Archives for October 2022

Breeders’ Cup Analysis – Spot Plays w/ Wagers, Top Selections at Keeneland

Order Nilsen’s Breeders’ Cup Package & Save Lives in the Process!  Read on…

When you purchase Rich Nilsen’s Breeders’ Cup package, you will also be buying a water filter that will last 5-10 years in a developing community in Central America.

AGameofSkill.com has partnered with our friend Rudy Shaffer’s Water4Life Ministry (501c3) to provide you with this opportunity to bring hope and life-saving measures to an entire village in either Central America or Africa.  I’m doing this unique offer because I believe in my friends and all the good people in racing to support a great cause.  I have given out some great winners over the years on these big race days and I hope to do so again at one of my home tracks of Keeneland.  Will you join me in supporting this ministry?

18x NHC Qualifier Rich Nilsen offers up his Pace Scenarios, Spot Plays w/ Wagers, Top Selections and Analysis for BOTH days of the Breeders’ Cup in ONE report – pre-order today.

Nilsen, who has had some monster days in the past with his major race selection sheets, is back for both days of this year’s Breeders’ Cup at Keeneland, but this time we have a mission.

Included in his report are top selections for all 5 Breeders’ Cup stakes on Friday and all 9 stakes on Saturday (all 14 Breeders’ Cup races).  Includes commentary on all the contenders listed, plus spot play wagers.

BONUS: Free pace chart for every race on both days at Keeneland!

You will also receive Nilsen’s expert pace analysis, which is often the key to selecting the winner.   Nilsen will have Spot Plays with wagering strategies to attack these races hard.

Get every Breeders’ Cup race for BOTH days (Friday & Saturday) in one sheet!  Download instantly to any type of device. Only $30 for all 9 Breeders’ Cup races on Saturday + bonus pace chart for the full cards on Fri. and Sat.

Download today to any device 

 

 

Highlights from Previous Breeders’ Cup Spot Play Winners from Nilsen’s Analysis!

2020: Several winners at Keeneland with the monster longshot score of $37.60 winner Audarya the highlight!  See the write-up below on the monster $199.20 cold exacta in the 2020 Filly & Mar Turf!!!

$29.40 Sprint Spot Play Winner Trinniberg with Cold $203.40 Exacta!

$15.80 Turf Sprint Spot Play Winner Mizdirection, keying $1,757.65 Pick-4 wager!

$40.40 Spot Play Winner Work All Week with $1,064.70 Trifecta!

$13.00 F&M Turf Spot Play winner Dayathespa

$16.40 Turf Sprint Winner Bobby’s Kitten

$64.80 Exacta with Main Sequence over Flintshire in the Breeders’ Cup Turf

The list goes on and on!

 

1st- # 11 AUDARYA (12/1) was boxed in a little bit during the stretch run in the Arc and finished well on her wrong lead in straight.  She never really seemed comfortable racing along the inside behind the two speed horses, but, despite that, ran very well and nearly won the prestigious race.

In her prior start she was an upset winner in France, giving her trainer a third career win in the G1 Prix Jean Romanet Stakes.  There was a gap of about 4 lengths to the show horse.  The place horse was Ambition who came back to run a decent 5th in the Arc.

Her top trainer in France, James Fanshawe, is ending a 30-year wait for a runner at the Breeders’ Cup.  Fanshawe has trained the likes of Soviet Song and The Tin Man, among other Group 1 winners.

On her latest effort at Longchamp, Fanshawe said, “Audarya ran an excellent race, but there wasn’t much coverage of it afterwards. Most of the attention seemed to focus on the winner Tarnawa and Jessica Harrington’s filly Alpine Star who finished second.”

She’s a major player based on her recent form.

2nd- # 6 RUSHING FALL (5/2) – Has won 11 of 14 lifetime and banked over $2.5M.  She was last seen finishing in under 34 seconds when she gamely captured the G1 Diana at Saratoga.  Trainer Chad Brown has been working her every 7 days since that win in preparation for this start at a track where she is 5 for 6 lifetime.

She’s unproven at the distance but Brown has won many times with this type of stretch out turf runner.  Brown has also won this BC race 4 times…

About Nilsen’s Analysis

In this comprehensive yet concise report, I provide selections for all 14 Breeders’ Cup races for both days, as well as pace scenario analysis which is absolutely vital for predicting the outcomes of these events.

Spot Plays are my best bets and key wagering horses for the big weekend. Picking your spots is key to profiting on the races, especially when it comes to the Breeders’ Cup. The opportunities are plentiful but you improve your chances by selecting key spot plays and focusing most of your bets on those plays.

Set aside a budget for these two days and be sure to have plenty of ammunition for the bigger of the two days, Saturday. Best of luck!

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Rich Nilsen caught the horse racing bug at a young age when his father took him to the racetracks in New York. He eventually attended the University of Louisville Equine Business Program with the goal of making a career in the horse racing industry.

Nilsen has worked the past 29+ years in the equine industry, serving most of those years as the Marketing Director for Brisnet.com and TwinSpires.com, the Official Wagering Site of the Kentucky Derby.

Nilsen managed the successful Players’ Pool syndicate, which pooled funds from the account wagering members to go after large Pick-6 carryovers. During Nilsen’s leadership, the Players’ Pool produced a significant profit for the members over the course of seven years. One of the best hits was when the Players’ Pool took down half of the Pick-6 pool on Kentucky Derby Day 2007, with a gross return of over $500,000.  The Pool had several other hits over $250,000.

The $3 Million National Handicapping Championship (NHC) is the premier horse racing tournament in the nation. It is basically horse racing’s version of the World Series of Poker, with the main difference being that players cannot buy their way into the NHC. Players can only win their way in via tournaments held throughout the country. Nilsen is one of the top participants in the history of the event, having qualified 18 times. He is a dual qualifier for the 2022 NHC and a member of the NHC Players’ Committee. He was the first player, and one of only a handful, to finish in the top 10 at the NHC twice.

Wizard’s Full-card Analysis and Betting Strategies – Breeders’ Cup Friday & Saturday

The Wizard has his complete coverage of the 10 Keeneland races for Friday now online, complete with expert wagering strategies for each race.  Last time the Breeders’ Cup was at Keeneland, the Wizard crushed the Breeders’ Cup card with top winners such as Glass Slippers ($22.40)!  Only $45 for the combo package from America’s top public handicapper for Friday:

 
Pre-order Rich Nilsen’s 2-day Breeders’ Cup Package – covers both days, full-card pace charts, and spot plays with wagers!

Wizard’s Full-card Analysis + Betting Strategies for Saturday’s Breeders’ Cup – coming soon

Can the Wizard top his 2020 performance hitting 6 TOP winners including Glass Slippers ($22.40) & Best Bet Tarnawa ($11.40).  He closed the day out with a $45.10 exacta in the Classic with his top 2 picks.  The Wizard, America’s #1 public handicapper, has been helping players cash more tickets since 1987.

Wizard’s Package Includes:

9 BC events and 3 undercard races.

Expert wagers for each and every race – all 12

A careful study of many video replays

Extensive trip and track bias notes is what the Wizard utilizes to make his selections & carefully plotted out wagering strategies. This combo package is only $60.00 for Saturday:

 

Horseshoe Las Vegas to Host National Horseplayers Champship (NHC) Through 2026

Bally's Casino Las VegasLexington, KY and Las Vegas, NV (October 25, 2022): The National Thoroughbred Racing Association (NTRA) and Caesars Entertainment have announced a multi-year agreement for Bally’s, the soon-to-be Horseshoe Las Vegas, to remain host-site of the National Horseplayers Championship (NHC) through 2026. This year’s contest will be held March 10-12, 2023, and future dates include:

2024: March 15-17, 2024

2025: March 14-16, 2025

2026: March 13-15, 2026

“We are delighted to secure a multi-year extension and continue our partnership with two iconic brands—Caesars and Horseshoe Las Vegas—to host hundreds of horseplayers in the heart of the Las Vegas strip at the world’s most prestigious horse racing handicapping contest,” said NTRA President and CEO Tom Rooney.

“We’re pleased to again partner with the NTRA to host the 2024, 2025, and 2026 National Horseplayers Championship at Horseshoe Las Vegas,” said Joseph Morris, Senior Vice President, Racing at Caesars Entertainment. “Hosting this event continues the Caesars commitment to horse racing and aligns well with the Horseshoe Las Vegas legacy of hosting championship-level events like the World Series of Poker.”

ABOUT THE NHC

The NHC, presented by Caesars Entertainment, Racetrack Television Network, and Horseshoe Las Vegas, is the richest, most important, and most prestigious tournament for horseplayers in the world. This event is the culmination of a yearlong series of sanctioned local tournaments conducted by racetracks, casino race books, off-track betting facilities and horse racing and handicapping websites, each of which sends its top qualifiers to the national finals in Las Vegas. Each year, the NHC winner joins other human and equine champions as an honoree at the Eclipse Awards.

Established in 1999, the first NHC offered total purse money of $200,000. The 2022 NHC offered total prizes and awards of more than $3.5 million. David Harrison, a real estate appraiser from Webster, NY, topped a field of 643 entries to win the $725,000 first-place prize and earn an Eclipse Award as Horseplayer of the Year.

Men With Higher I.Q. Tend to Bet on This Sport

fans handicapping watching racesThe University of Eastern Finland published a study of more than 15,000 Finnish men who had completed an IQ test as part of their compulsory military service.  An interesting tidbit came out of their analysis.

“Our research found a strong correlation between men with a high IQ and those who take part in skilled gambling, such as betting on horse racing,” stated Professor David Forrest from the University of Liverpool Management School.

Was there ever any doubt? More information on this academic study involving horse players can be found here.

Related article:

Does IQ predict engagement with skill-based gambling? Large-scale evidence from horserace betting” by Jani Saastamoinen et al. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making

Breeders’ Cup Watch: Annapolis beats older horses in G1 Coolmore Turf Mile

What an impressive run from a sophomore colt!  Hear from 34-year-old Perry Bass, the third generation Kentucky horse owner-breeder who heads his family’s Bass Racing, after the 3-year-old Annapolis beats older horses in the Grade 1, $1 million Coolmore Turf Mile.  Bass discusses the type of “ground” that this horse requires to be at his best.

Annapolis finished the race in stakes-record time of 1:33.29 at Keeneland Racecourse to earn a fees-paid spot in the Breeders’ Cup Mile on turf.  The Breeders’ Cup is the first weekend in November at Keeneland in Lexington, Kentucky.

Breeders’ Cup Watch: G2 Bourbon Stakes Post-Race Interviews

Owner Susan Moulton and trainer Wayne Catalano discuss winning the Grade 2 $350,000 Castle & Key Bourbon with Andthewinneris two days after they teamed with Manny Wah to win the Grade 2 Phoenix and a spot in the Breeders’ Cup Sprint.  The impressive two year old earns a fees-paid spot in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf. Watch this interview with the owner and trainer from Keeneland.