Handicapping Tips #4 – Pace Makes the Race

Handicapping tips from agameofskill.com

Handicapping Tip of the Day – Pace Makes the Race

One of the first, if not the first thing, you should be doing when handicapping a race is to try to figure out the anticipated pace scenario.  Which horse or horses figure to vie for the early lead?  Is one of those speed horses faster than the others?  You can use excellent pace figures such as the ratings Brisnet puts out, or you can look at the raw fractional times to figure out the typical 1/4 and 1/2 mile time that each horse runs.   Additionally, some horses want to be up on the lead regardless of superior early speed of other rivals, and they will ‘use themselves’ in the process to vie for the front end.  Needless to say, that can affect all of the horses involved.  Some jockeys are better gate riders than others, and it is helpful to know the riders’ traits on your circuit.

After you analyze the pace situation, you can then determine which runner(s) is at an advantage based on the makeup of this race.  That’s a big edge over the public that skips this vital step in the handicapping process or does so haphazardly.

~ Rich Nilsen

Did you miss – Tip # 3 – Every Horse…

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About Editor

Rich Nilsen is an 18-time qualifier to the National Horseplayers Championship (NHC), an event he has cashed in four times. He was the first player to finish in the top 10 twice. He cashed on the 2018 NHC Tour with a 19th overall finish. Rich was also a winner of a $24,000 package into Kentucky Derby Betting Championship I. A former executive with Brisnet.com, Rich is a graduate of the University of Louisville Equine Business Program and is founder of AGameofSkill.com, a site devoted to horse racing education and promotion.

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