Archives for May 2, 2022

Derek Simon’s Kentucky Derby Betting Guide for Derby 148

It’s back! The one and only Kentucky Derby Guide from handicapping guru Derek Simon.

Simon’s in-depth KY Derby report offers 20 pages of insightful information on the most exciting two minutes in sports, the 148th Kentucky Derby.  Just some of the content includes:

KY Derby Facts & Figures

A popular section that includes a myriad of unique and relevant stats pertaining to the 2022 Kentucky Derby.

Over the past 30 years, horses with a form rating of less than 50% are 1-for-123 in America’s biggest race. What six horses fall into that category this year? What horse is trying to accomplish something that NO HORSE IN THE HISTORY OF THE KENTUCKY DERBY has been able to do? Answers are in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Betting Guide!

Derby Prep Grades

I use a “key race” algorithm I developed many years ago to grade every major final Kentucky Derby prep. Since 1991, only one Kentucky Derby winner has exited a prep with a failing grade (F) and there is one such prep this year. I also give statistics on all the key preps.

Find out what key Kentucky Derby prep has produced just one Derby winner from 90 starters since 1992.

Final Fractions Theory

I expound on the now popular Final Fractions Theory, which was conceived by Colonel Edward R. Bradley and popularized by Jennie Rees. Using more scientific, dynamic values for lengths, I find out who the fastest finishers among the Derby entrants are.

Discover which horses have a 1.46 impact value based on the final fractions of their last race, and which have a 0.53 IV based on the same criterion.

Find out:

  • Horse-by-horse Statistical Look by Derek Simon
  • See the speed rating pattern that has produced zero Kentucky Derby winners (from 37 starters) since 1992. Observe the pattern that has produced a 30 percent ROI as well!
  • In the past 30 years, six horses (of 40) won the Kentucky Derby after recording an LSR of -5 or greater and an ESR of less than 0 in their final prep, producing profits across the board. What four potential Derby entrants qualify this year?
  • The 2022 Kentucky Derby Contenders Likely to Regress (and Progress!)
  • and more!

Download instantly today and attack the Run for the Roses.  Only $25

Derek Simon’s Kentucky Derby Betting Guide is Here.  Download Today



The Kentucky Derby Draw is done.  See it here

The Draw for This Year’s Kentucky Derby

Kentucky Derby Post Positions for the 148th Kentucky Derby:
1️⃣ Mo Donegal
2️⃣ Happy Jack
3️⃣ Epicenter
4️⃣ Summer Is Tomorrow
5️⃣ Smile Happy
6️⃣ Messier
7️⃣ Crown Pride
8️⃣ Charge It
9️⃣ Tiz the Bomb
🔟 Zandon – 3/1 morning line favorite for Kentucky Derby 148
1️⃣1️⃣ Pioneer of Medina
1️⃣2️⃣ Taiba
1️⃣3️⃣ Simplification
1️⃣4️⃣ Barber Road
1️⃣5️⃣ White Abarrio
1️⃣6️⃣ Cyberknife
1️⃣7️⃣ Classic Causeway
1️⃣8️⃣ Tawny Port
1️⃣9️⃣ Zozos
2️⃣0️⃣ Ethereal Road

Now that the The Draw for This Year’s Kentucky Derby is complete, check out the AGOS recaps of the major KY Derby prep races

Industry Profiles: Frankie Dettori and Dancing Brave

Frankie Dettori and Dancing Brave Inducted Into Hall of Fame

Frankie Dettori has been thrilling racing fans for 35 years and is a sporting superstar recognised by a global audience, known as much for his vibrancy out of the saddle as he is for his excellence in it. He has ridden almost 3,300 British winners (a number exceeded only by Lester Piggott and Willie Carson) and has also enjoyed vast success all around the world, winning major races in no fewer than 24 countries. His six victories in France’s most coveted race, the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, remains a record.

A day racing fans will never forget was when a young Dettori rode all seven winners on a card at Ascot on September 28th 1996. With cumulative odds of 25,051/1, the ‘Magnificent Seven’ earned one punter £500,000 and made the Italian a household name. Dettori said of the infamous day: “Winning every race on a card was something that I didn’t think was possible, not in my lifetime anyway. It’s the biggest achievement of my career, without question.” That racecard currently makes up part of the Hall of Fame display at the National Horseracing Museum.

No fewer than 270 of his victories have been in Group One/Grade One races, the highest level, and his 21 Classic victories in Britain have included two triumphs in The Derby aboard Authorized (2008) and Golden Horn (2015). He has enjoyed 76 winners at Royal Ascot, a tally only bettered by Piggott, and he has been top jockey at the prestigious meeting on eight occasions, including in 2019 and 2020…