“Off the Charts” Trip Notes – August 28, 2015

SARATOGA

Mshawish – Ran a very sharp race in the Forstardave Stakes until the last 70 yards.  Not surprising, as it was his first race since late March, the tote board action was a little cold, and there are bigger fish to fry, like the $2 Million Breeders’ Cup Mile.  The fact he showed some life after Dubai is encouraging, as many horses never come back from the trip.  Certainly one to follow in the late summer and into Fall.

Governor Malibu (Saratoga – 8/19/15 – Race #2 – #9 – 6f) – Joel Rosario had the call, and was bet down to (5-1) and beaten by a solid (3-5) shot. This fits the angle of “running a winner’s race and finishing 2nd.” – Todd Pletcher does very well with second up runners and if the first race is any indication, I think we’ll see plenty of upside with his second outing.

Life Imitates Art (Saratoga – 8/22/15 – Race #6 – #5 – 1 1/16 on the turf)  Irad Ortiz was in the irons for his go-to-man Chad Brown. They do really good work as a team, and this two-year-old led all the way around and was running green down the lane. – Ortiz couldn’t convince his mount to stop tossing his head about, and cocking it to the outside down the lane. He was bet down as the big chalk, and you can bet dollars to donuts that Chad Brown will have this all worked out for the next start. Oh, and after looking around and acting like a toddler, he only finished a neck back from the winner.

I’m a Chatterbox (Saratoga – 8/22/15 – Race #10 – #4 – 1 1/4 on the dirt) – Florent Geroux had a rough trip, and his filly is ready for another chance to fight. – She lunged at the start and bobbled a bit, and in a quality field that can put out your lights quick. Once she got into the bit, she looked all systems were go until she was fanned out wide making her run. She lugged in down the lane and just couldn’t get to the winner on this day. – Most handicappers will dismiss her effort and look elsewhere. I’ll be keyed on her in a big way hoping for a better price and a cleaner trip.

BELTERRA PARK

Como Luz (Belterra Park – 8/20/15 – Race #6 – #3) – There was a gate malfunction, and the #2 & #3 gates did not open on time. Como Luz was forced through the gates by his rider Christian Rojas after spotting the field about 15 lengths. He was far back in the field, and I dismissed the race to toss in the trash heap until they started nearing the 1/4 pole. – Como Luz had made up ground very quickly and finished strong to run third. This handicapper is waiting to see the Angel Quiros barn wheel the runner back to the races. He appears to relish the oval, and after he was declared a non-starter. I’m going to dive deep into multi-race exotics to find value.

Draw Nigh (Belterra Park – 8/22/15 – Race #6- #6 – 5f on the turf) – First off the layoff, and the colt was cutting back in distance and making the dirt-turf switch where the barn wins (25%). – He was in perfect striking position and was fighting to work off the rail. Perry Ouzts kept him in the pocket forcing him to seek a spot along the rail that never opened. The rider choked up on the reins, and appeared to wait for another day. I think that day will be his next start on the greensward.

Share this with your horse racing friends
Handicapping tips from agameofskill.com

Subscribe

* indicates required





Email Format


About Editor

Rich Nilsen is an 18-time qualifier to the National Horseplayers Championship (NHC), an event he has cashed in four times. He was the first player to finish in the top 10 twice. Rich was also a winner of a $24,000 package into Kentucky Derby Betting Championship I. A former executive with Brisnet.com and a member of the NHC Players’ Committee, Rich is a graduate of the University of Louisville Equine Business Program and is founder of AGameofSkill.com, a site devoted to horse racing education and promotion.

Speak Your Mind

*

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

More in Off The Charts Trip Notes
“Off the Charts” Trip Notes – Aug. 21, 2015

AGameofSkill.com Horses to Watch Whisperonthestreet (Gulfstream Park - 8/14/15 - Race #4 - #2 - 5f on the turf) - Tyler...

Close