AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – June 15

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes for Agameofskill.com visitors

BELMONT PARK

DOUBLE ORB (Race 1 @BEL, June 7).  This first time starter from the Steve Asmussen barn had no difficulty with the tough 7 furlong distance as he crushed a field of talented prospects.  Big future for the runner from the Maktoum barn.

SEPARATIONOFPOWERS (Race 5 @BEL, June 7).   Last year’s G1 Test winner is back on her game.  She spotted weight to a good field that included Breeders’ Cup runner-up Chalon, and she destroyed them in ultra impressive fashion.  A Grade 1 stakes should be on the agenda in the near future.

BIG BELLA BROWN (Race 7 @BEL, June 1).  This son of Big Brown exited a key race but faced a difficult fast pace scenario.  Despite that the Mike Maker trainee ran a very game race to finish second to the logical closer.   Excels on wet tracks.

 

GULFSTREAM PARK 

RED CARATS (Race 2 @GP, June 1).  Sammy Camacho, who is a good jockey, absolutely butchered the ride on the most likely winner in this field.  Had the maiden in all sorts of traffic issues and never had a chance to fully run his best race.  Can rebound at the cheap $10,000 maiden claiming level.

 

MONMOUTH PARK

STANDARD DEVIATION (Race 9 at MTH, June 1).  Son of Curlin looked like a new horse on the switch to the turf.  A half to one grass winner, the 3yo easily handled a field of proven turf runners.  Awad Stakes winner Empire Of War was a no-threat 2nd to the Chad Brown trainee that went off a juicy price.

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NHC Super Qualifiers by the Big Three in Horse Racing

nhc final table vegasThe New York Racing Association, Churchill Downs Inc., and The Stronach Group are set to host three brand-new “NHC Super Qualifiers” in coming months, offering dozens of berths to February’s $3 million (estimated) NTRA National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. The live-money contests, in which players compete to turn $1,000 of their own cash into the largest nut, are set for Sept. 29 at Belmont Park, Dec. 22 at Fair Grounds Race Course & Slots, and Jan. 5 at Santa Anita Park (or online at Xpressbet.com).

Each on-track Super Qualifier will award one NHC berth per every 15 entries, meaning roughly the top 7 percent of entrants will move on to Treasure Island Las Vegas for the world’s richest and most prestigious handicapping contest, Feb. 8-10, 2019.

Registration for each contest costs $1,500, with $1,000 going to the starting bankroll and $200 to a cash prize pool for the Super Qualifier (the remaining $300 goes to the NHC purse and travel). The format will consist of 10 mandatory $50 Win-Place wagers. Players will keep 100 percent of their winnings and the leaders will share in the cash prize pool, with the number of winners and amounts determined (on a sliding scale) by the number of entries. Players are limited to two entries for each on-track Super Qualifier.

“These new Super Qualifiers allow us to offer a much more favorable ratio of berths to entries for players,” said NHC Tournament Director Keith Chamblin. “We’re also excited to offer live-money formats that allow players to keep their winnings and put money through the windows of the host tracks, while maintaining the traditional Win-Place format that rewards consistent excellence.”

Each winning prize package includes NHC entry, four nights at Treasure Island, and airfare reimbursement up to $400.

As added incentive, a $500,000 bonus will be up for grabs in Las Vegas for any of the three on-track Super Qualifier winners who go on to win #NHC19.

For more information on entering any of the four Super Qualifiers, contact Michele Ravencraft of the NTRA at mravencraft@ntra.com. Online and/or phone registration will be available via the host racetracks in coming weeks.

Low-cost “feeder” contests will be available for each Super Qualifier on HorsePlayers.com.

NHC Tour points, which determine year-end Tour prizes, as well as NHC entry for the top 10 percent of finishers, will be awarded in NHC Super Qualifiers. For the Santa Anita/Xpressbet.com contest only, players already double-qualified for #NHC19 can earn a first berth to #NHC20 in February 2020.

For more information on the NHC and NHC Tour, visit www.ntra.com/nhc.

 

“Off the Charts” Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – June 8, 2018

Belmont Park horse racingBELMONT PARK

MANGO M (Race 1 @BEL, 6/7/18) – returned off a layoff and was well meant in his turf debut for trainer Shug McGaughey.  He was making a winning move on the far turn when he got boxed in and shuffled around by Whiskey Run.  Ducked to the inside and tried to win the race up the rail, but meanwhile the winner got a clear run on the outside to easily grab the victory.  Son of Tale Of The Cat wins back at this level next time out.

GULFSTREAM PARK

MASCARPONE (Race 4 @GP, 6/7/18) – jockey Jilver Chamafi was asleep at the wheel aboard this turf horse who had a lot of ‘run.’  Made his move way too late, and in the process, got the runner into some trouble turning for home that cost him all chance for the victory.  Finished a sneaky good 2nd behind the 6/5 favorite in a race he could have won.

PIMLICO

FLASH ATTACK (Race 1 @PIM, 5/19/18) – this gelded son of Harlan’s Holiday has been very consistent since moving into the barn of trainer Michael Stidham.  In the opener on Preakness Day he closed well for third against an impossible early speed bias.  Can win back on a fair track, going short or long.

STILL HAVING FUN (Race 8 @PIM, 5/19/18) – this was another one that was up against trying to rally from off the pace but he did so en route to a solid 2nd place finish behind the heavy favorite. Son of Old Fashioned is really good at 1 mile or less.

TENFOLD (Race 13 @PIM, 5/19/18) – in only his fourth career start this guy ran a very good race in the G1 Preakness Stakes.  He rebounded off a poor showing last time out at Oaklawn Park to be beaten less than one length to Justify.  Son of Curlin has a bright future for barn that is masterful at managing careers.  He could play a major factor in the Belmont Stakes.

 

AGOS Horses to Watch – October 5, 2017

Horses to Watch

Kentucky Downs

9/9/17

Race #2 – Mdn Sp Wt – 6 1/2f  turf – #4 – Shirl’s Ready

Shirl’s Ready = This son of More Than Ready was off four months coming in from CD. Ricardo Santana aboard and he looked to be heading for a big effort. – He sported a nice work at Ellis Park and shifted out and dug in gamely showing a very solid turn of late kick. He will most probably be heading back to CD and we’ll be looking there and possibly Keeneland for a trip over the greensward.

Race #4 – Mdn Sp Wt -6 1/2f turf – #7 – Jolly Good

Jolly Good = Daughter of Paddy O’ Prado making her first start in just a shade over 4 months coming in from Keeneland. She is bred to relish the turf and was coming off a 6 1/2f effort on the dirt and getting her day on the undulating turf. – She was slow to begin and forced to steady. Her late kick was evident and she can easily stretch out in distance. Keep your eyes peeled for this gal.

Race #8 – KyD Ladies Sprint – 6 1/2f turf – #2 – Fair Point

Fair Point = 3rd start off the layoff for the daughter of Smart Strike. She was exiting some nice stake races in New York and getting added distance. Her efforts put her in the mix looking for a hole and was forced to steady at the 1/4 pole and some back later down the lane settling for 4th with plenty left.

Del Mar

9/3/17

Race #8 – G2 Del Mar Derby – 1 1/8 on the turf – #3 – Bowies Hero

Bowies Hero = A son of Artie Schiller who was 2/2 at Del Mar. He comes from the high percentage Phil D’ Amato barn and came in off a win in the $100,000 Oceanside. He did a perfect job stalking and tipped off the rail going wide and lost his whip in the final 1/8th of the race. All in all, he still managed a very good third place effort.

 

Belmont Park

9/16/17

Race #2 – Mdn Claiming – 1 1/16 turf – #10 – Culture Carrier

Culture Carrier = Son of Kitten’s Joy for the Chad Brown barn. He is bred to relish the turf and had the services of Javier Castellano in the saddle. He tracked at the back of the pack and tipped off going two wide making a very strong bid. He finished 4th this day and his 2nd effort out should show a much-improved runner ready to seal the deal.

Race #5 – Mdn Sp Wt – 1 mile on the turf – #9 – City Day

City Day = Daughter of City Zip for Christophe Clement. She was getting first time Lasix (24%) and making her second start moving from the dirt to the turf. Her dam has 6 winners from 9 starters on the weeds and she had a couple works on the deep Oklahoma training track at Saratoga. – She tracked near the back and swung out 4 wide making a solid bid to be 3rd. This is a great building block race for efforts to come.

Race #7 – A.O.C – 1 mile on the turf – #10 – Black Tide

Black Tide = He is a blistering speed type under the handling of Jose Lezcano. He is 6/9 ITM over the Belmont turf and exits the $150k West Point stakes. Trainer David Cannizzo has him cranked up and he shows his early foot every time. He led all the way and floated out 7 wide in the turn and when Lezcano got him back on task he did some bumping down the lane. He got the show-dough this effort and can wire them easily. Just keep your eyes peeled for race lacking a torrid pace.

Race #9 – The G2 Sands Point – 1 1/8 on the turf – #10 – Inflexibility

Inflexibility = Daughter of Scat Daddy shipping in from Woodbine. She broke her maiden on the Belmont turf and is 3/3 ITM on the sod. She has a good late kick and was making a step up the class ladder against this field. Chad Brown trainee with Javier Castellano in the irons. – She was wide early on and was forced to steady off of heels early and gave her best effort to be 4th. I think she is sitting on a big effort but you just can’t strut your stuff against better when you have any kind of traffic problems.

Race #10 – Claiming – 1 mile on the turf – #12 – Performance Bonus

Performance Bonus = Chad Brown runner breaking from the far post this day. He is a solid 3/3 ITM over the Belmont green and was dropping down in condition claiming levels. He was a beaten chalk the last race and Brown comes back to win (30%) on this move. He was hung even wider after the break and saw about an 1/8th of a mile if not further than the rest. Javier Castellano managed to rally for 3rd and this was a respectable effort all things considered.

Belmont Park

9/9/17

Race #2 – Mdn Sp Wt – 6f on the turf – #5 – Solid

Solid = Manny Franco in the irons for the Kiaran McLaughlin barn. He is a son of Smart Strike and has the breeding to suggest he will relish the turf. – He was off slow from the start spotting the field extra ground. He made an excellent drive to get back in the game and made striking move splitting runners down the lane to be 3rd this day.

Race #4 – Mdn Sp Wt – 1 mile – #5 – Coal Truth

Coal Truth = A son of Mineshaft was making his 2nd career start for the Chad Brown barn (27%). He was a beaten favorite his first time out and going from a sprint to a route where Brown scores at a (32%) clip. – He made contact with some runners this day and the two-yr-old was squeezed back at multiple times. He ran third but was put up to 2nd as the result of a DQ. – Keep this race on your “key races” to watch runners who exit.

Race #9 – AOC – 1 1/16 on the turf – #2 – Vision Colors

Vision Colors = Speedster shipping back from Parx. This son of Pollard’s Vision loves Belmont going 10/11 ITM at “Big Sandy.” – Manny Franco in the irons and stumbled at the start and still managed to get to the lead and show the way. He led all the way and called it a day at the top of the lane. Maybe the distance was too much or it was the compromised beginning that caused him to use up his early speed.

AGOS Horses to Watch – July 20, 2017

Horses to Watch for AGOS visitors.  Mark these Belmont runners down for the upcoming Saratoga meeting.

Belmont Park

7/15/17

Race #1 – Claiming – 6f – King of Anything

#4 – King of Anything = Rajiv Maragh in the saddle for Dom Giglio. He’s been off 59 days and the trainer wins (21%) with layoff runners. He had a sharp work coming in and was pinched back at the start winding up last in the field. He spun out two wide, then five, and eventually 7 wide at the top of the lane finishing a game 4th.

Race #6 – Claiming – 7f on the turf – Stormin Maclean

#4 – Stormin Maclean = Luis Saez in the irons for Brad Cox (32%). This was his 2nd start off the layoff coming in from Keeneland. The barn wins (32%) with turf runners and was getting added ground going from 6f – 7f. He was caught in very tight against the rail losing all momentum. He is more than capable getting his picture taken next out.

Race  #7 – Mdn Claiming – 1 1/16 turf – Kierland

#4 – Kierland = Luis Saez for Mike Maker getting first time Lasix for a (20%) win clip. His last race came off the turf and the barn scores (21%) going dirt to turf. He uncorked a strong rally splitting runners twice down the lane closing in on the leader. He was beaten in the shadow of the wire.

Belterra Park

7/14/17

Race #3 – Allowance Optional Claiming – 6f on the main track – Woodland Mask

#2 – Woodland Mask = Hector Rosario Jr. in the irons and led from start to finish impressively. They set a new track record while in hand throttled down the last 1/16th of a mile in 1:08.10 – This guy has plenty more in the tank.

Race #4 – Mdn Sp Wt – 5f on the dirt – Love and Mischief

#5 Love and Mischief = John McKee in the saddle for “Buff” Bradley. This filly looked great coming onto the track. This two-year-old broke sharp and was forced to take back and jog home after two horses bumped and were caught in a spill right in front of her. – Toss this race out and she’ll come back and show a better side next out.

Race #8 – Mdn Claiming – 6f on the main track – #C. M. Victoria Rose

#1 – C.M. Victoria Rose = Dean Sarvis (23%) aboard for Matt Hebert (50%) this day. This daughter of Thunder Gulch was shipping in from Tampa Bay and dropping in class. She was far back in the field and came flying very strongly in the lane getting beat a head right at the wire. Play her right back and double-down if Sarvis stays in the saddle.

Met Mile winner Frosted makes Monster Statement

 ELMONT, N.Y. — Earlier in the week, trainer Kiaran McLaughlin actually expressed concern that the eight-furlong distance of the Grade I, $1.25 million Metropolitan Handicap might be a tad short for his Grade I winner Frosted. The race that is known as a stallion-maker ended up as the ultimate advertisement for the son of Tapit’s brilliance.… [Read more…]

AGOS Horses to Watch – June 7, 2016

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes

As we close in on the final leg of the Triple Crown, there seems to be more focus on finding value than the usual talk of making history. Triple Crown winners don’t grow on trees, and this year has the interest of players with a chock-full card sure to offer up value.  The best part of Thoroughbred racing is the hope that awaits. The promise of things to come, and the beauty of majestic runners taking our breath away. Best of luck this Saturday with the Belmont card, and in the meantime. Here are some runners who deserve a good piece of your wagering bankroll.

Belmont

Mascarello (BEL 6/4/16 – Race #5 – #7 – 1 1/16 turf) –  Aaron Gryder in the saddle for H.J. Bond, and his runner saw every inch of the course this day. He was forced wide into the first turn and then even wider as the race progressed. If the field covered 1 1/16, he may have covered 1 1/8.   His mount lost by 3/4 of a length on this day and that is saying a great deal for his extended trip around New York.

Inca Saint (BEL 6/5/16 – Race #2 – #4 – 1 1/16 dirt) – jockey Javier Castellano in the irons on this day, and was checked immediately after the gate break almost coming to a full stop. Once he got his runner back on stride, he was forced out wide during other points of the race.   Give this race a pass and you’ll find a better trip next out.

Belterra Park

Too Cool (BTP 6/4/16 – Race #4 – #11 – One mile turf) –  Geovany Garcia in the saddle, and his mount relished the grass course. The rains were starting and the weeds had a little glimmer of water. Breaking from the outside post is no bonus, but when you find impressive turn of foot down the lane to win in a hurry. Sometimes you keep a gal like this on your list for a return play at the windows.

Altissimo (BTP 6/4/16 – Race #5 – #10 – 6f dirt) – rider Antioco “Coco” Murgia in the irons and his runner is a perfect 2/2 over the course. The interesting part is he came closing strongly over a course that has been favoring speed. He is slated to return on Friday 6/10, and he is a part of an entry that may have short odds. If you’re looking for value you’re going to have to work on multi-race wagers.

Churchill Downs

Casses Story (CD 6/4/16 – Race #1 – #1 – 5f dirt) – Miguel Mena in the saddle and his mount was soundly bumped after the gate break, and was put in tight quarters at the 5/16th pole. Troubled trips often give us a great wagering opportunity next out, and this guy fits the bill.

Kylers Song (CD 6/4/16 – Race #4 – #1 – one mile dirt) –  Jack Gilligan at the controls, and his mount broke tardy from the gate and to rush into contention.   Once settled, his charge caught my eye as a runner making up good ground very easily.

 

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes – Oct. 8, 2015

BELTERRA PARK

Tally Jax (Belterra Park – 10/4/15 – Race #5 – #9 – One mile on the dirt.) – John McKee in the saddle for Eduardo Caramori who has been every effective on the Ohio circuit. He stalked perfectly, and put together a solid bid. He made some late gain, but the track was a sticky goo that ranged between muddy and gummy. It just didn’t fit his liking, and with a surface with a little more grab. I think we’ll have a trip to the winner’s circle coming soon.

BELMONT PARK

Luminary Flight (Belmont Park – 10/3/15 – Race #1 – #1 – 6 1/2f on the dirt.) – John Velasquez was aboard for an eventful trip as his mount broke in the air and brushed the starting gate doors. After attempting to settle out for a shot at redemption, he entered the far turn three wide and bumped late in the lane.

Red Vine (Belmont Park – 10/3/15 – Race #5 – #5 – one mile on the dirt.) – Joel Rosario teamed up with Christophe Clement. He stumbled at the start and was immediately sandwiched between runner son both sides. After being pin-balled around, he regained composure to put together a top notch run. I think a cleaner trip makes him an appointment for the winner’s circle.

KEENELAND

Judy the Beauty (Keeneland – 10/3/15 – Race #6 – #3 – 6f on the dirt.) – Jockey Mike Smith was in town to ride for Wesley Ward,  and this top shelf gal is always worth the trip. That is, until Saturday. – “Judy” was pocketed up most of the race and the patient Smith waited for the seam to open. She was begging out for room and denied down the lane. Once freed up along the rail it was a little two late as the outer two had momentum and did not allow her time to fire up her jets.  – Give her just half a bad trip and she’ll make em’ pay down the lane.

Exaggerator (Keeneland – 10/3/15 – Race #8 – #7 – 1 1/16 on the dirt.) – Kent Desormeaux aboard for his brother had a eerie feel of last year’s juvenile run. He did everything right for most of the trip and spilt horses down the lane to offer up a razor sharp challenge. He did get a little lost nearing the top of the lane and Kent D. got his mind right back on business and he responded quickly. – Each passing race has him maturing, and I think next trip out will be his coming out party.

Conquest Tiz One (Keeneland – 10/4/15 – Race #7 – #4 – 6f on the dirt.) –  Javier Castellano aboard for Mark Casse who comes loaded for bear this meet. Jumped out to fight for the lead, settled in with solid pace and looked like a player as they turned for home. She did everything right but win. Maybe it was the fractions, the track condition, or just a bad luck turn. But she’ll get more from this race and be much the better next up.

 

9 Challengers May Face American Pharoah

Triple Crown NBC Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes winner American Pharoah figures to have nine challengers when he runs in the Belmont Stakes next week and tries to become the first Triple Crown winner in 37 years.
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4 Potential Spoilers to Take on American Pharoah in Belmont

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