FREE Saturday Horse Racing Play – Sat., June 1

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In this new segment we provide a free horse racing play on Saturday, which includes our expert analysis and a handicapping lesson.

Race 7 at Monmouth Park, June 1st, post time 3:41pm ET

Pace Scenario:Moderate to honest pace with On Moonlight Bay the expected pacesetter for Todd Pletcher.

Free AGOS Selection: # 11 TIMELESS ELEGANCE (3/1) – this 4yo War Front filly moves back to the turf, her preferred surface. Two starts back at Keeneland, she closed with a strong run to narrowly miss and run 2nd in a full field of 12 maiden special weights runners. Anything close to that performance today makes this filly the one to beat despite her wide draw. Has the services of one of the all-time greats in Frankie Dettori. She will take some beating.

Wagering strategy: Play # 11 to Win.  Exacta partwheel with 1, 7, 8. Reverse for half. Small exacta over 3, 5.

This analysis is for educational purposes. ALWAYS WAGER WITHIN YOUR BUDGET AND COMFORT LEVEL

LAST PLAY RESULT: Ran 3rd at Belmont

Profitable Ky Oaks / Ky Derby!

Rich Nilsen gave out the 4-1 Kentucky Oaks winner and his third selection (and first longshot), Mystik Dan, won the Kentucky Derby at odds of 16-1! Nilsen only offers paid analysis 4-5 times per year. Here were his write-ups:

Kentucky Oaks:

Top Selection: # 5 THORPEDO ANNA (5/1) – Trainer Kenny McPeek, one of the best Kentucky horsemen over the past decades in the Bluegrass State, enters the best filly he has ever trained. This brilliant daughter of Fast Anna scored first time out going 7 furlongs last fall at Keeneland and destroyed the field by 8 ½ lengths after closing from way back. You just rarely see a first time starter win like this, especially going 7 furlongs and at Keeneland. She proved that was no fluke by returning to beat allowance company by 9 lengths and running a monster triple-digit BRIS Late Pace Figure. After running second in the G2 Golden Rod, she was put on the shelf for her three-year-old season. Anna returned at Oaklawn Park and despite breaking from the 10 hole and facing a quality field, she proved her dominance once again, drawing off by 4 lengths. The G2 Fantasy winner has been training well since that start and comes into this race in prime form. She drew well and is clearly the horse to beat.

Kentucky Derby 150:

3rd Selection: # 3 Mystik Dan (20/1) – This colt was an impressive maiden winner at Churchill going only 5 ½ furlongs. He was a speed horse as a two year old, but trainer Kenny McPeek retooled this horse and developed him into a runner that can come from off the pace. And did he ever in the G3 Southwest Stakes, finishing powerfully in the mud to win by 8. I didn’t like him in the G1 Arkansas Derby, with his only big number on a wet track, but the colt ran very well with sneaky trouble. Going around the first turn, the horse to his inside bolted and slammed into Dan. That cost the colt several lengths but he did not give up. He put in a sustained run and ran a sneaky good third. He can move forward off that race, and we know he loves the track. Nice price for the exotics.

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About Editor

Rich Nilsen is a 19-time qualifier to the National Horseplayers Championship (NHC), an event he has cashed in four times. He was the first player to finish in the top 10 of the NHC twice. A former executive with and a member of the NHC Players’ Committee, Rich is a graduate of the University of Louisville Equine Business Program and is founder of, a site devoted to horse racing education and promotion.

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