AGOS Horses to Watch – Dec. 21, 2016

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes and Horses to Watch

Aqueduct

12/3/16

Race 1 – Schott – 7f on the dirt

He was bumped soundly at the break by the eventual winner, and got pinched back shortly after. Most would toss this race and look for his next.  He made a stout challenge late in the lane to finish 4th at a handsome price for the John Kimmel barn.

Race 3 – Sweetpollypurebrd – 6f dirt

She broke inward shortly after the start and was bumped around a bit. Rudy Rodriguez will have this filly more focused next time out, as she was gently coaxed to make a solid bid for second leaving plenty in the tank for her next outing.

Race 6 – Will Did It – 6 1/2 f dirt

Alan Garcia’s mount was bumped leaving the gate and was forced to swing seven wide. His charge was gaining strongly and finished a solid second on this day. Trainer David Jacobson will have him ready to fire next up.

Race8 –Bar of Gold – 1 mile dirt

Joel Rosario was in the irons for John Kimmel and their runner was making her first start since October 22nd. Filly finished an honest 4th as the beaten favorite, and we’ll use this effort as a scouting mission for bigger and better races down the road.

Churchill Downs

11/19/16

Race 4 – Colony Crossing – 6f dirt

Corey Lanerie in the irons and his filly was off slow from the break and finished up with good energy, running a very game second this day.

Race 8 – Papa Zulu – 1 1/16 dirt

Shaun Bridgmohan in the irons for Buff Bradley and the colt stalked nicely and was making a stout late move where he was forced to check sharply and altering course.

Fair Grounds

12/3/16

Race 2 – Sky Flower – 6f dirt

She was shipping in from Ellis Park and was the odds-on chalk this day. She was in perfect stalking mode under James Graham and angled out late to be a bridesmaid this day. I think she’ll benefit from this race over the track and reward her backers next out.

Race 3 – Tizahandful – 5 1/2f on the turf

Filly from the Neil Pessin barn was making her first start since Keeneland. She was tossing her head about and bumped soundly leaving the starting gate.  Carlos Marquez tried to get her back on track as she finished strong but ran out of real estate finishing 5th.

Race #5 – Full Tap – 5 1/2 f turf

Mike Stidham trainee jumped right to the front after a bumping match with the starting gate.  Jockey Mitchell Murrill tried to steady her course, but she came up a bit leg weary down the lane.  She’ll show much better with a cleaner trip.

AGOS Horses to Watch – Nov. 21, 2016

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes. Here are some runners who could use a playback or a good hard look next out, including some runners exiting the 2016 Breeders’ Cup.

Aqueduct

11/5/16

Race #2 – #9 – Uncle Chester – 1 1/16 turf

Eric Cancel’s mount seemed to lose traction leaving the starting gate. He made a solid attempt and spun three-wide on the turn to finish up third this day.

Race  #5 – #12 – Rule Number One – 1 mile turf

Antonio Gallardo in the irons and one thing is for sure. This guy can flat-out horseback.  He rode four winners on the card, and his mount was carried four wide coming up a little empty down the lane. Next out should have him moving right back into top form.

Race #6 – #8 – Realm – 1 mile on the dirt

Top rider Paco Lopez in the driver’s seat and his runner stalked just off the leaders and inhaled the field to win by an easy 5 1/4. – He needs a good playback next out as he completed this task with plenty left in the tank.

Santa Anita

11/5/16 – 2016 Breeders’ Cup

Race #1 – #10 – Kitten’s Cat – 6 1/2f turf

Luis Saez in the saddle for the Joe Sharp barn. His colt stumbled at the start and closed with a strong flourish four wide on his way to the winner’s circle. This son of Kitten’s Joy may have some good things to come and could use a good wager right back next time out.

Race #4 – Juvenile Fillies – #12 – American Gal – 1 1/16 dirt

Mike Smith for Baffert, and their filly broke slow from the gate in the #12 post. She was seven wide down the backstretch and 5 wide into the final turn. She managed a to finish with good energy to be 3rd as the beaten favorite.

Race #7 – Turf Sprint – #12 – Om – 6 1/2 f turf

Gary Stevens in the irons and broke inward at the break. He was stalking in a perfect trip when Stevens lost his whip in the final 1/16th to be bested by a nose at the wire.

Race #12 – Classic – #9 Hoppertunity – 1 1/4 miles dirt

John Velasquez in the saddle for Bob Baffert and he was facing two monsters this day. He wouldn’t have caught Chrome or Arrogate going around another lap, but if he catches just a solid field, he’ll give them fits as he finished up with good energy to show he is getting ready.

AGOS Horses to Watch – Nov. 1, 2016

track announcer with binoculars

Ed Meyer is the track announcer at Belterra

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes and Horses to Watch

At the time of this entry the Breeders’ Cup countdown is 3 days, 3 hours, and 55 minutes away. The fever is starting to catch as the rest of the week I’ll be following the notes team work, and watching workouts and replays. This is my preparation, and I’m sure you have your own. But one is for sure, it’s only a matter of days until the best racing of the year will converge on Santa Anita. In the meantime, here are some runners you’ll want to keep your eyes and bankroll focused. They have an excuse, a bad break, or it just wasn’t their day. Either way, just follow them back and you may have a bumper payday.

Horses to Watch

Belmont Park

10/19/16

Race #3 – #7 – Bull – 7f turf

Had to check off heels at the 1/8th pole twice and was trying to close stoutly with Manny Franco in the irons. New York-bred son of Bluegrass Cat was put up for second after a little bumping and shutting off down the lane. With a little racing luck, he’ll be tough to handle next out.

Gulfstream Park West

10/28/16

Race #6- #1 – Our War Eagle – 5f turf

Edgard Zayas had the call for Eddie Plesa and this two-year-old by Unbridled’s Song came flying late in the lane. He missed by a nose in this maiden affair and I think we’ll be hearing from him down the road.

Keeneland

10/19/16

Race #4 – #4 – Pour Girl – 1 1/16 turf

This 50-1 shot with Declan Cannon in the irons was beaten a head for the whole enchilada. Cannon is 37% ITM on the green and made a huge move up the rail after shipping in from Indy Grand. She may reward her backers at a handsome price next out. By the way, this guy loves to ride on the greensward.

10/20/16

Race #9 – #5 – Scarf it Down – 6 1/2f dirt

Florent Geroux in the driver’s seat and he spotted the field about 8-10 lengths coming out of the gate. He made an exhilarating move around the far turn rushing up to be just two off the leaders. he seemed to fade a bit down the lane, and finishing 4th on a sloppy sealed track may have him looking to get right back in the game.

10/22/16

Race #2 -#4 – Wise Old Owl – 1 1/16 dirt

First time starter who was sent off the luke warm favorite and had the services of Julien Leparoux. He was starting to make up ground under the leading rider for the Mike Maker barn, and you can rest assured he’ll gain needed experience where the barn does well with second timers to the races.

Race #4 – #3 – Bird Street – 6f dirt

Shaun Bridgmohan in the saddle and his filly was bottled up and forced to steady mid-way around the final turn. She was shifting out to make up good ground but just ran out of time.

AGOS Horses to Watch – Oct. 24, 2016

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes and Horses to Watch

 

Belmont Park

10/15/16

Race #4 – #12 – Irish Filibuster – 7f turf – jockey Luis Saez in the irons for Mike Maker. They were bumped soundly leaving the starting gate and should be followed right back. This was his first effort since February at Fair Grounds, and Maker has a way to get his runners ready to move forward off for runners coming off the shelf.

Race #6 – #6 – Tombelaine – 7f turf – Javier Castellano for Chad Brown and this runner was making a first start since shipping in from Gulfstream. Pinched back at the start and was forced between foes down the backstretch. Add in he was 6 wide around the final turn closing stoutly and you have a runner ready to get his picture taken next out.

Race #7 – #4 – Easy Way Out – 6 1/2f dirt – This 1st time filly with Irad Ortiz in the saddle was knocked around multiple times leaving the gate and had to alter course to the six wide path. Once she found clear sailing, he effort was eye-catching. She will improve off this effort and be a handful next time to the races.
Keeneland

10/15/16

Race #2 – #2- Prudence – 1 mile turf= Corey Lanerie was in the drivers seat this day for the “Rusty” Arnold barn. She split runners gamely and showed great interest. The barn does very well with return runners during the brief meet. The big question is can he wheel her back in the next two weeks or will they turn to a winter campaign ? If she appears right back at Keeneland, bet early and often.

Race #6 – #4 – Leofric –  Chris Landeros had the call for trainer Neil Howard. Shipped in off a Churchill effort in September, and was knocked around a bit leaving the gate. Finished up with a good late kick and the big question is where will he race next ? Should we be looking for a quick return, or a campaign back at Churchill Downs ? Either way, this is a runner who needs a bet.

AGOS Horses to Watch – Oct. 18, 2016

copyright AgameofSkill.com 2016Horses to Watch for AGameofSkill.com visitors.  Put these runners in your Stable Alert.

Belmont Park

10/8/16

Race #2 – #2 – California Swing – 1m turf

Irad Ortiz was up for Christophe Clement and this colt saved ground and started to show good interest. For the next 1/8th of a mile they were caught in traffic and Ortiz was forced to tap on the brakes many times. Once free he spun three-wide and finished with a strong late kick.

Race #4 – #3 – Nonna Mela – 1 mile dirt

The (G-1) Frizette was a tough race and this gal bobbled at the start costing her precious ground as a highly wagered player in the field. Give her a clean trip and the outcome may be a little different.

Race #6 – #6 – Sea Calisi – 1 1/4 turf

She did very little wrong except hook a monster on the improve off the shelf in Lady Eli, one of the best turf distaffers we’ve seen over recent y ears. Calisi tipped off the rail and looked prepared to mount a challenge but the winner had more in the tank. This was a very good “builder” race where she can be counted on for improvement.

Race #7 – #6 – Power Alert – 6f turf

Mike Smith is the new Eddie Arcaro.  Both rode about 1/3 the mounts of their counterparts and mainly tacked up in the big money races. – He set the pace under salty fractions and was bested in the shadow of the wire. The best is yet to come for this sprinter.

Race #9 – #10 Beach Patrol – 1 1/8 turf

Florent Geroux is in the ‘zone.” He did everything right and was bested by a fast closing Camelot Kitten who had clear sailing about four wide with no traffic. Geroux fits and she’ll give them fits next out.

 

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Keeneland

10/8/16

Race #7 – #2 – Tepin – 1 mile turf

For the sake of being master of the obvious, this gal has plenty in the tank and didn’t burn her up chasing the leader. The likely Breeders’ Cup Mile favorite closed with good interest and will be a monster next out. The hardest part will be the waiting. Barring any last minute hiccups, Tepin is just fine and received a great deal of work from this race. Just think, she’ll be dreaming every night of chasing a leader who stole the race by ten around the far turn. She won’t disappoint, just be patient.

Race #9 – #8 – Ironicus – 1 mile turf

Jose Ortiz got motoring late around the final turn and brushed a nudge with Mondialiste. This little bump may have cost her the race as she hit another gear at the 1/8th pole kicking in the after-burners. No worries, Ortiz will move just a little sooner next out.

AGOS Horses to Watch – October 12, 2016

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes

Horses to Watch

Belmont Park

10/1/16

Race #3 – #4 – Filet of Sole – 7f dirt

Javier Castellano’s mount veered in at the start and he corrected his mount immediately. Advanced nicely splitting runners and floated three-wide on the far turn. He gave a good account of himself this race and should benefit next out.

Race #6 – #4 – Flintshire – 1 1/2 miles turf

The yielding turf and all day rain may not have been to his liking as he settled behind the speed and moved three wide to finish up second. The fractions were slow and this race may have been used as a good teaching moment. According to Chad Brown all systems are go for the Breeders’ Cup and I think we’ll see his best on display.

Race #9 – #7 – Stallwalkin’ Dude – 6f dirt

Irad Ortiz had the Jacobson trainee in mid-pack stalking mode and angled out going five wide at the 1/4 pole.  He took over the lead very briefly and was forced to settle for second money getting bested in the final 1/8th.

Belmont 10/2/16

Race #1 – #2 – Yorkiepoo Princess – 1 mile dirt

Irad Ortiz sent his filly wire-to-wire and won easily for a race that was originally scheduled for the turf. With a quick turn of foot like she possessed, this gal can turn out the lights pretty quick.

Race #4 – #1 – Delta Prince – 6 1/2f dirt

First time starter for James Jerkins and was bumped around quite a bit leaving the starting gate. She never looked settled during the race and should benefit greatly from this initial trip over the track.

Race #5 – #2 – Coasted / #6 – New Money Honey – 1 1/16 turf

Jose Lezcano did everything on cue and was forced to wait for a gap at the top of the lane. She was on-hold for what seemed like an eternity and was overtaken by New Money Honey who got the jump and had good momentum. Coasted finished an easy third this day and both runners need to kept on your list from this race.

AGOS Horses to Watch – Sept. 27, 2016

“Off the Charts” Horses to Watch for AGameofSkill.com Visitors

Belmont

9/24/16

Race #3 – #4 – Mo Town – 1 mile dirt

Impressive son of Uncle Mo settled out and drew off to win by a powerful 7 lengths for the Tony Dutrow barn. – He is a playback and may offer a price moving up the ladder.

Race #6 – #7 – On Tap – 7f dirt

Linda Rice trainee was three-wide early and dug in gamely to present a solid challenge down the lane to get 2nd money.

Race #8 – #7 – Stormy Victoria – 1 mile turf

The G-3 Noble Damsel stakes was not kind as this gal never looked comfortable one step. Three wide, unsettled, and just off the bit during the race but somehow managed a solid effort in the final stages to be third.

Race #10 – #7 – Sneaky Fudge Face – 6f dirt

Awkward at the start as the gates opened and was forced to take up sharply. Scrap this race from your memory, and hopefully she’ll have the opportunity to come back and give a better effort.

Churchill Downs

9/24/16

Race #1 – #1 – Incensed – 5f turf

Bumped soundly at the break, and soldiered on as the beaten chalk to finish up a game second place finish.

Race #8 – #8 – Leofric – 1 1/16 dirt

He was forced into a traffic jam and had to split runners twice to get into position. Once free, he came under a strong ride to get the show money.

AGOS Horses to Watch – September 21, 2016

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes & Horses to Watch 

Belmont Park

9/17/16

Race #1 – #4 – Lucky Lotto – 1 mile dirt

Eric Cancel’s mount was bumped soundly at the start by Midnight Hawk who jumped in the air at the start. Heavily backed at the windows and still managed a game 2nd place effort.

Race #4 – #7 – Lubash – 1 1/16 turf

Very nice New York-bred who was caught wide throughout and managed to overcome this extra ground to get the win. He needs a nice play back and you may get a much better price than you expect.

Race #6 – #4 – Wild Impulse – 6f turf

Broke inward at the start and never seemed to regain his composure. Beaten favorite this day, and this is a hard-core player’s angle to follow.

Woodbine

9/17/16

Race #2 – #7 – Molinaro Deputy – 6 1/2f AW

Pinballed at the start and was 4-5 wide into the final turn, Finished up with good interest and ran 2nd this day.

Race #3 – #6 – Vanish – 6f on the AW

Broke alertly and dropped back shortly after. He finished up with a strong second effort, and should only improve as a first time starter.

Race #6 – #6 – Conquest Too Smart – 6f AW

Broke nicely and was forced to check up sharply at the half. Finished up with a good late kick and should be respected as a heavily backed player this day.

Race  #8 – #2 – Dacita – 1 1/8 turf

Bumped around at the break and saved ground to finish up strongly down the lane. -Next time out should have him right in the winner’s circle.

AGOS Horses to Watch – Sept. 17, 2016

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes

Horses to Watch for AGOS Visitors

 

Del Mar

8/18/16 – Race #7 – #2 – I’m Already There – 1 1/8 on the turf

Tiago Pereira chased the pace and made a strong rally along the rail at the top of the stretch. He was forced to hold up a few strides waiting for an opening, and picked up the pace to be bested by a 1/2 length by eventual winner Danas Best.

Saratoga

8/17/16 – Race #5 – #3 – Kohlhase – 7f on the dirt

Son of Mineshaft making his 2nd start  dropping down a class level. Made a bold move along the rail and was in a bit tight. He was forced to back off and tossed in the towel this day.   He’ll fair much better next up for the Rudy Rodriguez barn.

Saratoga

8/20/16 – Race #3 – #6 – Nickle – 1 1/8 on the dirt

Javier Castellano was aboard the Ellis shipper and hit the starting gate briskly upon leaving at the start. She picked up her action and looked strong about half way into the race and finally gave way as the beaten favorite in the two path.  She should benefit greatly from a clean break.

8/20/16 – Race #7 – #3 – Favorable Outcome – 6f on the dirt

First time starter from the Chad Brown barn won impressively at first asking.  This son of Flatter won impressively by 6 lengths going away. – This is a definite playback moving up the ladder next time out.

8/20/16 – Race #10 – #3 – Going For Broke – (G-1) Alabama – 1 1/4 on the main track

Irad Ortiz for Chad Brown just happened to run into a monster named Songbird on this day. She made a solid move finishing a solid second which may have been a winning trip against about any other runner. But when you face one of the best runners in the land, you may have to look to the next race using this as a gauge of ability.

Belterra Park

8/20/16 – Race #5 – #1 – Duval St. – 1 1/16 on the dirt (race came off the turf)

The red-hot barn of Larry Smith has a nice grass runner here and was the heavily beaten favorite showing brief speed and tossing in the towel early. When she gets back to the greensward she’ll be a real handful.  Bonus points if Ouzts stays aboard as they had three winners for the rider, and four winners for the trainer on Sunday.  They make a very good team going to post.

8/20/16 – Race #6 – #2 – Henderson Country – 5 1/2f on the dirt

Tim Glyshaw trainee who won impressively two races back, was bothered at the start this time to the races. The track was sloppy and played kindly to runners who were close to the pace.  He was in another zip code at the back of the pack, and came flying up the gooey rail to make a solid bid for 2nd money. Give him 6f and he’ll put out their lights !

 

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Saratoga

9/4/16 – Race #4 – #8 – 6f on the dirt

Irst – First time starter for Todd Pletcher and Irad Ortiz in the irons. Bumped soundly and tangled up at the start and finished a solid second. He should love the long stretch at Belmont.

9/4/16 – Race #8 – #3 – 7f on the main track

Bid List – Jose Ortiz had the call, and was pinched back and stumbled leaving the starting gate. This first time starter for the Asmussen barn should benefit greatly from this troubled effort. She finished up to be 5th, and that gives me plenty to look forward to next up.

9/4/16 – Race #9 – #4 – 6 1/2f on the dirt

J.S. Bach – Johnny V in the irons as his mount hit the side of the starting gate when leaving and smashed into others trying to get back on track. – His last race was at Belmont and Todd Pletcher will have all of the bugs worked out before going back to “Big Sandy.”

9/4/16 – Race #11 – #7  – 6f dirt

Off the Tracks – Jose Ortiz had the call and was in the two path all the way around and went four wide at the top of the lane to finish a promising 4th as the beaten favorite.

9/5/16 – Race #2 – #1 – 7f  dirt

Frosty Gal – Manny Franco did pretty well this meet and he’s on the riders to use list for sure. – In this race his mount was green and fought the rider down the backstretch. She didn’t settle in and fought the bit at various times during the race. Overall, she put together a promising effort for players next out finishing a game 4th this day.

9/5/16 – Race #4 – #5 – 6f dirt

Woodville – Manny Franco in the irons and won this race easily as the heavy favorite. She;’ll move right up the ladder and deserves a playback off this impressive win.

AGOS Horses to Watch – Sept. 12, 2016

track announcer with binoculars

Ed Meyer is the track announcer at Belterra

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes and Horses to Watch

Belmont Park

9/10/16

Race #5 – #6 – Afleet Martini – 6 1/2 f dirt

Stumbled badly at the start and Manny Franco recovered nicely and was roused to make a solid bid for 2nd money.

Race #9 – #2 – Data Driven – 7f turf

Joel Rosario saved ground for most of the race and tipped off the rail at the top of the lane. Six wide into the lane producing a late lick down the lane  for the Chad Brown barn.

9/11/16

Race #2 – #6 – Adulation – 1 mile dirt

Tracked under the guidance of Manny Franco and loomed boldly around the far turn. He turned in a top effort for the Ian Wilkes barn his rally was enough to show promise for his next outing.

Race #4 – #2 – Jamyson N Ginger – 6f dirt

Stumbled badly at the start, and recovered to uncork a rally showing promise for the next effort.

Kentucky Downs

9/10/16

Race #3 – #6 – Dahlia’s Foxy Lady – 1 mile turf

Florent Geroux’s mount was a first time starter who was off slowly and put in a bid to come up short down the lane. She’ll only get better off of this race and good things are just around the corner.

Race #6 – #2 – High Noon Rider – 1 mile turf

Joe Rocco’s mount came away from the gate in an awkward fashion and made a striking move at the 5/16th’s pole to finish a solid 4th place effort.

Race #8 – #1 – Fleet Bernie – 1 mile and 70 yards  turf

Brian Hernandez in the irons and he settled his mount to track nicely. Upon giving his cue for more run he was blocked badly and had to settle for 3rd money.