Nilsen Crushes it with Breeders’ Cup Analysis

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Breeders CupFour of the five Spot Plays given out on the Breeders’ Cup Analysis by AGameofSkill founder Rich Nilsen won and won big.  The highlight was the top selection Work All Week, who upset the Breeders’ Cup Sprint to the tune of $40.20 and keyed the trifecta play given out on the sheet which paid a whopping $1,064.70 (for every $1 increment).

Nilsen’s first Spot Play of the day was lone speed play Dayathespa, who cruised to an easy win in the Filly & Mare Turf and paid a generous $13.00 to Win and $6.60 to Place.

The next Spot Play was the recommended Win wager on Bobby’s Kitten in the Turf Sprint.  The cutback runner for trainer Chad Brown returned $16.40.

Third choice Texas Red romped in the Juvenile and paid $29.80, but no Spot Play wager was given out for this race.

The third Spot Play from Nilsen was the $64.80 exacta with Main Sequence over Flintshire in the Breeders’ Cup Turf.

In the very next race WORK ALL WEEK took the Sprint, paying $40.20 and $18.40, hitting the big trifecta, and completing an $1,814.70 Pick-3 for those who used Nilsen’s top 3 selections.

In only two races did Nilsen not list the winner – the nearly-impossible-to-pick Take Charge Brandi and Karakontie.

FILLY & MARE TURF ANALYSIS

PACE SCENARIO: Dayatthespa is the clear lone speed in this 1 1/4 mile race.  The daughter of City Zip stretches out off a 1 mile win at Keeneland and she will take this field as far as she can under crafty rider Javier Castellano.  She won a grade one easily at 9 furlongs, finishing the last 1/8th in a sizzling :11.2.  The euro invader offering the best value is Fiesolana.

Spot Play? Play # 4 Dayatthespa to Win and Place.

Selections:

1st- # 4 Dayatthespa (8/1)

2nd- # 6 Fiesolana (8/1)

3rd- # 3 Dank (5/2)

4th- #10 Stephanie’s Kitten (3/1)

SPRINT ANALYSIS

PACE SCENARIO: A fast pace is ensured in the Breeders’ Cup Sprint with Fast Anna and Work All Week the speed of the speed.  The older horse, Work All Week, will sit right off the flank off the sophomore colt to his inside before taking over.  Undefeated on fast dirt in 7 attempts, Work All Week doesn’t have to carry his racetrack with him and the win machine could be this good for Midwest Thoroughbreds.

Spot Play? Play #13 Work All Week to Win and Place. Play a trifecta partwheel #5, 13 with #5, 13 with ALL.  Trifecta partwheel #5, 13 with ALL with #5, 13.

Selections:

1st- #13 Work All Week (10/1)

2nd- # 5 Private Zone (6/1)

3rd- # 8 Palace (6/1)

4th- # 6 Rich Tapestry (5/1)

5th – #10 Big Macher (12/1)

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About Editor

Rich Nilsen is a 15-time qualifier to the National Horseplayers Championship (NHC), an event he has cashed in four times. He was the first player to finish in the top 10 twice. He was also a winner of a $24,000 package into Kentucky Derby Betting Championship I. A former executive with Brisnet.com, Rich is also a graduate of the University of Louisville Equine Business Program. He is founder of AGameofSkill.com, a site devoted to horse racing education and promotion.

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