AGOS Horses to Watch and Trip Notes – Aug 29

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GULFSTREAM PARK

CHROME RACER (Race 6 at GP, August 13, 2021) – 2nd time starter from the hot Louie Roussel barn finished well to get up for 2nd behind the gate to wire winner.  Rallied against the grain of the speed favoring track.

BULLET ON TAP (Race 2 at GP, August 6, 2021) – first time starter going 7 furlongs showed good early speed and chased the winner home in the lane.  Was green in the stretch and would probably benefit from blinkers.

SARATOGA

PRICE TALK (Race 2 at SAR, August 13, 2021) – This guy overcame a wide trip and some trouble, including the rider nearly losing the whip in the stretch.  Royally-bred turf runner should be able to handle a slight class rise next out.

AGOS Horses to Watch and Trip Notes – Aug 8

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DEL MAR

WARREN’S CANDY GIRL (Race 1 at Del Mar, July 30) – Turf runner made a powerful late run to take over at the top of the lane and draw off to an impressive win.

SARATOGA

FULL COURT PRESS (Race 13 at Saratoga, August 1) – bumped hard start and then raced wide throughout most of the running.  Drew off strongly in the lane and won this race despite wide trip.  Tom Morley runner could win back in the right spot.

CREATE AGAIN (Race 6 at Saratoga, July 29) – Peter Walder runner was boxed in during most of this race despite the short, four-horse field.  When he finally got clear he couldn’t run down the horse who dictated the pace.  Solid effort for potent new barn and should prove tough in similar spot.

AGOS Horses to Watch and Trip Notes – July 27

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SARATOGA

WAR SMOKE (Race 1 at Saratoga, July 17, 2021) – Trip notes saw this first timer run huge. Squeezed badly at the start, and then unleashed a big late run.  The son of War Dancer got bumped and knocked off stride by the winner when both were rallying in the final 1/16th of a mile.  He is a half to 3 turf winners.

MISSPELL (Race 3 at Saratoga, July 17) – Got hit hard at the start of the race.  She recovered with a huge late and just got nosed out.  It was the first start since September for the Chad Brown filly who showed a lot of talent last year.  She was getting Lasix for the first time here.   Figures to break through her conditions very soon.

DANCE CODE (Race 9 at Saratoga, July 17) – Lost all chance at the start of the G3 Sanford Stakes but came on late to finish a very game third, despite being well beaten by winner Wit.  Showed a lot of talent in this loss.

TOO SEXY (Race 6 at Saratoga, July 16) – Clement runner looked like one that had trouble finding the winner’s circle but now she has won two of her last four races.  She was much the best in this entry level allowance race, overcoming trouble in the stretch to win going away in this turf sprint.

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – July 15

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ELLIS PARK

ORCHESTRATION (Race 5 at Ellis Park, June 2, 2021) – Bounced around at the start and then unleashed a huge late run to get up for 2nd and blow past the winner just past the wire.  Big gallop out from the Chad Brown first time starter by Flatter.

SARATOGA

MAINSTAY (Race 9 at Saratoga, July 15, 2021) – In watching the head-on replay you will see that 2yo filly from the Robert Reid, Jr. barn stumbled badly from her two post.  However, she recovered like a real pro and ran a huge race to be 2nd to the second choice and wire-to-wire winner Pretty Birdie.  She was about 4 lengths clear of the show horse.

OMAHA CITY (Race 8 at Saratoga, July 15, 2021) – This talented turf runner finished extremely well to get up for 2nd in the Quick Call Stakes.  Trained by a 3% barn, this son of Temple City had not been out since mid April at Gulfstream.  Super honest and looks primed for top efforts at 6 1/2 furlongs or less.

EKHTIBAAR (Race 1 at Saratoga, opening day July 15, 2021) – The 8yo shipper from Parx showed a new dimension by rallying from off the pace.  Broke from a tough outside post in this 9 furlong dirt opener and was gained furiously on the leader in the lane, and that rival was drifting in and out in the final 1 1/16th.  This old timer loves Saratoga and could surprise at the same or similar level next out.

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – Feb. 1

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GULFSTREAM PARK

PARTNER’S HOPE (Race 2 at Gulfstream Park, Jan. 23, 2021) – This was a live longshot tabbed by my buddy Justin Dew over at LoneSpeed.com.  Unfortunately, the 11-1 shot was ridden by Corey Lanerie, who gives more bad rides than a 10lb bug boy.  The maiden runner began to make a huge move heading into the far turn when Lanerie rode him up on the heels of a horse, causing a hard steady and loss of 2-3 lengths in precious momentum.  He re-rallied on the inside down the lane was only beaten over  a length for all the money.  Look for this More Than Ready colt on the dirt or turf with – hopefully – a different rider up next time.

TWICE TOO MANY (Race 6 at Gulfstream Park, Jan. 28, 2021) – This well bred first time starter from the Bryan Lynch barn was bet down to 4/5 after the late scratch of the favorite.  The 3yo son of the speedy The Big Beast is bred to win early.  He’s a half a millionaire Patternrecognition, along with several other early winners.  In his debut here he broke in 4th and then moved up between horses on the far turn but the winner for Mark Casse ran away from the field.  He’ll move forward off this start and win soon for Lynch.

OAKLAWN PARK

HIDDEN SCROLL (Race 7 at Oaklawn Park, Jan. 24, 2021) – This ‘over hyped’ runner who has simply never lived up to the reputation that he garnered early in his career.  However, over the winter he moved into the barn of potent trainer Brad Cox, who as we say ‘has the Midas touch.”  He returned in a 6 furlong allowance race in the mud and had a less than ideal trip.  He was shuffled back early and then steadied briefly on the backstretch, all the time with the jock half standing up in the irons.  His feet were on the dashboard, indicating his mount was loaded for bear.  When asked, Hidden Scroll swept up 5 wide on the turn and then cruised  to an easy score.  Next up a return to stakes company.

TAMPA BAY DOWNS

SUCCESSFUL LEGACY (Race 3 at Tampa Bay, Jan. 9, 2021) – 3yo filly making third lifetime start and only 2nd on the dirt looked like a winner in deep stretch but was run down by her stablemate.  Gerald Bennett runner can dirt or turf.

JOE MAN JOE ( (Race 6 at Tampa Bay, Jan. 9, 2021) – The son of Uncle Mo closed like a freight train in his maiden breaking win at Tampa early in the meet, and then came back here to run a very nice 2nd on the turf behind a well meant Michael Trombettea runner that shipped up from Gulfstream Park.    Figures tough at 1x level on dirt or turf next out.

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – Jan. 26

Tampa Paddock

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SANTA ANITA

CHARMAINE’S MIA (Race 8 at Santa Anita, Jan. 9, 2021) – Moved into the barn of Phil D’Amato and what do you know – the mare improved by leaps and bounds.  At 16-1 odds she dominated a very strong group here that included multiple stakes winners.  There is no reason she can’t keep running big in turf sprints for her new outfit.

TAMPA BAY DOWNS

JUSTLYREWARDED (Race 6 at Tampa Bay Downs, Jan 6, 2021) – Broke from a tough outside post and then raced wide throughout.  Worse yet, the 7yo gelding was racing against the grain of an inside speed bias.  Better-than-it looks 4th place finish for owner/trainer Peter Knoll.

MY BROTHERSLEDGE (Race 7 at Tampa Bay Downs, Jan 6, 2021) – The best closer in this turf race  made a strong early run against the eventual wire to wire winner.  The 6oy was the only horse with a shot down the stretch but had to settle for 2nd.  He ran a ‘winning race’ with new jockey Hector Diaz in the irons.

 

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – June 30

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BELMONT PARK

JACK AND NOAH (Race 9 @Belmont, Jne 19, 2020) – This 3yo son of Bated Breath is a very, very fast early.  He utilized that speed to run his rivals off their feet in this $80,000 stakes going 6 furlongs on the grass.  Throw out his 1 mile start on Jan. 26, and this colt’s sprint record is rock solid on the lawn.

INDIANA DOWNS

CIELO AZUL (Race 5 @Indiana, June 23, 2020) – 3yo gelding making first start since 2yo season ran a huge race here.  After not showing much in two starts in 2019, he had been training well and nearly pulled off the 10-1 shocker of a dropper from Tampa.

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AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – May 10

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GULFSTREAM PARK

NO NO NINA (Race 1 @GP, May 7, 2020) – Clement major dropped broke a length slow and that cost her in this 5 furlong turf dash.  The More Than Ready filly still ran well and can move forward off this race, only her third career effort.

PRINCESS SECRET (Race 2 @GP, May 7, 2020) – First timer by Khozan broke quickly on top and then was game throughout as she was pressured from the 3/8th pole home.   Extra impressive given that the Pita barn never wins with debut runners.

COUPLE OF NIKKIS (Race 4 @GP, May 7, 2020) – Not one of Tyler G’s best rides as this filly took up sharply at the 3/8th pole and was in traffic, losing her best chance.  She’s had two tough trips in a row now.  I’ll give her another chance at the $16,000 maiden turf level.

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TAMPA BAY DOWNS

NEAT STREET (Race 7 at Tampa, May 8, 2020) – Just a poor turf ride from jockey Ademar Santos.  He had this 3yo gelding in traffic throughout and just never had him comfortable or with a clean chance to run.  Also-ran performance from the Bennett barn is not as bad as it looks.

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – Oct 1

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BELMONT PARK

PROMISE ME ROSES (Race 1 @Belmont, Sept.  20, 2019) – Gary Gullo runner rallied from well back and was absolutely flying late under Jose Lezcano.  She just missed catching the 6/5 favorite at the wire.  She is rounding into form for a sharp outfit.

GULFSTREAM PARK

FRERET (Race 3 @GP, Sept.  20, 2019) – Ducked out at start of this maiden claiming turf race and received a questionable ride from low percentage Alvaro Donis.  Came home well but belatedly for third in a better-than-it-looks performance.  Would benefit from a major rider switch.

BION MAGIC (Race 7 @GP, Sept. 19, 2019) – This 2yo filly had worked well prior to her debut.  She got off to a slow start from her rail post, but she rushed up on the backstretch, took command and scored an impressive victory.  Could be a nice one for the Vinson family.

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – Sept 19

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CANTERBURY PARK

WHY GOD (Race 10 @CBY, 9/14/19) – Broke from an impossible tough post going two turns and consequently went very wide into that first turn.  Flew home late on the rail, belatedly, but galloped out in front of the winner in a sneaky good performance.

GULSTREAM PARK

HEAR MY PRAYER (Race 5 @GP, 9/5/19) – 2nd time starter from David Fisher loved the move to the grass.  The half sibling to 2 grass winners went quickly to the front in this 5 furlong dash and never looked back.  2yo filly is by The Big Beast who was very fast.

GAMBLA (Race 6 @GP, 9/5/19) – Debut runner from Hess barn that usually doesn’t fire first time out.  3yo filly broke poorly from the rail but finished sneaky well in a good performance.  Sports a nice pedigree.  Can move forward.

KENTUCKY DOWNS

TALAALAH (Race 7 @ KD, 9/12/19) – This 4yo Candy Ride filly has some good figs at the maiden special weights level on the grass but was given a tough task stretching out to 1 mile in this good field.  Look for the cut back to 6 furlongs or thereabouts.

ARCHIDUST (Race 9 @ KD, 9/12/19) – Undefeated turf runner broke dead last from the rail in this full field feature event.  Sophomore colt rallied sneaky well to a respectable finish in a race that is much better than it looks.