AGOS Horses to Watch – July 20, 2017

Horses to Watch for AGOS visitors.  Mark these Belmont runners down for the upcoming Saratoga meeting.

Belmont Park

7/15/17

Race #1 – Claiming – 6f – King of Anything

#4 – King of Anything = Rajiv Maragh in the saddle for Dom Giglio. He’s been off 59 days and the trainer wins (21%) with layoff runners. He had a sharp work coming in and was pinched back at the start winding up last in the field. He spun out two wide, then five, and eventually 7 wide at the top of the lane finishing a game 4th.

Race #6 – Claiming – 7f on the turf – Stormin Maclean

#4 – Stormin Maclean = Luis Saez in the irons for Brad Cox (32%). This was his 2nd start off the layoff coming in from Keeneland. The barn wins (32%) with turf runners and was getting added ground going from 6f – 7f. He was caught in very tight against the rail losing all momentum. He is more than capable getting his picture taken next out.

Race  #7 – Mdn Claiming – 1 1/16 turf – Kierland

#4 – Kierland = Luis Saez for Mike Maker getting first time Lasix for a (20%) win clip. His last race came off the turf and the barn scores (21%) going dirt to turf. He uncorked a strong rally splitting runners twice down the lane closing in on the leader. He was beaten in the shadow of the wire.

Belterra Park

7/14/17

Race #3 – Allowance Optional Claiming – 6f on the main track – Woodland Mask

#2 – Woodland Mask = Hector Rosario Jr. in the irons and led from start to finish impressively. They set a new track record while in hand throttled down the last 1/16th of a mile in 1:08.10 – This guy has plenty more in the tank.

Race #4 – Mdn Sp Wt – 5f on the dirt – Love and Mischief

#5 Love and Mischief = John McKee in the saddle for “Buff” Bradley. This filly looked great coming onto the track. This two-year-old broke sharp and was forced to take back and jog home after two horses bumped and were caught in a spill right in front of her. – Toss this race out and she’ll come back and show a better side next out.

Race #8 – Mdn Claiming – 6f on the main track – #C. M. Victoria Rose

#1 – C.M. Victoria Rose = Dean Sarvis (23%) aboard for Matt Hebert (50%) this day. This daughter of Thunder Gulch was shipping in from Tampa Bay and dropping in class. She was far back in the field and came flying very strongly in the lane getting beat a head right at the wire. Play her right back and double-down if Sarvis stays in the saddle.

Met Mile winner Frosted makes Monster Statement

 ELMONT, N.Y. — Earlier in the week, trainer Kiaran McLaughlin actually expressed concern that the eight-furlong distance of the Grade I, $1.25 million Metropolitan Handicap might be a tad short for his Grade I winner Frosted. The race that is known as a stallion-maker ended up as the ultimate advertisement for the son of Tapit’s brilliance.… [Read more…]

AGOS Horses to Watch – June 7, 2016

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes

As we close in on the final leg of the Triple Crown, there seems to be more focus on finding value than the usual talk of making history. Triple Crown winners don’t grow on trees, and this year has the interest of players with a chock-full card sure to offer up value.  The best part of Thoroughbred racing is the hope that awaits. The promise of things to come, and the beauty of majestic runners taking our breath away. Best of luck this Saturday with the Belmont card, and in the meantime. Here are some runners who deserve a good piece of your wagering bankroll.

Belmont

Mascarello (BEL 6/4/16 – Race #5 – #7 – 1 1/16 turf) –  Aaron Gryder in the saddle for H.J. Bond, and his runner saw every inch of the course this day. He was forced wide into the first turn and then even wider as the race progressed. If the field covered 1 1/16, he may have covered 1 1/8.   His mount lost by 3/4 of a length on this day and that is saying a great deal for his extended trip around New York.

Inca Saint (BEL 6/5/16 – Race #2 – #4 – 1 1/16 dirt) – jockey Javier Castellano in the irons on this day, and was checked immediately after the gate break almost coming to a full stop. Once he got his runner back on stride, he was forced out wide during other points of the race.   Give this race a pass and you’ll find a better trip next out.

Belterra Park

Too Cool (BTP 6/4/16 – Race #4 – #11 – One mile turf) –  Geovany Garcia in the saddle, and his mount relished the grass course. The rains were starting and the weeds had a little glimmer of water. Breaking from the outside post is no bonus, but when you find impressive turn of foot down the lane to win in a hurry. Sometimes you keep a gal like this on your list for a return play at the windows.

Altissimo (BTP 6/4/16 – Race #5 – #10 – 6f dirt) – rider Antioco “Coco” Murgia in the irons and his runner is a perfect 2/2 over the course. The interesting part is he came closing strongly over a course that has been favoring speed. He is slated to return on Friday 6/10, and he is a part of an entry that may have short odds. If you’re looking for value you’re going to have to work on multi-race wagers.

Churchill Downs

Casses Story (CD 6/4/16 – Race #1 – #1 – 5f dirt) – Miguel Mena in the saddle and his mount was soundly bumped after the gate break, and was put in tight quarters at the 5/16th pole. Troubled trips often give us a great wagering opportunity next out, and this guy fits the bill.

Kylers Song (CD 6/4/16 – Race #4 – #1 – one mile dirt) –  Jack Gilligan at the controls, and his mount broke tardy from the gate and to rush into contention.   Once settled, his charge caught my eye as a runner making up good ground very easily.

 

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes – Oct. 8, 2015

BELTERRA PARK

Tally Jax (Belterra Park – 10/4/15 – Race #5 – #9 – One mile on the dirt.) – John McKee in the saddle for Eduardo Caramori who has been every effective on the Ohio circuit. He stalked perfectly, and put together a solid bid. He made some late gain, but the track was a sticky goo that ranged between muddy and gummy. It just didn’t fit his liking, and with a surface with a little more grab. I think we’ll have a trip to the winner’s circle coming soon.

BELMONT PARK

Luminary Flight (Belmont Park – 10/3/15 – Race #1 – #1 – 6 1/2f on the dirt.) – John Velasquez was aboard for an eventful trip as his mount broke in the air and brushed the starting gate doors. After attempting to settle out for a shot at redemption, he entered the far turn three wide and bumped late in the lane.

Red Vine (Belmont Park – 10/3/15 – Race #5 – #5 – one mile on the dirt.) – Joel Rosario teamed up with Christophe Clement. He stumbled at the start and was immediately sandwiched between runner son both sides. After being pin-balled around, he regained composure to put together a top notch run. I think a cleaner trip makes him an appointment for the winner’s circle.

KEENELAND

Judy the Beauty (Keeneland – 10/3/15 – Race #6 – #3 – 6f on the dirt.) – Jockey Mike Smith was in town to ride for Wesley Ward,  and this top shelf gal is always worth the trip. That is, until Saturday. – “Judy” was pocketed up most of the race and the patient Smith waited for the seam to open. She was begging out for room and denied down the lane. Once freed up along the rail it was a little two late as the outer two had momentum and did not allow her time to fire up her jets.  – Give her just half a bad trip and she’ll make em’ pay down the lane.

Exaggerator (Keeneland – 10/3/15 – Race #8 – #7 – 1 1/16 on the dirt.) – Kent Desormeaux aboard for his brother had a eerie feel of last year’s juvenile run. He did everything right for most of the trip and spilt horses down the lane to offer up a razor sharp challenge. He did get a little lost nearing the top of the lane and Kent D. got his mind right back on business and he responded quickly. – Each passing race has him maturing, and I think next trip out will be his coming out party.

Conquest Tiz One (Keeneland – 10/4/15 – Race #7 – #4 – 6f on the dirt.) –  Javier Castellano aboard for Mark Casse who comes loaded for bear this meet. Jumped out to fight for the lead, settled in with solid pace and looked like a player as they turned for home. She did everything right but win. Maybe it was the fractions, the track condition, or just a bad luck turn. But she’ll get more from this race and be much the better next up.

 

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FREE One Minute Handicapper (OMH) worksheets for Keeneland and Belmont Park

Learn how to handicap more efficiently and apply important modern and traditional handicapping angles with the help of The One Minute Handicapper software.

Take advantage of the FREE One Minute Handicapper (OMH) Worksheets in PDF format for the full card at Keeneland racecourse for opening day Friday October 5, 2012 and for Saturday at Belmont Park.

Keeneland for Friday

Belmont Park for Saturday

The One Minute Handicapper book and softwareThe One Minute Handicapper is a tool designed to supplement one own’s handicapping by doing the work and identifying effective and traditional handicapping angles for the horseplayer. The OMH worksheets are not a selection sheet but rather an excellent handicapping aid that can help you 1) save time; and 2) avoid overlooking a horse with an important angle.

You can learn more about the One Minute Handicapper (OMH) book and software here.

FREE Past Performances for Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, Super Saturday

Download FREE Past Performances for Sunday’s spectacular day at Longchamp for the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe.  Click here to access day one (Saturday) PPs from Equibase. There are four group 2 stakes on Saturday at Longchamp.

Click here to download Brisnet Ultimate PPs for 10 graded stakes on Super Saturday – Belmont, Santa Anita