About Editor

Rich Nilsen is a 16-time qualifier to the National Horseplayers Championship (NHC), an event he has cashed in four times. He was the first player to finish in the top 10 twice. He cashed on the NHC Tour for 2018 with a 19th overall finish. Rich was also a winner of a $24,000 package into Kentucky Derby Betting Championship I. A former executive with Brisnet.com, Rich is a graduate of the University of Louisville Equine Business Program and is founder of AGameofSkill.com, a site devoted to horse racing education and promotion.

About Editor

Rich Nilsen is a 16-time qualifier to the National Horseplayers Championship (NHC), an event he has cashed in four times. He was the first player to finish in the top 10 twice. He cashed on the NHC Tour for 2018 with a 19th overall finish. Rich was also a winner of a $24,000 package into Kentucky Derby Betting Championship I. A former executive with Brisnet.com, Rich is a graduate of the University of Louisville Equine Business Program and is founder of AGameofSkill.com, a site devoted to horse racing education and promotion.

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Horse Racing to Continue in Florida Despite…

Gov. DeSantis Issues Stay Home Order to Curb COVID-19 Spread effective Friday 4/3

One business, though, that won’t be affected by the Florida Republican’s order is the horse racing industry.

Representatives from both Tampa Bay Downs and Gulfstream Park told Casino.org that it will remain business as usual at the two tracks even after the governor’s order goes into effect a minute past midnight on Friday.

Margo Flynn, vice president of Marketing at Tampa Bay Downs, said the track will continue to race as it has since mid-March.

Our plan is to run, with us being closed down to the public and the extraordinary measures we have regarding any horse personnel that need to take care of the horses regardless of the situation,” Flynn said.

Tampa Bay’s meet is scheduled to end on Sunday, May 3.

The latest on Horse Racing in Florida:

The Race Must Go On! Just Not Now and Not for Churchill Downs

Churchill Downs earns the No. 1 rank among its peers in the Leisure-Gaming/Equipment industry group. Studio City International (MSC) and Amaya (TSG) are also among the group’s highest-rated stocks….

“The most recent developments have led us to make some very difficult, but we believe, necessary decisions and our hearts are with those who have been or continue to be affected by this pandemic,” Carstanjen said.

While Churchill Downs’ top-line growth fell last quarter from 38% to 28%, bottom line grew 100%, up from 4% a year earlier. Churchill Downs has a 95 EPS Rating, on a scale of 1 (bleak) to 99 (top notch). That means it’s outperforming 95% of all stocks on earnings growth.

Miss Live Sports? Try Horse Racing

But, for now, horse racing essentially is sport’s only live show. It may not last much longer. There are downsides to having the spotlight alone. Running races while the rest of the sports world shuts down can irk the public and government officials.

Gulfstream Park continued racing even after jockey Javier Castellano tested positive for COVID-19 during a physical at the track Tuesday. It’s not clear where and when he contracted the disease. Castellano last rode at Gulfstream on March 15 but had since returned to New York to spend time with family, his agent told The Blood-Horse.

Earlier in the week, Broward County issued an executive order that closed businesses it considers nonessential. The Sun-Sentinel reported that a county attorney informed Gulfstream that racing isn’t an essential business. The track kept racing, citing the care of horses as justification.

Patrick Cummings, executive vice president of industry advocate Thoroughbred Idea Foundation, argues that racing thoroughbreds is part of that care.

“Keeping them racing and active is something that is going to happen whether or not we have a shutdown,” Cummings said.

Racing them for simulcast keeps the gambling cash flowing. Horse racing’s status as the only option might mean more of it. If not, then some cash flow is better than none for a struggling sport. The pandemic already has affected its showcase races.

Virtual Horse Racing: The Latest Craze For Sport In The Digital Era

As the general population become more reliant on technology than ever before, we are spending more and more time inside. The trip to the bookies to place a bet has now had to morph to an online experience. But as this has occurred, there has also been increased opportunity for games to be provided such as online slots and even the development of online horse racing.

How Does It Work?

Virtual horse racing is the latest trend for bookmakers in the UK and is the perfect way of getting people involved in betting online and keep a constant stream of revenue for bookmakers even when the live stores are closed. However, for those that are hoping for an easy win, you may be disappointed. Each race has an outcome that is generated from a random number generator. This means that the results cannot be predicted, allowing for anyone to in if you make the right bet.

This is ideal for not only those more experienced that love the thrill of a race, but there are also many options for beginners to try their hand at these virtual elements before making their way onto the live events. In addition, due to their being fewer variables, the racing cards are often much simpler than the racing cards for live events, this, therefore, makes it more appealing for people in the long term.

Horse Racing Tips: 6 picks to get your kicks on American racing tonightWhere Can You Play?

As this section of the market has begun to gain in popularity there have been more and more of the top bookmakers offering this service. With several virtual horse betting services out there including the likes of William Hill and Betfred, there are many options over the internet for you to join in on.

For those that are hoping to see some of their favorite racecourses in the virtual world, this is where it differs. Unfortunately, due to licencing, many virtual racing providers are not able to replicate existing racecourses. However, this has proved beneficial for many reasons as it has provided an invigorating experience for many as the virtual experience in a new racecourse makes for endless possibilities. This is something that is only set to continue in 2020 as we begin to see more and more bookmakers offering these virtual services as a result of increased demand.

What Could It Mean For The Future Of The Sport? 

In these unusual times, we have seen a vast number of sporting events either completely cancelled or postponed. However, this has benefited the E-Sports industry as many of us are watching or even taking part online. We have seen celebrities playing matchups on FIFA, the rise of Twitch streamers and virtual sports betting see a huge surge in popularity.

This is of course in part due to the isolation that many of us find ourselves in during this time. This has meant that more and more of us are relying on the internet and video calls as our form of daily communication and entertainment. This has, therefore, meant that event organizers and celebrities are using platforms such as Twitch and Instagram to lift the spirit of fans and have them standing out in the long term. Should isolation last longer than many are expecting, this could become the new form of communication as more of us find ways to continue with our daily lives despite having to stay inside.

How Can You Get Involved?

To get involved in virtual online sports betting it could not be easier, all you need to do is head to your local bookmakers and see if they are offering the service. Whether this is Sky Bet, William Hill or Bet365, there are numerous options for you to choose from and begin to make money from betting. All you will need is a stable internet connection and the means to place a bet and you are good to go making bets on any races that you want.

Whether you are new to this form of betting or you have used them before, there are several ways that you can use this new way of betting to provide you with entertainment during this time of live sporting event cancellations.

Kentucky Derby | Triple Crown Watch – The Florida Derby

Betting favorite Tiz The Law dominated in the 2020 Florida Derby in front of no fans last Saturday.  Three runners went very wide around the first turn, including #9 Independence Hall.  Fountain Of Youth winner Et Indien was washed out badly pre-race.  H got over quickly from his outside post but dueled throughout with the eventual runner-up.  He was game to hang on for third in front of my top pick, Governeur Morris, who made a wide run turning for home.  If the latter gets up for second, I win an NHC berth, but alas, thanks a lot Governeur…

Huge longshot Shivaree took advantage of  his inside post and went right to the front.  The son of Awesome Of Course showed a lot by saving some late and outfinishing Et Indien down the lane.

There’s no denying that Sackatoga Stable, of Funny Cide fame, has another nice 3yo in this grandson of Tapit.  He has a great horseman in Barclay Tagg in his corner.  Gulstream Park’s recap of Tiz The Law’s big win in the Florida Derby.

“He is something special. It would be a lot of fun going to Kentucky in five weeks, but that’s not happening, obviously,” Owner Jack Knowlton said. “Now we get to run some more races. Maybe the Wood will come back in play. Maybe we can do a Travers-Derby double. Right now it’s a blank slate. Nobody knows what’s going to happen where or when with all that’s going on in the country.”

Santa Anita Derby Postponed Due to Track’s Closure

Source: Santa Anita

SANTA ANITA TO REMAIN CLOSED FOR LIVE RACING THROUGH WEEKEND PER ORDER OF LOS ANGELES COUNTY PUBLIC HEALTH DEPARTMENT

Santa Anita Park will remain closed for live racing through this weekend as it abides by the order issued last week from the Los Angeles County Health Department as it relates to essential businesses.  At this time, there are no known cases of COVID-19 at Santa Anita Park.

The prestigious Santa Anita Derby and Santa Anita Oaks, which were set to headline the racing program on Saturday, April 4, will be rescheduled for later in the season after racing resumes.

Boom Time for California Horse RacingAt Santa Anita Park, the health, safety and welfare of every person and every horse in our community remains our top priority.  We are continuing to have constructive dialogue with the LA County Health Department and Los Angeles County Supervisor Kathryn Barger and her staff.  In cooperation with our industry stake holders, a proposal was submitted earlier this week which we believe was fully responsive to their requests.  We have yet to receive a satisfactory response to that proposal.

Numerous racetracks around the country are continuing to operate.  They are running for exactly the same reasons that Santa Anita is trying to communicate to LA County officials — because the consequences of closing down the economic engine that fuels the community makes the risks and potential issues significantly worse when racing is closed and only training allowed.

There are over 1,700 horses stabled at Santa Anita who require daily care provided by more than 750 backstretch team members. Most of these team members live on-site and have been operating under stringent new measures for protection aligned with the best guidance from local and international health and government authorities on COVID-19. The track has been closed to the general public and closed to all but essential personnel since March 12, 2020.

We will continue to work with county health authorities to familiarize them with the protocols already in place and our plans to protect the health and safety of the community who works with the horses and calls Santa Anita home.

We look forward to the return of live racing at Santa Anita as soon as approval is received from local regulators.

Covid-19? Australian horse racing and harness racing race on

Horse racing and harness racing continues on after a coronavirus scare, with the industry saying they will continue operating unless explicitly prohibited by health advice. Racing, including greyhound racing, is one of the last organized sports still operating in Australia after shutdown rules …

Thompson said horse racing supports 25,000 direct and indirect jobs in Victoria alone. According to the Australian Skills and Industry Committee, about 11,400 people are employed directly in horse and dog racing in Australia.

Unlike other sports, racing has animal care requirements which cannot be shut down.

“In announcing the resumption of racing, I want to assure the Victorian community that racing will continue to operate under strict biosecurity protocols and where required act decisively, as we did when suspending racing yesterday, should there be any risk to the health of our industry stakeholders and the wider community,” Thompson said.

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AGOS Horses to Watch & Trip Notes – March 31

Horses to Watch & Trip Notes for AGOS visitors. Agameofskill.com is an educational website for handicappers.  Thank you for visiting and saving this site to your favorites!

GULFSTREAM PARK

PROJECTED (Race 3, GP 3/18/2020) – Veteran 8yo gelding was boxed in throughout the running of this turf race and never really had a chance under Tyler Gaff.  Fits well at the $30,000 claimer level so give another chance next out vs. similar.

JUNGLE WARRIOR (Race 6, GP 3/18/2020) – This Sid Attard runner went to his nose badly at the start of this dirt sprint but somehow managed to recover and get up for third is a sneaky great performance.  Note that lone win is on turf.   He had been working really well on dirt leading up to his first start in 3 months.

MISS AURAMET (Race 9 @GP, 3/6/2020) – This race was loaded with early speed but this turf sprinter outran them all early en route to a gate to wire victory.  She’s now 8-3-2-2 on the turf, all in 5 furlong dashes.

Handicapping Tip of the Day #51 – Find One Percent More

Handicapping tips from agameofskill.com

By ART PARKER

If you play this game long enough and if you love it then you will try to figure things a million different ways attempting win. I’ve been playing the horses virtually my entire adult life. I just got my Medicare card in the mail so that will let you know about how long it has been.

Like many of you I have done one study after another, researched no telling how many angles and I have one of the very finest sets of trainer pattern files you have ever seen. Once a month my wife gives me an authoritative lecture on all the stuff in my office in the house. Of course what she really wants to know is when I will dispose of more of the horse racing stuff. I simply say I can‘t get rid of any more right now. When she asks why, I always responded with, “Because there may be another winner somewhere in that stuff.”

I was like everyone else in my early years in racing in that I thought about how to get rich every time I went to the track. I would see a huge Pick Six payout and think I just had to start playing for all of those big jackpots, and I have hit a few in my time. I’m just scared to tally up the losses incurred trying to hit a boxcar payout.

After many years I finally realized that those who hit the big ones and make money in the long run are few and far between. I realized one is better off taking a profit, ever how small, and then achieving the same result the next day.

The difficulty in the “grind it out” approach is that us humans can‘t equate making a weekly profit at the track to getting a weekly paycheck. When we go to work we don’t expect to get rich on Thursday, but we expect that in one afternoon at the track.

I majored in corporate finance in college. I learned all about stocks, bonds, warrants, options, mutual funds, balance sheets, P&L, and all that boring stuff. In that field there is one thing you never forget – the importance of a percentage point; if I had just one percent more return, if cash flow was just one percent better, etc.

Just recently I conducted another study using a few variables regarding speed and class with results below.

 

Win bets only.

Number of races = 526.

Number of winners with method tested = 176.

Winning rate = 33.46 %

Total payoffs = $ 1,080.5

Average payoff = $ 6.14

Total invested at $2 per win ticket = $1,052

Net profit = $ 28.50

Return on investment (ROI) = 2.71 %

 

Many would look at this and see very little money. Well, if you wagered $20.00 per race then your profit would be $ 285.00. Of course, it would still be the same ROI.

Now if the efficiency with this method were increased by only 1% then another five (5) races would be cashed. That would increase the total winnings by $30.70. Again, not much money. But what about ROI? The winnings increase to $59.20 and the ROI increases to 5.62%.

Just think. If you can increase your winning efficiency by just 1%, you would more than double your return on investment.

Does that sound like a good deal?

I believe it would sound good at any business school.

Analysis of Florida Derby, Selections for Full Card and Rainbow Six Races

Expert Selections with Analysis/Wagers for the Florida Derby, a great betting race!

The carryover stands at $1,664,935 for the Rainbow Pick 6 Jackpot. Saturday is Mandatory Payout Day.

Rich Nilsen handicapperRich Nilsen, founder of AGameofSkill.com and one of the top tournament players in the history of the NHC, offers up his Spot Play analysis for the Florida Derby, all the supporting stakes, and the entire Rainbow Six sequence.

The expert analysis provides selections for the full card and commentary on six of the stakes races.  Wagering strategies are included for the 2020 Florida Derby, which includes a price horse on top!

Each race offered includes Nilsen’s detailed pace scenario which explains how the race will set up.  This is one of the most important features of the report.  Learn the pace scenario for all 14 races on this amazing card.

Put an expert on your side as you attack Gulfstream Park on this huge day.

 

Only $11.97 for Full card selections including the Rainbow  Six races.  Analysis with comments on six stakes races, Florida Derby Analysis with Wagering Strategies, 

Portion of the Proceeds will be donated to Acacia Courtney’s Aftercare Alliance Foundation.

Instant download, PDF file – click here