Saratoga Pace Chart for Friday, August 26

Tom’s d’Etat Confirmed for PegasusPace Makes the Race!

Friday is Travers Day Eve at Saratoga. Utilize this complimentary pace chart to help you envision how each of the races will set up at the Spa on Friday, August 26, 2022.   Understanding how the race will set up is critical to your handicapping success!

Always remember to wager within your comfort level and pick your spots. Best of luck!

SARATOGA – FRIDAY, AUG 26, 2022
Race 1 Expected Pace Leaders Stalkers Mid-Pack Closers Unknown
6.50 Furlongs / Dirt Very Fast 3-1-5 4 2
Race 2
6.00 Furlongs / Dirt Honest 1 7-4 3-2-1A 5 6
Race 3
9.00 Furlongs / Dirt Honest 2-3 1 4 5
Race 4
7.00 Furlongs / Dirt Unknown 1 10 3-9 2-4-5-6-7-8
Race 5
9.00 Furlongs / Dirt Fast 1-2 4 5 3
Race 6
5.50 Furlongs / Turf Fast 2 5-6 11-8-7-14-4 1-3-16-13-12-15-9-10
Race 7
6.50 Furlongs / Dirt Very Fast 1-3-5 2 6 4
Race 8
8.50 Furlongs / Inner Turf Honest/Fast 6-8 1-10-4 3-12-7-11 2-5-9
Race 9
7.00 Furlongs / Dirt Honest/Fast 11 2-4-10-8 3-1-7 9-12-6-5
Race 10
8.50 Furlongs / Turf Fast 3-2 9-6-5 7-10 4-8-1
Race 11
8 Furlongs / Inner Turf Modest 2-1 6-11-10 3-5-7 9-4 8

Santa Anita Pace Chart for Saturday, May 7th

Pace Makes the Race!

Today is great day of racing at Santa Anita with a 10-race card on Kentucky Derby Saturday. Utilize this complimentary pace chart to help you envision how each of the races will set up at the Great Race Place, Santa Anita on May 7, 2022.   Always remember to wager within your comfort level and pick your spots. Best of luck!

 

Santa Anita – Saturday, May 7
Race 1 Expected Pace Leaders Stalkers Mid-Pack Closers
6.00 Furlongs / Turf Honest *2 7-1-3 10-4-8-5 12
Race 2
6.00 Furlongs / Dirt Honest 1 3-5 2-4
Race 3
6.00 Furlongs / Turf Very Fast 7 6-9-3 1-4-5-8 2-10
Race 4
7.00 Furlongs / Dirt Modest 8-5 7-6 3-4-1 2
Race 5
8 Furlongs / Turf Honest/Fast 6 3-5 2 1-4
Race 6
6.00 Furlongs / Dirt Modest *2 5-1 6-4-8 3-7
Race 7
8 Furlongs / Turf Modest *11 2-10-9 1-4-5-12 6
Race 8
7.00 Furlongs / Dirt Honest 3-1 8-5 9-2-7
Race 9
6.50 Furlongs / Turf Honest 5-3 6-4 1-7-2 8-9
Race 10
9.00 Furlongs / Turf Modest 4 2-1-7 13-5-10-14 11-6-3-9-8-12

FREE Pace Chart for Saturday, March 12 – Tampa Bay Derby Day

Pace makes the race!

Saturday is the big day of racing at Tampa Bay Downs.  Rain is expected most of the morning so please check conditions. Utilize this complimentary pace chart to help you envision how each of the races will set up in each race on March 12, 2022.   Always remember to wager within your comfort level and pick your spots. Best of luck!

Tampa Bay Derby Day – March 12, 2022
Race 1 Expected Pace Leaders Stalkers Mid-Pack Closers Unknown
7.00 Furlongs / Dirt Honest *2 4-1 5-3-6
Race 2
6.50 Furlongs / Dirt Slow 6-5 4-2 7-1-3
Race 3
6.00 Furlongs / Dirt Unknown 8 5-4-2 6-9-1-12 11 3-7-10-13
Race 4
6.00 Furlongs / Dirt Honest/Fast 3-9 1-10-8 13-5-2-7 4-11-6-14-12
Race 5
8.18 Furlongs / Dirt Slow 7 1-6-4-8 2 5 3
Race 6
6.00 Furlongs / Dirt Unknown 2 5-10-11 12 3-4-1-6-7-8-9-13
Race 7
9.00 Furlongs / Turf Honest 3 4-9 1-2-6 5-7-8
Race 8
8.50 Furlongs / Dirt Honest/Fast 1 8-7-5 9-10-4-3 6-2
Race 9
8.50 Furlongs / Turf Slow/Modest 7 5-1 6-2-9 4-8 3
Race 10
8 Furlongs / Turf Fast 2-5 7-10-3 4-8-1-9 6
Race 11
8.50 Furlongs / Dirt Fast 4 2-1-5 8-9-7-3 10-6-11-12
Race 12
8 Furlongs / Turf Fast 7 4-3-8 2-6-11-5 12-13-9-14 1-10

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Listen to Rich Nilsen discuss the Tampa stakes with Scott Carson and Chris Larmey here:

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Santa Anita Pace Chart for Saturday, March 5

Pace makes the race!

Today is a huge day of racing at Santa Anita. Utilize this complimentary pace chart to help you envision how each of the races will set up at the Great Race Place, Santa Anita on March 5, 2022.   Always remember to wager within your comfort level and pick your spots. Best of luck!

Santa Anita – March 5, 2022
Race 1 Expected Pace Leaders Stalkers Mid-Pack Closers Unknown
6.50 Furlongs / Turf Fast 11-10 3-4-9 7-5-6 1-13-12-8-2
Race 2
6.00 Furlongs / Dirt Unknown 7 2-3-4-1-5-6
Race 3
5.50 Furlongs / Turf Modest 6 5-3-2-7 1-4 8
Race 4
7.00 Furlongs / Dirt Honest/Fast *1 5-3-6 4-9 8-7
Race 5
8 Furlongs / Turf Fast 5 2-10-11 8-9-1-3 4-7-6
Race 6
8.50 Furlongs / Dirt Fast 6 3 5-4-7 1-2
Race 7
8 Furlongs / Turf Modest 1 5-9-3 2-6 8 4-7
Race 8
6.50 Furlongs / Turf Fast 11 3-8-9 1-10-13-7 4-5-2-6-12
Race 9
8 Furlongs / Dirt Honest/Fast 3 6-4 5-1
Race 10
8 Furlongs / Turf Fast 3-11-2 5-7-6-9 10-12-1 4-8
Race 11
10.00 Furlongs / Dirt Modest 2-4 5-6-8 3-1 7

Trainer Falcone Discusses Race Placement Strategy and More

Trainer Robert Falcone, Jr. is tied for third in the Aqueduct winter meet trainer standings with seven wins heading into Sunday’s card. 

The 28-year-old conditioner enjoyed stakes success in December at the Big A with John Grossi’s Racing Corp.’s Maiden Beauty, who notched a gate-to-wire 3 3/4-length score in the nine-furlong Bay Ridge.

But Falcone, Jr. has also profited in the claiming ranks, including with Miss Peppina, who was claimed from the conditioner for $14,000 out of a nose score in a 6 1/2-furlong sprint January 9 at the Big A.

“No one wants to stand in the cold and lose,” Falcone, Jr. said. “Miss Peppina won for $14,000 last week and she just got up. If I ran her for $25,000, she’s not going to win.

“You spot them in the right spots because you want to win races, but you’re going to end up losing horses when you do that,” Falcone, Jr. added. “I had 29 horses here at one point and now I have 20.”

Falcone, Jr., who also has a small string out in California, said he is doing his best to put his horses in winnable spots this winter.

“Keep them happy and spot ‘em where they can win. If you’re the favorite, it means you’re in the right spot,” Falcone, Jr. said. “The toughest part is replacing them when you’re a claiming outfit and you don’t have ten 2-year-olds coming in every year. To get one back in the claim box isn’t easy, you’re shaking five-ways, six-ways, but you want to win races and show people that your barn is capable of winning. If you protect them, you’ll keep running third and fourth.”

the Big A race horseJohn Grossi’s Racing Corp.’s Empty Tomb worked a half-mile in 52 flat Friday over the Belmont dirt training track in preparation for a possible start in Saturday’s $100,000 Jazil, a nine-furlong test for older horses at the Big A.

Empty Tomb, a 6-year-old son of Speightstown, set a pressured pace last out in the nine-furlong Queens Country, relinquishing the lead late to 42-1 upset winner Forewarned, who is probable for the Jazil.

Falcone, Jr. said he on the fence regarding the Jazil with the $125,000 Stymie, a one-mile for older horses on February 26, a long-term target.

“He’s doing good. He came out the race good and worked well. I’m still on the fence with him [regarding the Jazil],” Falcone, Jr. said. “I’m not sure a mile and an eighth is really his preferred distance. Even if I do run here, the race I really want to run him in is the Stymie. I think the one-turn mile suits him perfectly.

Did you miss?  Handicapping Tip: The Fewer This the Better

“He walked yesterday and jogged today. He’s doing good. He’s on the muscle. He’s ready to run again,” Falcone, Jr. added. “I don’t have a problem with running him. I’m just trying to figure out what’s best for the long term.”

Falcone, Jr. said Maiden Beauty, a 6-year-old Revolutionary bay, will target the one-mile $100,000 Biogio’s Rose for older New York-bred fillies and mares on March 6 at the Big A.

“She’s doing really good. She’s such an easy horse to deal with,” Falcone, Jr, said. “She has a lot of class. She’s an easy horse to train and real sound.”

Maiden Beauty entered the Bay Ridge just 11 days after a neck score in a one-mile optional-claiming event on December 19 at the Big A.

Falcone, Jr. said Maiden Beauty, who he claimed for $45,000 from Tony Dutrow in June at Belmont, could look for a similar prep ahead of the Biogio’s Rose.

“When she ran in the ‘2X’ both times at Aqueduct with Tony last year, he ran her for the tag and that’s how we were able to run her in the allowance before the stakes without the tag,” Falcone, Jr. said. “She’s still eligible for the ‘3X’ without the tag. Depending on when the race is written in the next book, I may go for the ‘3X’ and then go to the Biogio’s Rose.”

Sanford J. Goldfarb, Irwin Goldfarb and Nice Guys Stables’ Kept Waiting will make her dirt debut in Race 7 on Thursday, an open seven-furlong allowance for older fillies and mares.

The 5-year-old Broken Vow bay, bred in the Empire State by John Lauriello, boasts a career record of 9-3-3-1, all on turf, including a five-length romp last out December 2 sprinting six furlongs at the Big A. 

“She works good on dirt and does it easily in hand. She has the speed to be close and we figured we’d give her a shot on the dirt,” Falcone, Jr. said. “If she does handle the dirt the way she trains in the morning, there’s no reason she doesn’t have a shot to hit the board.”

Falcone, Jr. claimed Kept Waiting for $40,000 in September 2020 out of a runner-up effort in a maiden claiming tilt at Belmont. She graduated at first asking for new connections on the Belmont turf and two starts later notched a state-bred allowance win over the same course in April.

“If she does take to the dirt OK, we only have one more start and then the turf isn’t that far away,” Falcone, Jr. said. 

Kept Waiting will exit post 4 under Kendrick Carmouche.

Del Mar Pace Chart for Closing Day – Nov. 28

Pace makes the race!

There are mandatory payouts today on closing day at Del Mar. Utilize this complimentary pace chart to help you envision how each of the races will set up at Del Mar, November 28, 2021.   Always remember to wager within your comfort level and pick your spots. Best of luck!

DEL MAR – Closing day, Nov. 28, 2021
Race 1 Expected Pace Leaders Stalkers Mid-Pack Closers Unknown
9.00 Furlongs / Turf Honest 3 5-2 4-6-1
Race 2
8 Furlongs / Dirt Modest *3 5-4 2-1-6 7-8
Race 3
8 Furlongs / Turf Honest/Fast 7-3 1-2-4 5-9-8-10 11
Race 4
6.00 Furlongs / Dirt Unknown 7 2-3-4-1-5-6
Race 5
8 Furlongs / Turf Slow 7-1 13-11 10-5-4-6 2-12-8 3-9-14
Race 6
8 Furlongs / Dirt Honest 6 4-2 7-5-1 3
Race 7
8 Furlongs / Turf Slow/Modest 5-1 6-3 2-4
Race 8
6.00 Furlongs / Dirt Honest *2 4-6 5-3-1 8-9 7
Race 9
9.00 Furlongs / Turf Honest/Fast 10 7-13-5 3-6-8-12 2-1-9-11

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Fair Grounds Pace Chart for Opening Day – Thanksgiving, Nov. 25

Pace makes the race!

HAPPY THANKSGIVING!  Utilize this complimentary pace chart to help you envision how each of the races will set up on opening day at Fair Grounds, Thursday, November 25, 2021.   Always remember to wager within your comfort level and pick your spots. Best of luck!

FAIR GROUNDS, Nov. 25, 2021
Race 1 Expected Pace Leaders Stalkers Mid-Pack Closers Unknown
6.00 Furlongs / Dirt Honest *3 9-11-6 7-10-8-2 1-5-4
Race 2
8 Furlongs / Turf Honest/Fast 2 11-6-4 5-7-1-9 10-12-3-8
Race 3
8.50 Furlongs / Dirt Modest 7-1-11 5-10-6 9-3-8 4-2
Race 4
8.50 Furlongs / Turf Fast 3-7 5 6-9-2-8 1-4
Race 5
8.50 Furlongs / Dirt Honest 3 2 1-5-4-7 6
Race 6
9.00 Furlongs / Turf Fast 6-5 9-4 3-2-1-7 11-8-10
Race 7
6.00 Furlongs / Dirt Fast 6-5 7-4 3 1-2
Race 8
8.50 Furlongs / Turf Modest 2-8 6-5-7 3-1-9-10 11-4
Race 9
5.50 Furlongs / Dirt Likely Fast 4 7-1-9 8-5-13-10 3-6-11-12-2-14-1A-2B

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Tampa Bay Downs Pace Chart for Opening Day – Wed., Nov. 24

Pace makes the race!

Utilize this complimentary pace chart to help you envision how each of the races will set up on opening day at Tampa Bay Downs, Wednesday, November 24, 2021.   Wager within your comfort level, pick your spots and best of luck!

Tampa Bay Downs — Nov., 24, 2021
Race 1 Expected Pace Leaders Stalkers Mid-Pack Closers Unknown
6.00 Furlongs / Dirt Honest *1 8-5 4-6-7 2-9-3
Race 2
6.00 Furlongs / Dirt Modest 10 4-1-12 8-6-3-2 11-13-7-14-9 5
Race 3
8 Furlongs / Turf Slow 4-10 3-5-8 12-2-6-11 9-13-1 7
Race 4
7.00 Furlongs / Dirt Modest 6-7 2-13 10-4-5-12 1-3-11-9-14-8
Race 5
8.50 Furlongs / Turf Modest 2-4 7-3-1 6-10-5-8 9
Race 6
7.00 Furlongs / Dirt Modest 2 10-6 7-3-4-9-8 1-5
Race 7
8.50 Furlongs / Turf Honest/Fast 3-2-4 1-9 5-10-8 7-6
Race 8
6.00 Furlongs / Dirt Fast *4 2-3-1 7-9-10-5 6-8-11
Race 9
8 Furlongs / Turf Modest 8 7-3-4-2 6-1-11 5-10-9-13-12-14

 

SPORTS BETTORS!

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Keeneland Pace Chart for Opening Day – Friday, October 8th

Pace makes the race!

Utilize this complimentary pace chart to help you envision how each of the races will set up on opening day at Keeneland, Friday October 8th.   Wager within your comfort level, pick your spots and best of luck!

10/8/2021
Keeneland Pace Chart
Race 1 Expected Pace Leaders Stalkers Mid-Pack Closers Unknown
8.50 Furlongs / Dirt Honest/Fast 2 1-6 3-5-4
Race 2
8 Furlongs / Turf Unknown ? 4 3-1-11 12-5-7-9 10-16 2-6-8-13-14-15
Race 3
8.50 Furlongs / Dirt Modest 2 1-1A 5-4-6 3
Race 4
6.00 Furlongs / Dirt Modest 7 9-3 2-5-8 4-6-1
Race 5
6.00 Furlongs / Dirt Honest *4 1-2 3-6-8 5-7
Brad’s Time is the controlling early speed in this field of eight claimers. Vulcan and Heart Rhythm will both show
 speed off the layoff.
Race 6
6.00 Furlongs / Dirt Unknown ? 11 8-10-5 2-3-4-1-6-7-9-12-13
Race 7
8.50 Furlongs / Turf Modest 6-7 2-11-9 1-13-5-8 10-4-12-3
Race 8
6.00 Furlongs / Dirt Fast 7-6-1-4 2-3 5
Hot early pace with Sir Alfred James or Special Reserves the likely pacesetter.  May set things up for
Aloha West from off the pace.
Race 9
8.50 Furlongs / Dirt Fast 1-7 12-5-9 11-2-4-10 6-3-8
Another expected fast early pace with 4+ runners that show speed. That could play against the morning line
favorite Juju’s Map.
Race 10
9.00 Furlongs / Turf Modest 2 12-8-7 3-5-4-14 13-6-1-11-16-9-10-15

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Handicapping Tip of the Day #65 – Bad Beats or Something Else?

by Glen S.

Bad Beats, Bad Betting or Bad Selections.

All three may sound bad, but they are different and you should recognize the difference when watching and reviewing the races.

Let’s begin with the BAD BEATS:
-We all get them, e.g. noses on the wire, bad rides, and you lose
-Your horse has a tough trip and another horse gets through on the rail to beat you at the wire

Understand that we all get the bad beats, but it is what you do after a bad beat that is important. If you dwell on it, that will just affect you in your handicapping future races. “Good Wins” are just around the corner when your horse wins the photo next time out. Stick to your process, because success at the races is right around the corner.

Bad Betting:
-Making money doesn’t always go hand in hand by picking winners.
-Understanding value and how to get the most of your top selections. Play underlays and you’re guaranteed to lose.
-Should you be betting win, or exacta or sequence bets? Realizing a $12.00 horse is great value when you give it fair value of 3-1. Be sure to bet to win. If you are going after the exacta and miss it, without a win bet, that is bad betting. Take a look at your betting strategies.

It is tough enough to pick winners, you want to make them count when you do.

Bad Selections:
-We all make them, but you want to accept that and not make excuses like, “bad ride”, “didn’t want to win,” etc.
-Bad selections you need to learn from them, adjust your handicapping the next time a similar situation happens.
-What did I miss to have such a bad selection? Review your handicapping post-race.

The faster you learn from your mistakes, the less bad selections there will be and more chance to have a few “good wins” in the future.

Did you miss these Handicapping Tips of the Day?

Horse Racing Tip of the Day – the Fewer this the better…

Horse Racing Tip of the Day – Evaluating Layoff Horses

Horse Racing Tip of the Day – Red Flags on this Big Favorite