“Off the Charts” Trip Notes – November 28, 2014

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From races run on Saturday, Nov. 22nd

Aqueduct R6, N2x/$62,500 3up, 6.5 furlongs (dirt)

Honor Code and Maleeh both ran extremely well while getting very clean trips (watch Honor Code especially – he hardly had to slow down or check).  To me, Honor Code and his “get back” style is much more suited to chasing sprinter splits around one turn.  He may be vulnerable going two turns against Grade 1 horses.

Aquduct R7, N1x, 3up,1 mile (turf)

Adirondack Dancer “pulled” against the jockey from the start of the race until early stretch then had little punch for the drive.  Very late the #8 horse came over from the two path and to avoid clipping heels AD’s jock stopped riding, costing him 3rd place.  I think this horse would definitely be worth another shot at the N1x allowance, or in high claimers at the mile on turf.  Perhaps a jock switch would also help.

Del Mar R4, N1x/$40,000 clm., Fillies and Mares, 5 furlongs (turf)

Blake’s Magic was a perfect trip winner but the unlucky Air of Royalty was 3 wide on the backstretch and was forced to fan out 5 wide into the stretch, losing momentum.  Finished OK to only lose by a length.  Air of Royalty certainly fits at this N1x level.

Del Mar R8 – $100,000 stakes, 3 up Fillies and Mares, 1 mile 3/8 (turf)

Three Hearts had to move a bit early, but was able to save most of the ground and prevail in a good effort.  Lady of Gold was three wide without cover for most of the race.  This is a physically taxing position to be in because the horse is losing ground while simultaneously getting a lot of air resistance.  It also looked like the jock moved too early on her as well.  Play Lady of Gold back in low-level stakes or conditioned allowance company.

Del Mar R9 – 3up Fillies and Mares Maiden Special Weight – 6 furlongs (polytrack)

What little I saw of Sayes So loading during the video replay (she was the last horse put in the gate) gave me the impression this was one athletic horse and she ran to her good looks in a nearly effortless Maiden Special romp.  Give her a chance to win moving up to the N1X allowance level.

 

POSSIBLE PLAY AGAINSTS

Del Mar R4, N1x/$40,000 clm., Fillies and Mares, 5 furlongs (turf)

Blake’s Magic was a perfect trip winner.  Looks very vulnerable moving to the N2x allowance level.

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About Editor

Rich Nilsen is a 12-time qualifier to the National Handicapping Championship (NHC), an event he has cashed in four times. He was the first player to finish in the top 10 twice. He recently won a $24,000 package into the 2016 Kentucky Derby Betting Championship. A former executive with Brisnet.com, Rich is also a graduate of the University of Louisville Equine Business Program. He is founder of AGameofSkill.com, a site devoted to horse racing education and promotion.

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