Arc de Triomphe Handicapping Grid

A Punter’s Guide to the Arc.  Will Enable Win a Third Arc?

Established in 1920, the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe continues to attract the best horses from across the world to compete over 2400m. With Enable bidding for a historic hat-trick, how do fillies and mares perform? How successful have UK and Irish runners been over the past decade? How do three-year-olds fare when compared to older competition? We look at some of the statistics behind the big race…

To give a broad picture of the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, all the runners are displayed in the table below and their run/win/place rate is listed for each of five main categories: Black Type form, righthanded tracks, the ‘Arc’ distance (2400m), form at Longchamp, previous experience in the ‘Arc’ and wet ground. Notable horses in each category are emphasized in green boxes.  [Source is the French PMU]

Although there have been doubts over Enable’s ability as a six-year-old, previous form makes her a leading contender in all categories with special emphasis on her Black-type record. She is the only horse in the field who rates highly in more than three of the six categories. Stradivarius has never finished out of the frame in Black Type company and Persian King boasts a strong record at the top level.

A surprising number of horses in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe field have little experience over the 2400m distance and it is interesting to note that In Swoop has never finished out of the frame when competing over the trip. An eye-catching horse from the ‘Arc’ category is Sottsass – although he has only participated in the ‘Arc’ once, he finished third behind Waldgeist in 2019 and holds a solid record over the journey too.

Looking at the runner’s Longchamp record specifically, Persian King and Raabihah may have a different level of experience but they both remain unbeaten at the racecourse. It is important to mention that although Enable has raced in three ‘Arcs’, the 2017 renewal was held at Chantilly whilst Longchamp was closed for redevelopment.

With rain forecast over the coming days in Paris, it is likely that the runners will experience wet ground in Europe’s richest race. This category includes all runs with soft or yielding in the going description (good-to-soft would be included). The Aidan O’Brien trained runner, Sovereign has recorded wins and placings on rain-softened ground and In Swoop has only raced on firmer going once in his four career starts.

Other interesting statistics:

  • Frankie Dettori – 5 victories since 2000 (25% winning strike rate)
  • Six-year-olds – 0 wins in last 99 renewals
  • Domestic vs International competition – 11 French winners (55%) since 2000
  • Winning favorites – Twice (20%) from last ten renewals (Enable on both occasions)
  • Three-year-olds – 66 wins over the last 99 renewals (66%)

Enable Unlikely to Race before Royal Ascot

“Every sport needs champions and she’s been amazing, Dettori said. “She’s captured not just racing’s imagination, but she’s attracted other people to watch the sport.”

The Guardian:  Enable is unlikely to begin her fifth racing season until Royal Ascot at the earliest, with her campaign being planned entirely around a return to Longchamp in October in search of an elusive third win in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, John Gosden, the mare’s trainer, said on Wednesday.

Speaking at the annual Longines World’s Best Racehorse ceremony in London, Gosden said that “June time, Royal Ascot” is the obvious place for the six-year-old to start what seems almost certain to be her final year on the track.

“If you aim for the autumn, you don’t want to be starting in the spring,” Gosden said. “We aimed at Ascot last year and ended up running in the Eclipse [in July]. We’ll see how she is make the decision together, but the final thing is that the decision will be taken by the filly herself.”

Enable’s defeat when favourite for last year’s Arc was the only significant reverse in what was otherwise the best season of Frankie Dettori’s three decades in the saddle, and he is eager to be back aboard a horse whose performances at times rendered him almost speechless with emotion in 2019.

 

Excitement over Enable’s attempt at a record 3rd G1 Arc de Triomphe victory

source:  Hong Kong Jockey Club

Prix de L’Arc de Triomphe this Sunday features Enable

The Prix de L’Arc de Triomphe is the late-season focal point in Europe but the special frenzy developing around the 2019 race at Longchamp this Sunday (6 October) revolves solely around the outstanding race mare Enable, the raging hot favorite to become the first-ever three-time winner of this 2400m spectacular.

On the side of the 10-time G1 winner will be the unstoppable veteran rider Frankie Dettori who – even without Enable – has been enjoying an amazing year, with big race win after big race win for Enable’s trainer John Gosden.

Extraordinarily on Sunday the 48-year-old will be riding in his 31st Arc. He has won it six times but, while he is saying that he hopes the media fever will lessen nearing the race to allow him to concentrate on successfully getting the job done, he also seems stimulated by all the razzmatazz.

“A win from Enable will mean history and it will make her immortal. That is my inspiration,” he said.

Dettori has very different memories of her Arc wins in 2017 and 2018. At Chantilly in 2017, the pair was always perfectly placed and she skipped clear.

“I enjoyed that one,” he said, beaming.

Last year’s win, back at the race’s traditional home of Longchamp, was a tougher assignment.

“She ran a temperature for a week in the run-up to last year’s Arc, but no one told me!” Dettori said. “Then in the race she went clear and it seemed like deja-vue. But suddenly she stopped and the other horse (Sea Of Class) came at us. When we passed the post I froze for about ten seconds until the relief of realizing that we had still won.”

One assumes that the decision not to tell Dettori about Enable’s problem was deliberate on the part of the tactically masterful Gosden, but the trainer is full of praise for the rider’s expertise of what he considers just about Europe’s most  formidable track, insisting that no one – French-based or English-based – rides it  better than his jockey.

Dettori is coy about this tribute but agrees about the complexities of the great Parisian racecourse.

“It’s a jockey’s track. The race can keep changing and you need about ten different plans,” is how the world-famous rider explained it.

Enable’s achievements haven’t stopped since last October and her narrow victory over the brilliant Crystal Ocean in an incredible stretch battle for Europe’s other great all-age mile and a half race, July’s G1 King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Ascot, left Dettori musing: “Yes it was an epic and my good girl got me out of trouble!”

Dettori and many others believe that the biggest threat to five-year-old Enable on Sunday will be the Aidan O’Brien-trained three-year-old Japan. The colt has improved all season, culminating in a thrilling head victory over Crystal Ocean – the highest-rated horse in the world at the time – in the G1 Juddmonte International Stakes (2063m) at York in August.

Weight-for-age dictates that Japan will be getting 3lb from Enable as will the French Derby winner Sottsass, who prepped for this with a win in the Prix Niel (2400m). Imprisoned on the rail, he found room in the nick of time with his sudden acceleration being easily the most exciting sight on trials day at Longchamp last month.

A smaller Arc field than usual is expected, and, though no connections will want to be allocated a wide gate, it is likely to be less of an issue than it has been previously, especially as current predictions suggest that the ground for Europe’s greatest race is expected to be on the soft side.

Frankie Dettori says Enable will have to bring her A-game to beat Magical

This is the year that has kept on giving for Frankie Dettori . He rode his 13th Group One winner of the season aboard Coronet in France on Sunday and this week at York ’s four-day Ebor meeting he can look forward to partnering such as Enable , Stradivarius […]

Enable is his Group One banker this week in the Darley Yorkshire Oaks on Thursday and, with so many top races to come at home and abroad over the next couple of months, it will be a surprise if Dettori, at the age of 48, does not achieve a personal best.

In his latest blog for Ladbrokes, this is what he had to say about his rides at York over the first three days of the meeting.

Dettori told Tom Stanley about King Of Comedy after his win at Sandown this year

I kick off the week on Cobra Eye in the Group 3 Acomb Stakes (2.25). He is a nice horse who won at Glorious Goodwood. This race is a big jump for him as it is a really competitive race but he has given me a good feel and is an improving type. I think 7f will suit him. I don’t know a great deal about his rivals though.

Next up is the Great Voltigeur Stakes (3.00), where I am on Logician. I rode him once at Newbury last month. He keeps on improving but he has got a bit to find on ratings. I think York will suit him. We know we are taking a leap forward with him but we want to see if we can make him a Leger horse. That’s why he’s there.

Six Things You Didn’t Know About Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe

France Chantilly France’s Biggest Horse Race

… including horse races, come with a hefty price tag to attend, tickets to the Arc start at … and the entrance fee is waived for anyone under 18. Comparatively, a general admission ticket to the Kentucky Derby costs $40 six months out …

NY Times Source: Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe: 6 Facts About France’s Biggest Horse Race