AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – Aug. 13

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August 13th Edition

SARATOGA

CLEON JONES (Race 1 @SAR, July 28, 2019) – Expensive two year old in training purchase looked beat turning for home but unleashed a powerful late run (12.1) to not only get up but be drawing off impressively at the wire.  Tale Of The Cat 2yo could be a stakes runner for Englehardt.

FREAKY STYLEY (Race 1 @SAR, July 24, 2019) – Trainer Jorge Abreu had this firster ready to go in debut but he broke slowly (spotted 1 1/2 lengths to field) out of the gate.  Despite the tough 7 furlong distance he rallied well to finish 2nd to the winning Chad Brown horse.

IRISH MIAS (Race 6 @SAR, July 24, 2019) – 2yo son of Sky Mesa finished very well in debut and was the only threat to the gate-to-wire winning favorite.  This was on dirt, but his dam loved the turf and he is a half to a turf winner of over $90k.

ROMANTIC PURSUIT (Race 10 @SAR, July 28, 2019) – Maiden winner tracked the pace and took over turning for home.  In the final 1/8th she was super game to hold off several challengers.  Well-bred filly for Godolphin has a future.

SHENNAN (IRE) (Race 4 @SAR,  July 25, 2019) – Foreign invader for Mark Casse was likely compromised by the slow pace and heavy downpour conditions.  Given strong Euro form in Ireland, this well bred colt deserves another chance against similar.

PUTTHEGLASSDOWN (Race 8 @SAR, July 27, 2019) – PA bred son of Violence broke open the gate prior to the start. He finished very well in this 6 furlong 1x behind the speedy Jason Servis runner who helped set the pace.  Has run very well in all three Saratoga starts.

KEOTA (Race 1 @SAR, July 31, 2019) – This Lonhro filly was overbet off the claim by Jason Servis for Michael Dubb.  She stayed in after the race was taken off the turf but she despises the main track.  Look for her back on the grass in her second start for Servis.

MASCHA (FR) (Race 7 @SAR, July 31, 2019) – Margin of victory was deceptive as this Chad Brown import was much the best in this 1x entry level allowance.  Ran a close second to Homerique overseas and that one is a Grade 2 winner and Grade 1 placed for Brown in the States.

KLICKITAT (Race 10 @SAR, Aug. 1, 2019)- ran second to a stakes-placed turf runner in career debut, running a big 2yo fig, and finally got back on the grass her 10 months later.  Making first start for Jerkens, the 3yo just missed late to a logical winner that dropping in from open company.  Major contender next time out at same level.

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – August 2

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SARATOGA

SHE’S A JULIE (Race 13 @SAR, July 21, 2019) – This honest filly from the Asmussen barn spotted weight to the top two finishers but held on well for third in this Grade 1 stakes.  She can dangerous next time in a better spot.

BLUE GEM (Race 1 @SAR, July 21, 2019) – 3yo looked really good winning first time off the claim for trainer Steve Asmussen, who dropped him from 30k to 16k.  Should be able to take a logical step up in class next time out.

OFF THE RECORD (Race 7 @SAR, July 17, 2019) – Firster took a lot of money and ran to it.  Son of Distorted Humor was very professional coming up the rail to win going away in this off-the-turf maiden special weights event.  Brisset barn doesn’t usually have them cranked up first time out.

MY SASSY SARAH (Race 10 scr @SAR, July 17, 2019) – Michelle Nevin firster was scratched when this race was taken off the turf.  She is a half to two nice turf winners, and the dam won on the grass as well.  Granddaughter of War Front should love the sod.

SHANCEALOT (Race 11 @SAR, July 28, 2019) – Juice.

LUCKY MOVE (Race 3 @SAR,  July 25, 2019) – Marshall Gramm’s Ten Strike Racing runner was claimed two back and then shipped to New York to take advantage of the lucrative state-bred program.  The mare rewarded this smart move with a powerful, off-the-pace victory in this 1x, optional $25k race.  Loves 9 furlongs and can be a threat at the next level.

DEL MAR

NOLDE (Race 8 @DMR, 7/17/2019) – Son of Pioneerof The Nile is a strong closer on the grass for trainer John Shireffs.  Sophomore colt just missed to favorite in the Oceanside Stakes on opening day.

ORIGINAIRE (IRE) (Race 7 @DMR 7/18/19) – Zoffany colt was squeezed back at the start of this race, but recovered under Mike Smith to unleash a big late run and score with something still left in the tank.   Impressive.

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – July 22

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SARATOGA

MORNING GOLD (Race 1 @SAR, July 14, 2019) – Ken McPeek firster came in off a solid work pattern and ran a big race when 2nd to the Pletcher-trained favorite.  5 lengths clear of the show horse in a rock solid debut.

BLAME THE CAKE (Race 4 @SAR, July 14, 2019) – Firster for Ian Wilkes (7% win, 19% itm) was a $190,000 Ocala purchase.  Made a big run to take the lead and looked like a winner in deep stretch when he got run down by a sharp Jason Servis firster that was given a brilliant ride by Irad Ortiz.

CATCH A BID (Race 8 @SAR, July 14, 2019) – This is a rising star for Chad Brown.  Her career debut was awesome and then she ran a big 2nd here to a Grade-3 placed runner in Varenka, while well clear of the show horse.   Could be a very solid multi-race key next time she runs.

WINIFRED J (Race 2 @SAR, July 13, 2019) – Ed Barker filly likely needed race in her first start since early February. This was a tough spot but she ran a good third.  She’s a half to one winner, who was a grass horse.  Look for this Blame filly back on the turf, sprinting or on the stretch-out.

DECORATED INVADER (Race 6 @SAR, July 13, 2019) – Looked sharp when finishing 2nd in debut for West Point and partners.  Clement runner is a half to two turf winners and he was up against it facing a very slow pace in this race.

CHURCHILL DOWNS

BASIN (race 1 @CD, June 14, 2019) – This talented 2yo from the Steve Asmussen barn ran a strong 2nd in a key race field, losing by a nose to G3 Sanford winner By Your Side.   Was 3-4 wide throughout but finished strong.

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AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – July 10

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CHURCHILL DOWNS

RY’S THE GUY (Race 7 @Churchill, June 29, 2019) – This 3yo colt from the Ian Wilkes barn made his turf debut in this tough $92k allowance race.  A half to SIX turf winners, the son of Distorted Humor did not disappoint.  He finished strong to catch the lone speed and draw off at the wire.  Big future ahead.

TOTALLY BOSS (Race 9 @Churchill, June 29, 2019) – 4yo Street Boss gelding absolutely flew home in the final 1/8th to just miss to the talented turf sprinter Om.   Trainer Rusty Arnold has this runner in sharp form for his next grass outing.

Playing Mountaineer?  Trainer Kevin Patterson is on fire

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – June 15

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BELMONT PARK

DOUBLE ORB (Race 1 @BEL, June 7).  This first time starter from the Steve Asmussen barn had no difficulty with the tough 7 furlong distance as he crushed a field of talented prospects.  Big future for the runner from the Maktoum barn.

SEPARATIONOFPOWERS (Race 5 @BEL, June 7).   Last year’s G1 Test winner is back on her game.  She spotted weight to a good field that included Breeders’ Cup runner-up Chalon, and she destroyed them in ultra impressive fashion.  A Grade 1 stakes should be on the agenda in the near future.

BIG BELLA BROWN (Race 7 @BEL, June 1).  This son of Big Brown exited a key race but faced a difficult fast pace scenario.  Despite that the Mike Maker trainee ran a very game race to finish second to the logical closer.   Excels on wet tracks.

 

GULFSTREAM PARK 

RED CARATS (Race 2 @GP, June 1).  Sammy Camacho, who is a good jockey, absolutely butchered the ride on the most likely winner in this field.  Had the maiden in all sorts of traffic issues and never had a chance to fully run his best race.  Can rebound at the cheap $10,000 maiden claiming level.

 

MONMOUTH PARK

STANDARD DEVIATION (Race 9 at MTH, June 1).  Son of Curlin looked like a new horse on the switch to the turf.  A half to one grass winner, the 3yo easily handled a field of proven turf runners.  Awad Stakes winner Empire Of War was a no-threat 2nd to the Chad Brown trainee that went off a juicy price.

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AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – June 5

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PIMLICO

COMPLETED PASS (Race 12 @PIM, May 17, 2019).  The Robert Bone-owned runner has a bright, bright future.  The son of Pass Rush exited wickedly fast pace at Laurel and came back and won on the Black Eyed Susan’s card.  This 5yo could develop into one of the best turf sprinters in the land.

PLEASE FLATTER ME (Race 8 @PIM, May 17, 2019) – 3yo Munnings filly had no chance against the likes of Covfefe, who broke the track record in 1.07.70.  Look for this Mark Reid back in against softer company.  Can  sprint or route up to one mile.

CREATIVE ARTIST (Race 1 @PIM, May 18, 2019) – broke from tough outside post in turf debut, off the 6+ month layoff (trainer only 7%).  This was a first time gelding and he finished strong to be a close third in a competitive field. Can move forward back on turf.

HIP HOP (Race 4 @PIM, May 18, 2019) – 4yo Drosselmeyer filly loves the grass and ran big again on the Preakness undercard.   What won’t show in the Past Performance is that she spotted 16lbs to the winning 3yo.  I don’t care how far the race is; that’s significant.  Next start for this runner is her third of the year.

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AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – May 10

Free Horses to Watch for AGOS visitors,  including runners from the 2019 Kentucky Oaks and Kentucky Derby cards.

KEENELAND

RAG TAG (Race 2 @KEE, 4/18/19) – first timer starter was well meant but lost all chance at the start of this 4 1/2 furlong dash when he broke slowly.  Striking son of Union Rags then made a solid, sustained run to finish a non-threatening 2nd to the Wesley Ward horse that stole the race on the front end.  Galloped out past the winner.

CHURCHILL DOWNS

CARTE BLANCE (Race 1 @CD, 5/3/19).  This 3yo son of Curlin encountered lots of trouble in this race but still continued on gamely in the stretch to just miss at the wire.  Not one of Mena’s best rides.  Fits snugly at the starter allowance level as trainer Wesley Hawley claimed him out of his maiden win last fall.

SOLID WAGER (Race 9 @CD, 5/3/19) – Peter Miller runner was in for the $62,500 tag in this optional claimer.  The hard knocker finished well for 2nd in the large field but had no chance behind the gate-to-wire winner over the biased main track.  Should be very tough back in at the same level next out.

LOOSE ON THE TOWN (Race 1 @CD, 5/4/19) – Another hard knocker that was in for the high price tag of the optional claimer, the opener on the Derby undercard.  Looked  like a winner in mid-stretch but came up a little short off the 7 month layoff.  Can move forward off this race for trainer Brian Lynch. Can sprint dirt or turf.

AWESOME TRACKER (Race 3 @CD, 5/4/19) – 2nd time starter never had a chance breaking along the rail in this 6 furlong and subsequently checked-in mid pack.  Has a pedigree that screams route so look for him around two turns.

HUNGRY KITTEN (Race 5 @CD, 5/4/19) – Trainer Shug McGaughey runner added blinkers and looked like a new horse in third lifetime start.  Daughter of Kitten’s Joy absolutely flew home in the final furlong to get up the wire in a visually impressive maiden win over a contentious field on the Derby undercard.

MITOLE (Race 8 @CD, 5/4/19) – One word – WOW!

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – 4/16/19

Complimentary horses to watch for AGOS visitors

Keeneland

SUENO – (4/31/19, Race 9 at KEE, Lexington Stakes) – continues to get less-than-ideal rides from Corey Lanerie. He had this colt in traffic on the backstretch and then went very wide turning for home in the Lexington Stakes. Finished willingly in a sneaky good 3rd place effort. Keith Desormeaux charge may benefit from a new rider.

Tampa Bay Downs

JOSIE’S RIDDLE (4/12/19, Race 7 at TAM) – 4yo Ontario-bred gelding was making first start off the claim for John Rigattieri and handled the rise in class without any trouble.  Honest runner is in razor sharp form for new outfit.  Handles dirt, turf or all-weather.

ZACAPA RUN (4/12/19, Race 8 at TAM) – This 3yo loves the grass and has picked up a major check in all four attempts.  Gray gelding finished well for second but had no chance behind the lone speed winner ridden by Antonio Gallardo.  Very tough at the 2-life claiming level on the grass.

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – 3/28/19

2019 Pegasus World Cup

SEEKING THE SOUL (GP, 1/26/19, Pegasus Cup) – trainer Dallas Stewart is a master at getting horses to run their best in the biggest races in the world and he does so while somewhat under the radar.  He had another live longshot in Seeking The Soul, a horse I downgraded after the track came up a wet mess at Gulfstream for the 2019 Pegasus World Cup.  However, that didn’t stop the veteran runner from firing a big shot as so often the Stewart runners do.  Watch Seeking The Soul (saddle cloth #4) makes an inside move at the 5/8th pole before running into traffic, getting stopped briefly, and losing momentum.  He re-rallies quickly and then continues with a long sustained run to be a clear 2nd to City of Light.  Impressive effort with a sneaky troubled trip.

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – January 8, 2019

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AQUEDUCT

DUBLINTHEPLEASURE (Race 6 @AQU 1/4/18) – New York bred rebounded off a poor race and finished well to just miss defeating former stakes winner Outplay, who was dropping sharply in class for new barn.  Spotted weight to that rival in a really good effort at this $16,000 claiming level.

TAMPA BAY DOWNS

MANCORA (Race 5 @TAM, 1/2/19) – this hopeless longshot finished strongly and hit the wire looking like a solid 2-1 favorite in this maiden $16,000 claimer.  However, in the process the Ice Box filly cut off another runner at the top of the lane and was subsequently DQ’d.  Given the level of this class, don’t know if this one can repeat this ‘winning’ maiden performance or not, but she was best in this field.

TURFWAY PARK

VALKYRIE (Race 7 @TP, 1/3/19) – first time starter took a commanding lead in the stretch over the two betting choices and was very green in the lane.  She waited on her competition as the odds-on choice battled and took the lead nearing the wire.  Awesome Again filly then came again late under Luan Machado to garner a better-than-it-looks victory.  Has talent.