AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – Aug. 9, 2018

Horses to watch for AGOS visitors.  Put these runners in your Stable Alert service.

ELLIS PARK

BORDINI (Race 7 @ELP, 8/5/18) – live runner from the Amoss barn raced inside of traffic and then got shuffled back to last behind not one but two walls of horses.  Swept to the far outside, which is not where you want to be at Ellis, and unleash a good late run for a sneaky good effort.

SARATOGA

OUR GIRL ABBY (Race 5 @SAR, 7/21/18) – made a wide move turning for home to engage the gate-to-wire winner in deep stretch. Exchanged bumps with that filly and lost the bob in a solid performance.  This was her first start since March and her first for her new barn, who raised her confidently in class.

PUTTHEGLASSDOWN (Race 5 @SAR, 7/21/18) – broke from the rail in her debut at the Spa for Englehart.   Settled in 8th before making a nice run to get up for the place spot behind the winning Asmussen favorite.  The PA-bred daughter of Violence is out of a stakes winning mare.

PICTURE DAY (Race 3 @SAR, 7/26/18) – Linda Rice runner loves to win and she was one of the few that closed against the bias in the slop on this Thursday afternoon.  A stakes winner, this Include mare is tough in the optional claiming sprints.

TRINNI NINJA (Race 10 @SAR, 7/27/18) – Daughter of Trinniberg was one of the few to close against the bias on this day.  She is in good form and might be able to break through for low percentage connections next time out at the state-bred maiden $25,000 (or lower) level.  Demand some value.

CATORIA (Race 5 @SAR 8/1/18) – Wildcat Heir filly outran other speed in this race and took this field gate to wire, beating the heavy favorite at 23-1 for Mike Dini.  She is out of a Meadowlake mare and will be dangerous at 6 1/2 or under.

BROCKMONINOFF (Race 3 @SAR 8/1/18) – George Weaver runner was bet down on the drop in class despite his first race since last October.  Suffered some trouble in this race and came up a little short.  Barn is only 12% off  layoffs and this NY bred should move forward next time out.  Can dirt or turf.

LIGHT THE POSSE (Race 2 @SAR 8/2/18) – Betting favorite was making his second career start off a good 2nd in debut and adding Lasix.  The son of Posse ended up hurt badly by a modest pace set by the eventual gate to wire winner.  Can score at this level next time out.

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – Aug. 1, 2018

copyright AGameofSkill.comComplimentary Horses to Watch & Trip Notes for AGOS visitors.  Add these horses to your stable notification service.

SARATOGA

MORRISON (Race 8 @SAR, 7/25/18) – 3yo is now two for two against state bred company on the lawn.  Joe Sharp runner upset a good field that included two veteran nine year olds.

TAYLER’S THE BOSS (Race 2 @SAR, 7/25/18) – 3yo daughter of Street Boss dropped into open company, facing two life, but was also facing a very strong favorite in the eventual wire-to-wire winner.   She chased that older filly around the track in a very good performance for trainer Steve Asmussen.

TURCO BRAVO (CHI) (Race 1 @SAR 7/20/18) – new runner in the low percentage Barrera barn ran a big race in the opening of the Saratoga meet.  He stumbled at the start and recovered to run a clear second to a drop-down winner.  Loves the Saratoga main track.

SHADY SHADY SHADY (Race 2 @SAR 7/20/18) – Finished well in this state-bred turf sprint behind the winning favorite from the Chad Brown barn.  Solid effort for a barn that is only 8% with debut runners.  She is out of a stakes placed Street Sense mare.

LYRICAL LADY (Race 5 @SAR 7/20/18) – $625,000 purchase for Phoenix Stable crushed his field first out for trainer Steve Asmussen.  Daughter of More Than Ready is out of stakes placed La Song and looks to have a bright future.

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – July 26, 2018

DEL MAR

OPUS WON (Race 4 at DMR, 7/18/18) – first time starter from barn that only wins 7% with debut runners also broke from a tough outside post.  Rated off the pace and when moved into the top of the stretch and the rider Flavin Prat asked her, she exploded in the final furlong, finishing willingly on her own and just missing 2nd.  Cal-bred daughter of Eddington has talent.  She’s a half to two winners including a nice stakes winner.

FINGER LAKES

SHAKESPERIAN DREAM (Race 8 at FL, 7/18/18) – this veteran mare was set to run a big race but lost all chance behind as slow a pace as you’ll ever see.  No match for the odds-on favorite who won but rallied gamely to be in a photo for 2nd after having to alter course around that rival.

LOUISIANA DOWNS

CULP’S HILL (Race 4 @LAD, 7/16/18) – gelded son of Eddington was the controlling speed on the drop to the $5,000 level and he ran a winning race, finishing 2nd to another dropper from the red hot Broberg barn.  This LA-bred four year old loves the grass, and I wouldn’t mind seeing the blinkers removed on this speedy runner.

THISTLEDOWN

I’M IN A HURRY (Race 7 at TDN, 7/18/18) – odds on favorite returning off a layoff suffered a terrible trip.  He was stuck inside of horses on the backstretch and had no where to go behind a trio of runners turning for home.  Jock decided he wouldn’t take chances going between runners and he wrapped up on him in the final 1/8th.  Should bounce back in a big way with that race under his belt and get his 18th career win.

AGOS Horses to Watch and Trip Notes – July 5, 2018

Horses to watch to put into your stable alert or email service, compliments of AGameofSkill (AGOS).

BELMONT PARK

LOVE AND LOVE (Race 1 @BEL 6/29/18) – first time starter was the only one to make a run at the gate-to-wire winning favorite in the Friday opener.  She’s by the freshman sire Goldencents and out of a Giants Causeway mare who has produced a turf winner, so this New York-bred filly looks to have some talent.  Trained by Mike Miceli.

LOS ALAMITOS

INSTAGRAND (Race 4 @LRC, 6/29/18) – No secret with this 2yo first time starter from the Jerry Hollendorfer barn.  The son of Into Mischief toyed with the field and when jockey Drayden Van Dyke asked him, he responded by exploding away from the field and coming home in 11.1.

“Off the Charts” Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – June 29, 2018

Put these free horses to watch in your Stable Alert or Virtual Stable Mail

Belmont Park

TAKE CHARGE AUDREY (Race 6 @BEL, 6/15/18) – this New York bred filly was making her third lifetime start for trainer Bruce Levine and her first start going long. Into the far turn she navigated her way through traffic to sit a close fourth behind a trio of runners, while she waited for room.  Once a hole opened up on the inside, she exploded under David Cohen and drew off to a devastating 9-length score.  Could have a bright future for Levine and Glencrest Farm.

Churchill Downs

DIVISIDERO (race 6 @Cd, 6/16/18) – Churchill Downs horse for the turf course suffered a brutal trip en route to a sneaky good 4th place finish in the $200k Wise Dan Stakes.  Javier Toledo gave an amateurish ride as he had him in all sorts of trouble before finally getting clear about 100 yards from the winner.  Came flying late to just miss 2nd and 3rd.   Wins back at Churchill, where almost all his wins are, with a new rider.

“Off the Charts” Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – June 8, 2018

Belmont Park horse racingBELMONT PARK

MANGO M (Race 1 @BEL, 6/7/18) – returned off a layoff and was well meant in his turf debut for trainer Shug McGaughey.  He was making a winning move on the far turn when he got boxed in and shuffled around by Whiskey Run.  Ducked to the inside and tried to win the race up the rail, but meanwhile the winner got a clear run on the outside to easily grab the victory.  Son of Tale Of The Cat wins back at this level next time out.

GULFSTREAM PARK

MASCARPONE (Race 4 @GP, 6/7/18) – jockey Jilver Chamafi was asleep at the wheel aboard this turf horse who had a lot of ‘run.’  Made his move way too late, and in the process, got the runner into some trouble turning for home that cost him all chance for the victory.  Finished a sneaky good 2nd behind the 6/5 favorite in a race he could have won.

PIMLICO

FLASH ATTACK (Race 1 @PIM, 5/19/18) – this gelded son of Harlan’s Holiday has been very consistent since moving into the barn of trainer Michael Stidham.  In the opener on Preakness Day he closed well for third against an impossible early speed bias.  Can win back on a fair track, going short or long.

STILL HAVING FUN (Race 8 @PIM, 5/19/18) – this was another one that was up against trying to rally from off the pace but he did so en route to a solid 2nd place finish behind the heavy favorite. Son of Old Fashioned is really good at 1 mile or less.

TENFOLD (Race 13 @PIM, 5/19/18) – in only his fourth career start this guy ran a very good race in the G1 Preakness Stakes.  He rebounded off a poor showing last time out at Oaklawn Park to be beaten less than one length to Justify.  Son of Curlin has a bright future for barn that is masterful at managing careers.  He could play a major factor in the Belmont Stakes.

 

“Off the Charts” Horses to Watch and Trip Notes – May 20, 2018

Put these runners in your Stable Alert or Stable Mail service.

CHURCHILL DOWNS

ANGASTON (Race 4 at CD, 5/10/18) – this 3yo gelding took to the turf like a duck to water.  His grandsire is Lonhro who is a top stallion ‘down under’ in Australia.  The Lon Wiggins trainee drew off and crushed this allowance field at huge odds.  He is now the 4th winner out of his dam (mother) who is by Marquetry.  Can handle all surfaces but is best at one mile or under on the lawn.

AWESTRUCK (Race 7 at CD, 5/10/18) – daughter of top sire Tapit has really come into her own for trainer Rusty Arnold.  Stretching back out, packing more weight, and stepping up into “two other than” allowance optional company was no problem for the 4yo as she absolutely crushed what looked like a good, competitive field.

MIDNIGHT TEA TIME (Race 4 at CD, KY Derby Day, 5/5/18) – lightly raced son of Midnight Lute looked like a winner in this maiden special weights event but was blocked badly in the stretch run, costing him the chance for the win. Out of a stakes winning Dynaformer mare.

BEHAVIORAL BIAS (Race 5 at CD, KY Derby Day, 5/5/18) – This Al Stall, Jr. runner made a bold, wide move at the top of the lane to hook the strong favorite McCracken and battled gamely with that runner in the stretch run.  This allowance race played like a stakes race.  Consistent, talented son of Shackleford will get a stakes win soon.

AUDIBLE (Race 12 at CD, KY Derby, 5/5/18) – Florida Derby winner was the best of the closers and he finished willingly up the rail to just miss 2nd to Good Magic in a very good performance.

“Off the Charts” Horses to Watch and Trip Notes – May 10, 2018

the Big A race horseKEENELAND

RIVERBOAT GAMBLER (Race 2 at KEE, 4/18/18) – this first timer by the speedy Justin Phillip was put in a difficult spot breaking from the rail going 7 furlongs in his debut.  Despite those obstacles the Barbara Minshall runner ran very well and got for second behind a runaway winner. He’s owned by Bruce Lunsford who has had a lot of talented runners.

PARX

SPARTAN PRIDE (Race 9 at PRX, 5/7/18) – rallied strongly against the bias and against a slow pace scenario to just miss in this claiming route race to the logical winner.  This was his second consecutive unlucky trip.  Impressive effort.

CHURCHILL DOWNS

WONDER GADOT (Race 11, KY Oaks, CD 5/4/18) – 3yo daughter of Medaglia D’oro ran a huge race behind the Brad Cox beast.  Looked like she had the winner collared in mid stretch but that one fought back gamely to win the G1 Kentucky Oaks.  This Mark Casse runner is bread to run all day, and she will be very tough to beat next time out.

BACKYARD HEAVEN (Race 8, CD 5/4/18) – trainer Chad Brown has a real nice one on his hands (what else is new?).  This 4yo son of Tizway stepped up from bottom allowance company and won the G2 Alysheba so easily.  He looks like he is going to be a major player in the handicap ranks this year.

BUGLE NOTES (Race 3, CD 5/4/18) – trainer Todd Pletcher debuted this 3yo son of Ghostzapper and the colt had every reason to lose.  He broke slowly and then raced wide on the backstretch, but then he made a menacing move to take the lead and draw off as much the best.  He is out of a Seeking The Gold mare who has produced two stakes from four foals to race.

“Off the Charts” Horses to Watch and Trip Notes – April 29, 2018

track announcer with binocularsGULFSTREAM PARK

OPTIMISTIC SHOT (Race 5 at GP, 4/20/18) – Trappe Shot made a nice run at the winner who got away with a slow pace in this 7 furlong sprint. Never gave up en route to a solid 2nd place finish for a high percentage barn.  This was a winning effort.

KEENELAND

SPIKES SHIRL  (Race 8 at KEE, 4/12/18) – Dallas Stewart runner appreciated the return to sprinting and getting the blinkers back on. The daughter of Speightstown unleashed a powerful late run to score the 11-1 upset in this entry level allowance race.  She’s best sprinting.

OAKLAWN PARK

CITY OF LIGHT (Race 10 at OP, 4/14/18) – this four year old son of Quality Road is probably the best miler in the country but he had little trouble stretching out to 9 furlongs in taking the G2 Oaklawn Handicap.  Post 11 and first start outside of California was no problem for the Mike McCarthy runner.

MAGNUM MOON (Race 11 at OP, 4/14/18) – The G1 Arkansas Derby winner was most impressive.  He faced pressure throughout, put away a solid horse in Quip (who did re-rally) and drew off in the stretch.   The drifting out is little concern to me.  Undefeated Malibu Moon runner will attempt to break the ‘Apollo curse’ in Kentucky Derby 144.

“Off the Charts” Horses to Watch and Trip Notes – April 21, 2018

Tampa Paddock

Up close and personal at Tampa Bay Downs paddock. Copyright AGOS

GULFSTREAM PARK

VIOLENT WAVE (Race 5 at GP, 4/6/18) – 3yo daughter of Violence closed willingly and sneaky good to just miss 2nd in a race won by the favorite.  Trainer Kathy Ritvo never has her firsters cranked up to win in their debut (5% win rate) so this was a very noteworthy effort by the well-bred filly.  Displayed some talent in the mornings, as well.

KEENELAND

ELECTRIC  FOREST (Race 3 at KEE, 4/7/18) – well bred firster was bet down to 5/2.  She broke slowly from the outside post and raced wide on the backstretch.  That didn’t stop this daughter of Curlin from continuing on in the lane and running down a frontrunner who had a great trip.  Big future ahead.

ANALYZE IT (Race 9 at KEE, 4/6/18) – what a surprise.  Trainer Chad Brown has another superstar turf horse in the making.  This 3yo son of Point Of Entry made easy work of a very good Grade 3 stakes field in his comeback race.  He has now won all three career starts by open lengths.  Total beast.

WHEATFIELD (Race 8 at KEE, 4/6/18) – this six year old mare was well meant on the drop in class and shipping in from Fair Grounds.  Jockey Luis Saez didn’t anticipate the trouble this one would encounter down the lane.  She was badly shut off and lost all chance at the 1/8th pole.  Needs pace to close into but she can rebound in the right spot.  She’s best at 6 furlongs and against non-graded stakes or allowance company.

ALMITHMAAR (Race 7 at KEE, 4/6/18)  – gelded son of Tapit for trainer Kiaran McLaughlin ran a bang-up race second time out and appears to have a bright future for Shadwell Stables.  Wouldn’t be surprised to see this guy in stakes company in the future.

DANCELAND (Race 8 at KEE, 4/11/18) – sneaky terrible trip on this layoff returnee for trainer Shug McGaughey.  This daughter of Tapit had “run” but was never given a chance to get into the clear and unleash her finish.  A winner last summer at Saratoga, she ended up well beaten in an effort that can be easily excused.  Moves forward second start back.

LADY APPLE (Race 2 at KEE, 4/12/18) – 2yo daughter of star Curlin, out of a Clever Trick stakes placed mare, ran a winning race but was second best behind the well-meant Wesley Ward firster Dragic.  Great pedigree and solid barn.  Should be very tough in second career start, pretty much anywhere.