Monster horse. Monster price.

How I got 31-1 on star Mendelssohn

By Art Parker

As of today there is only one question remaining in my mind.

Before the 2017 Breeders’ Cup Mendelssohn caught my eye. His pedigree is very impressive. Putting the late Scat Daddy with Leslie’s Lady was a very good idea. As a broodmare, Leslie’s Lady has delivered three Grade One winners counting Mendelssohn. Leslie’s Lady gave us the great champion Beholder, which is enough for any broodmare’s resume. Mendelssohn was sold at Keeneland for the monster price of $3 million, the most expensive yearling in North America in 2016. Before the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf last year I was anxious to see if the colt could live up to his pedigree and auction price. He did. After the race I was convinced that he would improve greatly with experience.

Mendelssohn’s Breeders’ Cup triumph was on the grass but I saw no reason why he could not be effective on the main track. I couldn’t resist the 31-1 offering in the November Kentucky Derby future pool. I told myself that he is surely better than that monster price, even on the dirt. I was happy to take those odds realizing that I could have a losing ticket if he failed to make it to Churchill Downs on the first Saturday in May.

Mendelsohhn by Gary TasichI was even happier with my Derby longshot when Mendelssohn embarrassed and obliterated the field in the UAE Derby a few weeks ago. The colt (I presume he was named for the famous German composer, Felix Mendelssohn) covered the 1 3/16th mile distance in track record time at Meydan in 1:55.18 and did it with incredible ease. He won the UAE Derby by more than 18 lengths. It was truly a monster effort.

In the big race for older horses a couple of hours later, Thunder Snow won the Dubai World Cup traveling 1 ¼ miles in 2:01.38. When comparing the sophomore Mendelssohn to his elders in the World Cup his time is very impressive, especially since he could have stopped the clock earlier if he pushed the issue.

Mendelssohn has won three straight races on three different continents and all on a different surface. He is conditioned by one of the finest trainers in the world, Aidan O’Brien.

I like Mendelssohn even though the game will get tougher for him in Louisville. He will meet some very good horses, including the probable Derby favorite, Bob Baffert’s Justify, another son of Scat Daddy.

As of today there is only one question remaining in my mind. Will Mendelssohn ship well? I know he has shown that traveling doesn’t affect his performance. But he has logged a lot of miles for a very young horse, and the trip to the states after going to Dubai may be too much. We will not know about the travel until his trip in the Derby is completed.

I think Mendelssohn is the real deal, potentially a monster horse, and I really like my monster price of 31-1.

Wynn Las Vegas Kentucky Derby Future Book Odds

OPEN CURRENT
AUDIBLE 200/1 8/1
BLENDED CITIZEN 225/1 125/1
BOLT D’ORO 40/1 8/1
BRAVAZO 200/1 40/1
CALIFORNIA NIGHT 225/1 250/1
COMBATANT 175/1 50/1
CORE BELIEFS 300/1 300/1
CURLIN’S HONOR 250/1 250/1
DETERMINANT* 175/1 175/1
DREAM BABY DREAM 150/1 100/1
ENTICED 150/1 20/1
EVALUATOR 175/1 175/1
EXCLAMATION POINT 250/1 250/1
FIRENZE FIRE 75/1 60/1
FLAMEAWAY 100/1 25/1
FREE DROP BILLY 65/1 35/1
GIDU 150/1 85/1
GOOD MAGIC 100/1 12/1
GOTTA GO 250/1 250/1
GRONKOWSKI 100/1 25/1
GREYVITOS 225/1 75/1
HEARTFULLOFSTARS* 300/1 175/1
HOFBURG 200/1 25/1
INSTILLED REGARD 75/1 25/1
JUSTIFY 300/1 7/1
KANTHAKA 225/1 85/1
KING ZACHARY 175/1 85/1
LONE SAILOR 175/1 22/1
MACHISMO 250/1 75/1
MAGNUM MOON 200/1 10/1
MARCONI 125/1 85/1
MASK 300/1 300/1
MENDELSSOHN 150/1 12/1
MISSISSIPPI 250/1 65/1
MY BOY JACK 150/1 25/1
NOBLE INDY 125/1 12/1
OLD TIME REVIVAL 60/1 75/1
ORBIT RAIN* 250/1 250/1
PEACE 125/1 100/1
PEPE TONO* 200/1 200/1
PROMISES FULFILLED 250/1 60/1
QUIP 125/1 22/1
RESTORING HOPE 200/1 28/1
RUNAWAY GHOST 50/1 28/1
SEVEN TRUMPETS 300/1 300/1
SHIVERMETIMBERS 250/1 200/1
SNAPPER SINCLAIR 300/1 100/1
SOLOMINI 150/1 12/1
SPORTING CHANCE 45/1 125/1
TIZ MISCHIEF 200/1 125/1
VINO ROSSO 150/1 65/1
VIOLENT RIDGE* 175/1 175/1
ZING ZANG 150/1 250/1

Odds from Vegas as of Monday, April 2, 2018 for the Kentucky Derby

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Kentucky Derby Future Book Odds from Wynn Las Vegas – Jan. 5, 2017

 

Nyquist KY Derby 2016The future book odds have come in from our friends at Wynn Las Vegas.  Here is the current list of newly turned sophomore runners whose connections are aspiring for a Run at the Roses.

This year’s Derby is Saturday, May 6, 2017.

Horse OPEN CURRENT
ADULATION 175/1 200/1
ADORNED 175/1 125/1
AIR ON FIRE 225/1 300/1
ALAN’S LEGACY** 500/1 500/1
ALTITO 150/1 200/1
ALUM 125/1 125/1
ALWAYS DREAMING 200/1 200/1
AMERICAN ANTHEM 225/1 50/1
ANN ARBOR EDDIE 175/1 175/1
ANTIOCH 75/1 225/1
ARISTOCRATIC 200/1 150/1
ARKLOW 250/1 275/1
ATTRIBUTE 225/1 225/1
BALANDEEN 300/1 225/1
BASELINE 400/1 400/1
BASHA 200/1 200/1
BATTALION RUNNER 200/1 85/1

Get the full list here of the 2017 KY Derby contenders