“Off the Charts” – KY Derby 141 Prep Notes edition

Derby Prep Trip Notes

I already added Far Right, International Star and Mubtaahij to my stable because I think they both are consistent horses that can get into the superfecta at decent odds (12/1 to 20/1 range).  In this segment I am going to review the trips of several Kentucky Derby-bound horses to see if they should be “moved up” or “moved down.”

Far Right (Arkansas Derby):  Slight bump to his inside into American Pharoah coming out of the gate.  Allowed to settle mamy lengths off the pace.  Roused with the whip several times but interestingly was only hand-ridden in the stretch to get into second placing and a trip to Louisville.  After the race Mike Smith was quoted he tried to “save something” for May 2ndMove UP

El Kabier (Wood Mewmorial):  Well beaten without an apparent excuse.  Did have to go a bit wide coming off the second turn, largely after the race was down to Frosted and Tencendur. AVOID 

Frosted (Wood Memorial):  Mixed vibes here for me.  He had slight trouble at the start and was wide on both turns.  Race may have been run to suit with the slowish tempo (49 and 1:13.2).  Looked like a very tired horse down the lane, but get points for tenacity and finishing the race off. TOUGH READ

American Pharoah (Arkansas Derby):  Victor Espinoza never lowered his hands onto the Pharoah’s neck and never showed him the whip.  I have never seen a horse win a race like that in 29 years of following the sport.  Fractions of 45.4 and 1:10.2 were faster than in the Oaklawn Handicap featuring crack older miler Race Day at the same distance.  Horse to Beat?  I think so.

Firing Line (Sunland Derby):  Off the form lines in the Robert B. Lewis and the fractions in the Sunland Park Derby (45.2, 1:09), this horse can run.  Has to be in the mix.  Move UP

Danzig Moon (Blue Grass):  Slightly awkward and tardy start and bump early, 5 wide first turn, 6 wide second turn before putting a slight scare into Carpe Diem, who got a dream run just outside Ocho Ocho Ocho in 48 and 1:12.  One thing for sure – they won’t go 48 in the Kentucky Derby.  Move UP

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About Editor

Rich Nilsen is a 19-time qualifier to the National Horseplayers Championship (NHC), an event he has cashed in four times. He was the first player to finish in the top 10 of the NHC twice. A former executive with Brisnet.com and a member of the NHC Players’ Committee, Rich is a graduate of the University of Louisville Equine Business Program and is founder of AGameofSkill.com, a site devoted to horse racing education and promotion.

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More in Kentucky Derby | Triple Crown, Off The Charts Trip Notes
Great Horse Racing Video Series – Mubtaahij’s KY Derby 141 Prep

The 2015 UAE Derby won by Kentucky Derby contender Mubtaahij (Ire) with world-class rider Christophe Soumillon aboard. https://youtu.be/677rgOnAbOw

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