Archives for March 2018

Analysis of 2018 Florida Derby & Rainbow Six Mandatory Races

Expert Selections with Spot Plays

As of 3/30 the carryover stands at $4,599,159.00 Pick 6 Jackpot. Saturday is Mandatory Payout Day.

Rich Nilsen handicapperRich Nilsen, founder of AGameofSkill.com and one of the top tournament players in the history of the NHC, offers up his Spot Play analysis for the Florida Derby, all the supporting stakes, and the entire Rainbow Six sequence.

The expert analysis provides selections for 7 stakes on the card, beginning with race 4, plus two best bet spot plays.  Wagering strategies are included for the 2 spot plays, including a recommended late Pick-3 wager on the card.

Each race offered includes Nilsen’s detailed pace scenario which explains how the race will set up.  This is one of the most important features of the report.  Both of his Spot Plays are value plays, and Nilsen also has a strong favorite on the card that he believes is a great bet against.

Put an expert on your side as you attack Gulfstream Park on this huge day.

Only $9.97 for 7 stakes races, 2 spot plays with Wagering Strategies, including the Rainbow  Six races.

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Experts Go After Monster-sized Rainbow Six on Florida Derby Day

And You Can Join Them

AGOS founder Rich Nilsen & friend Dan “Fat Bald Guy” Cronin take a swing at the monster-sized Rainbow Six this Saturday! Over $10,000,000 expected in the pool.  Maybe even $15,000,000!

The BetPTC Pool is open for Florida Derby/Mandatory Payout Day, and you’re invited to be a part of their tickets.

Star handicappers Dan “Fat Bald Guy” Cronin and 14x NHC Qualifier Rich Nilsen are back!

With this new PTC Pool, Experts Cronin and Nilsen will utilize the BetPTC members’ contributions to go after the Rainbow Six this Saturday. It features a mandatory payout of the carryover, which, as of 3/29, stands at over $4.4 million!

Join the Fun and get your share of the PTC Pool! You can jump in for as low as $40. Don’t miss out on the new PTC Pool – OPEN NOW (click here). The Pool closes Saturday so don’t delay.

New to BetPTC.com – Enter promo code “AGOS” and, not only claim your member sign up bonus, but also receive a custom Cash Rewards schedule.

Dark Horse for the 2018 Florida Derby?

Press Release

HALLANDALE BEACH, FL – MV Magnier, Michael Tabor, Derrick Smith, John Oxley and Markus Jooste’s Mississippi put himself into consideration for the $1 million Xpressbet.com Florida Derby (G1) March 31 at Gulfstream Park with a sharp half-mile work early Sunday morning.

Gulfstream Park horse toteGoing out at 6:30 a.m. in company with maiden-winning stablemate Shanghai Noon, Mississippi covered four furlongs in 49.45 seconds at Palm Meadows, Gulfstream’s satellite training facility in Palm Beach County. The time ranked fourth of 36 horses at the distance.

“I couldn’t have been more pleased,” trainer Mark Casse said. “He finished up really nice and galloped out strong. He’s ready. If he has a good week this week we’re going to run him in the Florida Derby.”

Purchased for $700,000 out of Fasig-Tipton’s Florida Selected 2-year-olds in training sale last spring at Gulfstream Park, Mississippi broke his maiden going one mile last fall in his second and final start at 2.

This year, the Pioneerof the Nile colt was beaten three-quarters of a length by Noble Indy Jan. 11 and was a neck behind Storm Runner Feb. 4 in 1 1/16-mile optional claiming allowance races at Gulfstream. Noble Indy was a hard-fought winner of the Louisiana Derby (G2) March 24 while Storm Runner is also being pointed to the 1 1/8-mile Florida Derby.

“I think he’s a horse that just keeps getting better and better. Of course, [Noble Indy] winning the Louisiana Derby didn’t hurt his feelings any. He ran a nice second to him,” Casse said. “He’s by Pioneerof the Nile so he’s going to get better and better. Now, we just need a good post position.”  [He drew post 9]

Mississippi has worked four times since his last start, including five furlongs in a bullet 1:00.75 March 19 at Palm Meadows.

“One of the reasons we haven’t run him, we gave him some time because I thought I ran him back maybe a little too quick in his last allowance race. Then I thought he went through a little bit of a lull,” Casse said. “He wasn’t training as well, but his last two works have been extremely good so that’s why we’re going to take a shot.”

The 67th running of the Florida Derby anchors a spectacular program that includes seven stakes, five graded, worth $2.3 million in purses. The field is expected to include Holy Bull (G2) winner Audible, Fountain of Youth (G2) winner Promises Fulfilled, Remsen (G2) and With Anticipation (G3) winner Catholic Boy, Swale (G3) Strike Power, Dania Beach (G3) winner Speed Franco, Fire When Ready, Millionaire Runner, Storm Runner and Tip Sheet.

What Makes a Winner – The DNA of Champions

It is well known that genes are responsible for most of the traits in all living beings. Of course external conditions have their due influence on the development and overall well being, but we have long determined that good genes will very likely produce good offspring. Ever since the first domesticated wolf we have also learned how to cash in on this knowledge. And cash is plenty in the world of horseracing. Champion blood foals regularly sell for well over $1 million. That’s why the first thing that is being prized when selecting a racehorse is the genetic pool it sprung from.

Thoroughbreds are the most used breed of horses for racing, and for a good reason. These horses have been specifically bred for speed and stamina. It started in the 17th century with the growing interest of British aristocracy in horseracing, and today all Thoroughbreds can be traced back to 74 British and imported mares, known as the Royal Mares, and only three stallions of Arab, Barb and Turk origin, the Byerly Turk, the Darley Arabian and the Godolphin Barb. And thus began an official record – the General Stud Book – which lists only those horses that can be traced back to the Royal Mares and these three stallions.

copyright DarbyAmerica

Thoroughbreds’ anatomy makes them the perfect racing horse. Preferred, quality Thoroughbreds have long necks, deep and broad chest, short backs, lean bodies and long legs. They are classified as a hot-blooded breed, meaning they are very agile, fast, spirited and bold. Not so long ago the only way to assure these traits in a horse was heavy inbreeding, but in 2010 Dr. Emmeline Hill managed to isolate the single gene responsible for muscle development and muscle fibre type, now popularly known as the speed gene.

Experiments in equine genetics have shown that it is possible to breed a horse with more muscle mass capable for short bursts of speed suited for quarter mile races or a leaner horse that could perform better on longer courses such as the Derby. Even with these advancements in equine genetics scientists agree that DNA probably accounts for 30 – 35% of a horse’s performance. Come race day training, nutrition, jockeys and track conditions could prove more important for the outcome. Still, 35% is a lot you can bet on.

Racehorse breeding is the most tightly controlled and regulated animal breeding program. And the reason why, as we said, is because there is a lot of money in horseracing. It is an industry with revenue of $4 billion in US alone, $139.2 million were wagered on the Kentucky Derby last year, more than $10 billion are wagered in US each year. In horse racing crazed Japan that number is more than $24 billion. A big chunk of these billions come from online betting. Placing a bet is possible on many sites, fast and safe; you can also get good tips on how to pick your winner. It’s easy now that you know what makes one.

 

Racehorse Hofburg One to Look at in the 2018 Florida Derby

Press Release

Juddmonte Farms homebred Hofburg, an impressive maiden winner March 3 at Gulfstream Park, will make just his third career start and first in a stakes in the 67th $1 million Xpressbet.com Florida Derby (G1) March 31.

Trained by Hall of Famer Bill Mott, Hofburg is the 10th horse expected when entries are taken and post positions drawn late Wednesday morning for the prestigious 3-year-old prep that has produced a remarkable 59 Triple Crown race winners in its first 66 runnings, including three of the last four Kentucky Derby (G1) champions.

Hofburg, out of the Touch Gold mare Soothing Touch, was fourth in his career debut going seven furlongs Sept. 2 at Saratoga Race Course. He didn’t race again until being stretched out to 1 1/16 miles for a maiden special weight at Gulfstream, where he was initially hesitant to load in the starting gate then settled just off the pace, took a clear lead entering the stretch and held on to win by a half-length.

“We don’t have a lot of seasoning in us, but the one good thing is we did have a race last August at Saratoga and he ran really well. We’ve been pretty high on the colt all along,” Mott said. “He had time after that race, and his race here was very good. It was over the racetrack, he had a wide trip and came out a winner.

“It’s a big reach, but looking at what’s probably available for him we just thought it was worth taking a chance with him,” he added. “We’ve always regarded him pretty well and thought we’d give it a try.”

Mott, seeking his first Florida Derby victory, is hoping Hofburg’s pedigree and ability can help overcome his lack of experience. Juddmonte won the 2003 Florida Derby with subsequent Belmont Stakes (G1) winner Empire Maker.

In addition to being by leading sire Tapit, Hofburg’s half-sister Emollient, also trained by Mott, won six of 18 starts including four Grade 1 races and more than $1.3 million in purses from 2012 to 2014.

“She broke her maiden on the dirt and won an a-other-than on the dirt and then she wound up being a multiple Grade 1 winner on the synthetic and on the turf, but she was a very good mare,” Mott said. “This colt comes from a good female line and a good sire line, so he’s got a lot going for him.”

The Florida Derby anchors a spectacular March 31 program that includes seven stakes, five graded, worth $2.3 million in purses. The field is expected to include Holy Bull (G2) winner Audible, Fountain of Youth (G2) winner Promises Fulfilled, Remsen (G2) and With Anticipation (G3) winner Catholic Boy, Swale (G3) winner Strike Power, Dania Beach (G3) winner Speed Franco, Millionaire Runner, Storm Runner and Tip Sheet.

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Big Week on Tap for 2018 Florida Derby

Gulfstream Park paddockHALLANDALE BEACH, FL – The $1 million Florida Derby (G1) has produced the winners of a remarkable 59 Triple Crown events, including three of the last five Kentucky Derby (G1) winners.

But before the 67th running of the Derby Saturday, March 31, Gulfstream Park will offer a week of events.

The week kicks off Monday, March 26 with the Fasig-Tipton Breeze Show at 10 a.m. and runs through Sunday, April 1 with Easter Brunch in Ten Palms. Admission and parking is free at Gulfstream Park. First race post time will be 11:30 a.m. on Florida Derby Day, which features seven stakes races including five graded.

Breakfast at Gulfstream begins at 8 a.m.

There will also be a mandatory payout of the 20-cent Rainbow 6, which is currently over $4 million, and a guaranteed $750,000 pool for the Late Pick 4 and a guaranteed $500,000 pool for the Late Pick 5.

Gulfstream’s Derby Day program will also include the simulcast of Dubai World Cup Day. Doors to Silks open at 8 a.m.

There are several dining options at Gulfstream, including Ten Palms, Fountain Club, Frankey’s Sports Bar and a barbeque buffet in Sport of Kings.

The official drink of the Florida Derby, the Maker’s Mark Orange Orchid, will be available in a souvenir glass for $12. The Divas and Dudes Hat Contest, sponsored by Maker’s Mark, will take place in the walking ring after the call to post for the eighth race. The Ketel One Make Your Mule Station will be located in front of the winner’s circle featuring three flavors of Ketel One.

Havana Club Room will have specials at Corona Beach the entire day along with a live DJ, cigar rollers and Cuban and Latin food specials.

For dining reservations at Ten Palms call 954.457.6201. For more information go to GulfstreamPark.com.

Monday, March 26: Fasig-Tipton Breeze Show, 10 a.m.

Wednesday, March 28: $1 million Xpressbet.com Florida Derby Draw, 11:30 a.m. Frankey’s Sports Bar

Wednesday, March 28: Fasig-Tipton Selected 2-Year-Old’s in Training Sale, 3 p.m. Walking Ring

Friday, March 30: Cocktails and Horse Tales, 6-8 p.m. Walking Ring

Saturday, March 31: Florida Derby Day. Gates open at 8 a.m.

Sunday, April 1: Easter Brunch, Ten Palms 12-5 p.m.

$4,462,794 Rainbow Six Carryover for Thursday in Miami

And Who’s Hot at Gulfstream Park

Press Release

HALLANDALE BEACH, FL – The 20-cent Rainbow 6 carryover jackpot for Thursday’s program at Gulfstream Park grew to $4,462,794 when the popular multi-race wager went unsolved Sunday for the 41st consecutive racing day.

A total of $729,696 was wagered into the Rainbow 6 Sunday, adding to a carryover of $4,287,715 from Saturday’s program. Multiple tickets with all six winners each returned $358.76.

Pegasus statue at Gulfstream ParkThe Rainbow 6 was last hit Jan. 28, when the mandatory payout of a North American record $19.779 million pool produced multiple winning tickets worth $15,566.

The carryover jackpot is only paid out when there is a single unique ticket sold with all six winners. On days when there is no unique ticket, 70 percent of that day’s pool goes back to those bettors holding tickets with the most winners, while 30 percent is carried over to the jackpot pool.

A mandatory Rainbow 6 jackpot carryover payout is scheduled for Florida Derby Day March 31, when there will also be a $750,000 pool guarantee for the Late Pick 4 and a $500,000 pool guarantee for the Late Pick 5.

 

Saez Hot at Gulfstream Park

Leading jockey Luis Saez rode three winners Sunday, giving him 125 victories for the Championship Meet. The defending titlist scored aboard Little Irishdancer ($3.60) in Race 1, Althera ($6) in Race 8 and Perfume Lady ($4.80) in Race 9 to put him seven wins behind Javier Castellano’s 2013-2014 Championship Meet Record of 132 with four programs remaining.

Irad Ortiz Jr. enjoyed his fifth straight multi-win day Sunday, winning aboard Living Valentina ($9) in Race 3, Just Talkin ($3) in Race 10 and Auldwood Lake ($6.20) in the 12th.

Betting machines central to state’s plan to revitalize Virginia horse racing industry

Betting machines are central to the state’s plan to revitalize slumping horse racing industry in the state of Virginia.

Augusta Free Press Full coverage

Source: Betting machines central to state’s plan to revitalize slumping horse racing industry

Early Pick-5 Carryover of $251,993 Expected to Generate $2M Pool

$4.1M Rainbow Six at Gulfstream today as well

 ARCADIA, Calif. (March 23, 2018)—No one picked all five winners in Santa Anita’s popular Early Pick 5 wager on Friday, creating a massive carryover into Saturday of $251,993.  With the Grade II, $200,000 Santa Monica Stakes anchoring Saturday’s “Early 5,” track officials project Saturday’s total Early Pick 5 pool will exceed $2 million.

Santa Anita apron

copyright AGameofSkill.com

Carded as race five, Saturday’s seven furlong Santa Monica attracted a field of five, included even money favorite Paradise Woods, a multiple Grade I winner, and hard-hitting distaffers Skye Diamonds and Selcourt, who have each been assigned a morning line of 5-2.

With first post time at 12 noon, entries and complete morning line information for Saturday’s 10-race card at Santa Anita are available at santaanita.com.

Sunland Derby for Dummies: A Primer for Novices in time for Sunday’s Big Race

The 15th running of the Sunland Derby is coming up on Sunday, March 25. Offering $1.5 million in total purses, the show gets underway at Sunland Park Racetrack and Casino at 12:30 p.m.

For those who are new to the most prestigious horse race in the area, here’s a quick rundown of how the derby works, along with its history and competitor highlights…

Source: Sunland Derby for dummies: A primer for novices