About Editor

Rich Nilsen is an 18-time qualifier to the National Horseplayers Championship (NHC), an event he has cashed in four times. He was the first player to finish in the top 10 twice. He cashed on the 2018 NHC Tour with a 19th overall finish. Rich was also a winner of a $24,000 package into Kentucky Derby Betting Championship I. A former executive with Brisnet.com, Rich is a graduate of the University of Louisville Equine Business Program and is founder of AGameofSkill.com, a site devoted to horse racing education and promotion.

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Handicapping Tip of the Day #65 – Bad Beats or Something Else?

by Glen S.

Bad Beats, Bad Betting or Bad Selections.

All three may sound bad, but they are different and you should recognize the difference when watching and reviewing the races.

Let’s begin with the BAD BEATS:
-We all get them, e.g. noses on the wire, bad rides, and you lose
-Your horse has a tough trip and another horse gets through on the rail to beat you at the wire

Understand that we all get the bad beats, but it is what you do after a bad beat that is important. If you dwell on it, that will just affect you in your handicapping future races. “Good Wins” are just around the corner when your horse wins the photo next time out. Stick to your process, because success at the races is right around the corner.

Bad Betting:
-Making money doesn’t always go hand in hand by picking winners.
-Understanding value and how to get the most of your top selections. Play underlays and you’re guaranteed to lose.
-Should you be betting win, or exacta or sequence bets? Realizing a $12.00 horse is great value when you give it fair value of 3-1. Be sure to bet to win. If you are going after the exacta and miss it, without a win bet, that is bad betting. Take a look at your betting strategies.

It is tough enough to pick winners, you want to make them count when you do.

Bad Selections:
-We all make them, but you want to accept that and not make excuses like, “bad ride”, “didn’t want to win,” etc.
-Bad selections you need to learn from them, adjust your handicapping the next time a similar situation happens.
-What did I miss to have such a bad selection? Review your handicapping post-race.

The faster you learn from your mistakes, the less bad selections there will be and more chance to have a few “good wins” in the future.

Did you miss these Handicapping Tips of the Day?

Horse Racing Tip of the Day – the Fewer this the better…

Horse Racing Tip of the Day – Evaluating Layoff Horses

Horse Racing Tip of the Day – Red Flags on this Big Favorite

The End of Arlington Park Racecourse…For Now

RLINGTON HEIGHTS, Ill. (WLS) — As thousands of horse racing fans head home from Arlington Park Saturday night, some might have a touch more cash in their pockets, while others might not be so lucky.

Regardless, everyone at the track on the picturesque fall day does share something in common. They were there when the sun set on Arlington Park.

Arlington Park racetrack“It’s a sad thing for Arlington Heights, for sure,” said longtime fan Diane Scrowka.

For nearly a century — since 1927 — people have flocked to the suburban race track, creating years of memories.

“I saw Secretariat race here years and years ago,” said Susan Rusco. “Lots of good times, a lots of family times.”

It’s a place that may take you back in time.

“It’s kind of a pillar of the past. You can dress up and live like you’re in another time,” said Lauren Dietzel.

However, people come to the races for that and more.

Arlington’s owners said that the gambling market has shrunk over time as casinos landed in the Chicago area.

“When horse racing was the only game in town, everybody betted on horse racing,” said Tony Petrillo, president of Arlington International Racecourse…  More on Arlington Park

A Casino and Grants Pass Estimated to Generate over $10B for Oregon

GRANTS PASS, Ore.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–The highly anticipated gaming, entertainment and dining venue, The Flying Lark, released today an economic impact study analyzing the horse racing industry in partnership with Grants Pass Downs. Independent agency Hunden Strategic Partners (HSP) identified a significant positive impact in job creation, tax and earnings impact to the local economy, and the opportunity to provide funding and stability to the equine industry throughout the region.

The Economic Impact Analysis identified the positive impact to Southern Oregon over the next 30 years, including:

$10.7 billion in net new spending
$3.6 billion in net new earnings
2,007 net new full-time jobs
$361.9 million in tax impact to Oregon

HSP conducted market research and interviews with representatives from local, regional and national organizations to understand the horse racing industry and its impact through three primary components: Grants Pass Downs and the Flying Lark, fair meets, and horse-related spending. The study was designed to determine the economic impact of the horse racing industry in Oregon with the Flying Lark in operation and determine the value of the Flying Lark and Grants Pass Downs within the industry in Oregon.

“The local community was surprised to learn of the significant economic impact the horse racing industry had in Oregon back in the 2012 economic impact study,” said Randy Evers, President of Grants Pass Downs. “While horse racing struggles to survive in other states, today the vision of leaders at both Grants Pass Downs and The Flying Lark will be a major factor for economic growth and stability, most importantly for Southern Oregon, but also the entire state.”

The study discloses the positive impact as industry-changing. The Flying Lark has the unique opportunity to create a legacy, putting Grants Pass and the Josephine County Fairgrounds on the map as a year-round destination. In collaboration with Grants Pass Downs, together they will help restore the horse racing industry, including horse owners, trainers, veterinarians, jockeys, and a wide range of partners, vendors, and suppliers across Oregon. There is a positive cycle of spending and impact between gaming and horse racing.

Historic Horse Racing (HHR) revenues will supplement the industry, including:

Larger purses from pari-mutuel wagering,
Boosted interest in the sport due to greater race quality,
Rising visitation stemming from growing interest,
Improved foal crops as horse ownership becomes more profitable, and
Overall positive trends within the industry.

“The Flying Lark will have a substantial impact on Thoroughbred breeding in Oregon,” said Lynnelle Fox Smith, Executive Director for the Oregon Thoroughbred Owners and Breeders Association. “By knowing the purses will be sizable and the facility will be successful, breeders will continue investing in broodmares, stallions, and breeding to support Oregon’s agriculture.”

The Flying Lark was founded by Grants Pass Native, Travis Boersma, with a commitment to horse racing and Southern Oregon, opening in the winter of 2021. The 35,000 square-foot destination has something for everyone, including Jacks, a full-service family restaurant, Longshots sports bar, the Winner’s Circle bar located in the center of the state-of-the-art historical horse racing (HHR) terminal floor, based on pari-mutuel wagering, and banquet facilities.

Known for its beautiful natural scenery, parks, outdoor recreation, and wineries in Southern Oregon, The Flying Lark will also open The Wonder Walk. This world-class equine-based art walk will beautifully surround the facility and feature pieces by regional artists that celebrate horses’ majestic nature, power and beauty.

Emerald Downs Closing Weekend

Emerald Downs began the season with racing on Wednesdays and Thursdays at 25% capacity and ends this weekend with racing Saturday and Sunday without that restriction.

It’s no wonder then that Phil Ziegler, president of the Auburn racetrack, is pleased with how things have gone as the 49-day racing season comes to a close.

“We are pretty pleased with the way the whole meet went,” Ziegler said. “Our number-one priority this year was welcoming fans back.”

The 2020 season was conducted without fans on Wednesday and Thursday nights — light days of racing nationally — to enhance wagering from around the country, and the racetrack set records for handle.

Stakes Action

Three stakes races are on tap Sunday, including the $75,000 Gottstein Futurity, the championship race of the season for 2-year-olds. The purse for the 1 1/16-mile race is the second largest of the season, behind the Longacres Mile.

The other stakes races Sunday are the $50,000 Muckleshoot Tribal Classic for 3-year-olds and up and the $50,000 Washington Cup Filly & Mare Stakes, both at 1 1/16 miles.

More from Scott Hanson and the Seattle Times on Emerald Downs

Del Mar Fairgrounds and Sports Betting in California?

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SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — The Del Mar Fairgrounds could become a place to bet on professional and college sports, should California voters approve a measure allowing sports gambling in November 2022.

On Tuesday, the Del Mar Fairgrounds board voted 7-0 to adjust its operating agreement with the Del Mar Thoroughbred Club, allowing it to run a “first-class” sports book at its off-track wagering facility, Surfside Race Place, as soon as 2023.

The proposal hinges on the passage of a statewise proposition that would allow licensed racetracks and Native American casinos to offer on-site wagering on professional, college, and amateur sports. Gambling on high school sports and games involving colleges in California would still be illegal. The thoroughbred club’s proposal would also need to be approved by the State Race Track Leasing Commission.

“Sports wagering will generate significant additional net revenues for DMTC which, along with the additional food and beverage revenues generated, will flow to the District and Race Track Authority,” Thoroughbred Club Chief Executive Josh Rubinstein wrote in a letter to the fair board chair on Wednesday, Sept. 8…  More from 10news.com on Del Mar and Sports Betting

Bank of America Approves Deposits for Online Wagering Sites (ADW)

LEXINGTON, Ky. (September 22, 2021) ― The National Thoroughbred Racing Association (NTRA) today confirmed that Bank of America, the second-largest bank in the United States and one of the largest card-issuing banks in the country, has for the first time begun approving debit card deposit transactions with U.S. licensed and regulated advance deposit wagering companies (ADWs).

The decision by Bank of America, which began accepting debit card transactions in mid-August, is expected to have a positive impact on overall U.S. pari-mutuel handle.

“This is another positive step for Thoroughbred racing and one that would not have come about without the support of Bank of America and the advocacy on behalf of our industry by Rep. Andy Barr (R-KY) and his staff,” said NTRA President and Chief Executive Officer Alex Waldrop.

“I commend Bank of America for expanding access to wagering on Thoroughbred horse racing for the roughly 66 million Americans that the bank serves,” said Barr, who serves on the U.S. House of Representatives Financial Services Committee.  “This is a win for Bank of America customers and the horse racing industry.  Bank of America’s decision will strengthen the horse racing industry in the Commonwealth and throughout the United States.”

Queen Elizabeth enjoys most successful horse racing year yet

The British royal has seen Fresh Fancy emerge as her 32nd winner following a successful day at Kempton Park, and it’s said she’s won over £460,000 in prize money in nine months.

“The Queen rarely misses a race in which one of her horses is racing and has a television so she can catch the drama.” A source told The Sun newspaper

“It would have no doubt cheered her up with everything that is going on.”

With Fresh Fancy’s win – which came with £3,780 in prize money – she has blown away her previous record of 29 wins in 2019, while her third best total was 23 in 1992, 2014 and 2016.

This year’s tally includes 30 flat race wins and two over fences, and flat racing doesn’t officially end until mid-October, meaning there could be more triumphant moments in the pipeline.

Meanwhile, the queen will also have Reach For The Moon racing in the Derby next June, which comes during her Platinum Jubilee celebrations – although no reigning monarch has won the race since Edward VII in 1909.

Broadcaster Cornelius Lysaght said: “The Queen is a big breeder, owner and patron of horse racing.

“It is not just hype…

Breeders’ Cup at Del Mar: Is this Andre Fabre’s Best Horse Ever?

Horse Racing NAP of the Day: 13/8 Horse Racing Betting Tip This Wednesday + a £25 Risk Free BetAndre Fabre has hailed the unbeaten filly as probably one of the best he has ever trained – after just two races.

Owned by Juddmonte Stud, she is by Frankel and out of multiple American Grade One winner Emollient.

A winner over an extended seven furlongs at Deauville on debut, Raclette was hugely impressive in a conditions race at Chantilly last week and now has a Group One date in the Prix Marcel Boussac looming.

“She was very impressive last time out and she is probably one of the best fillies I have ever trained – she’s got everything,” said Fabre.

“She has acceleration, a wonderful temperament, so far she is doing everything right. We’ll go for the Boussac with her next.

“It is quite a big step going from a conditions race to a Group One, but she was way better than her opponents last time.

Is this Andre Fabre’s Best Horse Ever?

 

Payday at the Races for NHC Champ Justin Mustari

She [Rosa’s Crystal] had last run, at Santa Anita, on Jan. 31. He knew trainer Carla Gaines’ success rate, with a layoff of at least 90 days, had been around 8%.

“Not something a gambler, or handicapper, would say is a good bet,” says Mustari. “But to be 19-1, and for me to think the horse should be 6-1 or 7-1 — assuming she’s in good form coming off a layoff — seemed the logical play.”

Frank often spoke about embracing once-in-a-lifetime opportunities, which helped Justin deliberate. “I might never have this chance again,” Justin told his dad before the race. “I would be sick if I didn’t take this opportunity.”

Several gallops out of the gate, Rose’s Crystal stuttered. The 4-year-old roan filly nearly bumped into the beast in front of her, so jockey Juan Hernandez pulled up a bit.

About 330 miles from that eighth race, a mile on the Del Mar turf on Aug. 29, Justin Mustari stood on a platform here inside Bally’s Event Center. He viewed a giant screen and held his breath.

In the final race of the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship, the Des Plaines native had everything riding on 19-to-1 shot Rose’s Crystal.

“From watching thousands of races, when they pull up like that it usually [isn’t good]. The jockey and the horse usually are not on the same page,” says Mustari. “I thought, ‘Well, I’m out of it here.’ ”   Read on:

Breeders’ Cup News & Notes: Juvenile Turf Contender Mackinnon

A Del Mar meet with no fans? A horse racing unthinkable could become realityPost-race Notes from Del Mar Juvenile Turf Mackinnon, winner on closing day at Del Mar (9/6/21)

JUAN HERNANDEZ (Mackinnon, winner) – “Doug just basically told me to ride him with confidence. We were doing OK until we got to the far turn and I felt him get a little lazy on me. So when we went for home and he changed leads, I hit him left-handed with the stick on time and he jumped back into it. From there we just went on with it. He’s a nice horse and the way he finished out today, I think he’ll like to run on.”

O’NEILL (Mackinnon, winner) “He broke his maiden (here July 31) in a manner that we were hoping this day would come but you never know. So much credit to the owners being so patient and Juan (Hernandez) being so patient with this colt. I was a little bit concerned as the race unfolded. I knew that (Optimising) was the X-factor. I knew he was in from Europe and had been working well and had great connections and was in a great spot. But when Juan called on MacKinnon and he responded I started smiling. If he stays injury free the ($1 Million Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf on November 5) is the goal.”


Del Mar Juvenile Turf – Del Mar 9/6/2021

FRACTIONS:  :23.13  :46.79  1:11.67  1:23.88  1:36.24

The stakes win was the fourth of the meet for rider Hernandez, but his first in the Del Mar Juvenile Turf. He now has 11 stakes wins at Del Mar.

The stakes win was the first of the meet for trainer O’Neill and his first in the Del Mar Juvenile Turf. He now has 40 stakes wins at Del Mar.

The winning owners ERJ Racing (professional hockey player Erik Johnson of Denver, CO) and Dave Kenney.

More News & Notes on the Breeders’ Cup at Del Mar