AGOS Horses to Watch – Oct. 18, 2016

copyright AgameofSkill.com 2016Horses to Watch for AGameofSkill.com visitors.  Put these runners in your Stable Alert.

Belmont Park

10/8/16

Race #2 – #2 – California Swing – 1m turf

Irad Ortiz was up for Christophe Clement and this colt saved ground and started to show good interest. For the next 1/8th of a mile they were caught in traffic and Ortiz was forced to tap on the brakes many times. Once free he spun three-wide and finished with a strong late kick.

Race #4 – #3 – Nonna Mela – 1 mile dirt

The (G-1) Frizette was a tough race and this gal bobbled at the start costing her precious ground as a highly wagered player in the field. Give her a clean trip and the outcome may be a little different.

Race #6 – #6 – Sea Calisi – 1 1/4 turf

She did very little wrong except hook a monster on the improve off the shelf in Lady Eli, one of the best turf distaffers we’ve seen over recent y ears. Calisi tipped off the rail and looked prepared to mount a challenge but the winner had more in the tank. This was a very good “builder” race where she can be counted on for improvement.

Race #7 – #6 – Power Alert – 6f turf

Mike Smith is the new Eddie Arcaro.  Both rode about 1/3 the mounts of their counterparts and mainly tacked up in the big money races. – He set the pace under salty fractions and was bested in the shadow of the wire. The best is yet to come for this sprinter.

Race #9 – #10 Beach Patrol – 1 1/8 turf

Florent Geroux is in the ‘zone.” He did everything right and was bested by a fast closing Camelot Kitten who had clear sailing about four wide with no traffic. Geroux fits and she’ll give them fits next out.

 

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Keeneland

10/8/16

Race #7 – #2 – Tepin – 1 mile turf

For the sake of being master of the obvious, this gal has plenty in the tank and didn’t burn her up chasing the leader. The likely Breeders’ Cup Mile favorite closed with good interest and will be a monster next out. The hardest part will be the waiting. Barring any last minute hiccups, Tepin is just fine and received a great deal of work from this race. Just think, she’ll be dreaming every night of chasing a leader who stole the race by ten around the far turn. She won’t disappoint, just be patient.

Race #9 – #8 – Ironicus – 1 mile turf

Jose Ortiz got motoring late around the final turn and brushed a nudge with Mondialiste. This little bump may have cost her the race as she hit another gear at the 1/8th pole kicking in the after-burners. No worries, Ortiz will move just a little sooner next out.

AGOS Horses to Watch – October 12, 2016

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes

Horses to Watch

Belmont Park

10/1/16

Race #3 – #4 – Filet of Sole – 7f dirt

Javier Castellano’s mount veered in at the start and he corrected his mount immediately. Advanced nicely splitting runners and floated three-wide on the far turn. He gave a good account of himself this race and should benefit next out.

Race #6 – #4 – Flintshire – 1 1/2 miles turf

The yielding turf and all day rain may not have been to his liking as he settled behind the speed and moved three wide to finish up second. The fractions were slow and this race may have been used as a good teaching moment. According to Chad Brown all systems are go for the Breeders’ Cup and I think we’ll see his best on display.

Race #9 – #7 – Stallwalkin’ Dude – 6f dirt

Irad Ortiz had the Jacobson trainee in mid-pack stalking mode and angled out going five wide at the 1/4 pole.  He took over the lead very briefly and was forced to settle for second money getting bested in the final 1/8th.

Belmont 10/2/16

Race #1 – #2 – Yorkiepoo Princess – 1 mile dirt

Irad Ortiz sent his filly wire-to-wire and won easily for a race that was originally scheduled for the turf. With a quick turn of foot like she possessed, this gal can turn out the lights pretty quick.

Race #4 – #1 – Delta Prince – 6 1/2f dirt

First time starter for James Jerkins and was bumped around quite a bit leaving the starting gate. She never looked settled during the race and should benefit greatly from this initial trip over the track.

Race #5 – #2 – Coasted / #6 – New Money Honey – 1 1/16 turf

Jose Lezcano did everything on cue and was forced to wait for a gap at the top of the lane. She was on-hold for what seemed like an eternity and was overtaken by New Money Honey who got the jump and had good momentum. Coasted finished an easy third this day and both runners need to kept on your list from this race.

AGOS Horses to Watch – Sept. 27, 2016

“Off the Charts” Horses to Watch for AGameofSkill.com Visitors

Belmont

9/24/16

Race #3 – #4 – Mo Town – 1 mile dirt

Impressive son of Uncle Mo settled out and drew off to win by a powerful 7 lengths for the Tony Dutrow barn. – He is a playback and may offer a price moving up the ladder.

Race #6 – #7 – On Tap – 7f dirt

Linda Rice trainee was three-wide early and dug in gamely to present a solid challenge down the lane to get 2nd money.

Race #8 – #7 – Stormy Victoria – 1 mile turf

The G-3 Noble Damsel stakes was not kind as this gal never looked comfortable one step. Three wide, unsettled, and just off the bit during the race but somehow managed a solid effort in the final stages to be third.

Race #10 – #7 – Sneaky Fudge Face – 6f dirt

Awkward at the start as the gates opened and was forced to take up sharply. Scrap this race from your memory, and hopefully she’ll have the opportunity to come back and give a better effort.

Churchill Downs

9/24/16

Race #1 – #1 – Incensed – 5f turf

Bumped soundly at the break, and soldiered on as the beaten chalk to finish up a game second place finish.

Race #8 – #8 – Leofric – 1 1/16 dirt

He was forced into a traffic jam and had to split runners twice to get into position. Once free, he came under a strong ride to get the show money.

AGOS Horses to Watch – September 21, 2016

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes & Horses to Watch 

Belmont Park

9/17/16

Race #1 – #4 – Lucky Lotto – 1 mile dirt

Eric Cancel’s mount was bumped soundly at the start by Midnight Hawk who jumped in the air at the start. Heavily backed at the windows and still managed a game 2nd place effort.

Race #4 – #7 – Lubash – 1 1/16 turf

Very nice New York-bred who was caught wide throughout and managed to overcome this extra ground to get the win. He needs a nice play back and you may get a much better price than you expect.

Race #6 – #4 – Wild Impulse – 6f turf

Broke inward at the start and never seemed to regain his composure. Beaten favorite this day, and this is a hard-core player’s angle to follow.

Woodbine

9/17/16

Race #2 – #7 – Molinaro Deputy – 6 1/2f AW

Pinballed at the start and was 4-5 wide into the final turn, Finished up with good interest and ran 2nd this day.

Race #3 – #6 – Vanish – 6f on the AW

Broke alertly and dropped back shortly after. He finished up with a strong second effort, and should only improve as a first time starter.

Race #6 – #6 – Conquest Too Smart – 6f AW

Broke nicely and was forced to check up sharply at the half. Finished up with a good late kick and should be respected as a heavily backed player this day.

Race  #8 – #2 – Dacita – 1 1/8 turf

Bumped around at the break and saved ground to finish up strongly down the lane. -Next time out should have him right in the winner’s circle.

AGOS Horses to Watch – Sept. 17, 2016

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes

Horses to Watch for AGOS Visitors

 

Del Mar

8/18/16 – Race #7 – #2 – I’m Already There – 1 1/8 on the turf

Tiago Pereira chased the pace and made a strong rally along the rail at the top of the stretch. He was forced to hold up a few strides waiting for an opening, and picked up the pace to be bested by a 1/2 length by eventual winner Danas Best.

Saratoga

8/17/16 – Race #5 – #3 – Kohlhase – 7f on the dirt

Son of Mineshaft making his 2nd start  dropping down a class level. Made a bold move along the rail and was in a bit tight. He was forced to back off and tossed in the towel this day.   He’ll fair much better next up for the Rudy Rodriguez barn.

Saratoga

8/20/16 – Race #3 – #6 – Nickle – 1 1/8 on the dirt

Javier Castellano was aboard the Ellis shipper and hit the starting gate briskly upon leaving at the start. She picked up her action and looked strong about half way into the race and finally gave way as the beaten favorite in the two path.  She should benefit greatly from a clean break.

8/20/16 – Race #7 – #3 – Favorable Outcome – 6f on the dirt

First time starter from the Chad Brown barn won impressively at first asking.  This son of Flatter won impressively by 6 lengths going away. – This is a definite playback moving up the ladder next time out.

8/20/16 – Race #10 – #3 – Going For Broke – (G-1) Alabama – 1 1/4 on the main track

Irad Ortiz for Chad Brown just happened to run into a monster named Songbird on this day. She made a solid move finishing a solid second which may have been a winning trip against about any other runner. But when you face one of the best runners in the land, you may have to look to the next race using this as a gauge of ability.

Belterra Park

8/20/16 – Race #5 – #1 – Duval St. – 1 1/16 on the dirt (race came off the turf)

The red-hot barn of Larry Smith has a nice grass runner here and was the heavily beaten favorite showing brief speed and tossing in the towel early. When she gets back to the greensward she’ll be a real handful.  Bonus points if Ouzts stays aboard as they had three winners for the rider, and four winners for the trainer on Sunday.  They make a very good team going to post.

8/20/16 – Race #6 – #2 – Henderson Country – 5 1/2f on the dirt

Tim Glyshaw trainee who won impressively two races back, was bothered at the start this time to the races. The track was sloppy and played kindly to runners who were close to the pace.  He was in another zip code at the back of the pack, and came flying up the gooey rail to make a solid bid for 2nd money. Give him 6f and he’ll put out their lights !

 

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Saratoga

9/4/16 – Race #4 – #8 – 6f on the dirt

Irst – First time starter for Todd Pletcher and Irad Ortiz in the irons. Bumped soundly and tangled up at the start and finished a solid second. He should love the long stretch at Belmont.

9/4/16 – Race #8 – #3 – 7f on the main track

Bid List – Jose Ortiz had the call, and was pinched back and stumbled leaving the starting gate. This first time starter for the Asmussen barn should benefit greatly from this troubled effort. She finished up to be 5th, and that gives me plenty to look forward to next up.

9/4/16 – Race #9 – #4 – 6 1/2f on the dirt

J.S. Bach – Johnny V in the irons as his mount hit the side of the starting gate when leaving and smashed into others trying to get back on track. – His last race was at Belmont and Todd Pletcher will have all of the bugs worked out before going back to “Big Sandy.”

9/4/16 – Race #11 – #7  – 6f dirt

Off the Tracks – Jose Ortiz had the call and was in the two path all the way around and went four wide at the top of the lane to finish a promising 4th as the beaten favorite.

9/5/16 – Race #2 – #1 – 7f  dirt

Frosty Gal – Manny Franco did pretty well this meet and he’s on the riders to use list for sure. – In this race his mount was green and fought the rider down the backstretch. She didn’t settle in and fought the bit at various times during the race. Overall, she put together a promising effort for players next out finishing a game 4th this day.

9/5/16 – Race #4 – #5 – 6f dirt

Woodville – Manny Franco in the irons and won this race easily as the heavy favorite. She;’ll move right up the ladder and deserves a playback off this impressive win.

AGOS Horses to Watch – Sept. 12, 2016

track announcer with binoculars

Ed Meyer is the track announcer at Belterra

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes and Horses to Watch

Belmont Park

9/10/16

Race #5 – #6 – Afleet Martini – 6 1/2 f dirt

Stumbled badly at the start and Manny Franco recovered nicely and was roused to make a solid bid for 2nd money.

Race #9 – #2 – Data Driven – 7f turf

Joel Rosario saved ground for most of the race and tipped off the rail at the top of the lane. Six wide into the lane producing a late lick down the lane  for the Chad Brown barn.

9/11/16

Race #2 – #6 – Adulation – 1 mile dirt

Tracked under the guidance of Manny Franco and loomed boldly around the far turn. He turned in a top effort for the Ian Wilkes barn his rally was enough to show promise for his next outing.

Race #4 – #2 – Jamyson N Ginger – 6f dirt

Stumbled badly at the start, and recovered to uncork a rally showing promise for the next effort.

Kentucky Downs

9/10/16

Race #3 – #6 – Dahlia’s Foxy Lady – 1 mile turf

Florent Geroux’s mount was a first time starter who was off slowly and put in a bid to come up short down the lane. She’ll only get better off of this race and good things are just around the corner.

Race #6 – #2 – High Noon Rider – 1 mile turf

Joe Rocco’s mount came away from the gate in an awkward fashion and made a striking move at the 5/16th’s pole to finish a solid 4th place effort.

Race #8 – #1 – Fleet Bernie – 1 mile and 70 yards  turf

Brian Hernandez in the irons and he settled his mount to track nicely. Upon giving his cue for more run he was blocked badly and had to settle for 3rd money.

AGOS Horses to Watch – Sept. 4, 2016

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes & Horses to Watch

Saratoga

8/24/16 – Race #3 – #4 – 6f on the dirt

Phocea – She broke last under Eric Cancel and came flying late in the lane. Her late punch was a real eye-opener and if she improves just a smidge off this effort she’ll be heading to the winner’s circle.

8/24/16 – Race #4 – #9 – 5 1/2f on the turf

Peace Points – The rider was forced to steady as soon as the gates broke, and Kendrick Carmouche was “ping-ponged” around quite a bit. – After gathering his bearings he darted in and out and swung five wide closing like a down-bound train. This guy deserves a good hard look before you pull the trigger next out.

Saratoga

8/27/16 – Race #2 – #6 – 1 1/8 on the turf

Kabang – red hot Jose Ortiz for Michael Trombetta they were off a beat slow leaving the starting gate. Once Ortiz caught up and had the field in sight he made a solid bid to finish up in 5th place. Maybe a little better trip will be what the doctor ordered and you can look ahead for (10-1) or better.

8/27/16 – Race #5 – #6 – 1 3/8th’s on the turf

Deeply Undervalued – Irad Ortiz in the irons for Chad Brown and they broke outward leaving the starting gate and caused some bumping around. Once Ortiz got his mount under control he made a strong late bid to finish a beaten favorite second. Maybe a little less ground, or just another shot a clear beginning. Either way, he’ll give them fits at Belmont or elsewhere next time out.

Belterra Park

8/28/16 – Race #1 – #5 – 6f on the dirt

Equulei – Geovany Garcia was aboard and had to check hard into the first turn. Once he had his filly back in gear, they made a sustained bid to show good promise next out.

8/28/16 – Race #7 – #2 – 1 mile on the turf

Run Groom Run – Alex Estrada picked up the mount and checked so hard into the first turn he stood straight up in the irons. The rider tried many times to settle and was forced to check, wait for a gap, and once saw a glimmer of daylight was a day late and dollar short getting his cue for clear sailing. He was (12-1) on this day beaten in the shadow of the wire by a Calumet Farm runner. He’ll be double tough next time out at a square price.

AGOS Horses to Watch – August 18, 2016

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes for AGameofSkill.com visitors

Here are some runners who deserve a good look when they take to the track next out. Keep your eyes peeled and your bankroll handy.

Saratoga Racecourse

8/8/16

Race 2 – #5 – Minsky Moment – 6f

Two-year-old son of Flatter from the barn of Chad Brown. Bumped soundly at the start and was fanned four wide into the stretch finishing a strong 3rd place effort. Not bad for a first timer and Chad Brown will help his benefit from this outing.

Race 4 – #1 – Trade Zone – 6f dirt

First time starter for the red-hot Kiaran McLaughlin barn (33%). Steadied early and settled out nicely to win impressively. The good news is he’ll climb the ladder next out and should be a major danger at the windows.

Race 8 – #4 – Western Reserve – 7f dirt

Jose Lezcano for Bill Mott, and he lost his whip as soon as the gates opened. It was his 2nd effort off a brief layoff, and owned a sharp work coming into the race. After fanning four wide into the lane he finished up a solid 3rd place on this day. He should be more prepared next out.

Saratoga Racecourse

8/11/16

Race 3 – #3 – Ventry Bay – 5 1/2f turf

David Flores for Wesley Ward as he came away from the gate in an awkward fashion. He swung wide at the 3/16th’s pole and finished a game 2nd place. He is bred to relish the grass and with a little racing luck may score at a solid price next out.

Race 5 – #4 – Munchkin Monkey – 1 1/16 turf

Javier Castellano in the irons and was bottled up along the rail. This son of Scat Daddy has the breeding to relish the greensward next time out.

Belterra Park

8/13/16

Race 4 – #6 – Olympic Smoke – 5f turf

Bobbled at the start under Antioco Murgia and was fanned wide showing a very string late kick running out of ground. Maybe 5 1/2f is a better fit, or maybe just a little cleaner beginning should do the trick.

Race 5 – #3 – Altissimo – 6f dirt

He brought his perfect record of 4/4 at BtP to the table, but was a three-year-old facing older. He loves 6f, and when he drops back in with his age group it will be lights out next time to the races.

Race 6 – #10 – Barbad Bernie – 1 mile turf

Unprepared at the start coming from the #10 post can be a tough row to hoe. He chased the pace and dove over to the rail at the 3/16th’s pole and put on a game showing to be bested by a nose at the wire. Hopefully they will draw a better post and break more alertly. If this all goes accordingly, you can bet early and often.

AGOS Horses to Watch – Aug. 10, 2016

“Off the Charts” Trip Notes

Horses to Watch

You’ll want to keep your eyes peeled for some runners who didn’t get the kindest trips. Just follow them right back, and a big payday could be just around the corner.

track announcer with binoculars

Ed Meyer is the track announcer at Belterra

Belterra Park

Pepite (BTP Race #4, 8/7/16 – #1 – – 1 1/16 on the turf) – Fresh off the claim for “Chip” Brownfield, and for a turf course that plays kind to speed. This son of Pulpit was fanned eight wide at the top of the short stretch and got up in the shadow of the wire. They haven’t gotten to the bottom of this guy yet, and he looks like a turf runner that has the ability to move up in class. – For what its worth. The same winning connections claimed Aesop from the race who had a bad day and turned in a lackluster performance. His barn is on a mission and after talking with him last night there might be some more claims to come.

Saratoga

Brooklyn Bobby (SAR 8/6/16 Race #1 – #1 ,  1 1/16 turf) – This son of super horse Frankel shied inward at the start and was checked up sharply. Good works and great connections with Joel Rosario and Brian Lynch have us looking forward. The well-bred two-year-old has the makings of something very good as his sire wins 64% with his first time turfers. We’ll toss this one and file it under being a youngster.  This guy has something special and needs to be followed right back.

Sport (SAR Race #5 – #5,  1 1/16 on the turf) – jockey Irad Ortiz in the irons with a freshened son of Hard Spun. He had been away from the races for 55 days and has solid works to signal his readiness. He bumped around leaving the gate and stuck behind a wall of horses under a hammer-lock waiting for room. He was full of run and had no place to go. He has the look of a runner who may wheel right back and score.

Comfort (SAR Race #10 – #2 – Comfort – (G-1) Whitney – 1 1/8) – Johnny V and Pletcher brought this son of Indian Charlie to the paddock. He was facing a monster in Frosted but what he showed gives me great hope moving forward. He checked leaving the starting gate and while in the two path he showed great late acceleration. Maybe facing anyone but Frosted would be a blessing or could he be that upset runner in the wings ?  Time will tell and he’ll give em’ fits next with a clean trip.

Anchor Down (SAR 7/30/16 – Race #9 – #1 – 6f on the dirt) – Jose Ortiz had the call for Todd Pletcher and was coming off a 49 day layoff and turning back from a string of mile of races to go six panels. Now he has two starts with two ITM finishes at this distance, but this race looked like they have something in mind later in the season. – He was bumped soundly at the start and just mailed it in from there. – I can’t wait to him return to the races as his works were strong coming in and a little bad luck dampened his day.

King of Spades (SAR 7/28/16 – Race #6 – #9 – 1 mile turf) – Florent Geroux was far  back with slow fractions. He came rolling late in the lane to catch the eyes of handicappers far and wide. Fresh off a maiden win and maybe a little more ground could be in his future. Either way, if he finds a way to stay in contact with the field he may be one to get some good payback.

El Talento (SAR 7/30/16 – Race #1 – #3 – 5 1/2f turf) = Johnny V aboard this first timer for the Pletcher barn and was bumped at the gate break and stalked just off close to the leaders. Once the rider settled his mount he had to check off heels at the 3/16 th’s pole and  still managed a solid effort for third money.

Mountaineer

Moonshine Promise (MNR 8/6/16, Race  #1 – #8 – 6f on the main track)  – DeShawn Parker had the Cleveland invader in the catbird seat and rated well. He fanned out six wide making a late bid and his late turn of foot is what caught my eye.  He may pop up at Thistledown, or right back Mountaineer. I’m looking for a mid-range stake that will have him in the right place ready to roll.

 

 

Monmouth

Birdatthewire (MTH 7/31/16 – Race #10 – #6 – 1 1/16 dirt) –  Victor Lebron had the call and hesitated strongly going into the starting gate. This was her second start off a brief layoff and all systems looked go. Maybe she didn’t favor the track as it was her first effort over the slop. She exited a beaten favorite in the (G-1) Princess Rooney, and the drop in class had heavily backed at the windows. Give her a fast strip and the outcome may be a whole new game.

Sunny Ridge (MTH 7/31/16 – Race #12 – #2 – 1 1/8 on the dirt) –  Nik Juarez had the call in the Haskell Stakes and his mount was 2/2 with wins over the course. He also owned two nice second place finishes on a soft track. Go back and really watch the race closely. He may not have beaten the fast closing Exaggerator on his favorite type of track,  but he was behind a wall of horses at the top of the lane with no place to go. Once they squared away for the stretch the drive the tempo quickened and he had angle out and found late energy to finish a game third.  Maybe this level was a notch above his liking,  but play this one back with full confidence if he finds himself in a (G-2) or (G-3) effort. Go back to the Delta Jackpot and you see him rolling late in the lane getting beat by Exaggerator.

AGOS Horses to Watch – July 18, 2016

The opening of “The Spa” should be a national holiday, or at least a day off for horseplayers.  They’ve been opening the doors since 1863, exactly one month after the Battle of Gettysburg. If you listen closely you may hear the sounds of past champions thundering down the stretch. But you’ll have to find out for yourself and add this track to your racing bucket list.  Want to learn how to “Beat Saratoga?”  Download this report today.

Del Mar

Langham (7/15/16 – DMR Race #10 – #9 – 1 mile turf) – Hall of Fame rider Mike Smith up for John Sadler and this first timer made an explosive run on the far turn into average fractional times. Keep an eye for this guy next out as I think he’s going to get better with every outing.

Belmont Park

Bobby on Fleck (7/9/16 – BEL Race #1 – #5 – 6f on the main –  Irad Ortiz was the pilot for Chad Brown and these guys do very good work as a team winning (27%). This first timer was pretty impressive and deserves a good play right back. He came into the race with a resume of bullet works and drew off strongly at the 3/16 th’s pole  to win by six lengths. He may be a nice play right back moving up the ladder.

Eloweasel (BEL 7/9/16 – Race #2 – #6 – 1 mile turf)  Manny Franco’s mount broke open the gate prior to the start and just stood there.  Either the asst. starter gets a raise, or she just wasn’t ready this day. Once the gates broke she was two wide early and ventured out in the six path rounding the far turn. We’ll give her a pass on this one and look for a blockbuster price next out. Think of this as a teaching moment that will pay boxcars !

Economic Model (BEL 7/9/16 – Race #7 – #6 – 1 mile dirt) –  Irad Ortiz and Chad Brown once again and this son of Flatter came in 4/5 ITM travelling over four different tracks. Ever since the dismal display in the (G-2) Tampa Derby, he has come back to reel off to straight wins. The barn looks to have her figured out and will be pointing to the Spa where he broke his maiden last year. Good things are coming from this guy.

Indygita (BEL 7/16/16 – Race #2 – #4 – 1 mile turf) –  Irad Ortiz in the irons and his filly stumbled leaving the starting gate and was forced out wide at the 1/16th pole. Look for this gal to improve and get a better trip next out.

She Doesn’t Mind (BEL 7/17/16 – Race #8 – #9 – 1 mile turf) –  Javier Castellano in the saddle for Chad Brown and this race appeared to have her making up good ground.  Go back and take a harder look and you’ll see she was forced wide into the stretch and while trying to find her best stride was held up and blocked down the lane. She should give the fits next time out.