Handicapping Tip of the Day #60 – Watch ‘em and Learn

Watch ‘em and Learn, even If You Don’t Bet ‘em

Handicapping tips from agameofskill.com

By Art Parker

We are hitting that time of year when we see frequent two-year-old races. I don‘t care to play juveniles unless there seems to be something unusual.

For a good example of finding something unusual with a juvenile, I go back to August 2013 at Woodbine. In the first race of the day, a two-year-old debut filly by the name of Unspurned stalked a hot early pace and slipped past in mid-stretch for an impressive victory. The race at 7/8 miles had the following fractions: 22 4/5, 45 3/5, 1:10 3/5, and a final of 1:24 1/5. That seemed to be much better than average for baby fillies that time of year. I made a note about the young filly with the cool name.

The next race told me even more. Just 28 minutes later a field of three-year-old Maiden Special Weights males battle at the same distance, 7/8 miles. The fractions for the sophomore males were: 23 2/5, 46 4/5, 1:12, and a final of 1:25.

This is when Unspurned got my attention.

For the record, Unspurned went on to a very successful career with several stakes victories and ran behind the great filly and future Queen’s Plate winner, Lexie Lou, on a couple of occasions.

The boys in the other race were far from remarkable. The winner was C.C. Mobil, who finished a career with two wins from 46 starts. The second-place horse, Jobber Bill, finished his career with two wins from 34 starts.

One may not play juvenile races, but paying attention to them can be very worthwhile. Not only may one discover a good young ‘un, but it can help sort out some others.

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Horse Racing Tip of the Day – the Fewer this the better…

 

Illinois Horse Racing and Sports Issue Still Pending

Despite moving to the brink of a two-year contract for horse racing in 2020 and 2021, Arlington Park and the Illinois Thoroughbred Horsemen’s Association have yet to put pen to paper on an agreement and forced the Illinois Racing Board to recess its Thursday meeting for approval of this season’s schedule until Friday.

The sides were supposed to have a signed contract in place by Jan. 1, 2020 as part of the $12 billion capital bill Gov. J.B. Pritzker signed into law last June that also legalized sports betting in Illinois. Arlington Park tweeted Wednesday saying it had reached a tentative agreement with the ITHA, but the two sides had a breakdown prior to Thursday’s scheduled board meeting. The ITHA had issue with the language in the contract because purse projections could change if Arlington does not receive the same amount of race days in 2021 that it has in previous years.

More about this Illinois issue:

Belmont Stakes 2020 wagering recap

Horse racing has gone off track in the age of technology?

Racing needs a better presentation, TVHorse racing has gone off track in the age of technology

“As a youngster growing up in New York, I noticed one beautiful part of horse racing was that it brought people together. People that were at each others’ throats on the mean streets of Queens might be seen sharing a racing form and laughing together under the tote board at Aqueduct. And, when the ninth race was completed, so was all the action for that day. The fact there was only one track in people’s itinerary only cemented the bonds. People were loyal and true to the one track in their lives…”

St. George Daily Spectrum Full coverage: Horse racing has gone off track in the age of technology

What do you think?  Put your comments about this important topic below.

Is Horse Racing Dead? Not in Virginia … Yet

Horse Racing Wagering Business Up in Virginia

According to a recent Virginia Thoroughbred Association report, rises in OTB and ADW handle in Virginia have prompted a $10 million increase in overall racing handle in the state from 2017.

Through the first seven months of the year, ADW was over $52 million, up 3.2 percent from the same period in 2017. OTB handle is up over $8 million as two new sites have opened up since 2017. Both new sites — Buckets Bar and Grill in Chesapeake, and The Windmill OTB in Collinsville — are the only two serving their regions, as the preexisting OTBs were both in Richmond.

TVG is the most popular ADW operator in Virginia, followed by TwinSpies, Xpressbet, and NYRA Bets, which is a relatively new addition to the options there.

Read more at the Virginia Thoroughbred Association

Sports betting ‘encouraging’ but don’t ignore Horse Racing, senator says

Sports betting ‘encouraging’ but don’t ignore horse racing, senator says

“It’s encouraging, but no one should assume that, ‘OK, we have sports betting now, we can ignore this industry going forward,'” O’Scanlon said.

He said that whether or not an individual person likes horse racing, there is no denying its importance to New Jersey. And there may be no more important single day than the annual Haskell Invitational, coming up on Sunday…”

 

New Jersey 101.5 FM Radio Full coverage

Source: Sports betting ‘encouraging’ but don’t ignore horse racing, senator says

Horse Racing Booming in California

Is horse racing dead?

Horse Racing Booming in California

Source: Horse Racing Booming in California

China to Expand Horse Racing, Sports Betting

The Chinese government has revealed plans to develop a horse racing industry and expand sports lotteries to boost tourism to the holiday island of Hainan.

According to a report by official news agency Xinhua, horse racing will be one of a number of activities promoted on Hainan alongside beach and water sports as part of a reform agenda approved by cabinet. Hainan would also “explore the development of sports lottery and instant lottery on large-scale international games.”

Hong Kong horse racingChina already allows certain forms of sports betting operated by the government’s China Sports Lottery while a government-run lottery system is also widespread across the country.

It remains unclear exactly how an expanded sports lottery might work, however reports that the initiative might eventually lead to legal casinos in Hainan seem to be both unfounded and sensationalist, with multiple reports of impending casino legislation in Hainan over the years having amounted to nothing. Attempts by some Hainan hotels to launch small gaming operations were quickly shut down in 2013, while China made no secret of its stance when it arrested employees of Korean casino operators Paradise Group and Grand Korea Leisure in 2015 and Australia’s Crown Resorts in 2016 for promoting gambling on the mainland.

Macau-based analyst Grant Govertsen has also been quick to downplay the news, stating in a Sunday note that, “While various media outlets are trumpeting the ‘gaming’ aspects – as if the center point of this PRC policy is gaming – the reality is that the policy in no way approves anything remotely close to casinos, nor does it even suggest this is a future possibility. Rather, what was announced was a free port concept within a special economic zone.

“Buried inside an exhaustive list of policies, it suggests the development of horse racing – but importantly omits any references to wagering. It also recommends that the idea of an international-style lottery be studied, and we highlight that the lottery verbiage says ‘explore’ rather than ‘develop,’ which suggests that even a lottery isn’t a done deal.”

Govertsen also quashed wildly ambitious speculation – first prompted by a recent Bloomberg article pointing to the potential relaxing of rules around online gambling, lotteries and sports betting – about the future of casinos in Hainan.

“It is critical to keep in mind that gambling in all forms (other than a small lottery exception) is illegal within China,” he said. “As part of the anti-corruption campaign the government made it a point that officials shouldn’t even play mahjong given its gambling characteristics.

“While the government is encouraging the development of a horse racing industry in Hainan (as they have in other parts of China) they are not encouraging the concurrent development of a horse wagering industry. We therefore think the legalization of casinos within China remains highly unlikely.”

Get ready for horse racing, Formula One-style

Team horse racing competition planned in the UK

CNN British horse racing inspired by Formula 1 for new series

USA TODAY The Series: Plans for team horse racing competition in 2019 BBC Sport Full coverage

Source: Get ready for horse racing, Formula One-style

Crush Keeneland with the Best Trainer Pattern Book

Rich Nilsen 13x NHC Qualifier

One score will more than pay for this book.  Our AGOS contributer Art Parker has a one-of-kind database on all the Keeneland trainers.  No one understands how these horsemen win better that Art. This year's guide is better than ever and now in a more user-friendly format.  It's a wealth of information for players wanting to attack the upcoming Keeneland meets.

Completely revamped. The 2017 Keeneland Winning Trainer Patterns by Art Parker is now available.

Over 50 Trainers covered with a detailed summary of how they win!

Longshot horsemen identified for easy reference.

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Keeneland Winning Trainer Patterns bookHow do they win? What handicapping patterns do they use?

How do they work their horses prior to victory?

Do they bring home horses at a price?

Do they score off the layoff?

What owners & jockeys do they team up with?

and much more.

Author and Agameofskill.com contributor Art Parker has taken a hard look into his comprehensive personal database to uncover the trainers that win the majority of races at the meet – the 51 Kings of Keeneland – with a close look at how they accomplish this.

This one-of-a-kind handicapping book includes three bonus handicapping articles written by veteran turf writers Art Parker and Rich Nilsen

The 2017 Annual Edition of “Keeneland Winning Trainers” is published by All Star Press LLC.
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Plans to Bring Horseracing to London’s streets

NOT one but two companies are in competition to bring horseracing to the streets of London’s city centre.

Source: Plans to bring horseracing to London’s streets