AGOS Horses to Watch and Trip Notes – Aug 29

track announcer with binocularsFREE horses to watch and trip notes for visitors of the education website AGameofSkill.com

GULFSTREAM PARK

CHROME RACER (Race 6 at GP, August 13, 2021) – 2nd time starter from the hot Louie Roussel barn finished well to get up for 2nd behind the gate to wire winner.  Rallied against the grain of the speed favoring track.

BULLET ON TAP (Race 2 at GP, August 6, 2021) – first time starter going 7 furlongs showed good early speed and chased the winner home in the lane.  Was green in the stretch and would probably benefit from blinkers.

SARATOGA

PRICE TALK (Race 2 at SAR, August 13, 2021) – This guy overcame a wide trip and some trouble, including the rider nearly losing the whip in the stretch.  Royally-bred turf runner should be able to handle a slight class rise next out.

AGOS Horses to Watch and Trip Notes – July 27

Horse Racing Fans at the Saratoga Clubhouse Rail

Fans at the Saratoga Clubhouse Rail

Put these Horses to Watch and Trip Notes from A Game of Skill in your Stable Mail or StableAlert service.

SARATOGA

WAR SMOKE (Race 1 at Saratoga, July 17, 2021) – Trip notes saw this first timer run huge. Squeezed badly at the start, and then unleashed a big late run.  The son of War Dancer got bumped and knocked off stride by the winner when both were rallying in the final 1/16th of a mile.  He is a half to 3 turf winners.

MISSPELL (Race 3 at Saratoga, July 17) – Got hit hard at the start of the race.  She recovered with a huge late and just got nosed out.  It was the first start since September for the Chad Brown filly who showed a lot of talent last year.  She was getting Lasix for the first time here.   Figures to break through her conditions very soon.

DANCE CODE (Race 9 at Saratoga, July 17) – Lost all chance at the start of the G3 Sanford Stakes but came on late to finish a very game third, despite being well beaten by winner Wit.  Showed a lot of talent in this loss.

TOO SEXY (Race 6 at Saratoga, July 16) – Clement runner looked like one that had trouble finding the winner’s circle but now she has won two of her last four races.  She was much the best in this entry level allowance race, overcoming trouble in the stretch to win going away in this turf sprint.

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – July 15

Saratoga canopy walk throughComplimentary horses to watch and trip notes for visitors of AGameofSkill.com

ELLIS PARK

ORCHESTRATION (Race 5 at Ellis Park, June 2, 2021) – Bounced around at the start and then unleashed a huge late run to get up for 2nd and blow past the winner just past the wire.  Big gallop out from the Chad Brown first time starter by Flatter.

SARATOGA

MAINSTAY (Race 9 at Saratoga, July 15, 2021) – In watching the head-on replay you will see that 2yo filly from the Robert Reid, Jr. barn stumbled badly from her two post.  However, she recovered like a real pro and ran a huge race to be 2nd to the second choice and wire-to-wire winner Pretty Birdie.  She was about 4 lengths clear of the show horse.

OMAHA CITY (Race 8 at Saratoga, July 15, 2021) – This talented turf runner finished extremely well to get up for 2nd in the Quick Call Stakes.  Trained by a 3% barn, this son of Temple City had not been out since mid April at Gulfstream.  Super honest and looks primed for top efforts at 6 1/2 furlongs or less.

EKHTIBAAR (Race 1 at Saratoga, opening day July 15, 2021) – The 8yo shipper from Parx showed a new dimension by rallying from off the pace.  Broke from a tough outside post in this 9 furlong dirt opener and was gained furiously on the leader in the lane, and that rival was drifting in and out in the final 1 1/16th.  This old timer loves Saratoga and could surprise at the same or similar level next out.

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – April 6, 2021

Keeneland clock racingAGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes for Agameofskill.com visitors and horse racing fans.  In April we have a special focus on Kentucky horses to watch.

KEENELAND

SAUCY LADY T (Race 1 at Keeneland, April 2, 2021) – 2yo firster was a well beaten 4th in the Keeneland spring meet opener, but she rallied sneaky well for a 5% debut barn and quickly galloped out in front of the field.  The granddaughter of Tapit could move forward off this race and surprise at a price in the right spot.

JEANNIE’S BEEPBEEP (Race 2 at Keeneland, April 2, 2021) – this live runner was racing inside of horses and then boxed in badly turning for home.  Had to cry out for room and then finished gamely along the rail to get 2nd behind the logical winner.  Consistent and honest racehorse can dirt or turf.

BODE BY YOU (Race 3 at Keeneland, April 2, 2021) – 2yo from the John Hancock barn flew home late in a gallant placing behind the upset wire to wire winner.  You don’t see many 2yos make up that type of ground in these 4 1/2 furlong events, and the barn is only 9% with debut runners.

STAND BY YOU (Race 6 at Keeneland, April 2, 2021) – First time starter showed a lot of grit and professionalism by navigating her way through traffic, mostly on the inside, and finishing willingly down the lane.  Solid third place show that she can move forward off of.  Bred to be a nice runner.

ILLIOGAMI (Race 6 at Keeneland, April 2, 2021) – What a trip.  Was last for half the race and had numerous traffic issues before unleashing a powerful late run to catch the loose Chad Brown horse in the short stretch.  Tapit filly could have a big future.

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – Feb. 1

track announcer with binocularsCheck out our AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes for Agameofskill.com visitors

GULFSTREAM PARK

PARTNER’S HOPE (Race 2 at Gulfstream Park, Jan. 23, 2021) – This was a live longshot tabbed by my buddy Justin Dew over at LoneSpeed.com.  Unfortunately, the 11-1 shot was ridden by Corey Lanerie, who gives more bad rides than a 10lb bug boy.  The maiden runner began to make a huge move heading into the far turn when Lanerie rode him up on the heels of a horse, causing a hard steady and loss of 2-3 lengths in precious momentum.  He re-rallied on the inside down the lane was only beaten over  a length for all the money.  Look for this More Than Ready colt on the dirt or turf with – hopefully – a different rider up next time.

TWICE TOO MANY (Race 6 at Gulfstream Park, Jan. 28, 2021) – This well bred first time starter from the Bryan Lynch barn was bet down to 4/5 after the late scratch of the favorite.  The 3yo son of the speedy The Big Beast is bred to win early.  He’s a half a millionaire Patternrecognition, along with several other early winners.  In his debut here he broke in 4th and then moved up between horses on the far turn but the winner for Mark Casse ran away from the field.  He’ll move forward off this start and win soon for Lynch.

OAKLAWN PARK

HIDDEN SCROLL (Race 7 at Oaklawn Park, Jan. 24, 2021) – This ‘over hyped’ runner who has simply never lived up to the reputation that he garnered early in his career.  However, over the winter he moved into the barn of potent trainer Brad Cox, who as we say ‘has the Midas touch.”  He returned in a 6 furlong allowance race in the mud and had a less than ideal trip.  He was shuffled back early and then steadied briefly on the backstretch, all the time with the jock half standing up in the irons.  His feet were on the dashboard, indicating his mount was loaded for bear.  When asked, Hidden Scroll swept up 5 wide on the turn and then cruised  to an easy score.  Next up a return to stakes company.

TAMPA BAY DOWNS

SUCCESSFUL LEGACY (Race 3 at Tampa Bay, Jan. 9, 2021) – 3yo filly making third lifetime start and only 2nd on the dirt looked like a winner in deep stretch but was run down by her stablemate.  Gerald Bennett runner can dirt or turf.

JOE MAN JOE ( (Race 6 at Tampa Bay, Jan. 9, 2021) – The son of Uncle Mo closed like a freight train in his maiden breaking win at Tampa early in the meet, and then came back here to run a very nice 2nd on the turf behind a well meant Michael Trombettea runner that shipped up from Gulfstream Park.    Figures tough at 1x level on dirt or turf next out.

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – Jan. 26

Tampa Paddock

Up close and personal at Tampa Bay Downs paddock. Copyright AGOS

Check out our AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes for Agameofskill.com visitors

SANTA ANITA

CHARMAINE’S MIA (Race 8 at Santa Anita, Jan. 9, 2021) – Moved into the barn of Phil D’Amato and what do you know – the mare improved by leaps and bounds.  At 16-1 odds she dominated a very strong group here that included multiple stakes winners.  There is no reason she can’t keep running big in turf sprints for her new outfit.

TAMPA BAY DOWNS

JUSTLYREWARDED (Race 6 at Tampa Bay Downs, Jan 6, 2021) – Broke from a tough outside post and then raced wide throughout.  Worse yet, the 7yo gelding was racing against the grain of an inside speed bias.  Better-than-it looks 4th place finish for owner/trainer Peter Knoll.

MY BROTHERSLEDGE (Race 7 at Tampa Bay Downs, Jan 6, 2021) – The best closer in this turf race  made a strong early run against the eventual wire to wire winner.  The 6oy was the only horse with a shot down the stretch but had to settle for 2nd.  He ran a ‘winning race’ with new jockey Hector Diaz in the irons.

 

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – Oct. 25

Know thy Keeneland TrainersComplimentary Horses to Watch & Trip Notes for Agameofskill.com visitors

KEENELAND

TRIBULATION (Race 5 at Keeneland, Oct. 16, 2020).  Toss this start as this second time starter stumbled badly at the start.  It was his first start going two turns and as a son of Medaglia D’oro he is clearly bred for a route of ground.  Ran very well in his debut prior for trainer Dallas Stewart.

LITTLE BELLA (Race 10 at Keeneland, Oct. 16, 2020).  Paddy O’Prado filly has really improved since the barn moved her to the dirt.  Despite the rise in class she surged late to catch a nice horse who looked home free down the lane.  Although she can turf, she looks better on the main track.

PIMLICO

COMPLETED PASS (Race 6 at Pimlico, Oct. 1, 2020) – The Robert Bone runner broke a step slow in this 5 furlong turf dash in honor of the late, great Jim McKay.  He raced between horses early before unleashing a powerful late run to nearly catch the front-running winner.

GIGGLING (Race 8 at Pimlico, Oct. 1, 2020) – This filly tried to steal the race in a 5 furlong turf dash that was loaded with early speed but she faltered late over the yielding ground.  Look for her back on her preferred dirt surface, especially in a situation where she can get loose on the front end.

French Two Year Old Runners to Watch

French horse racing blurrAGOS Horses to Watch.  With Sunday’s Group 1 Prixy Morny in the books, here are some French juveniles to watch according to the PMU.

Tiger Tanaka

Trained in France by Charley Rossi, Tiger Tanaka made a surprising step up in grade after four consecutive victories in claiming company. After placing third in the Group Two Prix Robert Papin (1200m), the filly took advantage of rain-affected conditions to record a first Group success in the Group ThreePrix Francois Boutin over 1400m last Sunday at Deauville. It is difficult to know how good Tiger Tanaka is, but she cannot be ignored if ground favours again.

Handicapping Tip of the Day #61 – improve your handicapping with this expert advice.

Livachope

Livachope extended her unbeaten run to three with a success in the Group Three Prix du Bois (1000m) at Longchamp on 2 July. The filly was asked to quicken by jockey Anthony Crastus in the closing stages and ran out a comfortable three-quarter length winner. A first Group winner for sire Goken, Livachope looks ready to step up against tougher competition and has an entry in the Prix Morny.

Cairn Gorm

Cairn Gorm added a third consecutive victory when scoring by one length in the Group Three Prix De Cabourg (1200m) at Deauville on 2 August. Trained in the UK by Mick Channon, Cairn Gorm will follow the same route as the 2019 Prix de Cabourg winner, Earthlight, when seeking Group One success in the Prix Morny.

Plainchant

Plainchant appeared to appreciate the step up in distance when scoring over 1200m atLa Teste de Buch in early June, having placed third on debut over 1000m. The Gregorian filly completed a double when winning the Listed Criterium Du Bequet over the same course and distance and holds an entry for the Prix Du Calvados (1400m) at Deauville on 22 August.

Midlife Crisis

Midlife Crisis showed plenty of promise when scoring by five lengths in an unraced conditions event over 1400m at Deauville on 4 August. Sired by Wootton Bassett, recently purchased by Coolmore as a future Champion sire prospect, connections will be hoping further success will be on the cards.

Ventura Tormenta

A surprise winner of the Group Two Prix Robert Papin (1200m) at Chantilly on 19 July, Ventura Tormenta may be looking to return to France following a disappointing run in the Group One Phoenix Stakes (1200m) at the Curragh. He’s won twice from five racecourse starts and trainer Richard Hannon is not adverse to travelling his juveniles.

Sealiway

Sealiway is trained by Frederic Rossi and has been kept busy with three victories and one placing from four career outings. The colt impressed many with a five-length success in the Listed Prix des Jouvenceaux et des Jouvencelles (1400m) at Vichy on his latest start and is expected to excel over 1400m.

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – July 12th

track announcer with binocularsAGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes for agameofskill visitors.

BELMONT PARK

BLACKJACK DAVEY (Race 3 at Belmont, 7/2/2020) – suffered a very troubled trip when 8th in debut for Linda Rice.  Returned here with a monster performance over what looked like a competitive field.  Geared down final 1/16th.  3yo Posse gelding has a future.

CHURCHILL DOWNS

GOLD BUTTON (Race 1 at CD, 6/25/2020) – this first time starter from an 8% debut barn had a sneaky fast work prior and he ran to it here.  Overall a less than ideal trip to win going away as much the best.  Can likely step up to the bottom allowance ranks.

JACK LUVS NOVA (Race 5 at CD, 6/25/2020) – Al Stall firster broke 1 1/2 lengths slow but then made a strong, sustained run to finish a non-threaten third.  Doesn’t need to move forward much to hit the winner’s circle next time.

RISKY MANDATE (Race 7 at CD, 6/28/2020) – Big comeback race for this talented filly.  The winner Unique Factor, who was also dropping out of stakes company, got the jump her and out-closed her for the win.  She galloped out past the winner late.

FAST BOAT (Race 3 at CD, 6/12/2020) – Steadied shortly after the start of this turf dash and won by nearly 5 lengths.  That’s all you need to know about this one.  Impressive!

AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – June 30

Agameofskill.com - A game of skill horse racing handicapping

Put these runners in your stable email notification service.

BELMONT PARK

JACK AND NOAH (Race 9 @Belmont, Jne 19, 2020) – This 3yo son of Bated Breath is a very, very fast early.  He utilized that speed to run his rivals off their feet in this $80,000 stakes going 6 furlongs on the grass.  Throw out his 1 mile start on Jan. 26, and this colt’s sprint record is rock solid on the lawn.

INDIANA DOWNS

CIELO AZUL (Race 5 @Indiana, June 23, 2020) – 3yo gelding making first start since 2yo season ran a huge race here.  After not showing much in two starts in 2019, he had been training well and nearly pulled off the 10-1 shocker of a dropper from Tampa.

Did you miss… The attributes of an off-the-turf longshot winner?