Off the Charts Trip Notes – April 8, 2013

Off the Charts Trip Notes (April 8, 2013) spotlights horses throughout the country who encountered some type of significant or meaningful trouble in their most recent start or just gave an extremely impressive performance. Please note that horses spotlighted in Off the Charts Trip Notes are never an automatic bet back, but rather runners to give a serious look at given the trips and the trouble spotted by our expert handicappers at AGameofSkill.com.  Horses below listed in track name order.

At Aqueduct

PEGGY JANE (Race 7 at AQU, April 4, Opt2x, 1 mile ). The 6-5 favorite was full of run in mid stretch when she found herself completely stuck on the inside with no where to go. She couldn’t get out behind the leader in deep stretch and the jockey finally had to just wrap up and call it a day. The Chad Brown trainee finished willingly in the final yards and was beaten just over one length after a very unlucky trip.

At Fair Grounds

DREAMY DIVA (race 4 at Fg, March 27, Mdspwt 5 1/2 f turf). Very unlucky trip for this gal. Bet down to 5-2 and ridden by Richard Eramia, she was sitting a good trip inside when she got steadied very hard heading into the far turn. In the process she dropped back losing several lengths. This is especially critical given it was a short turf sprint that favors early speed. She re-rallied and just missed third. An inquiry against the place horse resulted in a disqualification, placing her behind Dreamy Diva.

At Gulfstream Park

EXPROPRIATE (race 3 at GP, April 4, Mdcl $35k, 5f turf). With the hood removed and making her first start in a turf sprint, this filly rallied from off the pace. Stuck down on the inside turning for home, she steadied multiple times before unleashing a powerful late run to get up for second. This was her first start for new barn and she should break her maiden soon on the lawn at the maiden claiming level.

THUS (race 2 at GP, March 28, Cl $30-2L, 1 1/16 miles turf). What a weak and passive ride aboard the even money favorite. It was like the jockey, Edgar Prado, was asleep at the wheel when the winner swept by on the far turn and opened up an insurmountable lead in the stretch. When he finally got this runner in the clear and asked her, the horse responded with a nice run to easily gain second. I’ve always been a Prado fan (unlike many horseplayers it seems) but this wasn’t one of his best grass rides.

CHAUTAUQUA CREEK (Race 3 at GP, April 4, Maiden Claiming $35,000, 5 furlongs, Turf). Bad start for first time starter that proved to be much better than her 42-1 odds posted on the tote board. Left last after the start, this filly raced wide down the backstretch and began a menacing move into the turn only to be caught six wide. Passed the entire field except the winner in the stretch and was barely nosed out for second. Only improvement can be in the forecast for this one.

At Keeneland

BULL DOZER (Race 8 at KEE, April 5, 2013, OC $62,500, 6 ½ furlongs) – Being behind the first flight all the way to the turn after breaking from the one post, the gelding hesitated slightly into the turn and then proceeded to wander back and forth between the rail and the four path, never having clear sailing and always having to wait until it was too late. He did make a solid late run in the final sixteenth to gain second to a well prepared winner.

WAVE THEORY (Race 9 at KEE, April 6, 2013, Grade One, 1 1/16 miles) – A nightmare trip that started from the far outside, this filly was bumped several times before the first turn and was carried out by another trying to bolt. Before she could get settled into last place she was carried eight wide and was far back. The Chad Brown trainee was still last after ¾ miles and was forced to go six wide in the far turn to have a chance. After a determined stretch run she was nosed out for third. While no competitor could have beaten the winner in the race, this filly was by far the next best and showed she is a threat at the graded stakes level.

LOLLIPOP (Race 10 at KEE, April 6, 2013, $30,000 2L, 6 ½ furlongs) – Second race for Argentine import with blinkers on, who was squeezed a bit at the start, then engaged in a duel that lasted until the sixteenth pole. From the top of the stretch until the sixteenth pole the colt exchanged bumps with rival. No doubt the duel and trip took enough out the colt, who still finished a very good second to a closer who was waiting to pounce. A bit softer pace and kinder trip will help this one next out.

AT TAMPA BAY

KIZUNA (Race 12 at TAM, April 6, 2013, Maiden Special Weight, One Mile, Turf) – Bet well and broke in good position and held position following leader down backstretch. Was in perfect position to win and was moving easily when leader tired badly and bore out. The collision almost caused Kizuna’s rider to fall. All hope was lost in what looked to be the maiden breaker for this three year old.

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About Editor

Rich Nilsen is an 18-time qualifier to the National Horseplayers Championship (NHC), an event he has cashed in four times. He was the first player to finish in the top 10 twice. Rich was also a winner of a $24,000 package into Kentucky Derby Betting Championship I. A former executive with Brisnet.com and a member of the NHC Players’ Committee, Rich is a graduate of the University of Louisville Equine Business Program and is founder of AGameofSkill.com, a site devoted to horse racing education and promotion.

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