a strong debut effort. Settled for second in an even-better-than-it looks performance.

TAMPA BAY DOWNS

WILD SCAT BLUE (Race 3 @TAM, 12/8/18) – this son of Scat Daddy dueled throughout in this race and then gave way to a sharp 3yo that had shipped in from Southern California for trainer Eion Harty.  Should be awfully tough back in at this same claiming level next time out at Tampa.

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AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – 10/4/18

October 4, 2018 by Leave a Comment

AGOS Visitor get complimentary Horses to Watch and Trip Notes.

BELMONT PARK

KEPT TRUE (Race 9 @BEL 10/4/18) – First time starter by Yes It’s True was full of run and just waiting for run when she took over in mid-stretch and scored an easier-than-it-looks victory.  She’s out of a stakes placed mare and is bred to be a nice sprinter.

STRIVE FOR A CURE (Race 5 @BEL 9/19/18) – This was quite the put over by top MidAtlantic trainer Dale Capuano, who brought this 2yo son of Goldencents up from Laurel to upset a pretty good maiden field at odds of 10-1.  Ridden by bug boy Weston Hamilton, he made a long sustained run on the inside to catch the favorite in mid stretch and then outduel that one to the wire.

SUNNY RIDGE  (race 8 @BEL, 9/22/18) – Holy Bull gelding made a wide sweeping run against the early speed bias and finished a game 2nd to the logical, gate to wire winner. Jason Servis runner is very honest.

SARATOGA

OPRY (Race 9 @SAR 8/29/18) – This winner of the featured With Anticipation Stakes unleashed an eye-catching late run to get up and draw off at the wire. Son of Declaration Of War, who is by War Front, just missed in debut which was taken off the turf. That race was won by Cairo Cat.  2nd stakes winner out of that maiden affair on Aug. 11th.

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AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – Aug. 9, 2018

August 9, 2018 by Leave a Comment

Horses to watch for AGOS visitors.  Put these runners in your Stable Alert service.

ELLIS PARK

BORDINI (Race 7 @ELP, 8/5/18) – live runner from the Amoss barn raced inside of traffic and then got shuffled back to last behind not one but two walls of horses.  Swept to the far outside, which is not where you want to be at Ellis, and unleash a good late run for a sneaky good effort.

SARATOGA

OUR GIRL ABBY (Race 5 @SAR, 7/21/18) – made a wide move turning for home to engage the gate-to-wire winner in deep stretch. Exchanged bumps with that filly and lost the bob in a solid performance.  This was her first start since March and her first for her new barn, who raised her confidently in class.

PUTTHEGLASSDOWN (Race 5 @SAR, 7/21/18) – broke from the rail in her debut at the Spa for Englehart.   Settled in 8th before making a nice run to get up for the place spot behind the winning Asmussen favorite.  The PA-bred daughter of Violence is out of a stakes winning mare.

PICTURE DAY (Race 3 @SAR, 7/26/18) – Linda Rice runner loves to win and she was one of the few that closed against the bias in the slop on this Thursday afternoon.  A stakes winner, this Include mare is tough in the optional claiming sprints.

TRINNI NINJA (Race 10 @SAR, 7/27/18) – Daughter of Trinniberg was one of the few to close against the bias on this day.  She is in good form and might be able to break through for low percentage connections next time out at the state-bred maiden $25,000 (or lower) level.  Demand some value.

CATORIA (Race 5 @SAR 8/1/18) – Wildcat Heir filly outran other speed in this race and took this field gate to wire, beating the heavy favorite at 23-1 for Mike Dini.  She is out of a Meadowlake mare and will be dangerous at 6 1/2 or under.

BROCKMONINOFF (Race 3 @SAR 8/1/18) – George Weaver runner was bet down on the drop in class despite his first race since last October.  Suffered some trouble in this race and came up a little short.  Barn is only 12% off  layoffs and this NY bred should move forward next time out.  Can dirt or turf.

LIGHT THE POSSE (Race 2 @SAR 8/2/18) – Betting favorite was making his second career start off a good 2nd in debut and adding Lasix.  The son of Posse ended up hurt badly by a modest pace set by the eventual gate to wire winner.  Can score at this level next time out.

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